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PTC Inc. (PTC)
NASDAQ:PTC
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PTC (PTC) AI Stock Analysis

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PTC

PTC

(NASDAQ:PTC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$133.00
▼(-4.82% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (expanded profitability, improving leverage, and solid cash generation) and a positive earnings-call outlook (raised guidance and solid ARR/cash flow trends). These strengths are tempered by weak technicals (price below major moving averages with bearish momentum) and only moderate top-line growth, despite an undemanding P/E valuation.
Positive Factors
High profitability & margins
Sustained high gross and operating margins indicate strong pricing power, efficient software economics and scalable cost structure. This margin profile provides durable earnings resilience, funds R&D and buybacks, and reduces reliance on top-line volatility to sustain cash generation over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Slower top-line growth
Weak and uneven revenue growth raises sensitivity to margin maintenance: the company relies more on elevated margins and buybacks to drive EPS. If ARR or renewals underperform, sustaining margins alone may not offset slower organic expansion across product lines over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability & margins
Sustained high gross and operating margins indicate strong pricing power, efficient software economics and scalable cost structure. This margin profile provides durable earnings resilience, funds R&D and buybacks, and reduces reliance on top-line volatility to sustain cash generation over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

PTC Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsLate-2025 shows a coordinated, outsized jump across Americas, Europe and APAC driven by large multiyear renewals and strategic vertical deals—this is a bookings-driven acceleration tied to record deferred ARR and the quarter’s revenue beat, not just steady organic growth. Americas remains the biggest and most lumpy region, while overseas recovery is real. The planned Kepware/ThingWorx divestiture (and its ~ $160M ARR) will shift the geography mix and creates a near-term execution risk even as management leans into stronger free cash flow and shareholder returns.
Data provided by:The Fly

PTC (PTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PTC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PTC Inc. operates as a global provider of software and services, with its market presence extending across the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company's business is organized into two primary divisions: Software Products and Pr...
How the Company Makes Money
PTC primarily makes money by selling software licenses and subscriptions for its industrial software portfolio and related support/services. A key revenue stream is recurring subscription revenue from time-based access to its PLM, CAD, ALM, IoT, a...

PTC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple positive operational and financial trends: ARR growth at the high end of guidance (8.5% YoY), 14% YoY cash flow growth, raised revenue and EPS guidance, aggressive share repurchases, and clear momentum from AI-driven modernization and product releases. Management highlighted measurable go-to-market improvements, higher-quality pipeline, and several displacement/customer wins across PLM, CAD, ALM and SLM. Offsetting these positives are familiar risks: macro uncertainty, comparability challenges from the divestiture, early-stage AI monetization (expected to ramp over time), and dependence on deferred ARR plus strong H2 execution to achieve full-year targets. Overall, the positives and concrete progress materially outweigh the listed risks, though several execution and macro caveats remain.
Positive Updates
ARR Growth at High End of Guidance
Constant currency ARR (excl. Kepware and ThingWorx) reached $2.388 billion, up 8.5% year-over-year, reported at the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Macro Uncertainty and Approval Cycles
Management highlighted ongoing macro uncertainty and noted that complex customer approval cycles and legacy environments can slow adoption; deals still require lengthy approvals and executive sign-off in many cases.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
ARR Growth at High End of Guidance
Constant currency ARR (excl. Kepware and ThingWorx) reached $2.388 billion, up 8.5% year-over-year, reported at the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
PTC reiterated and sharpened FY‑26 targets: constant‑currency ARR (ex‑Kepware/ThingWorx) was $2.388B at the end of Q2 (up 8.5% YoY) and management expects FY‑26 ARR growth of ~7.5%–9.5% (midpoint implying ~$195M net new ARR), with Q3 ARR growth of ~8%–9% (net new ARR $40M–$55M) and a meaningful step‑up in deferred ARR expected in Q4; FY‑26 free cash flow is guided to $850M (or $950M excluding four one‑time items that net to a $100M FY‑26 impact), Q3 FCF $240M–$245M, revenue raised to $2.58B–$2.82B and non‑GAAP EPS to $6.65–$8.90. Operationally Q2 operating cash flow and free cash flow each grew 14% YoY, and capital return plans include $250M repurchased in Q2, $375M net after‑tax divestiture proceeds deployed into an ASR, roughly $250M planned repurchases in Q3, expected FY repurchases of ~$1.225B–$1.325B, an anticipated diluted share count of ~115–116M (versus 120M in Q3 ’25), and a new $2B buyback authorization effective Oct 1, 2026 through FY‑28.

PTC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: materially expanded profitability in TTM (net margin ~42%, EBIT margin ~39%), improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.35), and solid free cash flow that closely tracks earnings (FCF to net income ~0.99). The main offset is uneven/slower revenue growth (FY2025 ~0.2%, TTM ~4.8%), which increases reliance on sustaining elevated margins.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.00B2.74B2.30B2.10B1.93B1.81B
Gross Profit2.53B2.29B1.85B1.66B1.55B1.44B
EBITDA1.74B1.13B730.02M599.14M573.41M564.77M
Net Income1.25B734.00M376.33M245.54M313.08M476.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.54B6.62B6.38B6.29B4.69B4.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments439.11M184.41M265.81M288.10M272.18M326.53M
Total Debt1.38B1.37B1.93B1.89B1.54B1.65B
Total Liabilities2.68B2.79B3.17B3.61B2.39B2.47B
Stockholders Equity3.86B3.83B3.21B2.68B2.30B2.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow928.18M856.69M731.62M586.25M409.38M343.55M
Operating Cash Flow938.62M867.70M749.98M610.86M435.33M368.81M
Investing Cash Flow510.78M-17.54M-124.81M-866.12M-201.20M-687.86M
Financing Cash Flow-1.24B-929.26M-650.73M268.31M-264.08M370.26M

PTC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price139.74
Price Trends
50DMA
138.80
Negative
100DMA
146.64
Negative
200DMA
167.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.64
Positive
RSI
24.11
Positive
STOCH
11.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PTC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 139.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 137.70, above the 50-day MA of 138.80, and below the 200-day MA of 167.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.11 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PTC.

PTC Risk Analysis

PTC disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PTC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PTC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.60B39.228.71%8.68%8.27%
74
Outperform
$13.13B10.8933.14%27.75%187.41%
73
Outperform
$9.06B21.1416.91%15.55%6.91%
70
Outperform
$9.63B97.415.02%21.05%
67
Neutral
$10.20B63.5512.92%24.92%356.37%
64
Neutral
$11.89B-18.41-21.33%7.55%-39.50%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PTC
PTC
114.85
-57.76
-33.46%
GWRE
Guidewire
120.03
-133.57
-52.67%
TYL
Tyler Technologies
289.84
-299.29
-50.80%
HUBS
HubSpot
186.06
-363.51
-66.14%
TTD
Trade Desk
19.27
-50.98
-72.57%
U
Unity Software
28.49
4.09
16.76%

PTC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
PTC Delivers Strong Q2 Results and Expands Buybacks
Positive
May 6, 2026
PTC reported strong results for its second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026, with revenue up 22% year on year, constant-currency ARR excluding divested businesses up 8.5%, and operating and free cash flow each rising 14%, while GAAP EPS was boo...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
PTC Divests IoT Units and Launches Major Buyback
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
On March 16, 2026, PTC completed the previously announced sale of its Kepware industrial connectivity and ThingWorx IoT businesses to an affiliate of TPG for $523 million in cash, enabling the company to sharpen its strategic focus on its Intellig...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 12, 2026