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Peoples Bancorp (PEBO)
NASDAQ:PEBO
US Market

Peoples Bancorp (PEBO) AI Stock Analysis

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PEBO

Peoples Bancorp

(NASDAQ:PEBO)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(12.84% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
PEBO scores well on financial performance and valuation, led by solid profitability/cash generation and an attractive low P/E with a ~5% dividend yield. Technicals are moderately positive with the stock above key moving averages, while the earnings call supports cautious optimism but keeps the score in check due to ongoing credit-loss headwinds and NIM pressure from lower accretion income.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and free cash flow quality
Consistent operating cash flow and FCF that closely track net income provide durable funding for dividends, technology investments, and loan loss absorption. This cash generation supports capital allocation flexibility and underpins earnings quality across economic cycles despite some historical variability.
Multi-year revenue expansion and growing fee income
Sustained multi-year revenue growth and improving fee-based income diversify revenue away from pure interest spread. Fee growth (mortgage, trust, deposit fees) lowers dependence on NIM, stabilizes margins, and supports durable revenue even if loan yield or accretion income softens.
Proactive risk reduction in leasing exposure
Material reduction and cessation of small-ticket lease originations directly lowers a concentrated source of elevated charge-offs. Removing this risky line reduces future provisioning volatility and credit drag, improving portfolio stability and underwriting consistency over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated credit losses and rising provisions
Higher provisions and rising allowance indicate persistent credit stress that compresses earnings and consumes capital. If charge-offs remain elevated, sustained provisioning will reduce distributable earnings and limit capital deployment until asset quality demonstrably improves.
Net interest margin headwind from materially lower accretion
A sharp decline in accretion income removes a notable, formerly recurring boost to reported NIM, forcing the bank to rely on core loan yields or expense reductions to sustain margins. This structural revenue shortfall makes NIM and profitability more sensitive to funding and loan-yield dynamics.
More volatile leverage and declining return on equity
Rising and inconsistent leverage reduces funding stability and raises refinancing risk, while declining ROE signals weaker efficiency in converting equity into profits. Together with a slightly weaker efficiency ratio, this limits capital flexibility and the bank's ability to sustainably grow shareholder returns.

Peoples Bancorp (PEBO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Peoples Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPeoples Bancorp Inc. operates as the holding company for Peoples Bank that provides commercial and retail banking products and services. The company accepts various deposit products, including demand deposit accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit; and provides commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, construction, finance, residential real estate, and consumer indirect and direct loans, as well as home equity lines of credit and overdrafts. It also offers debit and automated teller machine (ATM) cards; safe deposit rental facilities; money orders and cashier's checks; and telephone, mobile, and Internet-based banking services. In addition, the company provides various life, health, and property and casualty insurance products; third-party insurance administration; insurance premium financing; commercial and technology equipment leasing; fiduciary and trust; underwriting, origination and servicing of equipment leases, and equipment financing agreements; and asset management and administration services, as well as employee benefit, retirement, and health care plan administration services. Further, it offers brokerage services through an unaffiliated registered broker-dealers; insurance premium finance lending and lease financing services; and credit cards to individuals and businesses, as well as provides merchant credit card transaction processing, and person-to-person payment processing services. The company operates through 135 financial service offices and ATMs, including 119 full-service branches in Ohio, West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, Washington, D.C., and Maryland. Peoples Bancorp Inc. was founded in 1902 and is based in Marietta, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyPeoples Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income earned on loans and investment securities, as well as non-interest income from various services. Key revenue streams include interest from commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, which constitute a significant portion of their earnings. Additionally, the company earns fees from services such as deposit accounts, wealth management, and mortgage origination. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance their ability to attract and retain customers, thereby contributing to their overall financial performance. Economic conditions, interest rates, and regulatory factors also play a crucial role in shaping the company’s revenue generation capabilities.

Peoples Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced encouraging operating and capital trends—EPS beat, solid full-year loan growth (6%), fee income growth, improved regulatory capital ratios, targeted reductions in higher-risk leasing exposure, and immediate funding-cost savings from subordinated debt redemption—against persistent credit-related headwinds, notably elevated net charge-offs (44 bps annualized), a higher provision for credit losses ($8.1M in Q4), NIM pressure driven by a significant year-over-year decline in accretion income, and some one-time losses. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (NIM ~4.2% including one 25 bps cut, fee-based income $28–30M quarterly, loan growth 3–5%, and expected reduction in net charge-offs), and emphasized ongoing investments and capital flexibility, indicating a cautious but optimistic outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly EPS Beat and Growth
Diluted EPS of $0.89 for Q4, a 7% increase versus the linked quarter and slightly above consensus of $0.88.
Full-Year Loan Growth
Full-year 2025 loan growth of 6% versus 2024, reaching the top end of prior guidance; quarter-over-quarter loan growth annualized at 2% with balances up nearly $30 million versus September 30 (commercial & industrial +$46M; construction +$40M).
Fee-Based Income Improvement
Fee-based income rose 5% in Q4 versus the linked quarter and grew 6% for the full year 2025 versus 2024, driven by higher lease income, deposit service charges, mortgage banking, and trust & investment income.
Capital and Book Value Progress
Tangible equity to tangible assets ratio improved 26 basis points to 8.8%; Common Equity Tier 1 and Tier 1 ratios each increased 18 basis points; book value per share increased 2% and tangible book value per share improved 3% to $22.77.
Proactive Funding and Funding-Cost Savings
Redeemed subordinated debt incurring a one-time ~ $800,000 loss but expected to save approximately $1.0M annually in funding costs; tangible book value earn-back period on the transaction estimated at under one year.
Risk Reduction in Small-Ticket Leasing
Small-ticket leasing balance materially reduced to $13.0M at year-end from $35.0M at year-end 2024; company has stopped originating these lease types to reduce future charge-off risk.
OREO and Nonperforming Asset Management
Sale of an OREO property (resulting in an $850,000 loss) meaningfully reduced nonperforming assets and lowered legacy OREO exposure.
Net Interest Income and Accretion Performance
Net interest income up 2% for full-year 2025 versus 2024 on a reported basis; Q4 accretion income was $1.8M (contributed ~8 bps to NIM), and excluding accretion income NII grew by over $22M with NIM expansion of 12 bps year-over-year on that basis.
Operational Investments and Culture Recognition
Continued investments in technology, automation, data integration, and talent; recognized by American Bankers' Best Banks to Work For for the fifth consecutive year (achievement attained by ~1% of U.S. banks).
Deposit and Balance Sheet Positives Year-over-Year
Compared to the prior year, total deposits excluding brokered CDs increased nearly $160M with non-interest-bearing deposits up $38M; loan-to-deposit ratio remained around 89% at year-end.
Negative Updates
Elevated Credit Losses and Provision
Provision for credit losses of $8.1M in Q4 driven largely by net charge-offs; allowance for credit losses rose to 1.12% of total loans from 1.00% at prior year-end.
Higher Net Charge-Off Rate, Concentration in Leases
Annualized quarterly net charge-off rate increased to 44 basis points (vs. 41 bps linked quarter); small-ticket lease charge-offs contributed ~31 bps of that rate. Excluding lease charge-offs, the remainder of the portfolio annualized net charge-off rate was 13 bps.
Nonperforming Loans Increased
Nonperforming loans rose nearly $4.0M quarter-over-quarter, driven by an increase in nonaccrual balances primarily from one acquired commercial industrial relationship; percentage of loans current slipped to 98.6% from 99.0% at September 30.
Net Interest Margin Pressure
Net interest margin declined 4 basis points in Q4 versus the linked quarter and declined 7 basis points for full-year 2025 versus 2024; loan yields declined 17 bps while funding costs improved only 10 bps.
Material Decline in Accretion Income Year-over-Year
Accretion income dropped to $9.6M for 2025 (11 bps contribution to margin) from $25.2M in 2024 (30 bps contribution), representing a significant headwind to reported NIM year-over-year.
One-Time Losses Impacting EPS
Two non-core losses impacted EPS in 2025: an $850,000 loss on an OREO sale and nearly $800,000 loss associated with subordinated debt redemption, which reduced diluted EPS by roughly $0.02.
Quarterly Deposit Outflows
Total deposits fell $22.0M in Q4 versus linked quarter, driven by governmental deposit declines (-$30M) and retail CD runoff (-$25M), partially offset by growth in interest-bearing demand (+$24M) and non-interest-bearing deposits (+$9M).
Efficiency Ratio Slightly Weaker
Reported efficiency ratio was 57.8% in Q4 (57.1% linked quarter) and 58.7% for full-year 2025 versus 58.0% in 2024, reflecting higher lease and sales-based incentive expenses and the impact of lower accretion income.
NorthStar Leasing Charge-Off Plateau
NorthStar (small-ticket leasing) experienced a plateau of elevated losses/charge-offs through 2025; management expects charge-off levels to begin tapering in 2026 but near-term quarters may remain elevated before improving.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 to deliver positive operating leverage (ex‑non‑core) with a full‑year net interest margin around 4.2% assuming one 25‑bp Fed cut (each 25‑bp cut is expected to reduce NIM ~3–4 bps) and accretion contributing roughly 5 bps; quarterly fee‑based income is expected to be $28–30 million (Q1 typically higher), quarterly total non‑interest expense $72–74 million (Q1 elevated), loan growth of 3–5% versus 2025, and a slight reduction in net charge‑offs (improving provision for credit losses absent adverse economic changes); this guidance excludes non‑core items.

Peoples Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals supported by multi-year revenue expansion, healthy profitability, and operating/free cash flow that generally supports reported earnings. Offsetting factors include recent margin and ROE softening and a step-up in leverage in 2025, which reduces flexibility if profitability weakens further.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has grown strongly over the multi-year period (from $213.3M in 2020 to $618.4M in 2025), but growth has clearly slowed recently (2024: ~0.2%, 2025: ~4.3%). Profitability remains solid with a 2025 net margin of ~17.3%, though margins have compressed versus prior years (net margin ~19.0% in 2024 and ~21.7% in 2023). Operating profitability also eased in 2025 (EBIT margin ~21.8% vs ~24.3% in 2024), indicating some pressure on earnings power despite higher revenue.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Equity has increased over time (to ~$1.21B in 2025), supporting a larger asset base (~$9.65B). However, leverage has become more volatile: debt-to-equity moved from ~0.39 in 2024 to ~0.61 in 2025 (and was ~0.70 in 2023), suggesting a less consistent funding profile. Returns on equity remain respectable but are trending down (ROE ~10.5% in 2024 to ~8.8% in 2025), pointing to weaker efficiency in generating profits from shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
Cash generation looks healthy and relatively consistent, with operating cash flow of ~$134.7M in 2025 (slightly down from ~$143.2M in 2024). Free cash flow closely tracks operating cash flow and covered net income well across the period (free cash flow to net income ~1.00 in 2025 and ~0.95 in 2024), supporting earnings quality. A key watch item is that free cash flow growth was strong in 2025 (~111%) but has been uneven historically (including a decline in 2022), indicating periodic variability in cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue618.38M615.90M522.50M339.77M244.30M
Gross Profit417.15M419.04M407.30M327.17M231.33M
EBITDA134.81M152.98M148.79M145.96M81.61M
Net Income106.78M117.20M113.36M101.29M47.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.65B9.25B9.16B7.21B7.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments188.95M1.30B1.48B1.29B1.69B
Total Debt734.42M431.55M733.74M601.23M265.96M
Total Liabilities8.44B8.14B8.10B6.42B6.22B
Stockholders Equity1.21B1.11B1.05B785.33M845.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow141.32M136.37M130.19M113.09M149.74M
Operating Cash Flow147.35M143.19M143.64M119.84M156.42M
Investing Cash Flow-437.07M-344.31M-132.93M-414.21M-74.43M
Financing Cash Flow261.01M-7.94M261.99M32.67M181.64M

Peoples Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.79
Price Trends
50DMA
31.81
Positive
100DMA
30.37
Positive
200DMA
29.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
50.84
Neutral
STOCH
37.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEBO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.33, above the 50-day MA of 31.81, and above the 200-day MA of 29.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PEBO.

Peoples Bancorp Risk Analysis

Peoples Bancorp disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Peoples Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Peoples Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.31B17.335.08%1.56%-6.29%-21.17%
74
Outperform
$1.18B10.789.13%5.30%0.11%-18.63%
72
Outperform
$1.13B6.8311.20%3.39%9.55%27.32%
72
Outperform
$1.12B11.0512.15%3.44%9.93%17.67%
72
Outperform
$1.04B10.718.28%4.44%3.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
56
Neutral
$1.07B15.454.77%4.05%-2.15%-25.32%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEBO
Peoples Bancorp
32.79
2.46
8.12%
OCFC
Oceanfirst Financial
18.58
1.61
9.52%
TMP
Tompkins Financial Corporation
78.43
12.82
19.53%
CTBI
Community Bancorp
61.54
8.82
16.74%
OBK
Origin Bancorp
42.35
4.37
11.50%
FSUN
FirstSun Capital Bancorp
37.12
-2.83
-7.08%

Peoples Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Peoples Bancorp Plans Investor Meetings and Presentation Updates
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026

Between February 2, 2026 and March 31, 2026, Peoples Bancorp Inc.’s senior management plans to hold one or more meetings with investors and analysts, using an investor presentation that provides financial data and other information about the company to help explain its business and financial performance. The initiative underscores Peoples Bancorp’s ongoing investor relations efforts and its intent to maintain transparency and engagement with capital markets participants by furnishing, rather than formally filing, these materials under securities disclosure rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEBO) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peoples Bancorp stock, see the PEBO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Peoples Bancorp Reports Strong Q4 Results and Dividend
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Peoples Bancorp Inc. reported that net income for the fourth quarter of 2025 rose to $31.8 million, or $0.89 per diluted share, up from $29.5 million in the prior quarter and $26.9 million a year earlier, driven by positive operating leverage, solid loan growth and higher non-interest income, despite pressure on net interest margin and higher credit loss provisions. For full-year 2025, net interest income increased compared with 2024 even as net interest margin narrowed due largely to lower accretion income following the Limestone Bancorp merger, while asset quality metrics generally improved with reduced criticized, classified and nonperforming assets, and the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.41 per share on January 19, 2026, alongside news that longtime Chief Commercial Banking Officer Douglas V. Wyatt will retire on April 3, 2026 and be succeeded by Ron J. Majka effective April 4, 2026, signaling a planned leadership transition in the bank’s core commercial franchise.

The most recent analyst rating on (PEBO) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Peoples Bancorp stock, see the PEBO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026