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Precigen (PGEN)
NASDAQ:PGEN

Precigen (PGEN) AI Stock Analysis

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PGEN

Precigen

(NASDAQ:PGEN)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(8.46% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance: large ongoing losses, significant cash burn, and increased leverage despite improving revenue. Offsetting this, technicals are strong with price above major moving averages and positive momentum, and the latest earnings call was notably positive due to Papcemias approval and early commercialization progress with a stated path to cash flow breakeven by 2026. Valuation remains constrained by unprofitability and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
FDA Approval & Clinical Efficacy
Full FDA approval for Papcemias transforms Precigen from a pure R&D biotech into a commercial-stage company for RRP. As a first‑and‑only therapy with strong clinical results, it durablely reduces regulatory risk, enables revenue generation, and supports long-term commercial investment and market entry.
Rapid Commercial Traction & Payer Coverage
Quick institutional engagement and broad payer coverage indicate strong product adoption and reimbursement groundwork. These durable sales and access achievements increase likelihood of sustained uptake, predictable revenue streams, and faster scaling of commercial operations across regions and patient cohorts.
In‑house Manufacturing Capability
Owning an FDA‑inspected cGMP facility gives durable control over supply, quality, and unit economics as demand grows. This reduces reliance on external CDMOs, shortens time to supply scale‑up, and supports gross margin improvement and timely launches of follow-on indications or geographies.
Negative Factors
Large Ongoing Cash Burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow requires continued external financing or material profitable ramp from product sales. Over multiple quarters this elevates dilution or refinancing risk, constrains strategic flexibility, and pressures ability to fund R&D and commercial expansion without additional capital.
Materially Higher Leverage
A sharp increase in leverage materially raises fixed obligations and interest exposure, reducing balance sheet resilience. Higher debt limits strategic options, increases refinancing risk if revenues lag, and makes the company more vulnerable to operational setbacks during commercialization.
Persistent Unprofitability & Weak Operating Margins
Despite revenue growth, large negative operating margins show weak profit conversion and heavy cost structure. Sustained unprofitability means long runway required to reach self‑funding, and continued high SG&A for commercialization could pressure margins absent durable sales scale and efficiency gains.

Precigen (PGEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Precigen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrecigen, Inc. discovers and develops the next generation of gene and cellular therapies in the United States. It also provides disease-modifying therapeutics; genetically engineered swine for regenerative medicine applications; and reproductive and embryo transfer technologies. In addition, the company offers UltraVector platform that incorporates advanced DNA construction technologies and computational models to design and assemble genetic components into complex gene expression programs; mbIL15, a gene that enhances functional characteristics of immune cells; Sleeping Beauty, a non-viral transposon/transposase system; AttSite recombinases, which breaks and rejoins DNA at specific sequences; AdenoVerse technology platform, a library of engineered adenovector serotypes; and L. lactis is a food-grade bacterium. Additionally, it provides RheoSwitch, an inducible gene switch system that provides quantitative dose-proportionate regulation of the amount and timing of target protein expression; kill switches to selectively eliminate cell therapies in vivo; tissue-specific promoters; UltraCAR-T platform for the treatment of cancer; AdenoVerse Immunotherapy, a library of proprietary adenovectors for the gene delivery; and ActoBiotics platform, genetically modified bacteria that deliver proteins and peptides at mucosal sites. Precigen, Inc. has collaboration and license agreements with Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc.; Ares Trading S.A.; Oragenics, Inc.; Castle Creek Biosciences, Inc.; Intrexon Energy Partners, LLC; and Intrexon Energy Partners II, LLC. The company was formerly known as Intrexon Corporation and changed its name to Precigen, Inc. in January 2020. Precigen, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Germantown, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrecigen generates revenue primarily through collaborations and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, where it licenses its proprietary technologies and platforms for the development of therapeutic products. The company also engages in research and development agreements that provide upfront payments and potential milestone payments as projects progress. Additionally, Precigen may derive revenue from the commercialization of its own therapeutics, once they receive regulatory approval and enter the market. Key partnerships with established pharmaceutical companies and research institutions play a significant role in strengthening its revenue model, as these collaborations often include shared financial investments and resources, enhancing the company's ability to develop and bring new therapies to market.

Precigen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was optimistic, highlighting the transformative approval and rapid deployment of Papcemias, along with strong financial positioning and manufacturing capabilities. Despite increased expenses, the company anticipates reaching cash flow breakeven by 2026.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FDA Approval of Papcemias
Papcemias received full FDA approval with a broad label for all adult RRP patients, marking it as the first and only treatment available for recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (RRP).
Papcemias Clinical Efficacy
51% of patients achieved complete response with no surgery required for twelve months post-treatment, and 86% had a reduction in surgical burden after treatment with Papcemias.
Rapid Commercial Deployment
The sales team was fully deployed, engaging 90% of target institutions quickly, and payer coverage advancing rapidly with over 80 million lives covered.
Strong Financial Position
Precigen expects its cash, investments, and projected revenues from Papcemias to fund operations to cash breakeven by 2026.
Manufacturing Capacity
Precigen has a dedicated in-house cGMP facility fully operational and successfully inspected by the FDA for Papcemias drug substance manufacturing.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
SG&A costs increased by approximately $14 million, primarily driven by commercialization spending related to the Papcemias launch.
Net Loss Attributable to Common Shareholders
The quarter ended with significant non-cash items resulting in a net loss of $1.06 per share, including a change in warrant liability and a deemed dividend.
Company Guidance
During the call, Precigen provided extensive guidance on their new treatment, Papcemias, for recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (RRP). The therapy, approved in August, demonstrated significant clinical benefits with 51% of patients achieving a complete response and 86% reducing their surgical burden. The company has engaged 90% of target institutions and shipped the drug for treatment. Over 100 patients are registered in their service hub, with payers covering over 80 million lives. Financially, Precigen reported $123.6 million in cash and investments and expects to achieve cash flow breakeven by 2026, despite a $14 million increase in SG&A costs during the quarter. The approval of Papcemias marks a transformative phase for Precigen, propelling them into a commercial estate with plans for pediatric trials and geographic expansion.

Precigen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Precigen's financial performance is weak, with negative net profit margins, negative equity, and poor cash flow generation. These factors indicate a high-risk financial profile with limited short-term improvement prospects.
Income Statement
Precigen's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has been experiencing negative net profit margins, with the latest TTM data showing a net profit margin of -28.69%. Despite a slight revenue growth of 3.31% in the TTM period, the company has consistently reported negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin has also been negative, reflecting cost management issues. Overall, the income statement suggests a struggling financial performance with limited profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Precigen highlights financial instability. The company has a negative stockholders' equity in the latest TTM period, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative due to the negative equity, which is a significant red flag. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from its equity base. These factors suggest a weak financial position with high risk.
Cash Flow
Precigen's cash flow statement shows some concerning trends. The company has been generating negative operating cash flow, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of -2.86, indicating poor cash generation relative to its net losses. Free cash flow growth is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that while the company is managing to cover its net losses with free cash flow, the overall cash flow situation is precarious.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.31M3.92M6.22M26.91M14.27M31.99M
Gross Profit1.45M-342.00K106.00K20.57M-39.41M-12.81M
EBITDA-244.54M-123.50M-89.23M-62.43M-77.64M-67.99M
Net Income-246.87M-126.23M-95.90M28.32M-92.17M-170.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets171.26M145.27M151.04M215.98M359.86M314.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.14M97.91M62.85M55.95M108.66M100.12M
Total Debt98.19M5.50M7.10M51.42M190.07M182.28M
Total Liabilities129.40M106.75M32.55M89.72M252.51M247.41M
Stockholders Equity41.87M38.51M118.50M126.26M107.35M67.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.62M-76.76M-68.47M-69.97M-63.02M-84.55M
Operating Cash Flow-72.61M-68.17M-66.93M-65.05M-55.77M-77.02M
Investing Cash Flow-106.77M-20.71M-3.09M226.42M-74.54M27.78M
Financing Cash Flow168.97M110.58M29.59M-155.29M121.19M32.70M

Precigen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.61
Price Trends
50DMA
4.04
Positive
100DMA
3.92
Positive
200DMA
2.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
59.93
Neutral
STOCH
83.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PGEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.16, above the 50-day MA of 4.04, and above the 200-day MA of 2.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PGEN.

Precigen Risk Analysis

Precigen disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Precigen reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Precigen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$953.78M23.1119.44%14.77%-58.90%
67
Neutral
$2.82B-19.84-86.51%103.75%33.84%
63
Neutral
$2.20B-6.92-93.04%-4.44%63.58%
60
Neutral
$7.37B-22.81-75.20%364.98%-25.33%
59
Neutral
$1.72B-3.29-507.72%59.20%-155.65%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$845.34M-4.88-39.73%4.29%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PGEN
Precigen
4.61
3.43
290.68%
MDXG
MiMedx Group
6.31
-2.34
-27.05%
WVE
Wave Life Sciences
14.83
3.29
28.51%
ORIC
Oric Pharmaceuticals
8.45
0.49
6.16%
IMNM
Immunome
20.45
9.85
92.92%
PRAX
Praxis Precision Medicines
294.38
231.23
366.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026