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CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS)
NASDAQ:PMTS
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CPI Card Group (PMTS) AI Stock Analysis

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PMTS

CPI Card Group

(NASDAQ:PMTS)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▼(-6.67% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by balance-sheet risk (negative equity and high leverage) and weak near-term technical momentum. Offsetting factors include strong recent cash generation and a generally positive earnings outlook with affirmed guidance, while valuation appears roughly neutral at a ~20x P/E and no dividend support provided.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow provide durable funding for deleveraging and reinvestment. Over 2–6 months this strengthens liquidity, funds integration costs, and reduces refinancing risk vs. peers with weaker cash conversion.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity & high debt
Persistent negative equity and a sizable debt load materially constrain financial flexibility and increase refinancing risk. Even with cash flow improvement, leverage limits strategic optionality and raises vulnerability to rate moves or demand shocks over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow provide durable funding for deleveraging and reinvestment. Over 2–6 months this strengthens liquidity, funds integration costs, and reduces refinancing risk vs. peers with weaker cash conversion.
Read all positive factors

CPI Card Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across the company’s business lines (for example, card manufacturing, personalization, instant issuance, and identity services), revealing which operations drive growth and which are vulnerable to industry cycles or large-customer concentration. For CPI Card Group, segment-level revenue highlights how shifts in card demand, government contracts, or new service offerings are affecting overall top-line strength and diversification.
Chart InsightsDebit & Credit is clearly the growth engine and the source of recent upside—much of 2025’s acceleration reflects the ArrowEye acquisition and early momentum in Integrated PayTech, which management expects to scale into a high‑margin EBITDA driver. Prepaid is lumpy and showed a meaningful pullback versus an exceptional prior period, so don’t bank on prepaid to stabilize early in 2026. Near‑term EBITDA will be muted by integration costs, tariffs and deliberate investments; watch organic debit/credit growth and Integrated PayTech customer wins for durable upside.
Data provided by:The Fly

CPI Card Group (PMTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CPI Card Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CPI Card Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, data personalization, packaging, and fulfillment of financial payment cards. It operates through Debit and Credit, and Prepaid Debit segments. The Debit and Cr...
How the Company Makes Money
CPI Card Group makes money primarily by selling payment card products and associated services to financial institutions, fintech program managers, and other card issuers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Card manufacturing and packaging: producing...

CPI Card Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive operational and financial picture driven by strong top-line growth (+20% revenue) led by Secure Card Solutions (+35%) and markedly improved cash generation (free cash flow $10.1M). Management acknowledged near-term margin pressure from integration costs, tariffs, and higher depreciation that reduced net income and gross margins, and Prepaid Solutions saw a notable decline (-17%) due to order timing. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance, expects Integrated Paytech to accelerate (targeting >15% growth) supported by a Fiserv referral agreement and Instant Issuance demand, and anticipates integration costs to taper in H2. Overall, strengths in revenue growth, cash flow, and strategic partnerships outweigh the near-term margin and segment-specific headwinds.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 20% year-over-year to $147.0 million in Q1 2026, driven by Secure Card Solutions and contribution from ArrowEye (AOI).
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income declined 57% year-over-year to $2.1 million in Q1, primarily due to $3.0 million of pretax integration costs (excluded from adjusted EBITDA).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 20% year-over-year to $147.0 million in Q1 2026, driven by Secure Card Solutions and contribution from ArrowEye (AOI).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
CPI affirmed its March full-year guidance calling for high single‑digit revenue growth, low‑ to mid‑single‑digit adjusted EBITDA growth, free cash‑flow conversion roughly in line with 2025, and a year‑end net leverage ratio of 2.5x–3.0x; the company expects Q2 revenue to be similar to Q1 and Q2 adjusted EBITDA to be slightly lower than the prior year due to timing of investment spending. First‑quarter results that underpin the outlook included revenue of $147.0M (+20% YoY), adjusted EBITDA up 9%, free cash flow of $10.1M (operating cash flow $13.6M), net income of $2.1M (‑57%), gross margin of 30.0% (vs. 33.2% prior year), Secure Card Solutions +35% (including $16M from ArrowEye), Prepaid ‑17%, Integrated Paytech +1% with gross margins >55%, Q1 pretax integration costs of $3M (expected similar in Q2 then to drop significantly in H2), $19M cash, $15M ABL borrowings and $265M senior notes, and management reiterated Integrated Paytech is expected to grow >15% for 2026.

CPI Card Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is mixed. Revenue growth is modest on a TTM basis (~4.5%) and profitability is thin with a low net margin (~2.2%) and declining margin profile versus prior years. Cash flow is a clear positive (TTM OCF ~$67.6M; FCF ~$51.2M), supporting debt paydown capacity, but persistent negative equity (about -$14M TTM) and sizable debt (~$290M) materially weaken financial flexibility and elevate risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue567.88M543.53M480.60M444.55M475.75M375.12M
Gross Profit173.52M170.10M171.22M155.49M175.77M141.43M
EBITDA75.34M77.30M79.21M77.31M93.65M74.56M
Net Income12.23M14.95M19.52M23.98M36.54M15.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets386.45M403.19M349.66M293.68M296.67M268.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.30M21.70M33.54M12.41M11.04M20.68M
Total Debt289.81M337.47M289.47M272.31M291.22M307.74M
Total Liabilities400.46M420.52M385.28M345.62M378.74M389.16M
Stockholders Equity-14.01M-17.33M-35.62M-51.94M-82.08M-121.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.17M41.33M34.06M27.64M13.47M10.15M
Operating Cash Flow67.56M59.50M43.31M34.04M31.34M20.23M
Investing Cash Flow-63.39M-65.13M-9.22M-6.22M-17.77M-9.92M
Financing Cash Flow-16.39M-6.22M-12.96M-26.44M-23.16M-47.23M

CPI Card Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.75
Price Trends
50DMA
16.15
Positive
100DMA
14.77
Positive
200DMA
14.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
56.57
Neutral
STOCH
54.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PMTS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.42, above the 50-day MA of 16.15, and above the 200-day MA of 14.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PMTS.

CPI Card Group Risk Analysis

CPI Card Group disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CPI Card Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CPI Card Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$328.30M4.5514.37%8.86%-3.40%8.62%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$724.37M2.91-7.74%18.96%-1025.15%
62
Neutral
$2.62B10.6247.95%10.18%-2.34%-49.33%
60
Neutral
$139.74M-0.320.54%10.37%-1.41%-98.13%
56
Neutral
$197.15M20.22-56.87%15.56%-36.51%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PMTS
CPI Card Group
17.18
-2.80
-14.01%
GDOT
Green Dot
12.78
3.54
38.31%
WU
Western Union
8.37
-0.08
-0.99%
YRD
Yiren Digital
1.60
-4.43
-73.47%
LX
Lexinfintech Holdings
1.96
-5.18
-72.53%

CPI Card Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CPI Card Group Posts Strong Q1 2026 Revenue Growth
Positive
May 5, 2026
On May 5, 2026, CPI Card Group reported first-quarter 2026 revenue up 20% year-on-year to $147.1 million, driven by the Arroweye acquisition and higher sales of contactless cards and personalization services. Net income fell 57% to $2.1 million du...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
CPI Card Group Announces Strong Q4 Results, 2026 Outlook
Positive
Mar 5, 2026
On March 5, 2026, CPI Card Group reported that fourth-quarter 2025 revenue rose 22% year-on-year to a record $153.1 million, with net income up 9% to $7.4 million and adjusted EBITDA up 34% to $29.4 million. For full-year 2025, revenue increased 1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026