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InnovAge Holding (INNV)
NASDAQ:INNV
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InnovAge Holding (INNV) AI Stock Analysis

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INNV

InnovAge Holding

(NASDAQ:INNV)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(18.81% Upside)
InnovAge Holding's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators. However, financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and valuation concerns, weigh down the score. The company's conservative debt position and improvements in cash flow are positive, but operational efficiency and profitability need further enhancement.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 15% revenue growth indicates strong demand for InnovAge's services, suggesting effective market penetration and potential for continued expansion in the healthcare sector.
Cash Flow Improvement
Significant improvement in cash flow reflects enhanced operational efficiency and financial health, providing a solid foundation for future investments and stability.
Participant Growth
Record participant growth demonstrates increasing adoption of InnovAge's PACE model, reinforcing its competitive position and long-term growth prospects in senior care.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues highlight operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial performance and necessitate strategic cost management improvements.
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs may pressure margins and profitability, requiring InnovAge to enhance cost controls to maintain financial health and competitive pricing.
Leadership Transitions
Leadership changes can disrupt strategic continuity and operational stability, potentially impacting InnovAge's ability to execute its long-term growth strategy effectively.

InnovAge Holding (INNV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

InnovAge Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and support to live independently in their homes and communities. It manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. The company offers in-home care services consisting of skilled, unskilled, and personal care; in-center services, such as primary care, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, dental services, mental health and psychiatric services, meals, and activities; transportation to the PACE center and third-party medical appointments; and care management. It serves approximately 6,850 PACE participants in the United States; and operates 18 PACE centers in Colorado, California, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. The company was formerly known as TCO Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to InnovAge Holding Corp. in January 2021. InnovAge Holding Corp. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyInnovAge generates revenue primarily through capitated payment models under Medicare and Medicaid, where it receives a fixed monthly payment per enrolled participant to provide all necessary medical services. This model incentivizes the company to deliver efficient, coordinated care to its members, as they benefit financially by effectively managing healthcare costs. Key revenue streams include payments from government programs, member premiums, and additional reimbursements for services provided outside the standard package. Moreover, InnovAge has established partnerships with various healthcare providers and community organizations to expand its service offerings and enhance care delivery, which further contributes to its revenue growth.

InnovAge Holding Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Capitation Revenue Breakdown
Capitation Revenue Breakdown
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

InnovAge Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, a record census, and positive net income. However, challenges persist in the operating environment with increased costs and leadership transitions.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Total revenue for Q1 2026 was $236.1 million, a 15% increase compared to Q1 2025. Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $17.6 million from the previous year.
Record Census and Participant Growth
The census grew to an all-time high of 7,890 participants, reflecting a 9.4% increase year-over-year and a 1.9% increase quarter-over-quarter.
Positive Net Income and Improved Margins
Net income was $7.7 million, compared to a net loss of $5.7 million in Q1 2025. The center-level contribution margin increased to 21.8%, a rise of approximately 320 basis points from the previous quarter.
Successful In-House Pharmacy Transition
The transition to in-house pharmacy services contributed to reduced pharmacy expenses and improved cost management.
Leadership and Organizational Enhancements
New leadership appointments, including Dr. Paul Taheri as Chief Medical Officer and Meredith Delk as Chief Administrative Officer, aim to strengthen operations and continue organizational growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Operating Environment
The operating environment remains challenging due to lower or declining reimbursement levels, higher-than-expected medical service utilization, and growing regulatory scrutiny.
Increased Operating Costs
Cost of care, excluding depreciation and amortization, rose by 19.7% year-over-year due to higher salaries, wages, benefits, and increased third-party fees.
De Novo Center Losses
De novo center losses were $3.9 million for the quarter, primarily related to operations in Tampa and Orlando.
Leadership Transitions
Michael Scarbrough, President and COO, announced his departure at the end of the month, which could potentially impact operational continuity.
Company Guidance
During the InnovAge First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and metrics for the fiscal year. InnovAge reported a total revenue of $236.1 million for the quarter, reflecting a 15% increase compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2025, and an adjusted EBITDA of $17.6 million, more than doubling from the previous year. The census grew to an all-time high of 7,890 participants, marking a nearly 2% quarter-over-quarter increase. The call highlighted strong medical cost management and better-than-expected census growth. InnovAge reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 guidance with expected total revenue between $900 million and $950 million, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $56 million to $65 million. The company also outlined operational changes, including leadership transitions and efforts to streamline support functions, aiming to enhance efficiency and align cost structure with best-in-class benchmarks.

InnovAge Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
InnovAge Holding shows modest revenue growth and significant improvement in cash flow, but profitability and return on equity remain challenges. The company maintains a conservative debt position, which is positive. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and profitability is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
InnovAge Holding shows modest revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.53%, but profitability remains a challenge. The company has negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies. Gross profit margin has decreased from previous periods, reflecting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 in the TTM, suggesting a conservative leverage approach. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 137.72% in the TTM, indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash from its operations despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash flow is still heavily reliant on external factors.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue863.42M853.70M763.86M688.09M698.64M637.80M
Gross Profit159.31M584.79M132.06M101.29M135.37M161.79M
EBITDA-20.92M3.36M1.15M-33.85M9.21M-5.89M
Net Income-47.35M-30.31M-21.34M-40.67M-6.52M-43.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets510.23M557.23M579.84M547.66M562.87M538.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments109.43M105.92M102.79M102.78M184.45M203.70M
Total Debt98.08M101.08M113.03M113.03M84.81M82.63M
Total Liabilities234.47M294.32M280.03M247.85M209.13M180.65M
Stockholders Equity244.98M234.97M269.26M269.26M332.36M334.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow54.28M26.60M-44.81M-44.81M-10.94M-25.09M
Operating Cash Flow62.76M32.87M-36.90M-36.90M27.30M-7.55M
Investing Cash Flow-7.47M-5.55M-26.37M-26.37M-40.24M-19.54M
Financing Cash Flow-12.42M-19.08M-7.03M-7.03M-6.32M116.22M

InnovAge Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.05
Price Trends
50DMA
5.15
Negative
100DMA
4.53
Positive
200DMA
4.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
48.90
Neutral
STOCH
45.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INNV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.13, below the 50-day MA of 5.15, and above the 200-day MA of 4.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for INNV.

InnovAge Holding Risk Analysis

InnovAge Holding disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. InnovAge Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our business, results of operations, and financial condition are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties. You should carefully consider the following risk factors before making a decision to invest in our common stock. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones we face. Additional risks and uncertainties that we are unaware of, or that we currently believe are not material, may also become important factors that affect us. If any of the following risks occur, our business, financial condition, operating results and prospects could be materially and adversely affected. You should read these risk factors in conjunction with "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in Item 7 and our consolidated financial statements and related notes in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Q2, 2023
2.
Our operating results may fluctuate significantly in the future, which makes our future operating results difficult to predict and could cause such results to fall below any guidance we provide. Q2, 2023
3.
Our growth strategy may not prove viable, and we may not realize expected results therefrom. Q2, 2023

InnovAge Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$927.11M35.4310.87%29.89%10.33%
58
Neutral
$600.64M-44.33%34.99%-68.73%
57
Neutral
$656.49M-21.62-6.86%12.48%-9.28%
57
Neutral
$2.63B-214.33%3.93%-42.22%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$651.11M-35.90%-11.42%-617.31%
46
Neutral
$394.76M-46.54-3.76%-22.14%-787.87%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INNV
InnovAge Holding
5.08
0.28
5.83%
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services
16.80
-11.22
-40.04%
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living
10.61
4.93
86.80%
SNDA
Sonida Senior Living
30.53
5.61
22.51%
CCRN
Cross Country Healthcare
10.07
-8.09
-44.55%
PNTG
Pennant Group
29.27
-1.72
-5.55%

InnovAge Holding Corporate Events

InnovAge Reports Strong Q1 2026 Earnings Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

InnovAge Holding Corp. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some ongoing challenges. The company reported robust financial performance, highlighted by significant revenue and EBITDA growth, a record census, and positive net income. However, the discussion also acknowledged the hurdles posed by increased costs and leadership transitions.

InnovAge Reports Strong Start to Fiscal 2026
Nov 5, 2025

InnovAge Holding Corp. is a leading provider of comprehensive healthcare programs for frail, predominantly dual-eligible seniors through the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE), operating across 20 centers in six states.

InnovAge Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 11, 2025

InnovAge Holding Corp. recently held its fourth-quarter earnings call, which was marked by a positive sentiment despite some challenges. The company reported strong revenue growth and significant improvements in contribution margins and EBITDA. Although a net loss was reported, the strategic initiatives and partnerships discussed during the call suggest promising future prospects.

InnovAge Reports Fiscal 2025 Financial Results
Sep 10, 2025

InnovAge Holding Corp., a leader in providing comprehensive healthcare programs for frail seniors through the Program of All-inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE), has reported its financial results for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. The company, which operates across 20 centers in six states, focuses on enabling older adults to age independently in their homes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025