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CPI Card Group Inc (PMTS)
NASDAQ:PMTS
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CPI Card Group (PMTS) AI Stock Analysis

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PMTS

CPI Card Group

(NASDAQ:PMTS)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(8.14% Upside)
CPI Card Group's overall score is driven by moderate financial performance and valuation, with positive contributions from recent corporate events and earnings call highlights. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which weighs down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Investment and Expansion
CPI Card Group is making investments to cater to a broader closed-loop prepaid opportunity and is adding tech and capacity at its Indiana facility.
Market Position
CPI is the fourth largest global card manufacturer and the largest U.S.-based according to Nilson Report.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth of 21% was driven by higher-value packaging solutions and healthcare payment solutions.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin
Better operating leverage was overshadowed by gross margin softness resulting from a negative product mix.
Valuation
Shares trade at a significant discount to comps despite an EPS growth rate in line with the median peer group.

CPI Card Group (PMTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CPI Card Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCPI Card Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, data personalization, packaging, and fulfillment of financial payment cards. It operates through Debit and Credit, and Prepaid Debit segments. The Debit and Credit segment produces financial payment cards and provides integrated card services to card-issuing banks. Its products include Europay, Mastercard, And Visa (EMV) and non-EMV financial payment cards and metal cards, as well as private label credit cards. This segment also provides on-demand services and various integrated card services, including card personalization and fulfillment, and instant issuance services. The Prepaid Debit segment primarily offers integrated card services comprising tamper-evident security packaging services to prepaid debit card providers. It also produces financial payment cards issued on the networks of the payment card brands. It serves issuers of debit and credit cards, Prepaid Debit Card program managers, community banks, credit unions, group service providers, and card transaction processors in the United States. The company was formerly known as CPI Holdings I, Inc. and changed its name to CPI Card Group Inc. in August 2015. CPI Card Group Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Littleton, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyCPI Card Group generates revenue through several key streams including the production and sale of payment cards, which encompass EMV chip technology, contactless cards, and other card-related services. The company also earns income from its card personalization services, where they customize cards with customer branding and data. In addition, CPI Card Group provides secure card fulfillment services, allowing clients to outsource the entire card issuance process. Significant partnerships with banks, credit unions, and fintech companies bolster its revenue, as these institutions rely on CPI's expertise to manage their card programs. Furthermore, the rise of digital payments has expanded CPI's offerings into mobile payment solutions, contributing to its overall growth and revenue generation.

CPI Card Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -15.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong sales growth, successful acquisitions, and market expansion, but faced challenges with gross margin pressure and unexpected tariffs. Despite these challenges, the company increased its revenue outlook for 2025.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Growth
Secure Card business saw volume and sales growth greater than 15% in the first half, with Card@Once growing more than 20% and Prepaid business sales up 17% excluding accounting changes.
Successful Arroweye Acquisition
Arroweye acquisition contributed nearly $10 million in revenue in less than 2 months, exceeding expectations for sales and profitability.
Expansion into New Markets
CPI expanded the Card@Once solution into government disbursement space and secured commitments for closed-loop prepaid packages, indicating successful market diversification.
Increased Revenue Outlook
Net sales outlook for 2025 increased to low double-digit to mid-teens growth due to Arroweye acquisition and organic growth.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margins decreased to 30.9% due to sales mix, increased production costs, and higher tariffs impacting profitability.
Tariff and Cost Challenges
Unexpected tariffs anticipated to be approximately $5 million for 2025, along with one-time costs and inefficiencies from new facility transition.
Revenue Recognition Accounting Change
A one-time non-cash accounting change negatively impacted net sales by $8 million in the second quarter, particularly affecting the Prepaid segment.
Company Guidance
During the CPI Card Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance updates were provided. The company reported a 9% increase in net sales for the quarter, reaching $129.8 million, and a 15% increase excluding the impact of a one-time non-cash accounting change. The Secure Card business saw over 15% growth, while the Card@Once instant issuance solution grew more than 20%, expanding to over 17,000 locations. The Arroweye acquisition contributed approximately $10 million in revenue in less than two months, exceeding expectations. However, gross margins decreased to 30.9% due to sales mix, increased tariffs, and higher production costs. The company updated its 2025 outlook with expectations for low double-digit to mid-teens sales growth, maintaining its adjusted EBITDA outlook despite increased tariffs expected to impact costs by approximately $5 million for the year. Additionally, the Arroweye acquisition and strategic investments in new markets and facilities are anticipated to drive long-term growth.

CPI Card Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CPI Card Group shows robust revenue growth and profitability, with stable cash flow generation. However, the balance sheet is weakened by high leverage and negative equity, posing financial stability risks. The company should focus on improving margins and reducing debt to enhance its financial position.
Income Statement
72
Positive
CPI Card Group shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue increase of 2.25% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is healthy at 34.42%, and the net profit margin is stable at 3.83%. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased to 12.77% from 13.06% the previous year, indicating potential cost pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects solid growth and profitability, though margins could be improved.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet is concerning with a negative stockholders' equity of -$29.7 million, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, highlighting high leverage. The equity ratio is also negative, which poses a risk to financial stability. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a stable asset base with total assets of $351.9 million.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
CPI Card Group's cash flow statement reveals a positive free cash flow of $32.29 million, with a growth rate of -5.19% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.13, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.71 suggests room for improvement in cash flow management. Overall, cash flow generation is solid, but growth has slowed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue502.36M480.60M444.55M475.75M375.12M312.19M
Gross Profit168.13M171.22M155.49M175.77M141.43M110.31M
EBITDA71.83M79.21M77.31M93.65M74.56M55.11M
Net Income15.00M19.52M23.98M36.54M15.94M16.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets399.80M349.66M293.68M296.67M268.14M266.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.12M33.54M12.41M11.04M20.68M57.60M
Total Debt310.91M289.47M272.31M307.48M321.11M349.66M
Total Liabilities428.82M385.28M345.62M378.74M389.16M404.19M
Stockholders Equity-29.03M-35.62M-51.94M-82.08M-121.02M-138.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.82M34.06M27.64M13.47M10.15M14.92M
Operating Cash Flow49.14M43.31M34.04M31.34M20.23M22.01M
Investing Cash Flow-57.98M-9.22M-6.22M-17.77M-9.92M-7.09M
Financing Cash Flow18.48M-12.96M-26.44M-23.16M-47.23M23.98M

CPI Card Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.72
Price Trends
50DMA
21.19
Negative
100DMA
22.93
Negative
200DMA
26.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.79
Positive
RSI
34.25
Neutral
STOCH
48.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PMTS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.75, below the 50-day MA of 21.19, and below the 200-day MA of 26.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PMTS.

CPI Card Group Risk Analysis

CPI Card Group disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CPI Card Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CPI Card Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (73)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.31B6.6417.91%3.14%5.13%25.93%
74
Outperform
$504.61M2.7414.69%6.61%12.45%-36.64%
73
Outperform
16.56B18.7814.14%3.74%11.68%26.47%
67
Neutral
$743.92M-2.68%22.15%57.64%
59
Neutral
$182.08M14.41-36.18%14.31%-25.64%
50
Neutral
$6.14B-0.96%60.62%96.91%
45
Neutral
$446.22M-6.43%280.14%73.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PMTS
CPI Card Group
15.72
-11.93
-43.15%
GDOT
Green Dot
13.79
3.03
28.16%
YRD
Yiren Digital
5.90
1.37
30.24%
AHG
Akso Health Group Sponsored ADR
1.74
0.71
68.93%
FINV
FinVolution Group
8.82
3.31
60.07%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
63.83
27.02
73.40%

CPI Card Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CPI Card Group Reports Q2 Results with Sales Growth
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, CPI Card Group Inc. reported its second quarter financial results, highlighting a 9% increase in net sales, driven by strong performance from Arroweye and growth in debit and credit card sales. Despite a 91% decrease in net income due to acquisition costs and restructuring charges, the company saw a 3% increase in Adjusted EBITDA. CPI updated its 2025 outlook, projecting higher net sales growth, primarily due to the Arroweye acquisition, while maintaining its Adjusted EBITDA outlook. The company continues to expand its market presence and product offerings, including healthcare payments and digital solutions, while also investing in a new production facility to enhance capacity and efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (PMTS) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CPI Card Group stock, see the PMTS Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CPI Card Group Increases Borrowing Capacity to $100 Million
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 2, 2025, CPI Card Group Inc. amended its credit agreement to increase its borrowing capacity from $75 million to $100 million, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility. Additionally, the company announced a redemption of $20 million of its senior secured notes on July 3, 2025, which could impact its debt structure and interest obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (PMTS) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CPI Card Group stock, see the PMTS Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CPI Card Group Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, CPI Card Group Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where three key proposals were considered. The stockholders elected directors for a one-year term, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (PMTS) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CPI Card Group stock, see the PMTS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025