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Piedmont Office (PDM)
NYSE:PDM
US Market

Piedmont Office (PDM) AI Stock Analysis

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PDM

Piedmont Office

(NYSE:PDM)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(3.49% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (declining revenue, net losses, and elevated leverage) and bearish-to-weak technical momentum. These are partially offset by constructive earnings-call fundamentals (improving leasing/occupancy trajectory and higher 2026 Core FFO guidance) and a supportive dividend yield despite loss-based valuation metrics.
Positive Factors
Leasing Momentum & Backlog
Sustained, record leasing and a multi-million‑square‑foot backlog provide durable forward cash flow visibility and reduce downtime risk. This backlog supports occupancy normalization, predictable rent roll benefits, and underpins multi-quarter NOI and FFO recovery as leases commence and stabilize.
Consistent Same‑Store NOI & Guidance
Five consecutive years of positive cash same‑store NOI plus explicit mid‑single‑digit FFO guidance signal resilient portfolio economics. Consistent NOI growth supports sustainable cash generation, dividend coverage potential, and the ability to fund redevelopments and leasing capital without relying solely on transactions.
Refinancing & Interest Cost Reduction
Proactive liability management reduces interest burden and extends maturities, improving free cash flow and lowering rollover risk. The actions increase liquidity capacity and create a clearer runway to execute leasing and redevelopment plans while cushioning FFO against rate volatility over the next several years.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue & Negative Gross Profit
Top‑line erosion and a 2025 gross profit loss indicate structural margin pressure and potential pricing or cost issues. Persistent revenue declines and negative gross profit strain profitability, limit internal funding for capex or dividends, and magnify the impact of any leasing or occupancy setbacks on long‑term FFO.
Elevated Leverage
High leverage relative to current earnings reduces financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to occupancy or interest shocks. Even with recent reductions, the debt load constrains capital allocation, raises refinancing sensitivity as maturities approach, and could pressure FFO if operating trends weaken.
Concentrated 2026 Expirations & Market Headwinds
High concentration of 2026 rollings creates near‑term renewal and vacancy risk that can produce outsized earnings volatility. Coupled with specific market weakness in D.C. and Boston, this concentration could delay stabilization, depress cash NOI in affected quarters, and impede the projected FFO recovery.

Piedmont Office (PDM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Piedmont Office Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPiedmont Office Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: PDM) is an owner, manager, developer, redeveloper, and operator of high-quality, Class A office properties located primarily in select sub-markets within seven major Eastern U.S. office markets, with the majority of its revenue being generated from the Sunbelt. Its geographically-diversified, approximately $5 billion portfolio is currently comprised of approximately 17 million square feet. The Company is a fully-integrated, self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT) with local management offices in each of its markets and is investment-grade rated by S&P Global Ratings (BBB) and Moody's (Baa2). At the end of the third quarter, approximately 63% of the company's portfolio was ENERGY STAR certified and approximately 41% was LEED certified.
How the Company Makes MoneyPiedmont Office generates revenue through multiple key streams, including direct sales of office supplies, furniture, and technology products. The company also offers subscription-based services for office supply replenishment, which provides a steady income stream. Additionally, PDM engages in partnerships with manufacturers and distributors to secure bulk purchasing discounts, allowing them to maximize margins on products sold. Significant contracts with large corporate clients and government entities contribute to substantial revenue, as these clients often require ongoing supply and service agreements. Furthermore, PDM benefits from value-added services such as workspace design and consulting, which not only enhance client relationships but also create additional revenue opportunities.

Piedmont Office Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational momentum with record leasing, material rent roll-ups, a sizable lease backlog, and constructive 2026 guidance, supported by balance-sheet actions that reduce future interest costs. Challenges are present—most notably a small decline in Core FFO in 2025, modest AFFO, market-specific headwinds (e.g., parts of D.C. and one Boston asset), and near-term uncertainty from several concentrated 2026 expirations. On balance, the positive operational and financial trends and clear path to mid-single-digit FFO growth in 2026–2027 outweigh the identified weaknesses.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improving Portfolio Lease Percentage
Year-end lease percentage of 89.6%, up 120 basis points during 2025; company guidance expects year-end portfolio lease percentage of ~89.5%–90.5% for 2026 and projects commenced/occupied percentage to rise ~400 basis points from 81% to 85% by year-end 2026.
Meaningful Rent Growth / Mark-to-Market Upside
Q4 roll-up (rental increases) of ~12% on a cash basis and ~21% on an accrual basis for leases vacant <1 year; weighted average accrual-based roll-up over the past eight quarters ~17%; management expects additional mark-to-market upside of roughly 20%–40% in Sunbelt markets versus older in-place rents.
Out-of-Service Redevelopments Leasing Progress
Out-of-service portfolio (two Minneapolis projects and one Orlando) was 62% leased at year-end 2025 and nearly 80% leased including legal-stage transactions; majority of those leases expected to commence in 2026 and stabilize by end of 2026/early 2027.
Positive Same-Store NOI Trend and 2026 Growth Guidance
Portfolio has generated positive cash same-store NOI growth each year for the last five years; 2026 Core FFO guidance of $1.47–$1.53 per diluted share (midpoint up $0.08 vs. 2025), and management projects mid-single-digit organic FFO growth in 2026 and 2027.
Balance Sheet and Interest Cost Improvements
Issued $400,000,000 of new bonds, repurchased ~$245,000,000 of 9.25% 2028 bonds, paid down revolver; expected annual interest savings of ~$0.04 per share and ~$550,000,000 revolver capacity at year-end; no final debt maturities until 2028.
Operational Efficiency and Capital Discipline
Leasing capital spend of $6.12 per sq ft in the quarter, down $0.46 per sq ft from trailing twelve months; weighted average starting cash rent of $42/sq ft essentially unchanged quarter-over-quarter, and net effective rents around $21/sq ft.
Record Annual Leasing Volume
Leased 2,500,000 sq ft in 2025 (~16% of the portfolio), the most leasing in over a decade and ~1,000,000 sq ft ahead of original 2025 guidance.
Strong Quarterly and Pipeline Leasing Momentum
Completed ~679,000 sq ft in Q4 2025 (60 transactions), ~70% new tenants; backlog of ~2,000,000 sq ft representing $68,000,000 of future annualized cash rents, and over 200,000 sq ft already signed in 2026 with ~600,000 sq ft in legal stage.
Negative Updates
Core FFO Decline in 2025
Core FFO per diluted share decreased to $0.35 in 2025 from $0.37 in 2024 (≈5.4% decline), attributed to the sale of two projects and higher net interest expense from refinancing activity.
Modest AFFO and Disposition Impact
AFFO for 2025 was approximately $18,700,000; dispositions in 2025 reduced NOI by ~$0.01 per share and guidance assumes a $0.01 NOI reduction from 2025 dispositions.
Market & Asset-Specific Headwinds
Select markets remain challenging — Washington, D.C. and a Boston asset (25 Mall) showed slower absorption; company acknowledged weaker demand/receptivity for some DC dispositions.
Concentration of 2026 Expirations Creates Near-Term Uncertainty
Approximately 9% of the portfolio rolls in 2026, with three large leases (Eversheds, Epsilon, New York City) comprising ~6% of the portfolio; Eversheds will vacate and other large expirations create timing/renewal risk for near-term occupancy and net space.
Outstanding Proposals Moderated
Despite strong demand, outstanding proposals declined moderately to a combined ~1,800,000 sq ft across operating and redevelopment portfolios — indicating some moderation in new submissions vs. recent peaks.
Guidance Excludes Transaction Upside and Has Offsetting Factors
2026 guidance excludes any acquisitions, dispositions, or refinancing activity (which could materially change results); interest savings from refinancing (~$0.04) are partially offset by a reduction in capitalized interest as out-of-service assets come online, plus slightly higher G&A and share count.
Company Guidance
Piedmont guided 2026 Core FFO of $1.47–$1.53 per diluted share (midpoint +$0.08 vs. 2025), driven by an expected property NOI benefit of $0.08–$0.13 per share, lower interest expense of $0.01–$0.02 per share (including roughly $0.04 of annualized savings from a recent $400M bond issuance that repurchased ~$245M of 9.25% 2028 paper, partially offset by reduced capitalized interest), and offset modestly by a $0.01 per share NOI reduction from 2025 dispositions plus slightly higher G&A and share count. The guidance assumes 1.7–2.0M sq ft of 2026 leasing, stabilization of the out‑of‑service portfolio by year‑end, a year‑end lease percentage of ~89.5%–90.5%, mid‑single‑digit same‑store NOI growth (cash and accrual), and about a 400‑bp increase in commenced/occupied percent to ~85% (from 81%), and excludes any future acquisitions, dispositions or refinancings; supplemental materials include an FFO roll‑forward and the modeling assumptions.

Piedmont Office Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are weak (declining revenue and recent net losses, with 2025 gross profit turning negative). Balance sheet leverage remains elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.52x) despite some debt reduction. Cash flow is the main support with positive operating cash flow and a 2025 free-cash-flow rebound, though volatility tempers confidence.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue has been drifting down (2023 to 2025: ~$578M to ~$565M), and profitability has weakened materially: net results are negative in 2023–2025 after a strong 2020–2022 period. 2025 shows a sharp deterioration at the gross level (gross profit turned negative), while operating profitability is still positive (EBIT margin ~7.9% and EBITDA margin ~48%), suggesting pressures below/above the line are weighing on reported earnings. Overall, the income statement reflects declining top-line momentum and inconsistent bottom-line performance.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
The balance sheet is asset-heavy, but leverage is elevated for the current earnings profile. Debt-to-equity sits around ~1.52x in 2025 (down slightly vs. 2024, but higher than 2020–2022), and returns to shareholders are negative in 2023–2025 as equity has not been earning a positive profit. While total debt has come down from 2024 to 2025, the combination of still-high leverage and negative returns keeps balance-sheet quality in the mid-tier with clear downside sensitivity if operating conditions weaken.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: operating cash flow remained positive across the period and was ~$141M in 2025. However, cash-flow consistency is mixed—free cash flow swung from positive in 2021–2023 to negative in 2024, then rebounded in 2025. Also, the ability of operating cash flow to cover reported earnings is uneven (strong in 2025, weaker in 2024, and a missing/zero reading in 2023), indicating volatility in the translation of operations into cash and/or period-to-period working-capital/capex effects.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue564.99M570.32M577.76M563.77M528.71M
Gross Profit-117.06M336.20M342.67M337.71M317.78M
EBITDA271.49M252.13M289.10M437.04M256.73M
Net Income-83.60M-79.07M-48.39M146.83M-1.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.03B4.11B4.06B4.09B3.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments731.00K109.64M4.21M16.54M7.42M
Total Debt2.27B2.51B2.10B2.04B1.88B
Total Liabilities2.53B2.53B2.33B2.24B2.14B
Stockholders Equity1.50B1.59B1.72B1.85B1.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow140.56M-14.00M51.94M93.86M119.58M
Operating Cash Flow140.56M198.11M210.13M215.22M242.20M
Investing Cash Flow-175.35M-186.62M-196.02M-1.25M-368.93M
Financing Cash Flow-75.31M98.18M-29.50M-203.23M126.38M

Piedmont Office Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.73
Price Trends
50DMA
8.36
Negative
100DMA
8.35
Negative
200DMA
8.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
33.39
Neutral
STOCH
12.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PDM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.27, below the 50-day MA of 8.36, and below the 200-day MA of 8.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PDM.

Piedmont Office Risk Analysis

Piedmont Office disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Piedmont Office reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Piedmont Office Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
57
Neutral
$1.08B85.590.93%9.58%11.02%-30.91%
51
Neutral
$936.37M-11.51-4.45%6.09%-1.23%9.10%
51
Neutral
$561.01M-3.05-19.60%17.55%-5.52%40.27%
47
Neutral
$371.52M-0.37-14.02%-7.89%-15.88%
46
Neutral
$1.14B-7.42-10.10%4.01%-11.04%-58.49%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PDM
Piedmont Office
7.73
0.52
7.21%
HPP
Hudson Pacific Properties
6.36
-15.20
-70.50%
BDN
Brandywine Realty
3.16
-1.18
-27.21%
DEA
Easterly Government Properties
23.39
-2.28
-8.90%
JBGS
JBG Smith Properties
15.65
0.69
4.61%

Piedmont Office Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Piedmont Office Appoints Alex Valente Co-Chief Operating Officer
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On February 3, 2026, Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc.’s board appointed long-time executive Alex Valente, 40, as Executive Vice President and Co-Chief Operating Officer, effective immediately. Valente, who has been with the company for nearly two decades and most recently led its Southeast Region, brings extensive experience overseeing leasing, asset management, construction, and redevelopment for key properties and negotiating with some of Piedmont’s largest tenants, signaling continuity in leadership and operational strategy for the office-focused REIT.

The most recent analyst rating on (PDM) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Piedmont Office stock, see the PDM Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Piedmont Office Enters Underwriting Agreement for Note Sale
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Piedmont Office Realty Trust, Inc. and its Operating Partnership entered into an Underwriting Agreement with several major securities firms, including Wells Fargo Securities and BofA Securities. This agreement involves the sale of notes, which is part of a strategic move to incorporate certain items into a Registration Statement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This development could potentially impact the company’s financial operations and its positioning in the real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (PDM) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Piedmont Office stock, see the PDM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026