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Parsons (PSN)
NYSE:PSN

Parsons (PSN) AI Stock Analysis

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Parsons

(NYSE:PSN)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(10.41%Upside)
Parsons scores well due to its strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue growth and efficient cash management. The technical analysis indicates a moderate bullish sentiment, while valuation remains reasonable. Recent earnings and corporate events suggest a positive outlook, albeit with some challenges.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunities
Broader portfolio growth is supported by significant opportunities, with a robust pipeline of $12BB in unbooked backlog and $55BB in the pipeline.
Strategic Alignment
Parsons' alignment to U.S. and global spending priorities across global infrastructure mega projects, environmental services, and defense tech services is highlighted.
Negative Factors
Contract Uncertainty
The recent Department of State reorganization is expected to create additional uncertainty surrounding a classified contract for PSN.
Financial Performance
FY25 Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be lower than previously forecasted, indicating reduced financial expectations.

Parsons (PSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Parsons Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParsons Corporation provides integrated solutions and services in the defense, intelligence, and critical infrastructure markets in North America, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Federal Solutions and Critical Infrastructure. The company offers cyber security and intelligence services, as well as offensive and defensive cybersecurity platforms, tools, and operations to the U.S. Department of Defense and the United States intelligence community; space and geospatial solutions, such as geospatial intelligence, threat analytics, space situational awareness, small satellite launch and integration, satellite ground systems, fight dynamics, and command, and control solutions to the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, National Reconnaissance Office, and multiple units within the U.S. Department of Defense. It also provides missile defense and C5ISR solutions, such as integrated air and missile defense, data fusion and analytics, platform system integration, directed energy, joint all-domain operations, and command and control systems to Defense Intelligence Agency and the U.S. Department of Defense; technology services for energy production systems, aviation, healthcare and bio-surveillance systems, and environmental systems and associated infrastructure, as well as nuclear waste processing and treatment, weapons of mass destruction elimination, program and project management, infectious disease control analytics, and data protection solutions. In addition, the company offers intelligent transportation system management, aviation, rail and transit systems, smart cities software, and critical infrastructure cyber protection to the transportation authorities, rail, and transit entities; engineering services for infrastructure; and program management, and environmental solutions to private-sector industrial clients and public utilities. Parsons Corporation was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Centreville, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyParsons Corporation generates revenue through a combination of government contracts and commercial projects. A significant portion of its income comes from long-term contracts with U.S. federal, state, and local government agencies, particularly in defense, intelligence, and infrastructure sectors. These contracts often span multiple years, providing a steady revenue stream. Additionally, Parsons engages in partnerships and collaborations with other corporations and technology firms to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. The company also invests in developing proprietary technologies and software solutions, further contributing to its revenue through licensing and implementation services across various industries.

Parsons Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance with record financial metrics, robust backlog, and strategic alignment with significant defense budgets. However, challenges include the impact of a paused confidential contract and increased SG&A expenses. Despite these challenges, the strong growth in critical infrastructure and alignment with federal priorities suggest a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Results
Parsons achieved record first quarter results for total revenue, net income, earnings per share, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA margin.
Strong Backlog and Book-to-Bill Ratio
Total backlog and funded backlog are at all-time highs, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times, supported by 1.4 times in the Critical Infrastructure segment.
Critical Infrastructure Segment Growth
The segment saw a 14% revenue increase, driven by 8% organic growth and acquisitions, with adjusted EBITDA margin reaching 10.3%, a company record.
Federal Solutions Segment Alignment
The segment aligns with major budget areas, including a potential $1 trillion defense budget in fiscal year 2026, and saw 8% revenue growth excluding the confidential contract.
High Employee Retention
Achieved the best employee retention rates since 2020, which supports the company's ability to execute projects effectively.
Negative Updates
Confidential Contract Impact
The confidential federal contract is operating at a reduced volume due to a presidential executive order, affecting revenue growth.
Federal Solutions Margin Decline
Federal Solutions adjusted EBITDA margin decreased 120 basis points to 9%, primarily due to contract mix.
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses increased 10% year-over-year, driven by recent acquisitions and were 15.7% of total revenue compared to 14.4% in the prior year period.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Parsons reiterated its guidance metrics, anticipating total revenue between $7.0 billion and $7.5 billion, reflecting a 7% growth at the midpoint and 5% organic growth. Excluding the confidential contract, the company projects total revenue growth of 18% and organic growth of 15%. Record financial results were achieved, with total revenue reaching $1.6 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA margins at 9.6%. The company reported a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times and a total backlog of $9.1 billion, with a funded backlog at an all-time high of 69%. Additionally, Parsons highlighted a strong pipeline of $55 billion and over $12 billion in contract wins yet to be booked.

Parsons Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Parsons displays robust financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and solid cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable, although there is room for improving asset utilization. Overall, the company's financial metrics indicate a well-positioned status in its industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Parsons has demonstrated a strong income statement with robust revenue growth, particularly noticeable in the transition from 2023 to TTM 2025. The gross profit margin has notably increased, suggesting improved efficiency. Both EBIT and net profit margins show solid performance, indicative of effective cost management and operational efficiency. The TTM data reflects a net profit margin of 6.03%, highlighting profitability strength.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 in TTM, indicating balanced leverage. The equity ratio stands at 45.05%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity improved to 16.65% in TTM, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits, although there is room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Parsons shows strong cash flow generation, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.41 in TTM, indicating solid cash conversion. Free cash flow has grown steadily, with a notable increase from 2024 to TTM, enhancing financial flexibility. The company maintains a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.28, showcasing efficient cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.77B6.75B5.44B4.20B3.66B3.92B
Gross Profit
1.44B1.41B1.21B946.72M852.82M876.86M
EBIT
435.45M428.07M288.36M185.67M132.45M177.81M
EBITDA
745.71M518.48M415.52M309.91M274.49M310.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
408.61M235.05M161.15M96.66M88.95M98.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
269.75M453.55M272.94M262.54M342.61M483.61M
Total Assets
5.45B5.49B4.80B4.20B3.83B3.94B
Total Debt
1.38B1.42B927.15M914.17M796.72M826.60M
Net Debt
1.11B967.50M654.21M651.63M454.11M342.99M
Total Liabilities
2.90B2.95B2.43B2.10B1.89B2.08B
Stockholders Equity
2.45B2.42B2.29B2.04B1.90B1.81B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
521.99M474.39M367.30M206.93M184.47M255.13M
Operating Cash Flow
575.24M523.61M407.70M237.53M205.57M289.16M
Investing Cash Flow
-572.88M-556.72M-375.97M-417.47M-240.91M-346.37M
Financing Cash Flow
-151.62M218.75M-21.87M100.37M-106.50M348.23M

Parsons Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price69.74
Price Trends
50DMA
65.66
Positive
100DMA
66.30
Positive
200DMA
83.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.20
Negative
RSI
58.83
Neutral
STOCH
91.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 69.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.87, above the 50-day MA of 65.66, and below the 200-day MA of 83.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PSN.

Parsons Risk Analysis

Parsons disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Parsons reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Parsons Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.50B36.7015.24%10.78%30.05%
PSPSN
77
Outperform
$7.52B18.8717.75%16.61%1279.09%
73
Outperform
$7.85B17.9712.33%-2.56%11.51%
FLFLS
72
Outperform
$6.19B22.1814.00%1.77%4.23%20.40%
RRRRX
72
Outperform
$9.40B39.233.69%0.99%-10.19%
67
Neutral
$7.59B21.7214.29%8.07%58.67%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSN
Parsons
69.74
-7.08
-9.22%
FLS
Flowserve
46.46
0.11
0.24%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
124.72
-11.19
-8.23%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
137.69
-0.51
-0.37%
SPXC
SPX
154.45
16.31
11.81%
MIDD
The Middleby
141.19
16.10
12.87%

Parsons Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Parsons Secures New $1.2 Billion Financing Package
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Parsons has refinanced its existing term loan and revolving credit facility, originally maturing in October 2025 and June 2026, respectively. On June 5, 2025, the company secured a $450 million unsecured term loan and a $750 million unsecured revolving credit facility. These financial moves are aimed at enhancing the company’s liquidity for general working capital, capital expenditures, and other corporate purposes. The refinancing replaces previous agreements and provides Parsons with flexible borrowing options, potentially impacting its financial stability and operational capacity positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSN) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Parsons stock, see the PSN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parsons Adjusts 2025 Financial Guidance Amid Contract Changes
Negative
Jun 2, 2025

Parsons has announced adjustments to its 2025 financial guidance due to uncertainties stemming from a Department of State reorganization impacting a confidential contract. The company has removed the anticipated financial effects of this contract from its guidance for any period after June 2025, resulting in a reduction of its total revenue forecast and cash flow from operating activities, while maintaining a stable adjusted EBITDA margin.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSN) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Parsons stock, see the PSN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.