tiprankstipranks
Persimmon (PSMMY)
OTHER OTC:PSMMY
Want to see PSMMY full AI Analyst Report?

Persimmon (PSMMY) AI Stock Analysis

39 Followers

Top Page

PSMMY

Persimmon

(OTC:PSMMY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▼(-12.87% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:03/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial flexibility from an extremely low-leverage balance sheet, tempered by weak cash conversion/negative free cash flow in 2025 and lower margins versus prior years. Technically, the stock shows a bearish trend with negative momentum despite oversold readings, while valuation is supported by a mid-teens P/E and a ~4.37% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / strong balance sheet
Persistently extremely low leverage and a large equity base give Persimmon durable financial flexibility in the cyclical U.K. housing market. This supports capacity to fund land purchases, withstand downturns, maintain investment programs and preserve strategic optionality without urgent refinancing.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation / negative FCF
Material weakening of operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in 2025 signal poorer cash conversion and working-capital pressure. Over the medium term this constrains self-funded land acquisition, site investment and dividend sustainability unless cash conversion normalises or external funding is tapped.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very low leverage / strong balance sheet
Persistently extremely low leverage and a large equity base give Persimmon durable financial flexibility in the cyclical U.K. housing market. This supports capacity to fund land purchases, withstand downturns, maintain investment programs and preserve strategic optionality without urgent refinancing.
Read all positive factors

Persimmon (PSMMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Persimmon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Persimmon Plc operates as a prominent residential property developer throughout the United Kingdom, inclusive of its subsidiary companies. The firm offers a varied portfolio of housing, encompassing family residences marketed under the Persimmon H...
How the Company Makes Money
Persimmon makes money primarily by building and selling newly constructed homes in the U.K. Its main revenue stream is proceeds from the sale of completed residential properties, where profitability is driven by (1) the selling price achieved on e...

Persimmon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strength is the very conservative balance sheet (extremely low leverage), supporting resilience in a cyclical industry. Offsetting this, profitability has compressed sharply versus 2020–2022 and cash flow quality is a key concern, with 2025 operating cash flow weak versus net income and free cash flow turning negative.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.67B3.20B2.77B3.82B3.61B
Gross Profit564.06M580.40M795.10M867.50M1.08B
EBITDA427.62M400.40M368.80M738.20M973.50M
Net Income279.44M267.10M255.40M561.00M787.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.31B4.83B4.79B5.03B4.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments116.79M258.60M420.10M861.60M1.25B
Total Debt16.77M14.50M188.40M498.00M436.90M
Total Liabilities1.70B1.33B1.37B1.59B1.17B
Stockholders Equity3.61B3.51B3.42B3.44B3.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.74M52.60M-166.20M371.80M763.90M
Operating Cash Flow27.97M84.90M-129.80M402.30M784.80M
Investing Cash Flow26.21M-45.00M-42.90M-29.80M-18.20M
Financing Cash Flow-192.68M-201.40M-268.80M-757.50M-754.10M

Persimmon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.43
Price Trends
50DMA
29.51
Negative
100DMA
33.32
Negative
200DMA
32.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
45.05
Neutral
STOCH
25.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSMMY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.00, above the 50-day MA of 29.51, and above the 200-day MA of 32.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSMMY.

Persimmon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.33B22.9017.55%11.36%15.51%
73
Outperform
$4.13B20.5413.10%7.26%6.61%
70
Outperform
$3.47B9.8011.42%-1.83%-30.18%
68
Neutral
$4.55B11.927.40%2.62%-10.63%-45.01%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$4.46B11.698.05%4.17%21.05%10.49%
61
Neutral
$3.22B9.149.01%1.76%-13.61%-37.18%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSMMY
Persimmon
27.80
-6.02
-17.81%
CVCO
Cavco Industries
562.96
137.73
32.39%
KBH
KB Home
51.42
-0.61
-1.17%
MHO
M/I Homes
135.53
26.66
24.49%
MTH
Meritage
68.24
4.63
7.29%
SKY
Champion Homes
75.20
10.15
15.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026