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Byline Bancorp Inc (BY)
NYSE:BY

Byline Bancorp (BY) AI Stock Analysis

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BY

Byline Bancorp

(NYSE:BY)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(10.67% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/26/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid revenue growth, improved profitability, solid leverage and cash conversion) and a supportive earnings outlook with strong capital returns (dividend increase and buyback authorization). Technicals are positive with an uptrend and healthy momentum, while valuation appears reasonable at a low P/E; the main offsets are credit metric upticks, deposit softness tied to balance-sheet actions, and sensitivity to falling rates.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Profitability
Consistent TTM revenue growth of 40.8% and expanded net margin (27.27%) indicate durable earnings power from core lending and fee businesses. Strong margins plus high FCF conversion (FCF/net income ~0.96) support reinvestment, dividend capacity and resilience across cycles.
Capital Strength & Returns
Robust capital ratios (CET1 12.33%, TCE/TA ~11.29%) combined with a 20% dividend increase and buyback authorization provide lasting capital flexibility. This supports safe lending growth, loss absorption and shareholder returns without forcing aggressive asset retrenchment.
Strategic Execution & New Initiatives
Rapid integration of an acquisition and the launch of a commercial payments business (adding ~$70M in liabilities) diversify revenue and deepen commercial relationships. These durable initiatives should expand fee income, cross-sell potential and customer stickiness over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Asset Sensitivity / Rate Risk
Byline's asset sensitivity means falling rates can structurally compress net interest income until assets reprice. Management's guidance embeds a 50bp cut; a larger or faster decline would reduce durable margin and make earnings generation and interest-earning asset economics more uncertain.
Deposit Base & Balance-Sheet Actions
Intentional deposit reductions and securities sales to manage an asset threshold trimmed the earning asset base. Persistent lower core deposits or recurring balance-sheet tinkering can constrain loan funding, reduce net interest income potential and increase reliance on pricier funding over time.
Rising Credit Stress
Increases in NPLs (95bps) and NPAs (77bps) alongside a higher provision ($9.7M) signal rising credit pressure. Persistently elevated charge-offs or provisions would erode net income and capital, limit risk appetite for new lending and raise the cost of credit over the medium term.

Byline Bancorp (BY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Byline Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionByline Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Byline Bank that provides various banking products and services for small and medium sized businesses, commercial real estate and financial sponsors, and consumers in the United States. It offers various retail deposit products, including non-interest-bearing accounts, money market demand accounts, savings accounts, interest-bearing checking accounts, and time deposits; ATM and debit cards; and online, mobile, and text banking services, as well as commercial deposits. The company also provides term loans, revolving lines of credit, and construction financing services; senior secured financing solutions to private equity backed lower middle market companies; small business administration and united states department of agriculture loans; and treasury management products and services. In addition, it offers financing solutions for equipment vendors and their end users; and investment, trust, and wealth management services that include fiduciary and executor services, financial planning solutions, investment advisory services, and private banking services for foundations and endowments, and high net worth individuals. It operates through 43 branch locations in the Chicago metropolitan area and one branch in Brookfield, Wisconsin. The company was formerly known as Metropolitan Bank Group, Inc. and changed its name to Byline Bancorp, Inc. in 2015. Byline Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyByline Bancorp generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and leases, which constitute a significant portion of its earnings. The company provides various types of loans, including commercial real estate loans, small business loans, and consumer loans, allowing it to earn interest over time. Additionally, Byline Bank earns non-interest income through service fees associated with deposit accounts, treasury management services, and other financial products. The bank's emphasis on building relationships with local businesses enables it to cultivate a loyal customer base, enhancing its loan portfolio and fee-based services. Furthermore, Byline Bancorp benefits from partnerships with local organizations and business associations, which can lead to increased referrals and new client acquisitions, ultimately contributing to its overall profitability.

Byline Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicates a strongly positive operational and financial performance: robust profitability, record net interest income, expanding margin, meaningful capital build and active capital returns (dividend increase and buybacks), successful integration of an acquisition, and progress on a new commercial payments initiative. Headwinds are present but largely manageable — notable deposit seasonality and end-of-year balance sheet management, modest upticks in NPLs/NPAs and provisions, some compression and seasonality in noninterest income (SBA gains), and asset-sensitivity risk if rates decline. Overall, management portrays these as controllable or temporary while emphasizing flexibility and continued focus on organic growth and capital deployment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year and Quarterly Profitability
Full-year net income $130.1M (EPS $2.89) on revenue $446M, up 9.7% Y/Y; Q4 net income $34.5M (EPS $0.76) on revenue $117M (Q4 revenue +12% Y/Y, +1.1% Q/Q). Full-year pretax pre-provision ROA ~219 bps, ROA 136 bps and ROTCE 13.5%; Q4 pretax pre-provision ROA 232 bps, ROA 141 bps and ROTCE ~13%.
Record Net Interest Income and NIM Expansion
Record Q4 net interest income of $101M (up 1.4% Q/Q and +10.7% for the year). Net interest margin expanded to 4.35% (up 8 bps Q/Q and +25 bps Y/Y). Improvement driven by lower cost of interest-bearing liabilities (declined 29 bps).
Loan Growth and Solid Origination Pipeline
Total loans at ~$7.5B with loan growth of 8.9% Y/Y and ~3% linked-quarter. Q4 origination activity $323M (Tom noted origination activity +22% vs prior quarter) and management expects mid-single-digit loan growth in 2026 given a strong pipeline.
Improved Capital Position and Shareholder Returns
Tangible common equity (TCE) ~11.3% (TCE/TA 11.29%); CET1 12.33% (up 63 bps Y/Y, +18 bps Q/Q). Tangible book value per share grew ~17% Y/Y. Returned ~$42M to stockholders in 2025, repurchased ~346k shares, Board authorized buyback up to 5% and approved a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend.
Expense Discipline and Operating Efficiency
Q4 noninterest expense ~$60.4M (essentially flat Q/Q); efficiency ratio 50.3% and cost-to-asset ratio 2.47%. Guidance for 2026 quarterly noninterest expense expected between $58M and $60M, indicating continued expense control.
Asset Quality Largely Stable with Managed Credit Costs
Q4 provision/credit costs $9.7M (driven by net charge-offs of $6.7M and a $3M reserve build). Allowance for credit losses $109M, representing 1.45% of total loans (up 3 bps Q/Q). Net charge-offs decreased slightly Q/Q and management targets NCOs ~30–40 bps for 2026.
Strategic Execution & New Business Initiatives
Closed and integrated the First Security transaction within a single quarter, upgraded customer-facing technology platforms, and progressed a new commercial payments business launched April 2025 (onboarded 6 customers, added ~ $70M in liability balances). Recognized as one of America's Best Workplaces for 2026.
Negative Updates
Deposit Decline and Year-End Balance Sheet Management
Total deposits declined to $7.65B in Q4 (down ~2.3% Q/Q and ~2.5% Y/Y). Management intentionally reduced deposits and sold securities to remain below the $10B year-end threshold, resulting in a temporarily smaller earning asset base at period end.
Asset Sensitivity / Rate Risk Could Pressure Margins
Company is asset sensitive; management noted a transition period (about a quarter) to reprice after Fed cuts. Guidance assumes a 50 bps Fed funds decline in 2026 and implies Q1 NII $99M–$100M, signaling potential near-term margin pressure if rates fall.
Increase in Nonperforming Loans and NPAs
NPLs increased to 95 bps and NPAs to total assets rose to 77 bps (from 69 bps prior quarter). Q4 provision rose to $9.7M (from $5.3M in Q3), indicating some incremental credit stress despite overall portfolio monitoring.
Compression and Seasonality in Fee Income / SBA Gains
Noninterest income was essentially flat at $15.7M. Gain on sale of loans was $5.4M in Q4 (down $1.6M Q/Q). Management flagged lower Q1 gain-on-sale expectations due to seasonality and noted ongoing compression in SBA gains tied to mix and longer-tenor loans.
Origination Slowdown and Higher Payoffs
Analyst commentary in the call referenced originations down ~17% Y/Y to ~$1.3B (transcript reference) and Q4 payoffs increased to $361M. Higher payoff activity can cap near-term net loan growth and add volatility to guidance.
Temporary Earnings Headwinds from Year-End Actions
Securities sales and other balance sheet actions to keep assets below $10B reduced period-end earning assets; management expects to repurchase securities in Q1 which may be tighter-margin trades in the short term.
Company Guidance
Management’s guidance for 2026 emphasizes controlled, organic growth and capital flexibility: they expect mid‑single‑digit loan growth and to cross the $10 billion asset threshold this year, Q1 net interest income of $99–$100 million (based on a forward curve that assumes a 50 bp Fed funds decline), and an average gain‑on‑sale run‑rate of roughly $5.5 million per quarter (with seasonally lower Q1 results); quarterly noninterest expense is expected to trend $58–$60 million, net charge‑offs are guided to roughly 30–40 bps, and they cited current credit metrics of a 1.45% allowance to loans and NPLs/NPA upticks, while capital remains strong (CET1 12.33%, TCE/TA ~11.29%), deposit costs fell 19 bps in Q4 to under 2%, and the board authorized buybacks up to 5% of shares and raised the quarterly dividend by 20%.

Byline Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals led by rapid TTM revenue growth (40.8%) and improved profitability (TTM net margin 27.27%), supported by solid cash conversion (FCF to net income 0.96). Balance sheet is sound with improved leverage (D/E 0.47) and stable ROE (10.82%), though relatively low EBIT margin (3.73%) and some cash generation efficiency flags keep the score below top-tier.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Byline Bancorp shows strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 40.8%, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 62.23%, and the net profit margin has improved to 27.27% in the TTM, reflecting effective cost management and profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 3.73% suggests room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.47 in the TTM, indicating a more balanced capital structure compared to previous years. Return on equity is stable at 10.82%, showcasing consistent shareholder returns. The equity ratio stands at 12.61%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth is strong at 17.09% in the TTM, highlighting effective cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.96, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential areas for improving operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue623.98M621.42M532.47M356.46M316.14M293.52M
Gross Profit395.69M376.50M351.96M296.35M302.63M212.59M
EBITDA171.29M166.11M150.21M118.97M130.20M58.15M
Net Income125.85M120.76M107.88M87.95M92.78M37.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.81B9.50B8.88B7.36B6.70B6.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.49B1.73B1.57B1.35B1.61B1.53B
Total Debt581.53M774.65M553.78M765.82M645.77M385.79M
Total Liabilities8.57B8.41B7.89B6.60B5.86B5.59B
Stockholders Equity1.24B1.09B990.15M765.82M836.38M805.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow128.98M171.17M162.21M216.70M72.19M105.11M
Operating Cash Flow134.56M175.16M166.07M220.33M74.43M109.02M
Investing Cash Flow-266.28M-330.92M-336.24M-819.86M-236.05M-886.36M
Financing Cash Flow-61.86M492.76M216.96M620.95M236.13M780.01M

Byline Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.53
Price Trends
50DMA
31.19
Positive
100DMA
29.34
Positive
200DMA
28.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Positive
RSI
54.36
Neutral
STOCH
35.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.71, above the 50-day MA of 31.19, and above the 200-day MA of 28.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BY.

Byline Bancorp Risk Analysis

Byline Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Byline Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Byline Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.46B11.0310.78%1.34%1.31%2.02%
79
Outperform
$1.48B11.8211.80%0.28%-2.42%3.83%
75
Outperform
$1.20B10.4012.35%2.57%5.21%24.51%
70
Outperform
$1.43B13.834.23%3.14%-1.79%-23.87%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$1.35B16.425.70%2.68%15.55%-28.10%
56
Neutral
$1.35B63.261.11%2.04%-64.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BY
Byline Bancorp
32.53
4.79
17.28%
DCOM
Dime Community Bancshares
33.34
3.89
13.22%
QCRH
QCR Holdings
89.69
15.24
20.47%
RBCAA
Republic Bancorp
71.20
5.44
8.27%
CNOB
ConnectOne Bancorp
27.77
3.32
13.60%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
59.04
-9.27
-13.57%

Byline Bancorp Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Byline Bancorp Announces New Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Byline Bancorp, Inc. announced the approval of a new stock repurchase program, authorizing the buyback of up to 2.25 million shares, representing approximately 4.9% of its outstanding common stock. This program, effective from January 1, 2026, through December 31, 2026, reflects the company’s confidence in its capital position and its commitment to supporting long-term growth. The repurchase plan allows for flexibility in purchasing shares based on market conditions and legal requirements, with repurchased shares available for equity incentive plans and other corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (BY) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Byline Bancorp stock, see the BY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026