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Pandora A/S (Otc) (PNDRY)
:PNDRY
US Market

Pandora (PNDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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Pandora

(OTC:PNDRY)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(16.96%Upside)
Pandora's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators drive the score, despite the risks of high leverage and overbought conditions. Valuation is fair, supporting the overall positive outlook for the stock.

Pandora (PNDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pandora Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPandora A/S engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of hand-finished and modern jewelry. It operates through the following geographical segments: EMEA, Americas, and Asia Pacific. The company was founded by Per Enevoldsen and Winnie Enevoldsen in 1982 and is headquartered in Glostrup, Denmark.
How the Company Makes MoneyPandora A/S generates revenue primarily through the sale of its jewelry products, both through its owned retail stores and its extensive network of franchised stores. A significant portion of revenue comes from the sale of charms, which are a core part of its customizable jewelry offerings. Online sales also contribute to Pandora's revenue stream, as e-commerce becomes an increasingly important channel. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance product visibility and appeal, driving sales. Additionally, Pandora invests in marketing and brand-building activities to maintain its position as a leading player in the jewelry market, contributing to sustained consumer interest and sales growth.

Pandora Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 19.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Pandora showed strong financial performance with significant like-for-like growth, improved margins, and successful brand repositioning. However, challenges in key markets like China and Italy, as well as the pressure from rising commodity prices, indicate areas of concern.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Like-for-Like Growth
Pandora delivered 7% like-for-like growth in Q3 2024, demonstrating stable growth in core collections and strong growth in other collections.
Improved Gross Margin
The gross margin remained above 80% for the second consecutive quarter, showing structural efficiencies and ASP improvements.
Double-Digit EPS Growth
Pandora achieved double-digit EPS growth, fulfilling its target set at last year's Capital Markets Day.
Lab-Grown Diamonds Growth
The lab-grown diamond collection showed a 34% like-for-like growth, indicating strong market reception.
Full-Year Organic Growth Guidance Raised
Pandora increased its full-year organic growth guidance to 11%-12% from 9%-12% previously, due to strong year-to-date performance.
U.S. Market Performance
The U.S. market delivered 6% like-for-like growth, with total organic growth at 14% due to network expansion.
Brand Repositioning Success
Pandora's marketing efforts and brand restaging have led to higher store traffic and improved brand KPIs, such as unaided awareness and consideration.
Network Expansion Contribution
Pandora's store network expansion contributed 5% to organic revenue growth in Q3 2024.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
China faced a 33% like-for-like decline, attributed to a challenging market backdrop and brand-related challenges.
Performance in Italy
Pandora's business in Italy remains challenged, with brand metrics not yet translating into higher store traffic.
Commodity and FX Headwinds
Pandora faces a 50 basis point headwind from commodities and foreign exchange, which is expected to persist.
EBIT Margin Pressure from Silver Prices
EBIT margin guidance for 2026 faces a potential 360 basis point headwind due to increased silver and gold prices.
Australia's Negative Performance
Australia showed a 2% like-for-like decline, with performance weighed down by the partner channel.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Pandora (PNDORA.CO), significant guidance was provided regarding the company's performance and future outlook. The company reported a 7% like-for-like growth in the quarter, with particular strength in the "Fuel with more" segment, which saw a 21% like-for-like increase, and the lab-grown diamond collection, which achieved 34% like-for-like growth. Pandora raised its full-year organic growth guidance to 11% to 12%, previously set at 9% to 12%, while maintaining the EBIT margin guidance at around 25%. The company also noted strong performance in the U.S. with a 6% like-for-like growth and robust growth in Germany at 42%. However, challenges were observed in China, with a 33% decline in like-for-like sales, attributed to market conditions and brand positioning issues. The call highlighted ongoing investments in Pandora's Phoenix strategy, emphasizing brand transformation and marketing efforts, which have led to increased store traffic and improved brand KPIs. As part of the cost mitigation strategy in response to higher commodity prices, Pandora implemented a 5% price increase in October and is exploring further pricing actions for 2025.

Pandora Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Income StatementTotal Revenue
Gross Profit
EBIT
EBITDA
Net Income Common Stockholders
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Assets
Total Debt
Net Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Pandora Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.23
Price Trends
50DMA
20.22
Positive
100DMA
20.91
Positive
200DMA
20.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Positive
RSI
52.58
Neutral
STOCH
26.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNDRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.79, above the 50-day MA of 20.22, and above the 200-day MA of 20.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PNDRY.

Pandora Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.10B14.2519.55%8.38%52.18%
RLRL
76
Outperform
$16.12B22.4229.49%1.27%6.75%19.71%
76
Outperform
$13.44B18.22136.21%0.88%9.34%15.18%
75
Outperform
$17.10B46.6776.24%7.64%369.79%
GAGAP
72
Outperform
$7.78B9.0929.16%3.16%1.07%28.03%
ANANF
67
Neutral
$3.56B7.3546.98%12.54%25.47%
62
Neutral
$6.82B11.052.80%4.32%2.67%-24.92%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNDRY
Pandora
22.23
3.56
19.07%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
74.66
-111.23
-59.84%
GAP
Gap Inc
20.86
-4.38
-17.35%
RL
Ralph Lauren
260.21
80.20
44.55%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
68.01
23.53
52.90%
CHWY
Chewy
41.67
18.86
82.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.