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Principal Financial (PFG)
NASDAQ:PFG

Principal Financial (PFG) AI Stock Analysis

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Principal Financial

(NASDAQ:PFG)

66Neutral
Principal Financial's score of 66 reflects strong profitability improvements and strategic successes in expanding its retirement ecosystem. Despite inconsistent revenue growth and cash flow challenges, the company maintains moderate leverage and a reasonable valuation with a solid dividend yield. The positive earnings call sentiment further supports the stock, although technical indicators suggest some short-term uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Business Transformation
PFG has executed on a business mix transformation and has a solid cash flow profile supported by its more capital-light mix and focus on the less competitive small and midsize market (SMB) marketplace.
Market Positioning
PFG's performance in its SMB market has exceeded industry statistics with significant growth in areas such as defined contribution assets and 401(k) plan participant growth.
Negative Factors
Fee Rate Challenges
PFG faces some secular challenges including declining fee rates in its retirement and asset management markets as well as macro sensitivities including elevated equity market sensitivity and FX impacts to earnings within its international pension operations.
Valuation Concerns
Current valuation is considered full and the price target has been lowered.

Principal Financial (PFG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Principal Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrincipal Financial Group, Inc. provides retirement, asset management, and insurance products and services to businesses, individuals, and institutional clients worldwide. The company operates through Retirement and Income Solutions, Principal Global Investors, Principal International, and U.S. Insurance Solutions segments. The Retirement and Income Solutions segment provides a portfolio of asset accumulation products and services for retirement savings and income. It offers products and services for defined contribution plans, including 401(k) and 403(b) plans, defined benefit pension plans, nonqualified executive benefit plans, employee stock ownership plans, equity compensation, and pension risk transfer services; individual retirement accounts; investment only products; and mutual funds, individual variable annuities, and bank products. The Principal Global Investors segment provides equity, fixed income, real estate, and other alternative investments, as well as asset allocation, stable value management, and other structured investment strategies. The Principal International segment offers pension accumulation products and services, mutual funds, asset management, income annuities, and life insurance accumulation products, as well as voluntary savings plans in Brazil, Chile, Mexico, China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, India, and Southeast Asia. The U.S. Insurance Solutions segment provides specialty benefits, such as group dental and vision insurance, group life insurance, and group and individual disability insurance, as well as administers group dental, disability, and vision benefits; and individual life insurance products comprising universal, variable universal, indexed universal, and term life insurance products in the United States. It also offers insurance solutions for small and medium-sized businesses and their owners, as well as executives. Principal Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1879 and is based in Des Moines, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrincipal Financial Group generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money from managing retirement and investment products, including mutual funds and annuities, where they charge management fees based on the assets under management (AUM). Additionally, PFG receives premiums from its insurance products, which include life and disability insurance. The company also earns fees from its asset management services provided to institutional clients. Significant partnerships with financial advisors and other financial institutions enhance the distribution and reach of Principal's products and services, contributing to its earnings. The company's diversified approach across different financial sectors helps in mitigating risks and capitalizing on various market opportunities.

Principal Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Principal Financial demonstrates strong profitability improvements with enhanced margins and return on equity. However, inconsistent revenue growth and cash flow challenges, particularly the recent negative free cash flow, pose risks. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, which is manageable but needs monitoring given the asset-intensive nature of the industry.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Principal Financial has shown significant improvement in profitability over the years with a notable increase in EBIT and Net Income. The net profit margin improved from 4.56% in 2021 to 9.74% in 2024, reflecting better cost management. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline in 2024 after a peak in 2022. The EBIT margin has strengthened, showing operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a stable equity base, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 in 2024, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio remains relatively low at 3.53%, reflecting the asset-heavy nature of the industry. Return on equity has improved to 14.17% in 2024, showcasing effective use of shareholders' funds despite the low equity ratio.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow performance is mixed, with negative free cash flow in 2024 due to a significant drop in operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been volatile, currently negative, indicating challenges in converting net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio also turned negative, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.13B13.67B17.49B14.26B14.74B
Gross Profit
16.13B13.67B17.49B14.26B14.74B
EBIT
0.008.59B6.02B2.04B1.66B
EBITDA
0.000.006.28B0.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.57B623.20M4.76B1.58B1.40B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
29.94B27.19B67.74B80.49B81.56B
Total Assets
313.66B305.05B303.00B321.21B313.47B
Total Debt
4.11B3.99B4.08B4.36B4.36B
Net Debt
-103.90M-715.70M-770.30M2.03B1.51B
Total Liabilities
302.19B293.84B292.70B304.70B296.60B
Stockholders Equity
11.09B10.92B10.00B16.13B16.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.53B3.69B3.06B3.09B3.63B
Operating Cash Flow
4.60B3.79B3.17B3.22B3.74B
Investing Cash Flow
-5.40B-1.35B1.06B-5.66B-5.03B
Financing Cash Flow
300.30M-2.59B-1.72B1.92B1.62B

Principal Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price72.94
Price Trends
50DMA
83.56
Negative
100DMA
82.08
Negative
200DMA
81.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
51.18
Neutral
STOCH
38.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 72.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.10, below the 50-day MA of 83.56, and below the 200-day MA of 81.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PFG.

Principal Financial Risk Analysis

Principal Financial disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Principal Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Principal Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$33.00B7.8522.02%26.24%-3.87%
HIHIG
79
Outperform
$32.41B10.9719.58%1.74%8.19%29.77%
AIAIG
70
Outperform
$46.84B15.597.10%2.03%-28.56%1.14%
AEAEG
68
Neutral
$9.05B12.679.36%5.16%-5.03%
PFPFG
66
Neutral
$16.45B10.9214.28%3.99%18.02%171.70%
63
Neutral
$12.86B9.199.16%4.78%16.31%-8.97%
EQEQH
56
Neutral
$13.84B11.9461.74%2.13%16.81%14.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PFG
Principal Financial
72.94
-8.76
-10.72%
AEG
Aegon
5.75
-0.25
-4.17%
AIG
American International Group
78.95
2.74
3.60%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
87.83
-2.08
-2.31%
HIG
Hartford Financial
113.57
12.57
12.45%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
45.10
8.10
21.89%

Principal Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -8.00% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Principal Financial Group's strong financial performance in 2024, characterized by impressive earnings growth, strategic successes in the retirement ecosystem, and significant capital returns to shareholders. However, challenges such as FX impacts on international pension earnings, sequential AUM decline, and competitive pressures in the dental market were noted. Overall, the company's achievements and strategic positioning outweigh the challenges faced.
Highlights
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted non-GAAP earnings per share growth in 2024 was 11%, with a strong 16% increase in the fourth quarter.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Principal returned $1.7 billion of capital to shareholders in 2024, including $1 billion via share repurchases and a 10% increase in the annual common stock dividend.
Retirement Ecosystem Strategy Success
Principal expanded its suite of target date offerings and achieved an off-platform retirement investment mandate win of nearly $1 billion.
Asset Management Growth
The largest real estate fund raised over $3.6 billion, and new institutional clients represent 36% of the fund's total commitments.
Recognition and Awards
Principal was named one of America's Most Just Companies, ranking #11 on the 2025 Just 100 list, and recognized as a Best Place to Work in Money Management for the 13th consecutive year.
Lowlights
Sequential Decline in AUM
Total company-managed AUM ended 2024 at $712 billion, down 4% sequentially due to FX impacts and net cash flow.
International Pension FX Impact
International pensions pretax operating earnings were relatively flat compared to 2023 due to $26 million of FX impacts.
Pressure on RIS and VA Flows
Net outflows from the VA traditional block and pressures on RIS flows due to participant withdrawals and contract lapses.
Dental Market Competition
Competitive pressures in the dental market led to repricing actions and impacted sales in the second half of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Principal Financial Group's Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Results and 2025 Outlook Conference Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance for the upcoming year. Principal committed to an earnings per share growth target in the range of 9% to 12%, along with a free capital flow conversion target of 75% to 85%, and aims to expand its return on equity (ROE) towards the 14% to 16% range. The company returned $1.7 billion of capital to shareholders in 2024 and has authorized a new $1.5 billion share repurchase. While facing foreign currency impacts, Principal achieved a 3% increase in total company-managed assets under management (AUM) to $712 billion, with a year-end ROE improvement of 90 basis points. The retirement segment saw a 7% increase in recurring deposits, while specialty benefits experienced a 4% growth in average customer products. Looking to 2025, Principal is positioned to deliver on its financial targets, supported by strong capital deployment and strategic focus areas, including retirement ecosystems, small and midsized businesses, and global asset management.

Principal Financial Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Principal Financial Reports $712.1 Billion in AUM
Neutral
Jan 22, 2025

As of December 31, 2024, Principal Financial Group reported assets under management totaling $712.1 billion, with significant portions managed domestically and internationally. The quarter saw a (3.7)% impact on AUM due to foreign currency translation and market performance, highlighting the importance of their diverse allocation strategy during market dislocations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.