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PTC (PTC)
NASDAQ:PTC

PTC (PTC) AI Stock Analysis

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PTC

PTC

(NASDAQ:PTC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$194.00
▲(10.66% Upside)
PTC's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are significant strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued. The strategic divestiture and board appointment are positive, but concerns about macroeconomic conditions and divestiture impacts slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for PTC's software solutions, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Strength
Strong cash flow generation supports future investments and shareholder returns, providing financial stability and growth potential.
Strategic Divestiture
The divestiture allows PTC to focus on its core Intelligent Product Lifecycle vision, potentially enhancing operational efficiency and strategic focus.
Negative Factors
Potential Disruption from Divestiture
The divestiture could lead to customer uncertainty and impact fiscal '26 performance, posing a risk to revenue stability and customer retention.
Macro Environment Concerns
Economic uncertainties could affect PTC's growth projections, impacting revenue and profitability if market conditions deteriorate.
Kepware and ThingWorx ARR Decline
Declining ARR for these segments indicates challenges in maintaining growth, which could affect overall revenue performance.

PTC (PTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PTC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPTC Inc. is a global technology company specializing in software solutions for product development, including computer-aided design (CAD), product lifecycle management (PLM), and Internet of Things (IoT) technologies. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Needham, Massachusetts, PTC serves various industries such as manufacturing, aerospace, automotive, and electronics, offering innovative tools that enhance product design, development, and service management.
How the Company Makes MoneyPTC generates revenue primarily through software licensing, subscription fees, and professional services. The company's key revenue streams include sales of its flagship products like Creo (CAD software), Windchill (PLM software), and ThingWorx (IoT platform). PTC offers both perpetual licenses and subscription-based models, allowing customers to choose according to their needs. Additionally, the company provides training and consulting services, which contribute to its earnings. Significant partnerships with companies in diverse industries further enhance PTC's market reach and drive sales, as they collaborate on integrated solutions that leverage PTC's technologies.

PTC Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Margin by Segment
Gross Margin by Segment
Analyzes profitability margins within each business segment, offering a clear view of operational efficiency and pricing power.
Chart InsightsPTC's License segment maintains a robust gross margin, recently peaking at 96%, reflecting strong pricing power and operational efficiency. The Support and Cloud Services segment shows stability but lacks significant margin expansion, while Professional Services experiences volatility, with recent negative margins indicating potential cost management issues. The earnings call highlights strong ARR growth and strategic partnerships, suggesting potential future margin improvements, especially with AI integration and market verticalization. However, challenges like trade uncertainties and ServiceMax churn could pose risks to sustaining these margins.
Data provided by:The Fly

PTC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call reflected a positive outlook due to strong financial performance in Q4, strategic divestiture plans, and confidence in future growth. However, there were concerns about the potential impact of the divestiture and macroeconomic conditions.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Performance
PTC delivered 8.5% constant currency ARR growth and 16% free cash flow growth year-over-year in Q4.
Strategic Divestiture
PTC announced the divestiture of its Kepware and ThingWorx businesses to TPG, expected to close in the first half of 2026, potentially yielding up to $725 million in cash consideration.
Record Deferred ARR
PTC ended the year with record deferred ARR under contract, providing strong visibility into fiscal '26 and beyond.
Significant Revenue Beat
Revenue exceeded the midpoint of guidance by $140 million, driven by a mix of large multiyear renewals and contracts.
Future Growth Confidence
PTC is on track to deliver $1 billion of free cash flow in fiscal '26 and expects ARR growth of 7% to 9%, with further alignment on Intelligent Product Lifecycle vision.
Negative Updates
Kepware and ThingWorx ARR Decline
ARR attributable to Kepware and ThingWorx was approximately $160 million, with a negative 1% constant currency ARR growth.
Potential Disruption from Divestiture
Concerns over possible customer disruption from the Kepware and ThingWorx divestiture impacting fiscal '26 performance.
Macro Environment Concerns
Guidance accounts for potential macroeconomic environment worsening, which could affect the low end of ARR growth.
Company Guidance
During PTC's 2025 Fourth Quarter Conference Call, CEO Neil Barua announced a definitive agreement to divest Kepware and ThingWorx to TPG, which will allow PTC to focus more intensively on its Intelligent Product Lifecycle vision. The company reported 8.5% constant currency ARR growth and a 16% increase in free cash flow year-over-year for Q4, driven by strategic deals in automotive and med tech verticals. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, PTC provided ARR guidance of 7% to 9% including Kepware and ThingWorx, and 7.5% to 9.5% excluding them. The company is also targeting $1 billion in free cash flow, bolstered by strong deferred ARR. Additionally, PTC plans to return $150 million to $250 million in excess cash to shareholders per quarter, starting with $200 million in Q1.

PTC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PTC demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, high profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The company's stable balance sheet and effective leverage management further enhance its financial health, positioning it well for future growth in the competitive software application industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
PTC has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 10.81% increase in the latest year, indicating robust demand for its software solutions. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 82.08% and a net profit margin of 27.05%, reflecting efficient cost management and strong pricing power. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 33.93% and 38.88%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
PTC's balance sheet shows a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 19.33%, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio of 57.82% highlights a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The company exhibits strong cash flow performance with a free cash flow growth rate of 28.8%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.99 suggest efficient conversion of earnings into cash, supporting future investments and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.74B2.74B2.30B2.10B1.93B1.81B
Gross Profit2.28B2.25B1.85B1.66B1.55B1.44B
EBITDA1.12B1.06B730.02M599.14M573.41M564.77M
Net Income741.03M741.03M376.33M245.54M313.08M476.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.62B6.62B6.38B6.29B4.69B4.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments184.41M184.41M265.81M288.10M272.18M326.53M
Total Debt1.37B1.37B1.93B1.89B1.54B1.65B
Total Liabilities2.79B2.79B3.17B3.61B2.39B2.47B
Stockholders Equity3.83B3.83B3.21B2.68B2.30B2.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow856.69M856.69M731.62M586.25M409.38M343.55M
Operating Cash Flow867.70M867.70M749.98M610.86M435.33M368.81M
Investing Cash Flow-17.54M-17.54M-124.81M-866.12M-201.20M-687.86M
Financing Cash Flow-929.26M-929.26M-650.73M268.31M-264.08M370.26M

PTC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price175.31
Price Trends
50DMA
185.25
Negative
100DMA
196.64
Negative
200DMA
181.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.18
Negative
RSI
45.65
Neutral
STOCH
38.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PTC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 175.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 174.68, below the 50-day MA of 185.25, and below the 200-day MA of 181.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PTC.

PTC Risk Analysis

PTC disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PTC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PTC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$20.82B28.5621.05%19.18%96.62%
70
Outperform
$17.72B42.4116.78%20.82%41.82%
66
Neutral
$19.37B62.849.17%10.62%31.43%
66
Neutral
$16.46B183.916.57%22.80%198.93%
65
Neutral
$19.07B-13.64%-8.23%48.57%
65
Neutral
$19.40B-5,576.69-0.20%19.21%75.32%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PTC
PTC
175.90
-11.23
-6.00%
GWRE
Guidewire
193.93
21.87
12.71%
TYL
Tyler Technologies
451.26
-142.34
-23.98%
HUBS
HubSpot
387.58
-314.87
-44.82%
TTD
Trade Desk
37.17
-89.06
-70.55%
U
Unity Software
44.54
22.28
100.09%

PTC Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
PTC Announces New CFO Appointment Effective January 2026
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

PTC Inc. announced the appointment of Jennifer DiRico as the new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective January 1, 2026. DiRico, who previously held leadership roles at Commvault Systems and Toast, Inc., will succeed Kristian Talvitie, whose departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. PTC also reaffirmed its financial guidance for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, amidst various risks and uncertainties that could impact its financial performance.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PTC Sells ThingWorx and Kepware for $600 Million
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, PTC Inc. entered into an Asset Purchase Agreement with Parrot US Buyer, L.P., an entity controlled by TPG Global, LLC, to sell its ThingWorx and Kepware businesses for $600 million in cash, with potential additional contingent consideration of up to $125 million. The agreement includes various conditions and adjustments related to working capital, indebtedness, and financial performance metrics, and is set to close by February 1, 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and other conditions. This transaction is part of PTC’s strategic efforts to streamline its portfolio, although it is not subject to shareholder approval or financing conditions, and includes indemnification agreements for certain liabilities post-closing.

Executive/Board Changes
PTC Appoints James Lico to Board of Directors
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, PTC Inc. announced the appointment of James Lico to its Board of Directors, effective October 13, 2025. Lico, who has extensive experience in leadership roles at Fortive Corporation and Danaher Corporation, will also serve on PTC’s Corporate Governance Committee. His compensation includes a prorated annual cash retainer and equity retainers, along with a one-time initial director grant of RSUs. This strategic appointment is likely to bolster PTC’s governance capabilities, given Lico’s significant industry experience and leadership background.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025