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Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN)
NASDAQ:PDYN
US Market
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Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) AI Stock Analysis

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PDYN

Palladyne AI Corp

(NASDAQ:PDYN)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(1.21% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/08/26
The score is held back primarily by persistent operating losses and substantial ongoing cash burn, reinforced by bearish technicals (price below all key moving averages and negative MACD). Offsetting factors include strong revenue/backlog momentum and reiterated high-growth guidance from the earnings call, plus recent corporate updates showing accelerating revenue and backlog growth, but these positives are tempered by margin pressure, funding needs, and dilution risk.
Positive Factors
Revenue & backlog momentum
Sustained, multi-quarter revenue acceleration and a growing, multi-million dollar backlog provide durable demand visibility. A backlog that is contracted to convert over 12–18 months supports predictable revenue ramp and helps justify continued investment in production and sales capacity as the firm scales.
Negative Factors
High cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow requires ongoing external funding to sustain growth. Persistent cash burn strains financial flexibility, forces capital raises that can dilute shareholders, and creates execution risk if markets or financing windows tighten during the multi‑quarter scale phase.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & backlog momentum
Sustained, multi-quarter revenue acceleration and a growing, multi-million dollar backlog provide durable demand visibility. A backlog that is contracted to convert over 12–18 months supports predictable revenue ramp and helps justify continued investment in production and sales capacity as the firm scales.
Read all positive factors

Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Palladyne AI Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
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How the Company Makes Money
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Palladyne AI Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong technical validation, rapid revenue growth (107% YoY) and meaningful bookings/backlog expansion, supported by high-profile demonstrations, partnerships, space engagements, IP filings and reiterated aggressive 2026 guidance (implying ~357%–415% growth). At the same time, near-term financials reflect operating losses, margin compression from low manufacturing utilization and first-article costs, elevated operating cash usage (Q1 cash burn ~$10.2M) and some timing uncertainty due to the government shutdown and pending integrations. Overall, the operational and market progress materially outweighs short-term financial headwinds, signaling constructive momentum but with execution and scaling risks to monitor.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 107% year-over-year to $3.5 million in Q1 2026 (from $1.7M), driven by inclusion of post-acquisition revenues and backlog conversion.
Negative Updates
Significant GAAP Losses
Operating loss widened to $11.9 million in Q1 (vs. $6.9M prior year, ~72% increase); GAAP net loss was $12.6 million ($0.28 per share); non-GAAP net loss was $10.2 million ($0.23 per share).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 107% year-over-year to $3.5 million in Q1 2026 (from $1.7M), driven by inclusion of post-acquisition revenues and backlog conversion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of $24–$27 million (implying ~357%–415% growth vs. 2025) after reporting Q1 revenue of $3.5M (+107% YoY from $1.7M); backlog rose from ~ $13.5M entering Q1 to ~ $17M exiting Q1 (net ~$7M in new awards) with $3.5M recognized in the quarter, and they expect sequential quarterly revenue growth with acceleration in H2. Q1 product revenue was $1.7M and engineering services $1.8M, cost of revenue $2.5M, consolidated gross margin ~30%, R&D $3.9M, G&A $6.9M, S&M $1.9M, operating loss $11.9M, GAAP net loss $12.6M (‑$0.28/share) and non‑GAAP net loss $10.2M (‑$0.23/share). Liquidity stood at $43.7M as of March 31; Q1 operating cash use was ≈$10.2M (modestly above the guided ~$8–$9M/quarter) and full‑year CapEx+OpEx cash burn is expected to be $32–$36M (~$8–$9M/quarter on average); other disclosed metrics include manufacturing utilization near 30%, a $500k BRAIN order and an expected nearly $1M contribution from a propulsion contract this year.

Palladyne AI Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is dominated by ongoing losses and cash burn despite strong recent revenue growth. Income statement quality is weak (large operating losses and compressed gross margin), cash flow is the key red flag (TTM operating cash flow about -$30.4M and free cash flow about -$31.0M), while the balance sheet is a relative support with modest leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.15) and positive equity (~$69.9M).
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.07M5.25M7.79M6.15M14.57M5.08M
Gross Profit2.26M2.56M4.30M1.10M2.96M1.21M
EBITDA-26.28M8.59M-26.29M-78.64M-103.21M-80.94M
Net Income-25.33M10.04M-72.62M-115.59M-157.13M-81.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets92.55M95.71M56.25M60.43M167.63M235.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.68M47.05M40.07M39.09M114.50M217.11M
Total Debt10.53M10.78M11.04M12.40M13.28M7.00K
Total Liabilities22.64M21.04M65.79M19.52M23.18M21.86M
Stockholders Equity69.92M74.67M-9.53M40.91M144.45M213.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-31.01M-28.35M-22.89M-77.40M-66.89M-46.79M
Operating Cash Flow-30.36M-27.64M-22.63M-76.62M-65.39M-42.10M
Investing Cash Flow6.28M-24.58M6.88M64.68M-109.05M-4.89M
Financing Cash Flow31.87M39.25M23.80M-82.00K-7.52M230.44M

Palladyne AI Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.94
Price Trends
50DMA
6.17
Negative
100DMA
6.31
Negative
200DMA
6.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
38.20
Neutral
STOCH
60.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PDYN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.21, below the 50-day MA of 6.17, and below the 200-day MA of 6.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PDYN.

Palladyne AI Corp Risk Analysis

Palladyne AI Corp disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Palladyne AI Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Palladyne AI Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
52
Neutral
$307.83M-6.45-26.16%
48
Neutral
$247.09M-8.64-40.48%16.83%66.05%
46
Neutral
$114.01M-0.93-120.57%719.35%
45
Neutral
$1.43B-2.74-63.91%-35.67%-49.96%
45
Neutral
$1.34B-15.71-50.67%-13.72%87.44%
40
Underperform
$101.32M-0.69-331.54%-9.07%35.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PDYN
Palladyne AI Corp
5.23
-3.29
-38.62%
VERI
Veritone
1.09
-1.39
-56.05%
AI
C3ai
9.18
-14.01
-60.41%
BBAI
BigBearai Holdings
2.79
-4.30
-60.65%
GRRR
Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
11.09
-5.30
-32.34%
ZENA
ZenaTech, Inc.
1.28
-3.59
-73.72%

Palladyne AI Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Palladyne AI Reports Surging Defense Revenue and Backlog
Positive
Jul 8, 2026
On July 8, 2026, Palladyne AI Corp reported preliminary unaudited results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, highlighting a sharp acceleration in its defense-focused operations. Second-quarter revenue is expected to be about $5.8 million, repres...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Palladyne AI Shareholders Approve Expanded Equity Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
At its 2026 annual meeting, Palladyne AI Corp stockholders approved an amendment and restatement of the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the shares of common stock available for issuance under the plan by 4,500,000, and ratified the appointm...
Business Operations and Strategy
Palladyne AI, IAI Partner on U.S. Loitering Munitions
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Palladyne AI Corp., a U.S.-based defense and industrial technology company specializing in embodied AI, autonomy software, advanced avionics, and precision manufacturing, announced a strategic partnership with Israel Aerospace Ind...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Palladyne AI Reports Strong Q1 Growth Amid Wider Losses
Neutral
May 5, 2026
On May 5, 2026, Palladyne AI reported first-quarter 2026 results, its first full period as a vertically integrated defense and industrial AI company, with revenue doubling year over year to $3.5 million and backlog rising to about $17 million afte...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2026