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PTC (PTC)
NASDAQ:PTC

PTC (PTC) AI Stock Analysis

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PTC

PTC

(NASDAQ:PTC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$178.00
▲(17.97% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high margins and robust free cash flow) and a positive earnings-call outlook (raised guidance and significant buybacks). These strengths are tempered by weaker technical momentum (below key moving averages, negative MACD) and a valuation that is reasonable but not clearly discounted (P/E ~23.33).
Positive Factors
High profitability and cash generation
PTC's very high gross and operating margins, plus ~ $0.89B TTM free cash flow, provide durable internal funding for R&D, product investment, and capital returns. Strong cash generation supports reinvestment and strategic optionality across business cycles.
Recurring ARR growth and record deferred ARR
Healthy recurring ARR growth and record deferred ARR under contract create multi‑year revenue visibility. Contracted backlog and large deal wins reduce revenue volatility and support predictable cash flows as bookings convert over time.
Product, AI momentum and go‑to‑market improvements
Ongoing product releases, AI integrations and improved seller productivity strengthen competitive differentiation and cross‑sell capacity. Deeper product integrations and common AI infrastructure increase product stickiness and can sustainably raise lifetime value.
Negative Factors
Back‑end loaded ARR conversion timing risk
Concentrated deferred ARR conversion late in the fiscal cycle creates multi‑quarter timing risk: revenue and cash realization depend on implementation and conversion execution. Delays could compress growth metrics and raise execution sensitivity over many quarters.
ServiceMax residual churn and recovery needs
Residual churn at ServiceMax undermines recurring revenue stability and requires continued remediation and investment. Persistent churn can erode ARR base and increase sales/retention costs, reducing long‑term margin durability if not fully resolved.
Modest organic top‑line growth versus high margins
TTM revenue growth remains modest relative to very high margins, limiting organic upside. With top-line expansion constrained, long‑term return generation may rely more on efficiency, buybacks or M&A rather than sustained high‑rate organic growth.

PTC (PTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PTC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPTC Inc. operates as software and services company in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Software Products and Professional Services. It offers ThingWorx platform, which offers a set of capabilities that enable enterprises to digitally transform every aspect of their business with innovative solutions that are simple to create, easy to implement, scalable to meet future needs, and designed to enable customers to accelerate time to value; and Vuforia, which enables the visualization of digital information in a physical context and the creation of AR. The company also provides Onshape, a software-as-a-service product development platform unites computer-aided design with data management, collaboration tools, and real-time analytics; Arena, a PLM solution enables product teams to collaborate virtually anytime and anywhere; Creo, a 3D CAD technology enables the digital design, testing, and modification of product models; and Windchill, a product lifecycle management software. In addition, it offers Integrity, an application lifecycle management solution; Servigistics, service parts management solution; and consulting, implementation, training, cloud, and license and support services. The company was formerly known as Parametric Technology Corporation and changed its name to PTC Inc. in January 2013. PTC Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyPTC generates revenue primarily through software licensing, subscription fees, and professional services. The company's key revenue streams include sales of its flagship products like Creo (CAD software), Windchill (PLM software), and ThingWorx (IoT platform). PTC offers both perpetual licenses and subscription-based models, allowing customers to choose according to their needs. Additionally, the company provides training and consulting services, which contribute to its earnings. Significant partnerships with companies in diverse industries further enhance PTC's market reach and drive sales, as they collaborate on integrated solutions that leverage PTC's technologies.

PTC Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsPTC's recent revenue growth in the Americas and Europe reflects strategic gains, with the Americas showing a notable uptick in the latest quarter. This aligns with the company's 8% regional ARR growth and strong free cash flow, as highlighted in their recent earnings call. Despite challenges like trade uncertainties and ServiceMax churn, PTC's strategic partnerships, including with NVIDIA, and enhanced go-to-market strategies are driving resilience and positioning the company well for continued growth in these key regions.
Data provided by:The Fly

PTC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple positive operating and financial developments — healthy ARR growth (9% ex-divestitures), 13% YoY free cash flow growth, raised revenue and EPS guidance, record deferred ARR and large deal activity, accelerating AI/product momentum, and an aggressive buyback program. Key concerns include ServiceMax churn carryover, back-end loaded ARR conversion timing (Q4 weighting) which creates short-term seasonality and implementation timing risk, and one-time divestiture costs and cash outflows. Overall, the positives around demand capture, cash generation, product/AI progress, and capital return outweigh the near-term timing and divestiture challenges.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ARR Growth
Constant currency ARR excluding Kepware and ThingWorx reached $2.341B, up 9% year-over-year; including Kepware and ThingWorx ARR was $2.5B, up 8.4% year-over-year.
Free Cash Flow and Cash Generation
Q1 free cash flow was $267M (included $10M of divestiture costs) and free cash flow and operating cash flow both grew 13% year-over-year; company reiterates expectation of ~ $1.0B free cash flow for fiscal 2026.
Share Repurchases and Capital Return
Repurchased $200M of common stock in Q1; plan to repurchase ~ $250M in Q2 and $150M–$250M per quarter in Q3–Q4; management expects to buy back approximately $1.1B–$1.3B of common stock in fiscal 2026 including ~ $365M net after-tax proceeds from the Kepware and ThingWorx divestiture.
Raised Revenue and EPS Guidance
Fiscal 2026 revenue guidance increased to $2.675B–$2.94B and non-GAAP EPS guidance raised to $6.69–$9.15, reflecting Q1 results above the prior guidance high end.
Record Deferred ARR and Demand Capture
Company reported record deferred ARR under contract and a record-setting Q1 for large deal volume and competitive displacements; management noted deferred ARR for Q4 is ~3x last year’s starting level and deferred ARR for 2027 is ~2x prior-year comparable.
Improving Sales Productivity and Go-to-Market Execution
Increased seller capacity and improved quota attainment; ramping reps more than doubled productivity year-over-year due to territory rebalancing, enablement, and vertical focus.
Product and AI Momentum
Multiple product releases and AI integrations: CodeBeamer 3.2 (Dec), CodeBeamer AI (Dec), Windchill UI update (Oct), Windchill AI parts rationalization (Jan); deeper integrations (Creo-Windchill, Windchill with CodeBeamer/ServiceMax/Onshape) and a common AI infrastructure underway.
Divestiture Progress and Balance Sheet Planning
Divestiture of Kepware and ThingWorx progressing on track to close on or before April 1; management expects net after-tax proceeds of ~ $365M and has outlined related cash outflows.
Negative Updates
ServiceMax Churn and Recovery Work
ServiceMax experienced residual churn that impacted recent quarters; management acknowledged remaining churn effects in Q1 and emphasized ongoing remediation efforts and the need for replication of recent green shoots.
Back-End Loaded ARR Recognition and Timing Risk
A large portion of booked demand is deferred ARR that management expects to begin converting meaningfully in Q4 2026 and ramp into 2027–2028, creating back-end loaded seasonality and timing risk around implementation schedules.
Q2 Net New ARR Compression and Seasonality
Q2 guidance implies lower sequential net new ARR (illustrative sequential net new ARR guidance for Q2 of $35M–$50M) and management expects growth to step up in Q3 and materially in Q4, indicating near-term ARR headwinds.
Divestiture-Related One-Time Costs and Cash Outflows
Q1 included $10M of divestiture costs (expected ~$5M in Q2) and management expects approximately $160M of total cash outflows related to the Kepware and ThingWorx transaction in fiscal 2026 that will not recur in future years.
Company Guidance
PTC guided fiscal 2026 constant‑currency ARR growth of roughly 7.5%–9.5% excluding Kepware and ThingWorx (7%–9% including them), with Q2 ARR growth expected ~8%–8.5% (ex) / ~7.5%–8% (incl.), an illustrative annual net‑new ARR midpoint of $195M and Q2 sequential net‑new ARR of $35M–$50M (Q1 ARR was $2.341B ex / $2.5B incl., up 9% and 8.4% YoY). Cash and P&L guidance: Q1 free cash flow was $267M (up 13% YoY, including $10M divestiture costs); Q2 FCF guidance is $310M–$315M (includes ~ $5M divestiture costs); fiscal‑year FCF is expected to be ~ $1.0B. They raised revenue guidance to $2.675B–$2.94B and non‑GAAP EPS to $6.69–$9.15. Share repurchases: $200M bought in Q1, ~$250M planned in Q2, $150M–$250M planned per quarter in Q3–Q4, and roughly $1.1B–$1.3B of buybacks expected for the year after ~ $365M net after‑tax proceeds from the Kepware/ThingWorx divestiture (target close on or before April 1); total transaction‑related cash outflows this year are expected to be ~ $160M (nonrecurring).

PTC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (very high gross margin ~84%, operating/EBITDA margins ~36%/~41%, and ~$0.89B TTM free cash flow). Growth is steady but moderate (TTM revenue ~4.4%). Balance-sheet leverage trends look improved, but the latest TTM balance-sheet data has internal inconsistencies (debt/equity fields), reducing confidence in the most recent snapshot.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show strong profitability with very high gross margin (~84%) and robust operating and EBITDA margins (~36% and ~41%), alongside a healthy net margin (~27%). Revenue growth is positive but moderate in the TTM period (~4.4%) and has generally trended in the mid-to-high single digits in prior years, suggesting solid but not hyper-growth. Overall, earnings quality looks strong, but the main weakness is the relatively modest top-line growth profile versus high profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Leverage appears manageable with debt-to-equity improving versus prior years (down to ~0.36 from ~0.60–0.81 historically), and returns on equity have strengthened (about ~19–21% in the most recent periods). Total assets are stable (~$6.4–$6.6B). Key risk: the TTM balance sheet fields show total debt and equity as 0 despite a non-zero debt-to-equity ratio, indicating data inconsistency in the most recent snapshot; this reduces confidence in the latest balance sheet detail, even though the annual data points to improving balance sheet risk.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and improving: operating cash flow is high (~$0.9B TTM) and free cash flow is nearly the same (~$0.89B TTM), indicating efficient conversion and limited cash leakage. Free cash flow growth is positive (TTM ~3.7%) and free cash flow is roughly in line with net income (~0.99x), supporting earnings quality. The main drawback is that operating cash flow is below net income (coverage ~0.70 in the latest periods), which can signal working-capital or timing headwinds even as free cash flow remains strong.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.86B2.74B2.30B2.10B1.93B1.81B
Gross Profit2.41B2.29B1.85B1.66B1.55B1.44B
EBITDA1.22B1.13B730.02M599.14M573.41M564.77M
Net Income818.28M734.00M376.33M245.54M313.08M476.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.43B6.62B6.38B6.29B4.69B4.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments210.34M184.41M265.81M288.10M272.18M326.53M
Total Debt1.54B1.37B1.93B1.89B1.54B1.65B
Total Liabilities2.58B2.79B3.17B3.61B2.39B2.47B
Stockholders Equity3.84B3.83B3.21B2.68B2.30B2.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow888.43M856.69M731.62M586.25M409.38M343.55M
Operating Cash Flow899.01M867.70M749.98M610.86M435.33M368.81M
Investing Cash Flow-42.22M-17.54M-124.81M-866.12M-201.20M-687.86M
Financing Cash Flow-849.01M-929.26M-650.73M268.31M-264.08M370.26M

PTC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price150.88
Price Trends
50DMA
165.87
Negative
100DMA
177.48
Negative
200DMA
184.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.49
Negative
RSI
40.10
Neutral
STOCH
40.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PTC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 150.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 156.19, below the 50-day MA of 165.87, and below the 200-day MA of 184.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PTC.

PTC Risk Analysis

PTC disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PTC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PTC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$18.27B22.4323.34%19.18%96.62%
72
Outperform
$13.92B44.968.90%10.62%31.43%
70
Outperform
$12.06B28.4516.78%20.82%41.82%
70
Outperform
$12.27B267.362.31%19.21%75.32%
65
Neutral
$10.89B121.526.57%22.80%198.93%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$7.92B-19.13-12.53%-8.23%48.57%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PTC
PTC
153.57
-9.15
-5.62%
GWRE
Guidewire
128.14
-71.42
-35.79%
TYL
Tyler Technologies
323.78
-292.05
-47.42%
HUBS
HubSpot
232.60
-487.50
-67.70%
TTD
Trade Desk
24.94
-50.04
-66.74%
U
Unity Software
18.29
-7.36
-28.69%

PTC Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
PTC Shareholders Approve Directors, Pay and Auditor Oversight
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

At its annual meeting of shareholders held on February 11, 2026, PTC shareholders voted on the election of eight directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, an advisory say‑on‑pay resolution, and the ratification of the company’s independent auditor for 2026. All eight director nominees received strong majority support, the executive compensation program was approved in an advisory vote, and shareholders confirmed PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as PTC’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2026, reinforcing continuity in the company’s governance and oversight structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (PTC) stock is a Hold with a $167.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PTC stock, see the PTC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
PTC Announces New CFO Appointment Effective January 2026
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

PTC Inc. announced the appointment of Jennifer DiRico as the new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective January 1, 2026. DiRico, who previously held leadership roles at Commvault Systems and Toast, Inc., will succeed Kristian Talvitie, whose departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. PTC also reaffirmed its financial guidance for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, amidst various risks and uncertainties that could impact its financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (PTC) stock is a Buy with a $197.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PTC stock, see the PTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026