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Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG)
NYSE:HIG

Hartford Financial (HIG) AI Stock Analysis

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Hartford Financial

(NYSE:HIG)

79Outperform
Hartford Financial's robust financial performance, highlighted by revenue growth and improved profit margins, is a key strength. The technical analysis presents a balanced outlook, while the low P/E ratio suggests potential undervaluation. The earnings call indicates strong operational performance despite some challenges, and recent strategic appointments further strengthen its position. Overall, the stock is well-positioned in the insurance industry with a promising outlook.
Positive Factors
Pricing Strategy
Pricing remains strong - CML pricing remained above loss trend for HIG and accelerated.
Share Repurchase
Share repurchases of $400 million came in above expectations.
Underwriting Performance
Strong underwriting improvements in personal lines were driven by pricing and better frequency in both auto and home.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Earnings in group benefits were worse than consensus, impacted by higher loss ratio in paid family and medical leave products and higher long-term disability incidence.
Employee Group Benefits Margins
Potential headwinds exist due to deteriorating margins in Employee Group Benefits and Other Liability loss ratios.
General Liability Concerns
There is an ongoing debate about how the commercial segment reserving will develop, with concerns about general liability reserve charges.

Hartford Financial (HIG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Hartford Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. provides insurance and financial services to individual and business customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its Commercial Lines segment offers workers' compensation, property, automobile, liability, umbrella, bond, marine, livestock, and reinsurance; and customized insurance products and risk management services, including professional liability, bond, surety, and specialty casualty coverages through regional offices, branches, sales and policyholder service centers, independent retail agents and brokers, wholesale agents, and reinsurance brokers. The company's Personal Lines segment provides automobile, homeowners, and personal umbrella coverages through direct-to-consumer channel and independent agents. Its Property & Casualty Other Operations segment offers coverage for asbestos and environmental exposures. The company's Group Benefits segment provides group life, disability, and other group coverages to members of employer groups, associations, and affinity groups through direct insurance policies; reinsurance to other insurance companies; employer paid and voluntary product coverages; disability underwriting, administration, and claims processing to self-funded employer plans; and a single-company leave management solution. This segment distributes its group insurance products and services through brokers, consultants, third-party administrators, trade associations, and private exchanges. Its Hartford Funds segment offers investment products for retail and retirement accounts; exchange-traded products through broker-dealer organizations, independent financial advisers, defined contribution plans, financial consultants, bank trust groups, and registered investment advisers; and investment management and administrative services, such as product design, implementation, and oversight. The company was founded in 1810 and is headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyHartford Financial makes money primarily through its insurance operations, which include property and casualty insurance and group benefits. Revenue is generated from the premiums paid by policyholders for various insurance products, such as auto, home, and commercial insurance. The company also earns income from its investment management services, where it manages assets and mutual funds for individuals and institutions, collecting fees based on the assets under management. Significant partnerships with brokers and financial advisors help in distributing its products and expanding its client base. Additionally, Hartford Financial leverages its underwriting expertise to assess and manage risk efficiently, contributing to its profitability.

Hartford Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hartford Financial exhibits solid financial performance with strong revenue growth, improved profit margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet remains healthy, though a slight increase in liabilities warrants attention. Overall, the company's financial health is strong, positioning it well in the insurance industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hartford Financial has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a revenue increase of 8.2% from 2023 to 2024. The net profit margin improved to 11.73% in 2024, up from 10.21% in 2023. However, the lack of EBIT and EBITDA data for 2024 impedes a full profitability assessment. Overall, consistent revenue growth and improved profitability are positive indicators.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 in 2024, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) improved to 18.91% in 2024 from 16.34% in 2023, reflecting effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio decreased slightly to 20.32% in 2024, highlighting a slight increase in liabilities relative to assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Hartford Financial's free cash flow grew by 43.9% from 2023 to 2024, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.90 in 2024, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 1.85, suggesting room for improvement in cash retention.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.54B24.53B22.36B22.39B20.52B
Gross Profit
26.54B24.53B17.53B17.61B16.04B
EBIT
0.003.31B3.02B2.81B1.99B
EBITDA
0.003.80B3.10B3.81B2.92B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.11B2.50B1.82B2.37B1.74B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.25B126.00M40.32B46.75B48.47B
Total Assets
80.92B76.78B73.02B76.58B74.11B
Total Debt
4.37B4.36B4.36B4.94B4.35B
Net Debt
4.18B4.24B4.13B4.74B4.20B
Total Liabilities
64.47B54.77B59.39B4.94B4.35B
Stockholders Equity
16.45B15.33B13.63B17.84B18.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.76B4.00B3.83B3.96B3.76B
Operating Cash Flow
5.91B4.22B4.01B4.09B3.87B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.77B-2.43B-1.28B-2.47B-2.07B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.08B-1.95B-2.71B-1.58B-1.78B

Hartford Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price116.05
Price Trends
50DMA
116.33
Negative
100DMA
114.67
Positive
200DMA
112.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.29
Negative
RSI
70.18
Negative
STOCH
81.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HIG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 116.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.27, below the 50-day MA of 116.33, and above the 200-day MA of 112.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HIG.

Hartford Financial Risk Analysis

Hartford Financial disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hartford Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hartford Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HIHIG
79
Outperform
$33.12B11.2119.58%1.71%8.19%29.77%
79
Outperform
$34.61B8.2322.02%26.24%-3.87%
AIAIG
70
Outperform
$47.49B16.077.10%1.97%-28.56%1.14%
PFPFG
66
Neutral
$16.19B10.7814.28%4.01%18.02%171.70%
AEAEG
65
Neutral
$9.05B13.159.36%4.97%-5.03%
64
Neutral
$13.37B9.309.39%4.85%16.11%-8.85%
EQEQH
56
Neutral
$14.24B12.2961.74%2.07%16.81%14.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HIG
Hartford Financial
116.05
20.41
21.34%
AEG
Aegon
5.97
0.35
6.23%
AIG
American International Group
81.97
10.45
14.61%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
92.13
6.78
7.94%
PFG
Principal Financial
72.61
-3.60
-4.72%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
46.41
11.34
32.34%

Hartford Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.01% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The Hartford's earnings call presented a strong overall performance for 2024, with significant growth and profitability in both Commercial and Personal Lines. However, the need to strengthen general liability reserves and the impact of asbestos & environmental development highlighted some underlying challenges. Despite these, the company remains optimistic about maintaining robust margins and growth in 2025.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
The Hartford reported a full-year core earnings ROE of 16.7%, reflecting strong underwriting execution and investment performance.
Commercial Lines Growth
Commercial Lines achieved a written premium growth of 6% for the quarter, with an underlying combined ratio of 87.1%. On a yearly basis, growth was 9% with an underlying combined ratio of 87.9%.
Personal Lines Improvement
Personal Lines reported a 17.3-point improvement in the loss ratio over the prior year, with an underlying combined ratio of 90.2% for the quarter.
Group Benefits Core Earnings Margin
Group Benefits delivered a core earnings margin of 7.8% for the quarter and 8.2% for the year, driven by strong life and disability results.
Lowlights
General Liability Reserve Strengthening
The Hartford strengthened its general liability reserves by $130 million before tax due to increased settlement costs and a higher percentage of attorney representation.
Asbestos & Environmental Development
The company reported $141 million of adverse development in Asbestos & Environmental reserves, impacting core earnings.
Expense Ratio Increase in Personal Lines
The expense ratio for Personal Lines increased by 1.9 points, driven by higher marketing costs, staffing costs, and commissions.
Company Guidance
During the Hartford Financial's fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics demonstrating its strong financial performance and strategic progress. The Commercial Lines business achieved a 6% growth in the fourth quarter and 9% for the year, maintaining an underlying combined ratio of 87.1% and 87.9%, respectively. The Personal Lines segment showed a significant 9.3 point improvement in the underlying combined ratio for the quarter, driven by over 10 points in auto. The Group Benefits division reported a core earnings margin of 7.8% for the quarter and 8.2% for the year, with strong life and disability results. Additionally, the investment portfolio generated solid performance, contributing to a core earnings return on equity of 16.7% for the year. Looking forward, the company expects to sustain consistent results in 2025, driven by disciplined underwriting, strategic investments, and continued emphasis on customer-focused solutions.

Hartford Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hartford Financial Announces Leadership Restructuring in 2025
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Deepa Soni resigned as executive vice president and chief information and operations officer of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc., transitioning to an advisory role to support the transition. The company announced a new organizational structure for its Technology and Operations functions, appointing Shekar Pannala as chief information officer and Jeffery Hawkins as chief data, AI, and operations officer, both reporting directly to the CEO. This restructuring aims to enhance The Hartford’s technological capabilities and competitive advantages in the industry.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hartford Financial Rebrands to Hartford Insurance Group
Neutral
Feb 6, 2025

On February 6, 2025, The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. announced its rebranding to The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc., with effect from the same date. The Board of Directors approved changes to the company’s charter and bylaws, reflecting the new name and extending shareholders’ rights to call special meetings, indicating a strategic shift and new branding initiatives.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.