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Paramount Skydance (PSKY)
NASDAQ:PSKY

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) AI Stock Analysis

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PSKY

Paramount Skydance

(NASDAQ:PSKY)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▼(-0.22% Downside)
Paramount Skydance's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and valuation, with bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call provides some positive outlook with subscriber growth and strategic investments, these are balanced by profitability issues and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Subscriber Growth
Strong subscriber growth in Paramount+ indicates increasing consumer demand and strengthens its position in the competitive streaming market, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with major sports entities like UFC enhance content offerings, attracting diverse audiences and bolstering Paramount's competitive edge in the streaming industry.
Efficiency Improvements
Raising efficiency targets reflects a commitment to operational improvements, which can enhance profitability and free cash flow generation over the long term.
Negative Factors
Stagnant Revenue Growth
Stagnant revenue growth suggests challenges in expanding market share and increasing sales, potentially impacting long-term financial performance and competitiveness.
Negative Profit Margins
Negative profit margins indicate difficulty in achieving profitability, which can hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect financial stability.
Content Write-downs
Content write-downs reflect challenges in content valuation and financial planning, potentially leading to reduced investor confidence and financial strain.

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Paramount Skydance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParamount Skydance (PSKY) is a dynamic entertainment company that operates at the intersection of film production, television, and digital content creation. It focuses on producing high-quality, engaging narratives across various genres, leveraging advanced technologies to enhance storytelling. PSKY is known for its strategic collaborations with leading talent and studios, fostering a creative environment that attracts top-tier filmmakers and artists. The company is committed to delivering compelling content that resonates with global audiences while exploring innovative distribution methods in a rapidly evolving entertainment landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyParamount Skydance generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the production and distribution of films and television shows. The company earns money by licensing its content to streaming platforms, television networks, and international distributors. Additionally, PSKY engages in merchandising and branding opportunities related to its popular franchises and characters. Revenue is further bolstered by partnerships with major studios, investors, and co-production deals that allow for shared financial risk and expanded market reach. The firm also explores digital content monetization, including advertising revenue from online platforms, enhancing its earnings potential in the digital space.

Paramount Skydance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Paramount is making significant strides in subscriber growth and operational efficiencies, with ambitious investments in content and strategic partnerships like UFC. However, the company faces challenges with cable network declines, content write-downs, and adjusted financial targets. While the progress is notable, the financial adjustments and market challenges balance the overall outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Paramount+ Subscriber Growth
Paramount+ added 1.4 million new subscribers in Q3 2025 for a total of 79 million, achieving the largest U.S. subscription growth among all major streamers since 2023.
Increased Efficiency Targets
Paramount increased its run rate efficiency target from $2 billion to at least $3 billion, aiming to drive long-term free cash flow generation.
Investment in Content and Technology
Paramount plans to make incremental programming investments in excess of $1.5 billion across theatrical and direct-to-consumer platforms, and is converging its three streaming services onto one unified platform to improve user experience.
UFC and Zuffa Boxing Partnership
Paramount secured a major partnership with TKO, Dana White, and UFC, positioning Paramount+ as a home for combat sports in the U.S., Latin America, and Australia.
Negative Updates
Cable Network Challenges
Cable networks continue to decline with accelerating rates, emphasizing the shift towards streaming as a replacement for the multichannel cable environment.
Content Write-downs
Significant content write-downs were necessary as part of the transaction review, impacting financial expectations for the near term.
Delayed Financial Targets
Original financial projections have been adjusted, with 2026 adjusted OIBDA guidance reduced from $4.1 billion to $3.5 billion due to increased content investments and extended timelines in achieving efficiencies.
Company Guidance
During Paramount's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for 2026, projecting total revenue of $30 billion, driven by strong growth in direct-to-consumer (D2C) revenue and global profitability. The company also expects adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization (OIBDA) to reach $3.5 billion. Paramount increased its run rate efficiency target from $2 billion to at least $3 billion. In terms of content investment, Paramount plans to allocate over $1.5 billion incrementally across both theatrical and D2C platforms. The company aims to grow its theatrical output to at least 15 movies per year starting in 2026 and highlighted that Paramount+ added 1.4 million new subscribers in Q3 2025, reaching a total of 79 million. Furthermore, the company is focused on achieving investment-grade metrics by 2027, emphasizing a strategic push to improve free cash flow generation and leverage ratios.

Paramount Skydance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Paramount Skydance's financial statements reflect a company facing profitability and growth challenges. While there are signs of operational improvements, such as better EBIT and EBITDA margins, the negative net profit margin and stagnant revenue growth are concerning. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage and stable asset management, but the negative return on equity highlights profitability issues. Cash flow management is adequate, but the company needs to enhance cash generation to support growth and profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Paramount Skydance's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data reveals a stagnant revenue growth rate, indicating challenges in expanding sales. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, reflecting increased cost pressures. The net profit margin is negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues. However, there is a slight improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins in the TTM period compared to the previous year, suggesting some operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved slightly in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative, pointing to challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Overall, the company shows some stability but faces profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a stable but not strong cash position. The free cash flow growth rate is stagnant in the TTM period, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy, suggesting some efficiency in converting profits into cash. Overall, cash flow management appears adequate but not robust.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.73B29.21B29.65B30.15B28.59B25.29B
Gross Profit8.84B8.27B7.26B9.90B10.45B9.90B
EBITDA1.64B-4.92B85.00M2.60B19.93B15.62B
Net Income-272.00M-6.19B-1.04B1.10B4.54B2.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.18B46.17B53.54B58.39B58.62B52.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.26B2.66B2.46B2.88B6.27B2.98B
Total Debt14.73B15.83B16.12B17.57B19.63B21.62B
Total Liabilities29.91B29.39B30.49B34.79B35.65B36.41B
Stockholders Equity12.01B16.32B22.53B23.04B22.40B15.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow308.00M489.00M147.00M-139.00M599.00M1.97B
Operating Cash Flow600.00M752.00M475.00M219.00M953.00M2.29B
Investing Cash Flow-61.00M-115.00M849.00M-744.00M2.16B56.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.12B-380.00M-1.75B-2.76B83.00M-90.00M

Paramount Skydance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.53
Price Trends
50DMA
15.28
Negative
100DMA
15.61
Negative
200DMA
13.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Positive
RSI
41.00
Neutral
STOCH
22.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSKY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.34, below the 50-day MA of 15.28, and below the 200-day MA of 13.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSKY.

Paramount Skydance Risk Analysis

Paramount Skydance disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Paramount Skydance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Paramount Skydance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$30.55B16.5917.33%0.75%14.91%9.30%
75
Outperform
$200.63B16.5311.78%1.10%3.61%152.34%
73
Outperform
$426.01B39.0642.86%15.49%35.54%
68
Neutral
$71.25B155.381.36%-4.29%
64
Neutral
$15.64B43.1861.97%2.47%4.37%-16.22%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
49
Neutral
$15.02B-51.86-1.90%1.47%-0.48%97.09%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSKY
Paramount Skydance
13.53
3.25
31.61%
DIS
Walt Disney
113.22
1.90
1.71%
NFLX
Netflix
93.50
1.09
1.18%
FOXA
Fox
73.71
24.35
49.33%
WMG
Warner Music Group
29.95
-0.70
-2.28%
WBD
Warner Bros
29.15
18.53
174.48%

Paramount Skydance Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Paramount Skydance extends enhanced cash offer for WBD
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Paramount Skydance Corporation amended and extended its previously announced $30-per-share all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc., directly challenging WBD’s agreement to pursue a separate transaction with Netflix. To address concerns raised by WBD over financing and deal certainty, Paramount added an irrevocable personal guarantee from Larry Ellison for $40.4 billion of equity financing and potential damages, committed not to revoke or strip assets from the long-standing Ellison family trust, disclosed the trust’s ownership of roughly 1.16 billion Oracle shares, enhanced operational flexibility for WBD in a proposed merger agreement, increased its regulatory reverse termination fee to $5.8 billion and maintained conditions including WBD’s continued ownership of its Global Networks business. Paramount criticized WBD’s disclosures around the Netflix deal as incomplete, argued its fully financed cash bid remains superior for WBD shareholders and stakeholders, and extended the tender offer’s expiration to January 21, 2026, with 397,252 shares reported as validly tendered as of December 19, 2025.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Paramount Skydance Announces Tender Offer for Warner Bros.
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Paramount Skydance Corporation announced an all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. for $30 per share. This proposal is positioned as a superior alternative to a competing offer from Netflix, which Paramount argues provides inferior value and involves a complex regulatory process. Paramount’s offer is supported by significant financial backing and aims to create a combined entity that enhances competition, supports creative talent, and strengthens the theatrical and direct-to-consumer markets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 23, 2025