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ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (PBSFY)
OTHER OTC:PBSFY
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ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (PBSFY) AI Stock Analysis

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ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE

(OTC:PBSFY)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-3.85%Downside)
ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE's overall stock score is driven by solid technical indicators and strong cash flow management. However, the company's high leverage, declining core segment revenues, and negative P/E ratio weigh on its score. Positive digital growth and strategic investments provide some optimism, but operational challenges and valuation concerns remain significant.

ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE (PBSFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProSiebenSat.1 Media SE, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media company in Europe. It operates through three segments: Entertainment, Dating & Video, and Commerce & Ventures. The Entertainment segment operates free TV stations and digital paltforms, such as SAT.1, ProSieben, Kabel Eins, sixx, SAT.1 Gold, ProSieben MAXX, and Kabel Eins Doku, as well as distributes ProSiebenSat.1 HD stations. This segment is also involved in operating Marktguru and wetter.com; commercial websites; production and distribution programming portfolio, including entertainment, reality, and factual formats, as well as TV series, TV movies, and digital content; and operates Studio71, which offers digital content and web productions covering branded content, original production, content distribution, influencer products, and creator management. The Dating & Video segment engages in online matchmaking services for social dating and entertainment under the Parship, ElitePartner, eHarmony, LOVOO help singles brand names. This segment also provides video-based social dating and entertainment applications, such as MeetMe, Skout, Tagged, and GROWLr content for users. The Commerce & Ventures segment engages in the consumer advice, experiences, and beauty and lifestyle businesses; and offers individual tailored support services for development of companies. ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Unterföhring, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyProSiebenSat.1 Media SE generates revenue primarily through advertising sales on its various television channels and digital platforms. The company earns substantial income from selling advertising slots during its broadcast programming, leveraging its wide audience reach. Additionally, it capitalizes on subscription fees from its pay-TV services and video-on-demand platforms. Another significant revenue stream comes from its production and distribution arm, which creates and sells content to other broadcasters and streaming services. The company also benefits from partnerships and collaborations with other media entities, enhancing its content portfolio and market presence. ProSiebenSat.1's strategic diversification into digital and e-commerce ventures further contributes to its earnings, allowing it to tap into new markets and consumer trends.

ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth in the Commerce & Ventures segment, particularly through flaconi, and significant gains in the digital streaming platform Joyn. However, these positives were countered by substantial declines in the Dating & Video segment, adjusted EBITDA, and challenges in the advertising revenues which significantly impacted the Entertainment segment. The company's strategic focus on digital growth and debt reduction offers some optimism, but the negative trends in core areas weigh heavily.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Growth in Commerce & Ventures Segment
Commerce & Ventures segment experienced an 11% revenue increase in Q1 2025, primarily driven by the Beauty & Lifestyle vertical, particularly flaconi, which outperformed expectations and improved its EBITDA margin significantly.
Joyn's Significant Growth
Joyn streaming platform revenues grew by 39% in Q1, with user reach expanding to 8.3 million and video viewtime increasing by 48%. This growth highlights Joyn's increasing contribution to the company's digital presence.
Flaconi's Market Performance
Flaconi achieved double-digit revenue growth and significant market share increase, outperforming the German online beauty market which grew by just 1%. Its profitability was enhanced through operational excellence and marketing efficiencies.
Debt Reduction and Financial Leverage
Group's net financial debt was reduced by €124 million to €1,429 million, partly due to the sale of Verivox. The financial leverage ratio was improved to 2.7 times, within the expected range for 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Dating & Video Segment
Dating & Video segment saw a 22% revenue decline in Q1 2025, driven by weaker performances at eHarmony and lower video revenues due to seasonal effects and lower virtual goods and advertising sales.
Adjusted EBITDA and Net Income Decrease
Group adjusted EBITDA declined by 39% to €44 million, and adjusted net income decreased by €22 million to minus €14 million, reflecting negative EBITDA development and adverse conditions in high-margin advertising revenues.
Entertainment Segment Revenue Decline
Entertainment segment recorded a 2% revenue decline in Q1, driven by a €27 million decrease in DACH region TV advertising revenues, although partially offset by growth in other areas like Joyn.
Advertising Revenue Challenges
Advertising revenues, particularly in the DACH region, faced significant challenges due to macroeconomic conditions, with a 7% decrease in Q1. The company anticipates improvement in the second half of the year.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 results call, ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE's CFO, Martin Mildner, highlighted several key metrics regarding the company's performance and future outlook. The group achieved revenues of €855 million, with a 2% decline in the Entertainment segment partially offset by a robust 11% growth in Commerce & Ventures, driven by flaconi. However, adjusted EBITDA decreased by 39% to €44 million, and adjusted net income fell by €22 million to minus €14 million. The company expects a challenging first half but anticipates a recovery in the second half, projecting full-year revenues of approximately €3.85 billion and adjusted EBITDA of €520 million, influenced by the sale of Verivox. The financial leverage ratio is expected to stay within 2.5 to 3.0 times by year-end. ProSiebenSat.1 remains optimistic about its strategic investments and digital transformation efforts, which are expected to positively impact revenues and EBITDA within the year.

ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE's financials show mixed results. The income statement indicates operational challenges with declining revenue and profitability. However, the balance sheet is moderately stable despite high leverage, and strong cash flow management remains a notable strength.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement reveals challenges, with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational difficulties. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable, suggesting efficiency in managing direct costs. The company needs to address revenue growth and improve its operational performance to enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.94 in the latest period, indicating a high leverage level. The equity ratio has decreased over time, reflecting potential risks in financial stability. Maintaining a stable stockholders' equity amidst decreasing total assets is a positive sign, yet the company should manage its liabilities carefully to mitigate risk.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a strong operating cash flow which exceeds net income, indicating good cash management. The free cash flow remains strong, despite a decrease from previous years, supporting potential reinvestment and debt servicing. The company demonstrates resilience in cash generation even in challenging periods.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.92B3.85B4.16B4.49B4.05B
Gross Profit1.49B1.04B1.54B1.75B1.58B
EBITDA588.00M153.00M686.00M775.00M693.00M
Net Income51.00M-124.00M-50.00M456.00M267.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.61B5.90B6.00B6.59B7.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments608.00M619.00M568.00M703.00M1.26B
Total Debt2.25B2.45B2.29B2.67B3.42B
Total Liabilities4.14B4.32B4.23B4.49B5.39B
Stockholders Equity1.32B1.26B1.51B1.75B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow994.00M93.00M242.00M261.00M214.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.20B1.24B1.35B1.54B1.51B
Investing Cash Flow-1.10B-1.12B-966.00M-1.25B-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow-72.00M-44.00M-519.00M-940.00M205.00M

ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.08
Price Trends
50DMA
1.99
Positive
100DMA
1.82
Positive
200DMA
1.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
59.15
Neutral
STOCH
22.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PBSFY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.08, above the 50-day MA of 1.99, and above the 200-day MA of 1.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PBSFY.

ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SSSSP
76
Outperform
$311.37M3.7611.23%6.28%
GTGTN
70
Outperform
$598.72M2.329.92%5.97%9.08%
70
Outperform
$2.70B5.8916.07%2.98%6.34%-0.26%
68
Neutral
$1.16B18.3321.67%13.18%
62
Neutral
$1.89B32.76-0.85%0.64%-0.90%88.79%
61
Neutral
$40.89B-1.56-12.05%3.97%2.10%-69.66%
47
Neutral
$261.59M86.54%3.31%-39.47%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PBSFY
ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE
2.09
0.19
10.00%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
3.24
0.01
0.31%
GTN
Gray Television
5.16
-0.07
-1.34%
TGNA
TEGNA
17.02
1.97
13.09%
IHRT
iHeartMedia
1.97
0.63
47.01%
FUBO
fuboTV
3.50
2.06
143.06%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025