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Equitable Holdings (EQH)
NYSE:EQH

Equitable Holdings (EQH) AI Stock Analysis

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EQH

Equitable Holdings

(NYSE:EQH)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▼(-0.94% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
EQH scores below average primarily due to balance-sheet/capital weakness (equity deterioration to slightly negative in 2025) and volatile GAAP profitability, reinforced by bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative momentum). Offsetting factors include improved recent cash generation and a constructive earnings call with higher 2026 cash generation/EPS growth guidance, plus a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Record AUM Scale
Record AUM of $1.1T (+10% YoY) meaningfully expands the firm's recurring fee base and diversifies revenue across retirement, wealth and asset management. Larger AUM supports stable management fees, better cross-sell economics and resilience to product-specific shocks over the medium term.
Improving Cash Generation & Returns
Organic cash generation of $1.6B in 2025, plus guidance to $1.8B in 2026 and a path to $2.0B, reflects structurally improved free cash flow. Sustained cash enables buybacks, dividend support and reinvestment, increasing capital flexibility despite earnings volatility.
Capital Derisking via RGA Reinsurance
The RGA transaction freed ~$2B of capital and cut mortality exposure ~75%, materially lowering underwriting volatility and strengthening solvency metrics. This structural derisking creates durable capital headroom for strategic investment, buybacks or buffer against future mortality shocks.
Negative Factors
Balance-Sheet Deterioration
Equity compression to slightly negative in 2025 signals material capital erosion. Negative equity raises regulatory and solvency concerns for an insurer, constrains underwriting and investment flexibility, and increases the likelihood of external capital needs or restrictive capital actions over the medium term.
Volatile GAAP Profitability
A substantial 2025 net loss despite revenue growth highlights volatile GAAP profitability. Earnings instability undermines predictable retained earnings and capital planning, making it harder to sustain dividends, repurchases or reinvestment without consistent multi-year earnings recovery.
Asset-Management Outflows
AB's $11.3B net outflows in 2025 create a durable headwind to fee revenue, since management fees and performance fees are AUM-linked. Sustained outflows would pressure margins, require higher distribution spend or product shifts, and make fee revenue growth more volatile long term.

Equitable Holdings (EQH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equitable Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquitable Holdings, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries, operates as a diversified financial services company worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Investment Management and Research, and Protection Solutions. The Individual Retirement segment offers a suite of variable annuity products primarily to affluent and high net worth individuals. The Group Retirement segment provides tax-deferred investment and retirement services or products to plans sponsored by educational entities, municipalities, and not-for-profit entities, as well as small and medium-sized businesses. The Investment Management and Research segment offers diversified investment management, research, and related solutions to various clients through institutional, retail, and private wealth management channels; and distributes its institutional research products and solutions. The Protection Solutions segment provides various variable universal life, indexed universal life, and term life products to help affluent and high net worth individuals, as well as small and medium-sized business owners; and a suite of life, short- and long-term disability, dental, and vision insurance products to small and medium-size businesses. The company was formerly known as AXA Equitable Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Equitable Holdings, Inc. in January 2020. Equitable Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1859 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyEQH generates earnings through multiple financial-services revenue streams tied to insurance/retirement products, asset management, and wealth management. (1) Retirement & insurance: The company earns premium and policy-related revenues from life insurance and other protection products, and fee income from annuity and retirement products (including administrative, contract, and asset-based charges). It also earns investment income on the assets it holds to support insurance and annuity liabilities (the “general account”), where returns depend on portfolio yields, credit performance, and interest-rate levels; profitability is affected by claims/benefit payments, policyholder behavior (lapses, withdrawals, annuitization), hedging and reinsurance costs/benefits, and changes in reserves. (2) Asset management (AllianceBernstein): EQH earns management fees based largely on assets under management (AUM) across equity, fixed income, multi-asset, and alternatives strategies, and may also earn performance-based fees in certain products when contractual benchmarks are exceeded; revenues fluctuate with market levels, net inflows/outflows, fee rates, and product mix. (3) Wealth management: Through its wealth platform, EQH earns advisory and account-based fees (often tied to client assets), commissions and distribution-related revenue on certain transactions/products, and other service fees; results depend on client asset levels, activity, and retention. Across the company, key drivers of earnings include equity and bond market performance (affecting AUM and fee revenue), interest rates and credit spreads (affecting investment income and reserve economics), mortality/morbidity experience and policyholder behavior (affecting insurance profitability), and distribution relationships (financial professionals, third-party platforms, and institutional channels) that influence product sales and asset flows.

Equitable Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
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Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Equitable Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented meaningful commercial momentum: record AUM (+10%), strong organic inflows in Wealth (+13%) and Retirement (+4%), substantial private markets growth at AB (+18%), improved capital flexibility (RGA deal freed $2B and cut mortality exposure 75%), and solid cash generation with a path to $2.0B by 2027. However, 2025 was also impacted by elevated mortality, AB net outflows, a Corporate & Other loss and modest spread compression that restrained EPS growth versus targets. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (cash ~$1.8B, EPS growth expected to accelerate and exceed 12%–15% target range) and multiple remediation levers (expense saves, buybacks, less mortality volatility). Overall the call balances clear progress and optimistic guidance against tangible near-term headwinds and execution risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Assets Under Management and Administration
AUM/A ended 2025 at a record $1.1 trillion, up 10% year-over-year, providing a tailwind for fee and spread-based earnings.
Solid Cash Generation and Capital Return
Full-year organic cash generation was $1.6 billion (in line with $1.6B–$1.7B guidance). The company returned $1.8 billion to shareholders in 2025 (including $500M incremental buybacks) and reduced shares outstanding by 9% year-over-year.
Earnings Per Share and Guidance
Full-year non-GAAP operating earnings were $5.64 per share ($6.21 after notable items), up 1% vs. 2024. Management expects EPS growth to accelerate in 2026 and projects 2026 EPS growth, excluding notable items, to exceed the company’s 12%–15% target.
Retirement Business Momentum
Retirement produced $5.9 billion of net flows in 2025, a 4% organic growth rate; net interest margin grew sequentially and management expects mid- to high-single-digit pretax earnings growth for the segment in 2026.
Wealth Management Strength
Wealth Management reported $8.4 billion of net inflows in 2025 (13% organic growth) and Q4 earnings rose 40% year-over-year. The business reached its $200M annual earnings target two years early and increased the number of wealth planners by 12%.
AllianceBernstein Private Markets and Margins
AB private markets AUM grew 18% to $82 billion, with a target of $90B–$100B by end-2027. AB reported a 33.7% adjusted operating margin for 2025, at the upper end of its targeted range, and Q4 performance fees of $82 million.
Balance Sheet Derisking and Capital Actions
Life reinsurance transaction with RGA freed $2.0 billion of capital and reduced net mortality exposure by 75%. The company also has an adjusted debt-to-capital ratio of ~25% and expects NAIC RBC around 475% at year-end 2025.
Expense and Investment Initiatives
On track to realize $150 million of expense savings by 2027 with $120 million currently in the run rate; achieved $110 million target for incremental investment income from shifting to private markets.
Negative Updates
Elevated Mortality Experience in 2025
Higher-than-expected mortality claims held back EPS growth in 2025; Q4 recorded approximately $25 million of adverse mortality and management increased GAAP mortality assumptions and folded prudence into 2026 guidance.
Earnings Growth Lag vs. Targets
EPS growth has been 8% through the first three years of the 2027 plan, below the targeted 12%–15% CAGR; company acknowledged EPS is the one area below target and is relying on 2026 improvement and other levers to close the gap.
AllianceBernstein Net Outflows
AB experienced overall net outflows of $11.3 billion in 2025 (includes $4.0B of low-fee outflows related to the RGA transaction), creating headwinds for fee revenue despite private markets growth.
Corporate and Other Losses and Volatility
Corporate & Other reported a Q4 loss of $123 million (higher than expected), driven by a $10 million write-off, elevated mortality (~$25M) and seasonal variability; management forecasts a 2026 Corporate & Other loss of $350M–$400M.
Spread Compression and NIM Pressure
Retirement experienced modest NIM spread compression (about 2–4 basis points expected in H1 2026) due to runoff of a very profitable older RILA block and timing noise in investment income.
Commission and Distribution Expense Increase
Commission and distribution expense increased sequentially (noted ~$25 million pickup), driven by sales mix and a one-time allocation true-up between Retirement and Wealth Management.
Valuation Gap and Investor Concerns
Management acknowledged a valuation gap between the value of the AB stake and Equitable’s stock price; investor concerns persist around private credit exposure (though company describes exposure as immaterial) and disclosure changes that complicate outside analysis.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 to roughly $1.8 billion of total cash generation (up >10% YoY from ~$1.6B in 2025 and on track to $2.0B in 2027) and said 2026 EPS (excluding notable items) should grow by more than their 12%–15% target range; segment guidance included mid‑ to high‑single‑digit pretax growth in Retirement (spreads to stabilize in H2 after modest 2–4 bps compression in H1), Asset Management visibility to at least $80–$100 million of performance fees in 2026, Wealth Management double‑digit earnings growth (with a ~$60M quarterly run rate and FY2025 earnings already >$200M), and Corporate & Other a full‑year loss of $350–$400M (with seasonal mortality volatility in Q1/Q4); they expect a consolidated tax rate of ~20% (segment: Retirement ~16%, Wealth ~26%, Asset Mgmt ~28%), year‑end holding company cash of ~$1.1B (min target $500M), record AUM/A of $1.1T (+10% YoY), combined NAIC RBC ~475%, and reiterated that 2025 total cash generation was $2.6B (including $1.0B RGA proceeds) with organic cash ~$1.6B.

Equitable Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are constrained by weak capital trends and volatile profitability. The income statement shows meaningful earnings volatility, including a sizable 2025 net loss despite revenue growth. The balance sheet is the biggest risk signal, with equity compressing sharply and turning slightly negative in 2025, reducing financial flexibility. Cash flow improved notably in 2024–2025 with stronger operating and free cash flow, but prior years were persistently negative, so consistency is not yet proven.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Results are volatile: profitability swung from strong earnings in 2021–2024 to a sizable net loss in 2025 despite revenue still growing (~2.9% in 2025). Margins were healthy in 2022 and 2024 (double‑digit net margin), but 2020 and 2025 show losses and negative operating profitability, indicating meaningful sensitivity to market/one-time impacts and weaker consistency.
Balance Sheet
33
Negative
Leverage and capital stability weakened notably: debt was moderate in absolute terms, but equity fell sharply from very high levels (2020–2021) to low levels (2022–2024) and turned slightly negative in 2025, which makes leverage appear extreme and reduces financial flexibility. Large asset base is a positive for an insurer, but the deterioration in equity is a key balance-sheet risk signal.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Cash generation improved recently: operating cash flow turned strongly positive in 2024–2025 and free cash flow expanded materially in 2025. However, 2020–2023 featured persistently negative operating and free cash flow, highlighting historical instability and potential dependence on working capital/market conditions; overall quality looks better lately but not yet consistently proven across the cycle.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.66B12.44B10.53B12.64B7.61B
Gross Profit9.23B6.60B5.19B7.58B7.32B
EBITDA-969.00M3.20B1.78B3.83B3.37B
Net Income-1.38B1.31B1.30B2.15B1.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets318.31B295.87B276.81B252.70B292.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.73B8.20B9.41B67.64B83.40B
Total Debt6.56B6.78B6.33B5.85B5.89B
Total Liabilities316.52B292.30B271.66B249.11B278.70B
Stockholders Equity-74.00M1.58B2.65B1.40B11.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow679.00M1.49B-325.00M-417.00M-313.00M
Operating Cash Flow713.00M1.64B-208.00M-250.00M-193.00M
Investing Cash Flow-10.75B-15.36B-4.85B-7.49B-12.69B
Financing Cash Flow15.50B12.10B9.00B7.04B11.95B

Equitable Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.35
Price Trends
50DMA
42.95
Negative
100DMA
44.70
Negative
200DMA
48.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.64
Negative
RSI
34.59
Neutral
STOCH
23.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.08, below the 50-day MA of 42.95, and below the 200-day MA of 48.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQH.

Equitable Holdings Risk Analysis

Equitable Holdings disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equitable Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equitable Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$32.84B7.1519.02%16.68%-28.54%
79
Outperform
$36.59B10.1421.37%1.55%7.11%22.52%
73
Outperform
$18.45B16.8010.26%3.44%12.33%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$10.32B4.3014.36%5.77%-6.19%
67
Neutral
$39.91B15.627.50%2.02%-23.02%52.43%
46
Neutral
$10.47B15.82-152.32%2.15%7.70%-155.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQH
Equitable Holdings
37.35
-15.00
-28.66%
AEG
Aegon
6.81
0.46
7.33%
AIG
American International Group
74.39
-7.96
-9.66%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
92.30
-1.71
-1.82%
HIG
Hartford Insurance
132.65
13.57
11.39%
PFG
Principal Financial
85.07
2.99
3.65%

Equitable Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Equitable Holdings Reports 2025 Results and Strategic Progress
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Equitable Holdings reported its full-year and fourth-quarter 2025 results, highlighting $1.6 billion in organic cash generation for 2025, a figure the company expects to rise in 2026, alongside a full-year net loss of $1.4 billion despite Non-GAAP operating earnings of $1.7 billion, or $1.9 billion after adjusting for notable items. For 2025, the company posted strong net inflows of $5.9 billion in Retirement and $8.4 billion in Wealth Management against $11.3 billion of outflows in Asset Management, ended the year with a 10% increase in assets under management and administration to $1.1 trillion, and returned $1.8 billion to shareholders, while executing major strategic actions including reinsuring 75% of its in-force individual life block to RGA, completing a Bermuda reinsurance transaction, deploying most of its $20 billion capital commitment to support AB’s expanding private markets franchise, and progressing on cost savings and capital strength metrics such as a combined NAIC RBC ratio of about 475%.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQH) stock is a Buy with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equitable Holdings stock, see the EQH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026