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Sinclair Broadcast (SBGI)
NASDAQ:SBGI
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Sinclair Broadcast (SBGI) AI Stock Analysis

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SBGI

Sinclair Broadcast

(NASDAQ:SBGI)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(8.84% Upside)
Sinclair Broadcast's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including high leverage and declining profitability. However, the positive earnings call and strategic outlook provide a counterbalance, suggesting potential for future growth. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, but caution is advised due to overbought signals.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 7% increase in core revenues indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, suggesting potential for sustained growth.
Station Portfolio Optimization
The acquisition and optimization of partner stations can enhance Sinclair's market presence and operational efficiency, leading to increased EBITDA.
Favorable Regulatory Environment
A favorable regulatory environment may enable strategic mergers and acquisitions, potentially unlocking significant synergies and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
The high leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting Sinclair's ability to invest in growth opportunities and affecting long-term financial stability.
Declining Profitability
Ongoing losses and declining profitability can strain resources and hinder Sinclair's ability to invest in strategic initiatives or weather economic downturns.
Challenges in Distribution Revenue
Challenges in distribution revenue can impact Sinclair's overall revenue streams, affecting its ability to maintain or grow its market position.

Sinclair Broadcast (SBGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sinclair Broadcast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSinclair, Inc. owns and operates as a broadcast television company. The Company engages consumers on multiple platforms with relevant and compelling news, entertainment, and sports content, as well as provides advertisers and businesses efficient means and value to connect with our mass audiences.
How the Company Makes MoneySinclair Broadcast Group generates revenue primarily through advertising sales, which is a substantial portion of its earnings. Local and national advertisers purchase airtime on Sinclair's television stations to promote their products and services, creating a consistent revenue stream. Additionally, the company earns money from affiliate fees paid by the major networks for broadcasting their content. Sinclair also generates revenue through retransmission consent fees, which cable and satellite providers pay for the rights to carry its television stations. Recent expansions into digital platforms and partnerships with streaming services further enhance its revenue opportunities. Furthermore, Sinclair's investment in original content production and syndication adds to its revenue base, allowing the company to monetize its programming across various channels.

Sinclair Broadcast Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with Sinclair exceeding guidance across key metrics, significant progress in station acquisitions, and a positive outlook for political advertising revenue. While there were some challenges in distribution revenue and regulatory issues, the overall sentiment remains positive due to robust growth and strategic opportunities in the broadcast sector.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Guidance Across Key Metrics
Total revenue of $773 million came in higher than the high end of the guidance range. Core revenues increased by 7% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA of $100 million exceeded the high end of the guidance range, reflecting operational discipline and cost management.
Station Portfolio Optimization
Significant progress on station portfolio optimization in the Broadcast segment. 11 partner station acquisitions have closed, and 12 have received FCC approval. The company expects $30 million in incremental annualized adjusted EBITDA from these acquisitions by the second half of 2026.
Constructive M&A Environment
Recent FCC and court rulings have created a more constructive M&A environment for broadcasters. The potential elimination of the 39% nationwide ownership cap could further enable value-creating transactions.
Record-Breaking Political Advertising Revenue Outlook
For 2026, political advertising revenue is expected to be at least equal to the 2022 record of $333 million, driven by competitive races and strong station footprint in key districts.
Strong Financial Position
The company ended the quarter with $526 million in consolidated cash and redeemed the final $89 million of 2027 senior notes, leaving no material debt maturities until December 2029.
Positive Core Advertising Trends
Core advertising revenue is expected to increase by more than 10% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, supported by improving trends in advertising categories and strong sports ratings.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Distribution Revenue
Despite improving subscriber churn, distribution revenue faced challenges due to the light renewal cycle in 2025, with rate escalators not fully offsetting MVPD subscriber losses.
Regulatory and Antitrust Challenges
The company and many broadcasters expressed concerns about hurtful network affiliation practices, particularly regarding content distribution through virtual MVPDs like YouTube TV.
Company Guidance
During Sinclair Broadcast Group's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported exceeding guidance across key metrics, with total revenue of $773 million and adjusted EBITDA of $100 million, both surpassing the high end of their guidance range. Core revenues increased by 7% year-over-year. Sinclair announced significant progress in its station portfolio optimization, expecting to generate at least $30 million in incremental annualized adjusted EBITDA from partner station acquisitions by the second half of 2026. The company also provided an early outlook for 2026, projecting political advertising revenue to match or exceed the $333 million record from 2022. Sinclair anticipates a strong advertising environment due to competitive political races and major sporting events. Additionally, the regulatory landscape is seen as favorable, potentially allowing for transformational industry consolidation, which could unlock $600 million to $900 million in annual synergies. Sinclair is actively exploring strategic opportunities to maximize value for stakeholders under these new conditions.

Sinclair Broadcast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sinclair Broadcast faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, high leverage, and financial risk. Despite efficient cash flow conversion, negative growth trends and high debt levels pose substantial risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sinclair Broadcast's income statement shows a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a negative net profit margin of -1.35%, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue has decreased by 4.14% compared to the previous period, and the gross profit margin has also declined. These factors suggest pressure on the company's ability to generate profit from its operations.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 12.23 in the TTM period, indicating financial risk. The return on equity is negative, highlighting the company's struggle to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability and a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a mixed picture. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, suggesting some ability to convert earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high at 0.92, indicating efficient cash conversion despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.34B3.55B3.13B3.93B6.13B5.94B
Gross Profit1.62B1.83B1.47B1.85B1.69B3.03B
EBITDA672.00M949.00M-61.00M944.00M714.00M2.27B
Net Income-45.00M310.00M-291.00M2.65B-414.00M-2.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.57B5.88B6.08B6.70B12.54B13.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments526.00M697.00M662.00M884.00M816.00M1.26B
Total Debt4.24B4.28B4.35B4.44B12.58B12.78B
Total Liabilities5.29B5.37B5.86B6.02B14.25B14.57B
Stockholders Equity347.00M583.00M285.00M748.00M-1.77B-1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow211.00M14.00M143.00M694.00M247.00M1.39B
Operating Cash Flow289.00M98.00M235.00M799.00M327.00M1.55B
Investing Cash Flow-102.00M77.00M52.00M-381.00M-246.00M-159.00M
Financing Cash Flow-197.00M-140.00M-509.00M-353.00M-524.00M-1.46B

Sinclair Broadcast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.16
Price Trends
50DMA
14.34
Positive
100DMA
14.09
Positive
200DMA
13.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
49.32
Neutral
STOCH
27.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBGI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.54, above the 50-day MA of 14.34, and above the 200-day MA of 13.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SBGI.

Sinclair Broadcast Risk Analysis

Sinclair Broadcast disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sinclair Broadcast reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sinclair Broadcast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$5.70B11.5822.38%3.90%-1.42%-8.99%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
56
Neutral
$382.17M-12.87%-7.38%-483.59%
53
Neutral
$1.05B-11.81%6.67%-0.98%82.16%
50
Neutral
$17.46B-1.90%1.36%-0.48%97.09%
47
Neutral
-2.85%75.96%
42
Neutral
-2.85%75.96%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast
15.16
-1.28
-7.79%
AMCX
AMC Networks
8.97
-0.32
-3.44%
PSKY
Paramount Skydance
14.67
3.82
35.21%
NXST
Nexstar Media Group
190.92
24.97
15.05%
LGF.A
Lions Gate Entertainment Class A
8.59
0.58
7.24%
LGF.B
Lions Gate Entertainment Class B
7.69
0.56
7.85%

Sinclair Broadcast Corporate Events

Sinclair Broadcast Group Exceeds Earnings Expectations
Nov 7, 2025

Sinclair Broadcast Group’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscored by the company’s robust financial performance and strategic advancements. The company exceeded its guidance across key metrics, made significant progress in station acquisitions, and expressed optimism about future political advertising revenue. Despite facing some challenges in distribution revenue and regulatory issues, the overall outlook remains positive, driven by growth and strategic opportunities in the broadcast sector.

Sinclair Broadcast Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

Sinclair Broadcast Group, a diversified media company, operates local news and sports television stations across the United States and owns the Tennis Channel, among other media assets. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Sinclair Broadcast Group reported financial results that met or exceeded expectations, with an adjusted EBITDA of $100 million and a notable year-over-year increase in core advertising revenue by $20 million. The company also redeemed $89 million of its senior unsecured notes, demonstrating a strategic focus on financial optimization.

Executive/Board Changes
Sinclair Broadcast Announces CFO Transition
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Sinclair, Inc. announced a transition in its Chief Financial Officer position, with Lucy Rutishauser stepping down and Narinder Sahai taking over the role. Effective October 1, 2025, Rutishauser retired but entered into a consulting agreement with Sinclair to provide strategic consulting services for up to two years. The agreement includes a compensation of $593.75 per hour with a minimum of eight hours per week and provisions for health insurance coverage under COBRA. The agreement also extends the exercise period of Rutishauser’s stock appreciation rights and includes non-competition, non-solicitation, and confidentiality clauses.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBGI) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sinclair Broadcast stock, see the SBGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Sinclair Broadcast CFO Transition on October 1, 2025
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Sinclair, Inc. announced the transition of its Chief Financial Officer role, with Lucy Rutishauser stepping down and Narinder Sahai taking over. Ms. Rutishauser retired on October 1, 2025, but will continue to provide strategic consulting services to Sinclair under a new agreement, which includes specific compensation and health insurance arrangements. The agreement also amends the terms of her stock appreciation rights, extending the exercise period under certain conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBGI) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sinclair Broadcast stock, see the SBGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Sinclair Broadcast Amends COO’s Employment Agreement
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Sinclair Television Group, Inc. amended the employment agreement with Robert Weisbord, its Chief Operating Officer and President of Broadcast, retroactively effective from January 1, 2025. The amendment outlines a reduction in Weisbord’s annual base salary to $1,000,000 and details various bonus structures and stock grants, including a special longevity bonus of $5,000,000, payable under specific conditions, potentially impacting the company’s financial commitments and executive retention strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBGI) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sinclair Broadcast stock, see the SBGI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sinclair Broadcast Extends COO’s Employment Agreement
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Sinclair Television Group, a subsidiary of Sinclair, Inc., announced an amendment to the employment agreement with Robert Weisbord, Chief Operating Officer and President of Broadcast. The amendment, effective retroactively from January 1, 2025, extends Mr. Weisbord’s employment term until December 31, 2027, with options for further extension. His annual base salary is set at $1,000,000, with eligibility for various bonuses and stock grants. A notable feature is a one-time special longevity bonus of $5,000,000, payable in 2027, contingent on his continued employment or termination without cause. This amendment reflects Sinclair’s commitment to retaining key leadership and could have implications for its operational stability and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBGI) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sinclair Broadcast stock, see the SBGI Stock Forecast page.

Sinclair Broadcast Group Navigates Earnings Call with Optimism
Aug 8, 2025

Sinclair Broadcast Group’s recent earnings call conveyed a balanced sentiment, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company showcased its financial management prowess and strategic acquisitions, yet faced hurdles in distribution revenue and core advertising declines. Optimism for future growth is fueled by new leadership and favorable regulatory developments, although economic pressures and subscriber challenges persist.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025