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Paramount Skydance (PSKY)
NASDAQ:PSKY

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) AI Stock Analysis

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PSKY

Paramount Skydance

(NASDAQ:PSKY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(25.22% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability trends and elevated balance-sheet risk despite positive free cash flow. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call conveyed improving DTC momentum and reaffirmed guidance, while technicals and valuation remain mixed due to negative earnings and only modest yield.
Positive Factors
DTC streaming momentum
Sustained direct‑to‑consumer growth signals an expanding recurring‑revenue base and stronger customer engagement. Over 17% P+ YTD growth and 10% DTC YoY indicates the company can scale subscription and ad revenue, improving long‑term margin prospects as fixed content costs spread across more subscribers.
Improving free cash flow generation
Positive and improving free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility to fund content investments, service debt, and execute strategic initiatives. Even with accounting losses, stronger FCF reduces reliance on external financing and supports de‑risking the business over the medium term.
Material scale and synergy potential from WBD deal
Acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery transforms content depth, distribution reach and technology scale. ~$6B+ in targeted synergies and combined IP libraries create durable competitive advantages, enabling cost rationalization and monetization across streaming, theatrical and global licensing over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Deep and widening profitability losses
Sizable negative margins and persistent operating losses weaken return generation and limit internal reinvestment. Continued losses increase the risk that content economics and restructuring must materially improve to restore sustainable operating profitability and long‑term shareholder returns.
Elevated leverage and large deal financing
Rising leverage and sizable transaction debt materially reduce financial flexibility and increase refinancing and rating risk. Higher interest and covenant pressure constrains capital available for content, marketing and integration, making operational improvement and synergy delivery critical to long‑term stability.
Pluto monetization headwinds
Engagement without monetization highlights structural ad and packaging limits for free/FAST businesses. A 16% decline in Pluto revenue signals that improving MAUs alone may not translate to sustainable ad income, requiring platform product changes and pricing/partner shifts to restore durable cash generation.

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Paramount Skydance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParamount Skydance Corporation operates as a media, streaming, and entertainment company worldwide. It operates through TV Media, Direct-to-Consumer, and Filmed Entertainment segments. The TV Media segment operates CBS Television Network, a domestic broadcast television network; CBS Stations, a television station; and international free-to-air networks comprising Network 10, Channel 5, Telefe, and Chilevisión; and domestic premium and basic cable networks, such as Nickelodeon, MTV, CMT, Comedy Central, BET, Paramount+ with SHOWTIME, Paramount Network, The Smithsonian Channel, BET Media Group, CBS Sports Network, and international extensions of these brands. This segment also provides domestic and international television studio operations, including CBS Studios, Paramount Television Studios, and Showtime/MTV Entertainment Studios; CBS Media Ventures, which produces and distributes first run syndicated programming; and digital properties consist of CBS News Streaming and CBS Sports HQ. The Direct-to-Consumer segment offers a portfolio of domestic and international pay and free streaming services, including Paramount+, Pluto TV, and BET+. The Filmed Entertainment segment produces and acquires films, series, and short-form content for release and licensing around the world, including in theaters, on streaming services, on television, through digital home entertainment, and DVDs/Blu-rays; and operates a portfolio consist of Paramount Pictures, Paramount Players, Paramount Animation, Nickelodeon Studio, Awesomeness, and Miramax. It provides production, distribution, and advertising solutions. The company was formerly known as ViacomCBS Inc. and changed its name to Paramount Global in February 2022. The company was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Paramount Global is a subsidiary of National Amusements, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyParamount Skydance generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the production and distribution of films and television shows. The company earns money by licensing its content to streaming platforms, television networks, and international distributors. Additionally, PSKY engages in merchandising and branding opportunities related to its popular franchises and characters. Revenue is further bolstered by partnerships with major studios, investors, and co-production deals that allow for shared financial risk and expanded market reach. The firm also explores digital content monetization, including advertising revenue from online platforms, enhancing its earnings potential in the digital space.

Paramount Skydance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call emphasized positive operational momentum: accelerating streaming growth (Paramount+ up ~17% YTD), a very strong initial UFC launch (7 million households), expanded content investment (+$1.5B) and an enlarged film slate (16 vs 8 films). Management reaffirmed guidance ($30B revenue, +4% YoY) and an adjusted EBIT target of $3.8B while outlining a path to improved DTC profitability, $3B+ in synergies and a plan to achieve investment‑grade metrics by 2027. The primary near‑term risks are Pluto’s monetization decline (non‑Paramount+ down 16% in Q4), expected theatrical revenue headwinds in 2026 due to tough comps, modest free‑cash‑flow conversion (~5% excluding restructuring) and $800M of restructuring charges. On balance, the highlights and forward plans materially outweigh the near‑term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Streaming Growth and Paramount+ Momentum
Paramount+ streaming growth reported up over 17% year‑to‑date; DTC (direct‑to‑consumer) segment grew 10% year‑over‑year in Q4. Management expects DTC to accelerate in 2026 and to be the primary revenue growth driver.
UFC Launch Success
UFC 324 reached approximately 7 million households across the U.S. and Latin America, marking the platform's largest exclusive live event to date; advertising demand was strong and above expectations, helping engagement across other content.
Company Guidance and Profitability Targets
Reaffirmed full‑year revenue guidance of $30 billion, up ~4% year‑over‑year, and an adjusted EBIT outlook of $3.8 billion (excludes $300M of stock‑based compensation). Management expects DTC profitability to improve year‑on‑year.
Content Slate Expansion and Investment
Content investment increased by $1.5 billion; studio release cadence scaled from 8 films to 16 films this year (a 100% increase in planned releases). Management greenlit 11 films and 11 original series in the ~6 months since the new leadership arrived.
Synergy and Cost Management Targets
Company expects to realize $3 billion+ of synergies across the business and cited improved cost management and licensing benefits that should help studio profitability even as theatrical revenue transitions.
Pluto Engagement and Product Convergence
Pluto FAST platform engagement and monthly active users are up; management is consolidating multiple tech stacks into a converged platform and expects product improvements to drive improved monetization over time.
Balance Sheet / Credit Path
Management reiterated commitment to reach investment‑grade credit metrics by 2027 and noted proactive debt actions (over $300M of debt repaid in the first quarter) and planning toward improved free cash flow conversion.
IP and Marketing Flywheel Activation
Company highlighted cross‑ecosystem activations (Paramount One) and examples like Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and UFC that leverage film, TV, streaming, consumer products and linear to drive reach and monetization.
Negative Updates
Pluto Monetization Headwinds
Non‑Paramount+ (primarily Pluto) revenue declined 16% year‑over‑year in Q4 despite rising engagement; management acknowledged a monetization shortfall and outlined remediation plans but near‑term revenue pressure exists.
Theatrical Revenue Decline in 2026
Management expects theatrical revenue to decline in 2026 due to a difficult compare (notably Mission: Impossible in the prior year), even though studio licensing and integration of Skydance are expected to drive overall studio revenue growth.
Free Cash Flow and Restructuring Impact
Reported free cash flow conversion is low — roughly 5% this year after excluding restructuring charges; the company disclosed $800M of restructuring charges which weigh on near‑term cash flow.
Inherited Underperforming Film Slate
Executives acknowledged inheriting an underperforming studio slate and noted that while profitability should improve, many benefits from reinvigorated franchises will materialize in 2027 and later due to multi‑year production cycles.
TV Media Revenue Pressure
TV Media revenue is expected to face declines consistent with industry pay‑TV headwinds (partly offset by more moderate ad declines and political spending tailwinds in 2026); the sale of Telefe/Chilevisión also reduces revenue.
Subscriber Reporting Noise from Bundle Exits
Company is exiting uneconomic hard bundles (less than 2% of Paramount+ revenue in 2025) which will distort subscriber growth metrics in the near term even though management expects healthier underlying net adds.
Company Guidance
Paramount reaffirmed FY guidance calling for about $30.0 billion of revenue (roughly +4% YoY) and adjusted EBIT of $3.8 billion (excludes ~$300 million of stock‑based comp), and said it expects to realize >$3.0 billion of synergies; management flagged DTC as the growth driver with DTC growth accelerating in 2026 (Paramount+ up >17% year‑to‑date, DTC grew ~10% YoY in Q4 with Paramount+ +17% and non‑Paramount+ −16%), underlying subscriber net adds improving, Q1 price increases taking effect, DTC ad revenue recovering, and a decision to exit uneconomic hard bundles that were <2% of P+ revenue in 2025; they increased content spend by $1.5 billion, plan to release 16 films this year versus 8 previously and have greenlit ~11 films and 11 series since the leadership change, and noted financial actions including >$300 million of debt paydown in Q1, ~$800 million of restructuring charges (excluded from FCF), ~5% free cash flow conversion this year excluding restructuring, and a commitment to achieve investment‑grade credit metrics by 2027.

Paramount Skydance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the income statement has deteriorated sharply into sizable losses with deeply negative margins (key weakness), while cash flow is a relative bright spot with positive and improving free cash flow. Balance sheet risk is elevated due to rising leverage and declining equity, despite some debt reduction in 2025.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Revenue has been largely flat over 2023–2025, with a sharp rebound in 2025 revenue growth, but profitability has deteriorated materially. After positive earnings in 2020–2022, the company shifted to sizable losses in 2023 and worsened further in 2024–2025, with net margins deeply negative. Gross margin improved in 2025 versus 2023–2024, but operating performance is the core issue—losses at the operating line and negative EBITDA indicate cost structure and/or impairment/restructuring pressure overwhelming the revenue base.
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Leverage is meaningful and has risen: debt-to-equity moved from ~0.72 (2023) to ~0.97 (2024) and ~1.23 (2025), which reduces flexibility during a loss cycle. Equity has also trended down meaningfully since 2023, consistent with earnings pressure. Total debt declined in 2025 versus 2024, which is a positive step, but returns on equity turned strongly negative as losses scaled, leaving the balance sheet more exposed if weak profitability persists.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive in 2023–2025, and free cash flow improved sharply in 2025 versus prior years. That said, operating cash flow is modest relative to the size of the business and debt load, and cash flow coverage of obligations appears thin based on the low operating cash flow coverage ratio each year. Free cash flow remains positive despite net losses, which helps near-term liquidity, but also suggests earnings quality concerns given the large accounting losses alongside positive cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.21B29.21B29.65B30.15B28.59B
Gross Profit9.78B8.27B7.26B9.90B10.45B
EBITDA-4.92B-4.92B85.00M2.60B19.93B
Net Income-6.19B-6.19B-1.04B1.10B4.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.34B46.17B53.54B58.39B58.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.27B2.66B2.46B2.88B6.27B
Total Debt14.38B15.83B16.12B17.57B19.63B
Total Liabilities30.45B29.39B30.49B34.79B35.65B
Stockholders Equity11.69B16.32B22.53B23.04B22.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow489.00M489.00M147.00M-139.00M599.00M
Operating Cash Flow752.00M752.00M475.00M219.00M953.00M
Investing Cash Flow12.00M-115.00M849.00M-744.00M2.16B
Financing Cash Flow-507.00M-380.00M-1.75B-2.76B83.00M

Paramount Skydance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.18
Price Trends
50DMA
11.88
Negative
100DMA
13.91
Negative
200DMA
13.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Negative
RSI
50.82
Neutral
STOCH
36.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSKY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.76, below the 50-day MA of 11.88, and below the 200-day MA of 13.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PSKY.

Paramount Skydance Risk Analysis

Paramount Skydance disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Paramount Skydance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Paramount Skydance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$406.34B38.0842.76%15.49%35.54%
69
Neutral
$187.85B15.6211.65%1.10%3.61%152.34%
68
Neutral
$22.93B13.5616.87%0.75%14.91%9.30%
62
Neutral
$69.86B98.151.36%-4.29%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$14.94B49.4447.75%2.47%4.37%-16.22%
54
Neutral
$14.91B-30.48-4.43%1.48%-0.48%97.09%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSKY
Paramount Skydance
13.51
2.32
20.73%
DIS
Walt Disney
106.04
-6.52
-5.79%
NFLX
Netflix
96.24
-1.82
-1.85%
FOXA
Fox
56.34
-0.72
-1.26%
WMG
Warner Music Group
28.60
-4.25
-12.93%
WBD
Warner Bros
28.17
16.71
145.81%

Paramount Skydance Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Paramount Skydance Clears U.S. Hurdle in WBD Deal
Positive
Feb 20, 2026

On February 19, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation cleared a key U.S. regulatory hurdle for its proposed all-cash acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc., as the 10-day Hart-Scott-Rodino waiting period expired without objection, removing any statutory impediment in the U.S. to closing the deal. The transaction, which also received German foreign investment clearance on January 27, 2026, still requires a definitive merger agreement with WBD, shareholder approvals, and additional regulatory clearances in other jurisdictions, and its completion would significantly reshape the competitive landscape in global media and entertainment if finalized.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSKY) stock is a Sell with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paramount Skydance stock, see the PSKY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Paramount Skydance Sweetens Tender Offer for Warner Bros.
Positive
Feb 10, 2026

On February 10, 2026, Paramount Skydance amended its $30-per-share all-cash tender offer to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, adding a $0.25-per-share quarterly ticking fee after December 31, 2026 and committing to fund WBD’s $2.8 billion termination fee owed to Netflix. Paramount argues its proposal offers superior and more certain value than Netflix’s variable cash-and-equity structure, while providing regulatory clarity and support for WBD’s complex debt obligations.

The revised bid includes backstopping a $1.5 billion debt exchange, potential refinancing of WBD’s $15 billion bridge loan, and fully financed commitments totaling $97.6 billion in equity and debt, underpinned by a personal guarantee from Larry Ellison. Paramount has also advanced regulatory approvals, certifying compliance with a U.S. Department of Justice second request on February 9, 2026 and securing German foreign investment clearance in January, while urging WBD’s board and shareholders to reject the Netflix deal and engage with its offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSKY) stock is a Sell with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paramount Skydance stock, see the PSKY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Paramount Skydance Extends Tender Offer in WBD Battle
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation announced it had filed preliminary proxy materials with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to lobby Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders to vote against Warner Bros. Discovery’s amended merger agreement with Netflix, and extended its $30 per share all-cash tender offer for Warner Bros. Discovery’s Series A common stock to February 20, 2026, valuing the target at an enterprise value of $108.4 billion versus the $82.7 billion enterprise value ascribed to the Netflix deal. Paramount argued that the consideration WBD investors would receive under the Netflix transaction is materially lower and more uncertain than its cash proposal, particularly given leverage assumptions for the carved-out Discovery Global business, and criticized the WBD board for withholding detailed information on Discovery Global’s capital structure while seeking shareholder approval. The company also highlighted what it described as substantial regulatory risks to the Netflix combination, especially in Europe where Netflix already dominates streaming, contending that a WBD–Netflix tie-up would deepen market concentration and harm consumers and content creators, whereas a Paramount–WBD combination would be more pro‑competitive; Paramount reported that roughly 168.5 million WBD shares had been validly tendered as of late January 21, 2026, underlining the intensity of the contest for control and the potential for a realignment of power among major U.S. entertainment and streaming players.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSKY) stock is a Sell with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paramount Skydance stock, see the PSKY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Paramount Skydance appoints new CFO and board director
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 13–15, 2026, Paramount, a Skydance Corporation, reshaped its senior leadership and board by appointing Dennis K. Cinelli as Chief Financial Officer and adding seasoned operator Andrew Campion as an independent director. Cinelli, who previously led finance and mobility businesses at Uber and served as CFO of Scale AI, stepped down from the Paramount Skydance board to assume the CFO role, succeeding interim finance chief Andrew C. Warren, who will remain with the company as a strategic advisor. Cinelli’s five-year employment agreement includes a multimillion-dollar base salary, bonus opportunity, substantial time-vested restricted stock awards in Class B common stock, relocation support, and robust severance protections designed to secure continuity in the finance function and align his incentives with shareholders. Campion, designated as a director nominee by Chairman and CEO David Ellison and currently Chairman and CEO of Unrivaled Sports, joins the board and Audit Committee with an equity-based director compensation package, bringing extensive finance, strategy, and operational expertise from senior roles at Nike and The Walt Disney Company as Paramount seeks to drive growth and innovation across its global media and direct-to-consumer platforms.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSKY) stock is a Sell with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paramount Skydance stock, see the PSKY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Paramount Skydance extends enhanced cash offer for WBD
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Paramount Skydance Corporation amended and extended its previously announced $30-per-share all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc., directly challenging WBD’s agreement to pursue a separate transaction with Netflix. To address concerns raised by WBD over financing and deal certainty, Paramount added an irrevocable personal guarantee from Larry Ellison for $40.4 billion of equity financing and potential damages, committed not to revoke or strip assets from the long-standing Ellison family trust, disclosed the trust’s ownership of roughly 1.16 billion Oracle shares, enhanced operational flexibility for WBD in a proposed merger agreement, increased its regulatory reverse termination fee to $5.8 billion and maintained conditions including WBD’s continued ownership of its Global Networks business. Paramount criticized WBD’s disclosures around the Netflix deal as incomplete, argued its fully financed cash bid remains superior for WBD shareholders and stakeholders, and extended the tender offer’s expiration to January 21, 2026, with 397,252 shares reported as validly tendered as of December 19, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSKY) stock is a Sell with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paramount Skydance stock, see the PSKY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Paramount Skydance Announces Tender Offer for Warner Bros.
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Paramount Skydance Corporation announced an all-cash tender offer to acquire all outstanding shares of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. for $30 per share. This proposal is positioned as a superior alternative to a competing offer from Netflix, which Paramount argues provides inferior value and involves a complex regulatory process. Paramount’s offer is supported by significant financial backing and aims to create a combined entity that enhances competition, supports creative talent, and strengthens the theatrical and direct-to-consumer markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSKY) stock is a Sell with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paramount Skydance stock, see the PSKY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026