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Bank First National Corporation (BFC)
NASDAQ:BFC

Bank First National (BFC) AI Stock Analysis

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BFC

Bank First National

(NASDAQ:BFC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$146.00
â–²(7.50% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and conservative leverage, partially offset by weakening free cash flow trends. Technicals are generally supportive with price above key moving averages, but mixed momentum signals temper the outlook. Valuation is supported by a strong dividend yield, and recent merger completion plus governance additions are modest positives.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for BFC's services, suggesting a stable and expanding market presence that supports long-term business sustainability.
Board Appointment
The addition of an experienced board member strengthens governance and strategic oversight, potentially leading to improved decision-making and shareholder value.
Profitability Margins
Strong profitability margins reflect efficient operations and cost management, providing a buffer against economic fluctuations and supporting sustained profitability.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity issues, which could impact the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations.
Decline in Gross Profit Margin
A declining gross profit margin may signal rising costs or pricing pressures, which could erode profitability if not managed effectively.
Pressure on Free Cash Flow
Ongoing pressure on free cash flow can limit financial flexibility, affecting the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.

Bank First National (BFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bank First National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBank First Corporation operates as a holding company for Bank First N.A. that provides consumer and commercial financial services to businesses, professionals, consumers, associations, individuals, and governmental authorities in Wisconsin. The company offers checking, savings, money market, cash management, retirement, and health savings accounts; other time deposits; certificates of deposit; and residential mortgage products. It also provides credit cards; ATM processing; insurance; data processing and other information technology; investment and safekeeping; treasury management; and online, telephone, and mobile banking services. The company's loan products include real estate loans, including commercial real estate, residential mortgage, and home equity loans; commercial and industrial loans for working capital, accounts receivable, inventory financing, and other business purposes; construction and development loans; residential 1-4 family loans; and consumer loans for personal and household purposes, including secured and unsecured installment loans, and revolving lines of credit. It operates through 21 offices in Manitowoc, Outagamie, Brown, Winnebago, Sheboygan, Waupaca, Ozaukee, Monroe, and Jefferson counties in Wisconsin. The company was formerly known as Bank First National Corporation and changed its name to Bank First Corporation in June 2019. Bank First Corporation was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Manitowoc, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyBank First National generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and mortgages, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank lends money to individuals and businesses at interest rates higher than the rates it pays on deposits, capturing the spread between these rates. Additionally, BFC earns non-interest income through fees associated with account services, ATM transactions, and various financial products. The bank also engages in investment activities, contributing to its revenue through interest and gains from securities. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its service offerings and customer base, further boosting its financial performance.

Bank First National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (net margin 29.43%, gross margin 69.25%) and solid operating efficiency (strong EBIT/EBITDA margins). Balance sheet leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity 0.18) with decent ROE (10.94%). Offsetting this, cash flow quality is mixed with negative free cash flow growth (-8.85%), suggesting recent pressure on cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Bank First National shows a strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, highlighted by a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.82%. The gross profit margin remains robust at 69.25%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 29.43%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over time suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is decent at 10.94%, reflecting effective use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 14.03%, which is stable but suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.58, indicating good cash generation, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -8.85%, suggesting recent challenges in maintaining free cash flow levels. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.84.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue237.42M223.24M186.47M130.77M116.78M117.02M
Gross Profit165.39M155.44M132.79M116.12M105.38M96.03M
EBITDA94.71M87.56M107.19M63.61M63.15M53.05M
Net Income70.65M65.56M74.51M45.21M45.44M38.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.42B4.50B4.22B3.66B2.94B2.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments214.83M414.29M407.44M424.38M509.55M335.26M
Total Debt221.94M147.37M127.14M122.63M66.63M77.35M
Total Liabilities3.79B3.86B3.60B3.21B2.61B2.42B
Stockholders Equity628.13M639.68M619.80M453.10M322.65M294.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.13M58.62M39.46M33.14M31.57M35.59M
Operating Cash Flow64.28M65.85M52.95M40.01M40.28M43.96M
Investing Cash Flow-197.00M-252.94M269.00M-177.81M-93.89M-206.03M
Financing Cash Flow54.48M200.95M-193.82M-39.71M180.24M245.83M

Bank First National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price135.82
Price Trends
50DMA
127.11
Positive
100DMA
126.66
Positive
200DMA
120.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.18
Negative
RSI
66.32
Neutral
STOCH
85.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 135.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.24, above the 50-day MA of 127.11, and above the 200-day MA of 120.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFC.

Bank First National Risk Analysis

Bank First National disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bank First National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bank First National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.24B11.3013.05%3.70%-13.17%-16.37%
78
Outperform
$1.38B11.2610.78%1.34%1.31%2.02%
77
Outperform
$1.44B19.1411.18%3.99%14.13%-12.75%
77
Outperform
$1.30B9.5216.91%2.99%-3.05%-0.51%
75
Outperform
$1.24B11.5412.35%2.57%5.21%24.51%
71
Outperform
$1.35B23.084.40%2.68%15.55%-28.10%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFC
Bank First National
135.82
38.99
40.27%
PFBC
Preferred Bank
92.21
9.19
11.07%
RBCAA
Republic Bancorp
75.06
8.14
12.16%
WABC
Westamerica Bancorporation
51.25
1.69
3.41%
CNOB
ConnectOne Bancorp
28.76
6.32
28.16%
BY
Byline Bancorp
31.71
3.79
13.57%

Bank First National Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Bank First National Adds Veteran Director Amid Merger Integration
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Bank First Corporation announced that veteran community banker Steven M. Eldred had been elected to the boards of both Bank First and Bank First Corporation, effective January 13, 2026, for a three-year term to begin following shareholder approval at the company’s June 15, 2026 annual meeting. Eldred’s appointment, made in connection with Bank First’s merger with Centre 1 Bancorp, Inc., brings more than 40 years of experience in community banking, extensive board tenure, and deep civic and regional ties in the Beloit area, reinforcing the bank’s emphasis on community-focused governance and strategic growth as it integrates FNBT and advances its position in its Midwest markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFC) stock is a Hold with a $138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank First National stock, see the BFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Bank First Completes Merger with Centre 1 Bancorp
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 1, 2026, Bank First Corporation completed its previously announced merger with Centre 1 Bancorp, Inc., in which Centre was merged into Bank First Corporation and Centre’s banking subsidiary, The First National Bank and Trust Company, was merged into Bank First, N.A., with Bank First as the surviving bank. Former Centre shareholders received 0.9200 shares of Bank First common stock for each Centre share, leading to the issuance of approximately 1,382,978 new Bank First shares, while existing Bank First shares were unaffected. Announced publicly on January 2, 2026, the transaction significantly broadens Bank First’s franchise and capabilities: First National Bank and Trust will operate as a division of Bank First until a planned systems conversion in May 2026, after which all locations will move to a unified Bank First brand and digital platform, and the combined organization will span 38 branches with roughly $6 billion in assets, strengthening its competitive position and service offering in Wisconsin and the Stateline area of Illinois. As part of integrating leadership and governance, Centre’s Chairman and CEO Steve Eldred will join the boards of Bank First Corporation and Bank First, N.A.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFC) stock is a Buy with a $146.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank First National stock, see the BFC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026