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AMC Networks Inc (AMCX)
:AMCX

AMC Networks (AMCX) AI Stock Analysis

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AMC Networks

(NASDAQ:AMCX)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(5.69%Upside)
AMC Networks' overall stock score is influenced by financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues. The company's strategic efforts in streaming and partnerships show promise but are offset by bearish technical indicators and valuation concerns. The recent successful bond offering provides some financial cushioning.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Management reiterated full-year revenue, AOI, and free cash flow guidance despite current pressures, signaling confidence in future performance.
Streaming Growth
Management expects streaming growth to accelerate through the year due to planned price increases, indicating potential future revenue improvement.
Negative Factors
Advertising Revenue Decline
There has been a noticeable decline in domestic advertising, which was worse than expected and is affecting revenue negatively.
Earnings and Revenue
AMC Networks reported revenue that slightly missed analyst and consensus estimates with domestic revenue declining due to lower advertising revenue.
Linear Business Challenges
AMC Networks faces meaningful linear challenges and macro concerns that pose further downside risks.

AMC Networks (AMCX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMC Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAMC Networks Inc., an entertainment company, owns and operates a suite of video entertainment products that are delivered to audiences and a platform to distributors and advertisers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Domestic Operations, and International and Other. The Domestic Operations segment operates various national programming networks, including the AMC, WE tv, BBC AMERICA, IFC, and SundanceTV; provides subscription streaming services comprising Acorn TV, Shudder, Sundance Now, ALLBLK, and HIDIVE, as well as AMC+ and other streaming initiatives; and engages in film distribution business under the IFC Films name. This segment also produces and licenses original programming for various programming networks, as well as services the national programming networks. The International and Other segment operates a portfolio of channels under the AMCNI name; and production and comedy venues activities under the Levity name. AMC Networks Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMC Networks generates revenue primarily through three key streams: advertising, affiliate fees, and content licensing. Advertising revenue comes from commercial spots aired during its cable television programming on channels like AMC and WE tv. Affiliate fees are generated from agreements with cable and satellite TV operators who pay AMC Networks for the right to carry their content. The company's streaming services also contribute to subscription-based revenue, as consumers pay for access to its diverse array of digital content. Additionally, content licensing agreements with third parties, such as international broadcasters and streaming platforms, provide another substantial revenue stream. Strategic partnerships and co-productions with other media companies enhance its content offerings and expand its reach, further contributing to its financial performance.

AMC Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
AMC Networks showed promising developments in their streaming and digital advertising strategies, with strong free cash flow and innovative partnerships driving growth. However, the company faced significant challenges in traditional linear advertising and international subscription revenues, leading to a decline in overall revenue.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start in Free Cash Flow Generation
AMC Networks generated $94 million in free cash flow in the first quarter, on track to achieve their full-year target of approximately $220 million.
Launch of Ad-Supported Streaming Services
The company launched an ad-supported version of AMC+ and plans to launch an ad-supported version of Shudder, expanding audience reach and advertising opportunities.
Growth in Streaming Revenue
Streaming revenue grew 8% despite a 3% decrease in overall subscription revenue, driven by pricing adjustments and streaming service launches.
Strong Audience Engagement for Original Programming
Dark Winds achieved a 100% score on Rotten Tomatoes for all three seasons, with a notable increase in direct-to-consumer acquisition on AMC+ for its third season premiere.
Innovative Partnerships and Distribution Strategies
AMC Networks formed strategic partnerships with Charter and Philo, integrating AMC+ into their platforms to enhance distribution and access.
Negative Updates
Decline in Overall Revenue
Consolidated net revenue declined 7% year-over-year to $555 million, with a significant 15% decrease in advertising revenue due to lower linear ratings.
Challenges in International Markets
International revenue decreased 7%, primarily due to the non-renewal with Movistar in Spain, which impacted subscription revenue.
Stagnant Streaming Subscriber Count
Streaming subscribers remained flat at 10.2 million compared to the prior year, with a slight decline from the end of 2024.
High Operating Costs
Domestic operations AOI decreased 24% due to increased SG&A, including marketing expenses, despite lower programming costs.
Company Guidance
During AMC Networks' First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Kristin Dolan highlighted the company's focus on programming, partnerships, and profitability amidst ongoing industry changes. AMC Networks increased its two-year cumulative free cash flow guidance to $550 million for 2024-2025, starting 2025 strong with $94 million generated in the first quarter. The company launched an ad-supported version of AMC+ with Charter, enhancing distribution flexibility, and plans to launch an ad-supported version of Shudder later this year. AMC Networks is also developing a new FAST channel, Acorn TV Mysteries, to enhance visibility and offer advertisers access to Acorn's audience. The company reported a 7% decline in consolidated net revenue year-over-year to $555 million, with domestic operations revenue decreasing by 7% to $486 million. Subscription revenue saw an 8% growth in streaming, despite a 12% decline in affiliate revenue. Adjusted operating income (AOI) was down 30% to $104 million with a 19% margin, while adjusted EPS stood at $0.52. AMC Networks ended the quarter with 10.2 million streaming subscribers under a revised definition and expects streaming revenue growth to accelerate throughout the year. The company continues to adapt to market conditions and plans further content releases and strategic partnerships to sustain growth.

AMC Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMC Networks shows declining revenues and profitability, with negative net margins and reduced EBIT margins. The balance sheet indicates improved equity and reduced debt, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues. Cash flow remains a strong point with positive free cash flow.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
AMC Networks shows a declining revenue trend with a notable decrease from $3.09B in 2022 to $2.38B in TTM, impacting profitability. Gross Profit Margin stands at 51.36% for TTM, reflecting a decent cost management. However, negative Net Profit Margin at -10.68% in TTM indicates struggles in achieving profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also weakened over time, with TTM EBIT Margin at 0.59% and EBITDA Margin at 36.69%.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.15 in TTM, indicating a reduction in debt. Stockholders' Equity has increased to $888.84M, improving the Equity Ratio to 20.52% in TTM. However, the Return on Equity is negative due to net losses, highlighting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free Cash Flow remains positive with a slight decline in growth, resulting in TTM Free Cash Flow of $271.45M. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative due to net losses, but Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable. Cash flow management appears stable despite profitability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.38B2.42B2.71B3.10B3.08B2.81B
Gross Profit1.22B1.29B1.40B1.58B1.65B1.41B
EBITDA873.77M985.15M1.46B1.25B1.53B1.49B
Net Income-254.30M-226.55M215.46M11.03M250.60M239.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.33B4.36B4.97B5.63B5.75B5.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments870.23M784.65M570.58M930.00M892.22M888.53M
Total Debt131.17M2.43B2.48B2.97B3.03B3.08B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.42B3.71B4.53B4.56B4.29B
Stockholders Equity888.84M855.60M1.05B806.99M851.09M616.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow271.45M330.84M168.71M137.56M100.90M702.14M
Operating Cash Flow323.95M375.62M203.92M181.83M143.47M748.74M
Investing Cash Flow-52.21M-40.38M-24.32M-39.38M-26.58M-35.16M
Financing Cash Flow-100.06M-110.22M-544.43M-97.11M-84.10M-648.00M

AMC Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.15
Price Trends
50DMA
6.35
Negative
100DMA
6.74
Negative
200DMA
7.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
46.10
Neutral
STOCH
55.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMCX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.32, below the 50-day MA of 6.35, and below the 200-day MA of 7.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMCX.

AMC Networks Risk Analysis

AMC Networks disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMC Networks reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AMC Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.03B7.4934.07%6.87%11.62%
61
Neutral
$41.24B-0.79-14.21%3.80%2.39%-73.52%
IQIQ
61
Neutral
$1.71B42.482.21%-10.05%-85.30%
58
Neutral
$9.10B-28.56%1.56%-4.50%-898.86%
57
Neutral
$276.30M13.94-25.83%-8.14%-258.98%
AMAMC
47
Neutral
$1.28B20.03%-5.43%26.07%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMCX
AMC Networks
6.15
-3.23
-34.43%
PARA
Paramount Global Class B
12.90
1.92
17.49%
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast
14.80
2.34
18.78%
AMC
AMC Entertainment
2.95
-2.52
-46.07%
IQ
Iqiyi
1.78
-1.95
-52.28%

AMC Networks Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMC Networks Completes $400M Senior Secured Notes Offering
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On July 3, 2025, AMC Networks successfully completed a private placement offering of $400 million in Senior Secured Notes due 2032, with an interest rate of 10.500% per annum. This strategic financial move strengthens AMC Networks’ capital structure, providing financial flexibility and potentially enhancing its market position by securing funds for future growth and operational needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMCX) stock is a Sell with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMC Networks stock, see the AMCX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
AMC Networks Announces $400M Senior Secured Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, AMC Networks announced plans to offer $400 million in senior secured notes due 2032 in a private offering, with the proceeds intended to fund a tender offer for up to $450 million of its outstanding 4.25% Senior Notes due 2029. This strategic financial move aims to manage the company’s debt and potentially strengthen its financial position, impacting its operations and market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMCX) stock is a Sell with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMC Networks stock, see the AMCX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
AMC Networks Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, AMC Networks held its Annual Meeting where Class A and Class B stockholders voted on several key proposals. The Class A stockholders elected five directors to the Board of Directors, while the Class B stockholders elected eight directors. Additionally, stockholders ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year, approved the compensation of the Company’s Named Executive Officers, and endorsed the Amended and Restated 2026 Employee Stock Plan. Furthermore, a proposal for the Company’s redomestication to the State of Nevada by conversion was also approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMCX) stock is a Sell with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AMC Networks stock, see the AMCX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 04, 2025