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CPI Card Group Inc (PMTS)
NASDAQ:PMTS
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CPI Card Group (PMTS) AI Stock Analysis

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PMTS

CPI Card Group

(NASDAQ:PMTS)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(3.20% Upside)
CPI Card Group's overall stock score is driven by moderate financial performance and strong earnings call highlights. However, bearish technical indicators and financial leverage concerns weigh down the score. The company's strategic moves in borrowing capacity and acquisitions provide a positive outlook, but challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Investment and Expansion
CPI Card Group is making investments to cater to a broader closed-loop prepaid opportunity and is adding tech and capacity at its Indiana facility.
Market Position
CPI is the fourth largest global card manufacturer and the largest U.S.-based according to Nilson Report.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth of 21% was driven by higher-value packaging solutions and healthcare payment solutions.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin
Better operating leverage was overshadowed by gross margin softness resulting from a negative product mix.
Valuation
Shares trade at a significant discount to comps despite an EPS growth rate in line with the median peer group.

CPI Card Group (PMTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CPI Card Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCPI Card Group (PMTS) is a leading provider of secure payment card production and related services, specializing in the design, manufacturing, and personalization of both physical and digital payment solutions. The company operates primarily in the financial services sector, offering products such as EMV chip cards, contactless payment cards, and mobile payment solutions. CPI Card Group serves a diverse clientele that includes financial institutions, retailers, and technology companies, ensuring a comprehensive range of services from card issuance to fulfillment and secure printing.
How the Company Makes MoneyCPI Card Group generates revenue through several key streams including the production and sale of payment cards, which encompass EMV chip technology, contactless cards, and other card-related services. The company also earns income from its card personalization services, where they customize cards with customer branding and data. In addition, CPI Card Group provides secure card fulfillment services, allowing clients to outsource the entire card issuance process. Significant partnerships with banks, credit unions, and fintech companies bolster its revenue, as these institutions rely on CPI's expertise to manage their card programs. Furthermore, the rise of digital payments has expanded CPI's offerings into mobile payment solutions, contributing to its overall growth and revenue generation.

CPI Card Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sales growth and successful strategic acquisitions, like Arroweye, which exceeded expectations. The company is expanding into new markets and has raised its revenue guidance for the year. However, it faces challenges from unexpected tariffs, increased costs, and gross margin pressure, as well as inefficiencies during the transition to a new facility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Half Sales Performance
Secure Card business delivered volume and sales growth greater than 15%. Card@Once grew more than 20% in the first half and expanded to more than 17,000 locations. The market-leading open loop prepaid business sales increased 17%.
Successful Arroweye Acquisition
Arroweye exceeded expectations with nearly $10 million of revenue contribution in less than 2 months and better-than-expected profitability.
Expansion into New Markets
Investments in Card@Once for government disbursement space and preparation for U.S. closed-loop market deliveries in the fourth quarter.
Revenue Growth and Guidance Increase
Reported net sales increased 9% in Q2 to $129.8 million, or 15% excluding the impact of an accounting change.
Positive Outlook for 2025
Increased sales outlook for the year, including contributions from Arroweye, while maintaining adjusted EBITDA outlook despite increased tariff impact.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs and Increased Costs
Unexpected tariffs anticipated to be approximately $5 million for 2025, impacting gross margins alongside increased production costs and depreciation.
Challenges in Secure Card Business
One-time costs and inefficiencies due to transition to new Indiana facility and margin pressures from sales mix.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross profit margin decreased from 35.7% to 30.9% due to sales mix and increased production costs.
High Net Leverage Ratio
Net leverage ratio increased to 3.6x due to the Arroweye acquisition funding.
Company Guidance
During the CPI Card Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance updates were discussed. The company reported a 9% increase in net sales to $129.8 million, driven largely by a 15% growth excluding the impact of a one-time non-cash accounting change. The Secure Card business saw over 15% growth, while the Card@Once solution expanded by more than 20%. The Arroweye acquisition contributed nearly $10 million in revenue in less than two months, surpassing expectations for both sales and profitability. The Prepaid business experienced a 17% increase in sales, excluding the accounting change, supported by diversified packaging solutions and expansion into healthcare payment offerings. Despite challenges such as unexpected tariffs projected to reach approximately $5 million for the year and increased production costs, the company maintained its adjusted EBITDA outlook and raised its sales outlook to low double-digit to mid-teens growth. CPI also highlighted strategic investments in market expansion, including its new Indiana production facility, which is expected to drive future efficiencies and growth.

CPI Card Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CPI Card Group shows moderate revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, but faces challenges with profitability margins and a highly leveraged balance sheet. The negative equity position poses a risk, though cash flow growth is a positive indicator for future stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
CPI Card Group shows moderate revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.23%. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 33.47% from 35.63% in the previous year. The net profit margin also declined to 2.99% from 4.06%. EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in a high and negative debt-to-equity ratio of -10.71. This indicates significant leverage and potential financial instability. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
CPI Card Group's free cash flow has grown by 20.22% TTM, showing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, indicating a healthy conversion of income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 0.79.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue502.36M480.60M444.55M475.75M375.12M312.19M
Gross Profit168.13M171.22M155.49M175.77M141.43M110.31M
EBITDA71.83M79.21M77.31M93.65M74.56M55.11M
Net Income15.00M19.52M23.98M36.54M15.94M16.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets399.80M349.66M293.68M296.67M268.14M266.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.12M33.54M12.41M11.04M20.68M57.60M
Total Debt310.91M289.47M272.31M307.48M321.11M349.66M
Total Liabilities428.82M385.28M345.62M378.74M389.16M404.19M
Stockholders Equity-29.03M-35.62M-51.94M-82.08M-121.02M-138.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.82M34.06M27.64M13.47M10.15M14.92M
Operating Cash Flow49.14M43.31M34.04M31.34M20.23M22.01M
Investing Cash Flow-57.98M-9.22M-6.22M-17.77M-9.92M-7.09M
Financing Cash Flow18.48M-12.96M-26.44M-23.16M-47.23M23.98M

CPI Card Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.05
Price Trends
50DMA
18.82
Negative
100DMA
21.04
Negative
200DMA
25.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.12
Negative
RSI
32.50
Neutral
STOCH
11.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PMTS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.23, below the 50-day MA of 18.82, and below the 200-day MA of 25.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PMTS.

CPI Card Group Risk Analysis

CPI Card Group disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CPI Card Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CPI Card Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.00B5.3518.75%3.56%8.41%34.76%
76
Outperform
$495.11M2.7913.64%6.82%12.69%-35.36%
68
Neutral
$17.80B11.949.89%3.74%9.69%1.17%
65
Neutral
$759.99M-2.68%22.15%57.64%
58
Neutral
$162.12M12.79-36.18%14.31%-25.64%
51
Neutral
$6.44B-0.96%60.62%96.91%
45
Neutral
$954.66M-79.90%510.69%-145.92%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PMTS
CPI Card Group
14.05
-12.17
-46.41%
GDOT
Green Dot
13.83
2.78
25.16%
YRD
Yiren Digital
5.72
1.60
38.83%
AHG
Akso Health Group Sponsored ADR
1.77
0.76
75.25%
FINV
FinVolution Group
7.77
2.76
55.09%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
68.22
34.56
102.67%

CPI Card Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CPI Card Group Reports Q2 Results with Sales Growth
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, CPI Card Group Inc. reported its second quarter financial results, highlighting a 9% increase in net sales, driven by strong performance from Arroweye and growth in debit and credit card sales. Despite a 91% decrease in net income due to acquisition costs and restructuring charges, the company saw a 3% increase in Adjusted EBITDA. CPI updated its 2025 outlook, projecting higher net sales growth, primarily due to the Arroweye acquisition, while maintaining its Adjusted EBITDA outlook. The company continues to expand its market presence and product offerings, including healthcare payments and digital solutions, while also investing in a new production facility to enhance capacity and efficiency.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CPI Card Group Increases Borrowing Capacity to $100 Million
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 2, 2025, CPI Card Group Inc. amended its credit agreement to increase its borrowing capacity from $75 million to $100 million, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility. Additionally, the company announced a redemption of $20 million of its senior secured notes on July 3, 2025, which could impact its debt structure and interest obligations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025