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Byline Bancorp Inc (BY)
NYSE:BY

Byline Bancorp (BY) AI Stock Analysis

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BY

Byline Bancorp

(NYSE:BY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(8.97% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth, profitability, and improved leverage) and a supportive earnings call (strong capital returns and improving NIM). These positives are tempered by 2025 cash flow weakness and currently soft technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Profitability
Byline has delivered multi-year top-line expansion and steady profitability, with revenue roughly doubling to $629M and sustained net margins near 20%. That durable revenue and margin base supports recurring earnings, capacity to fund loan growth and shareholder returns over coming quarters.
Improved Capital & Leverage
Material deleveraging and equity growth have strengthened capital ratios and balance-sheet flexibility. Lower debt-to-equity plus CET1/TCE buffers increase capacity for organic lending, M&A, buybacks and dividend increases without immediate funding strain over the medium term.
Operational Execution & Strategic Initiatives
Management produced record net interest income, NIM expansion and tight expense discipline while integrating an acquisition quickly and launching a commercial payments business. These execution capabilities improve competitive positioning and diversify fee streams sustainably.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Volatility
A steep drop in operating cash flow and a ~57% fall in free cash flow create near-term cash conversion volatility. Persistent weakness would constrain organic reinvestment, limit optionality for buybacks/dividends and increase reliance on balance-sheet actions to fund lending growth.
Asset Sensitivity / Rate Risk
Byline's asset-sensitive profile exposes NII and NIM to interest-rate declines. Structural margin compression from Fed cuts would reduce core earnings from the loan book over several quarters unless offset by re-pricing, hedging or lower funding costs, pressuring profitability durability.
Rising Credit Stress
Increasing nonperforming loans and NPAs with higher provisions indicate asset-quality deterioration. If trends persist, elevated credit costs will erode net income, draw on capital cushions and constrain growth or capital returns during an economic slowdown.

Byline Bancorp (BY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Byline Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionByline Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Byline Bank that provides various banking products and services for small and medium sized businesses, commercial real estate and financial sponsors, and consumers in the United States. It offers various retail deposit products, including non-interest-bearing accounts, money market demand accounts, savings accounts, interest-bearing checking accounts, and time deposits; ATM and debit cards; and online, mobile, and text banking services, as well as commercial deposits. The company also provides term loans, revolving lines of credit, and construction financing services; senior secured financing solutions to private equity backed lower middle market companies; small business administration and united states department of agriculture loans; and treasury management products and services. In addition, it offers financing solutions for equipment vendors and their end users; and investment, trust, and wealth management services that include fiduciary and executor services, financial planning solutions, investment advisory services, and private banking services for foundations and endowments, and high net worth individuals. It operates through 43 branch locations in the Chicago metropolitan area and one branch in Brookfield, Wisconsin. The company was formerly known as Metropolitan Bank Group, Inc. and changed its name to Byline Bancorp, Inc. in 2015. Byline Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyByline Bancorp generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and leases, which constitute a significant portion of its earnings. The company provides various types of loans, including commercial real estate loans, small business loans, and consumer loans, allowing it to earn interest over time. Additionally, Byline Bank earns non-interest income through service fees associated with deposit accounts, treasury management services, and other financial products. The bank's emphasis on building relationships with local businesses enables it to cultivate a loyal customer base, enhancing its loan portfolio and fee-based services. Furthermore, Byline Bancorp benefits from partnerships with local organizations and business associations, which can lead to increased referrals and new client acquisitions, ultimately contributing to its overall profitability.

Byline Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicates a strongly positive operational and financial performance: robust profitability, record net interest income, expanding margin, meaningful capital build and active capital returns (dividend increase and buybacks), successful integration of an acquisition, and progress on a new commercial payments initiative. Headwinds are present but largely manageable — notable deposit seasonality and end-of-year balance sheet management, modest upticks in NPLs/NPAs and provisions, some compression and seasonality in noninterest income (SBA gains), and asset-sensitivity risk if rates decline. Overall, management portrays these as controllable or temporary while emphasizing flexibility and continued focus on organic growth and capital deployment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year and Quarterly Profitability
Full-year net income $130.1M (EPS $2.89) on revenue $446M, up 9.7% Y/Y; Q4 net income $34.5M (EPS $0.76) on revenue $117M (Q4 revenue +12% Y/Y, +1.1% Q/Q). Full-year pretax pre-provision ROA ~219 bps, ROA 136 bps and ROTCE 13.5%; Q4 pretax pre-provision ROA 232 bps, ROA 141 bps and ROTCE ~13%.
Record Net Interest Income and NIM Expansion
Record Q4 net interest income of $101M (up 1.4% Q/Q and +10.7% for the year). Net interest margin expanded to 4.35% (up 8 bps Q/Q and +25 bps Y/Y). Improvement driven by lower cost of interest-bearing liabilities (declined 29 bps).
Loan Growth and Solid Origination Pipeline
Total loans at ~$7.5B with loan growth of 8.9% Y/Y and ~3% linked-quarter. Q4 origination activity $323M (Tom noted origination activity +22% vs prior quarter) and management expects mid-single-digit loan growth in 2026 given a strong pipeline.
Improved Capital Position and Shareholder Returns
Tangible common equity (TCE) ~11.3% (TCE/TA 11.29%); CET1 12.33% (up 63 bps Y/Y, +18 bps Q/Q). Tangible book value per share grew ~17% Y/Y. Returned ~$42M to stockholders in 2025, repurchased ~346k shares, Board authorized buyback up to 5% and approved a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend.
Expense Discipline and Operating Efficiency
Q4 noninterest expense ~$60.4M (essentially flat Q/Q); efficiency ratio 50.3% and cost-to-asset ratio 2.47%. Guidance for 2026 quarterly noninterest expense expected between $58M and $60M, indicating continued expense control.
Asset Quality Largely Stable with Managed Credit Costs
Q4 provision/credit costs $9.7M (driven by net charge-offs of $6.7M and a $3M reserve build). Allowance for credit losses $109M, representing 1.45% of total loans (up 3 bps Q/Q). Net charge-offs decreased slightly Q/Q and management targets NCOs ~30–40 bps for 2026.
Strategic Execution & New Business Initiatives
Closed and integrated the First Security transaction within a single quarter, upgraded customer-facing technology platforms, and progressed a new commercial payments business launched April 2025 (onboarded 6 customers, added ~ $70M in liability balances). Recognized as one of America's Best Workplaces for 2026.
Negative Updates
Deposit Decline and Year-End Balance Sheet Management
Total deposits declined to $7.65B in Q4 (down ~2.3% Q/Q and ~2.5% Y/Y). Management intentionally reduced deposits and sold securities to remain below the $10B year-end threshold, resulting in a temporarily smaller earning asset base at period end.
Asset Sensitivity / Rate Risk Could Pressure Margins
Company is asset sensitive; management noted a transition period (about a quarter) to reprice after Fed cuts. Guidance assumes a 50 bps Fed funds decline in 2026 and implies Q1 NII $99M–$100M, signaling potential near-term margin pressure if rates fall.
Increase in Nonperforming Loans and NPAs
NPLs increased to 95 bps and NPAs to total assets rose to 77 bps (from 69 bps prior quarter). Q4 provision rose to $9.7M (from $5.3M in Q3), indicating some incremental credit stress despite overall portfolio monitoring.
Compression and Seasonality in Fee Income / SBA Gains
Noninterest income was essentially flat at $15.7M. Gain on sale of loans was $5.4M in Q4 (down $1.6M Q/Q). Management flagged lower Q1 gain-on-sale expectations due to seasonality and noted ongoing compression in SBA gains tied to mix and longer-tenor loans.
Origination Slowdown and Higher Payoffs
Analyst commentary in the call referenced originations down ~17% Y/Y to ~$1.3B (transcript reference) and Q4 payoffs increased to $361M. Higher payoff activity can cap near-term net loan growth and add volatility to guidance.
Temporary Earnings Headwinds from Year-End Actions
Securities sales and other balance sheet actions to keep assets below $10B reduced period-end earning assets; management expects to repurchase securities in Q1 which may be tighter-margin trades in the short term.
Company Guidance
Management’s guidance for 2026 emphasizes controlled, organic growth and capital flexibility: they expect mid‑single‑digit loan growth and to cross the $10 billion asset threshold this year, Q1 net interest income of $99–$100 million (based on a forward curve that assumes a 50 bp Fed funds decline), and an average gain‑on‑sale run‑rate of roughly $5.5 million per quarter (with seasonally lower Q1 results); quarterly noninterest expense is expected to trend $58–$60 million, net charge‑offs are guided to roughly 30–40 bps, and they cited current credit metrics of a 1.45% allowance to loans and NPLs/NPA upticks, while capital remains strong (CET1 12.33%, TCE/TA ~11.29%), deposit costs fell 19 bps in Q4 to under 2%, and the board authorized buybacks up to 5% of shares and raised the quarterly dividend by 20%.

Byline Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and solid profitability, plus meaningful deleveraging (debt-to-equity down to ~0.45x) support the score. The main offset is sharply weaker 2025 operating cash flow/free cash flow, creating near-term cash conversion volatility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown strongly over the period (from $294M in 2020 to $629M in 2025), with an especially large step-up in 2025. Profitability is solid and fairly steady for a regional bank, with net margin around ~19%–25% in most years (20.7% in 2025) and EBIT margin improving versus 2024 (29.1% in 2025 vs. 25.9% in 2024). A key drawback is the compression in margins since 2021’s peak levels, suggesting the earnings profile is less favorable than it was earlier in the cycle.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully, with debt-to-equity declining from ~1.0x (2022) to ~0.45x (2025), which strengthens balance-sheet flexibility. Equity has also grown (to ~$1.27B in 2025) alongside asset growth (to ~$9.65B). Returns on equity are consistent but not accelerating, hovering around ~10%–11% in recent years (10.3% in 2025), which is respectable but not standout and slightly below 2024.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Cash generation weakened sharply in 2025: operating cash flow fell to ~$56M from ~$175M in 2024, and free cash flow declined by ~57% year over year. While free cash flow roughly matches net income across the history provided (near ~1.0x), the 2025 drop adds volatility and raises questions about near-term cash conversion consistency versus prior years.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue629.49M621.42M532.47M356.46M316.14M
Gross Profit416.22M376.50M351.96M296.35M302.63M
EBITDA187.86M166.11M150.21M118.97M130.20M
Net Income130.05M120.76M107.88M87.95M92.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.65B9.50B8.88B7.36B6.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47B1.73B1.57B1.35B1.61B
Total Debt564.95M774.65M553.78M765.82M645.77M
Total Liabilities8.38B8.41B7.89B6.60B5.86B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.09B990.15M765.82M836.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.76M171.17M162.21M216.70M72.19M
Operating Cash Flow55.76M175.16M166.07M220.33M74.43M
Investing Cash Flow335.00K-330.92M-336.24M-819.86M-236.05M
Financing Cash Flow-52.76M492.76M216.96M620.95M236.13M

Byline Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price31.20
Price Trends
50DMA
31.20
Negative
100DMA
29.38
Positive
200DMA
28.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
42.52
Neutral
STOCH
32.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 31.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.68, below the 50-day MA of 31.20, and above the 200-day MA of 28.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BY.

Byline Bancorp Risk Analysis

Byline Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Byline Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Byline Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.20B10.3712.35%2.57%5.21%24.51%
70
Outperform
$1.42B13.714.23%3.14%-1.79%-23.87%
69
Neutral
$1.43B10.8110.78%1.34%1.31%2.02%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$1.44B11.5411.80%0.28%-2.42%3.83%
64
Neutral
$1.33B16.235.70%2.68%15.55%-28.10%
50
Neutral
$1.33B60.401.11%2.04%-64.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BY
Byline Bancorp
31.20
3.36
12.05%
DCOM
Dime Community Bancshares
32.35
3.08
10.51%
QCRH
QCR Holdings
86.50
11.70
15.64%
RBCAA
Republic Bancorp
69.00
2.44
3.67%
CNOB
ConnectOne Bancorp
26.53
2.01
8.18%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
55.86
-10.70
-16.08%

Byline Bancorp Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Byline Bancorp Announces New Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Byline Bancorp, Inc. announced the approval of a new stock repurchase program, authorizing the buyback of up to 2.25 million shares, representing approximately 4.9% of its outstanding common stock. This program, effective from January 1, 2026, through December 31, 2026, reflects the company’s confidence in its capital position and its commitment to supporting long-term growth. The repurchase plan allows for flexibility in purchasing shares based on market conditions and legal requirements, with repurchased shares available for equity incentive plans and other corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (BY) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Byline Bancorp stock, see the BY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026