P3 Health Partners (PIII) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $63.54M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 7.40K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.56
• Revenue Growth: 4.20%
• EPS Growth: -54.16%
• Country: US
• Employees: 360
• Sector: Healthcare
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Medical - Care Facilities
• EPS (TTM): -6.23
• Shares Outstanding: 3,268,218
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,406
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,400
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): <0.01
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00044
• P/FCF Ratio: >-0.01
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 3.41
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.15
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.69
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -1.09
• 1Y Price Target: $14.00
• Price Target Upside: 61.66% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: $8.50 ▼(-1.85% Downside)

The overall stock score for P3 Health Partners is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which is currently weak due to high leverage and negative margins. Technical analysis provides some positive signals with bullish momentum, but valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio. The company's strategic initiatives and operational improvements are promising, but near-term financial challenges persist.

Positive Factors

EBITDA Improvement Plan

Executing a substantial EBITDA improvement plan suggests strong management focus on operational efficiency, potentially enhancing profitability and cash flow in the long term.

Contractual Improvements

Renegotiating contracts with major payers can lead to significant financial improvements, enhancing revenue stability and supporting long-term growth.

Clinical Program Success

Successful clinical programs improve patient outcomes and reduce costs, reinforcing the company's value-based care model and competitive advantage.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can strain financial stability, limiting flexibility in operations and investments, and posing risks in economic downturns.

Negative Cash Flow

Negative cash flow reflects inefficiencies in operations, potentially hindering the company's ability to invest in growth and meet financial obligations.

Membership Decline

A decline in membership can impact revenue and market position, challenging the company's growth and ability to achieve economies of scale.

P3 Health Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

P3 Health Partners (PIII) is a healthcare organization focused on providing value-based care solutions and enhancing patient outcomes through innovative healthcare management. Operating primarily in the healthcare sector, PIII partners with Medicare Advantage plans and other payers to deliver comprehensive care management services. The company's core offerings include population health management, care coordination, and analytics-driven solutions designed to improve care delivery and reduce overall healthcare costs for patients and providers alike.

How the Company Makes Money

P3 Health Partners generates revenue primarily through capitation payments and performance-based incentives from Medicare Advantage plans and other payers. Under the capitation model, PIII receives a fixed amount per enrolled member to provide a range of healthcare services, allowing the company to manage costs effectively while focusing on preventive care and patient management. Additionally, P3 may earn bonuses for meeting specific quality metrics and improving patient outcomes, which further contributes to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and payers enhance its service offerings and market reach, playing a significant role in its financial success.

P3 Health Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary

P3 Health Partners is experiencing revenue growth but is struggling with profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative margins pose significant risks, and the company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing debt to strengthen its financial position.

Income Statement

P3 Health Partners has shown a notable revenue growth from the previous year, with a 18.48% increase in 2024. Despite this, the company struggles with profitability, evidenced by negative gross profit margins and a significant net loss. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating challenges in covering operational costs and interest expenses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio standing at 1.01, indicating potential risk in financial stability. The equity ratio is low at 9.69%, suggesting limited buffer against liabilities. Return on equity is highly negative, reflecting the net losses impacting shareholder value.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting profits into cash. However, there's a positive cash inflow from financing activities which may provide temporary relief.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.46B	1.50B	1.27B	1.05B	491.06B	485.54M
Gross Profit	314.05M	-144.97M	31.64M	-95.01M	490.40B	243.70K
EBITDA	-199.20M	-197.76M	-81.07M	-1.46B	-184.61M	-28.08M
Net Income	-145.97M	-135.85M	-57.77M	-270.13M	-10.08M	-31.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	731.59M	783.42M	860.97M	876.57M	2.36B	99.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	38.58M	38.82M	36.32M	17.54M	140.48M	36.26M
Total Debt	192.72M	166.16M	121.94M	105.94M	89.92M	49.11M
Total Liabilities	644.41M	633.89M	427.31M	353.91M	299.94M	145.96M
Stockholders Equity	44.46M	75.94M	142.13M	5.85M	273.55M	-27.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-129.96M	-110.13M	-77.86M	-128.25M	-69.88M	-27.52M
Operating Cash Flow	-129.96M	-110.13M	-76.03M	-126.02M	-66.47M	-24.60M
Investing Cash Flow	14.57M	14.53M	-1.83M	-7.73M	-56.07M	-3.17M
Financing Cash Flow	76.50M	98.77M	100.33M	11.38M	223.47M	34.76M

P3 Health Partners Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 8.66
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PIII, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.90, below the 50-day MA of 8.68, and above the 200-day MA of 8.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PIII.

P3 Health Partners Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PNTG	―	$872.34M	32.28	11.44%	―	30.58%	24.86%
TOI	―	$429.19M	―	-535.24%	―	17.53%	14.49%
INNV	―	$714.81M	-23.54	-12.02%	―	11.76%	-42.52%
Sector *	―	$7.86B	-0.30	-43.30%	2.27%	22.53%	-2.21%
DCGO	―	$105.63M	―	-5.98%	―	-41.31%	-163.08%
PIII	―	$63.54M	-0.18	-138.17%	―	4.20%	-54.16%
AGL	―	$357.90M	―	-60.64%	―	10.12%	-29.12%

P3 Health Partners Corporate Events

P3 Health Partners Earnings Call: Challenges and Progress

P3 Health Partners Inc. Earnings Call: Navigating Challenges and Progress

P3 Health Partners Extends Term Loan Agreement

On August 27, 2025, P3 Health Group, LLC, a subsidiary of P3 Health Partners Inc., entered into the Tenth Amendment to its Term Loan Agreement originally dated November 19, 2020. The amendment extends the interest-only period to September 30, 2026, and the maturity date to December 31, 2027, while adjusting the principal payments and interest rates. These changes aim to provide financial flexibility and stability for the company, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (PIII) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on P3 Health Partners stock, see the PIII Stock Forecast page.

P3 Health Partners Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results

P3 Health Partners Inc. is a population health management company focused on improving healthcare outcomes through value-based care coordination and administrative services, operating across four states with a network of over 2,800 primary care providers. In its second quarter of 2025 earnings report, P3 Health Partners highlighted its ability to maintain flat medical cost trends despite industry inflation, identifying $120-$170 million in additional EBITDA opportunities for 2026. The company reported a decrease in total revenue by 6% to $355.8 million due to a 9% decline in at-risk membership, although funding per member improved by 10% from the previous year. The medical margin stood at $30.6 million, while the adjusted EBITDA loss was $17.1 million, reflecting prior-period adjustments. Looking ahead, P3 Health Partners aims to achieve sustained profitability by 2026, leveraging its strategic improvement plan and focusing on expanding EBITDA-positive markets.