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Oxford Industries (OXM)
NYSE:OXM
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Oxford Industries (OXM) AI Stock Analysis

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OXM

Oxford Industries

(NYSE:OXM)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$47.00
▲(2.55% Upside)
Oxford Industries' overall score reflects strong profitability and an attractive valuation, offset by operational challenges and bearish technical indicators. The earnings call presents a mixed outlook with growth in certain segments but overall sales decline and increased expenses.
Positive Factors
Brand Performance
Lilly Pulitzer brand initiatives appear to be taking hold, contributing positively to performance.
Financial Performance
4Q revenue and adjusted EPS were better than both the analyst's and the Street's expectations.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
Q2 EPS guidance came in well below consensus, while the '25 outlook was lowered significantly, both as a result of higher tariffs and continued macro uncertainty.
Macroeconomic Challenges
OXM remains in a tough spot as the macro environment remains very challenging.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs implemented caused a significant headwind to earnings per share.

Oxford Industries (OXM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes products of lifestyle and other brands worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; women's and girl's dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as footwear and children's apparel and swimwear under the Lilly Pulitzer brand; and men's shirts, pants, shorts, outerwear, ties, swimwear, footwear, and accessories, as well as women and youth products under the Southern Tide brand. It also designs, sources, markets, and distributes premium childrenswear, including bonnets, hats, apparel, swimwear, and accessories through thebeaufortbonnetcompany.com and wholesale specialty retailers; men's apparel, which include pants, shorts, and tops through duckhead.com and wholesale specialty retailers. In addition, the company licenses Tommy Bahama brand for various products, such as indoor and outdoor furniture, beach chairs, bedding and bath linens, fabrics, leather goods and gifts, headwear, hosiery, sleepwear, shampoo, toiletries, fragrances, cigar accessories, distilled spirits, and other products; Lilly Pulitzer for stationery and gift products, home furnishing products, and eyewear; and Southern Tide trademark for bed and bath product. Oxford Industries, Inc. offers products through its retail stores, department stores, specialty stores, multi-branded e-commerce retailers, off-price retailers, and other retailers, as well as e-commerce sites. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 186 brand-specific full-price retail stores; 21 Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations; and 35 Tommy Bahama outlet stores. Oxford Industries, Inc. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyOxford Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded apparel and accessories, which are marketed through a combination of wholesale distribution and direct-to-consumer channels, including retail stores and e-commerce platforms. The company benefits from a diversified portfolio of well-established brands that appeal to a range of consumer demographics. Key revenue streams include wholesale sales to department stores and specialty retailers, direct sales from company-owned retail locations, and online sales through its websites. Partnerships with various retailers and a strong presence in the e-commerce space significantly contribute to its earnings. Additionally, seasonal collections and limited-edition releases help to drive consumer interest and boost sales.

Oxford Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 11, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging quarter with notable achievements in brand expansion and supply chain diversification. However, significant challenges remain due to tariff impacts, declines in sales, and specific brand struggles, resulting in a cautious outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Lilly Pulitzer Brand Success
The Lilly Pulitzer brand achieved double-digit growth with positive comps in both e-commerce and retail, along with meaningful growth in average order size and improved profitability.
Tommy Bahama Brand Expansion
Successfully opened two new Marlin bars in different climates and malls, expecting to see a meaningful uplift in retail business and brand experience.
Supply Chain Diversification
Made excellent progress in diversifying supply chain away from China, with expectations to be substantially out of China by the second half of 2026.
Negative Updates
Impact of US Tariff Policy
Tariffs have created turbulence, with an additional $40 million in costs projected for the year due to increased tariffs on imports.
Decline in Overall Sales
Consolidated net sales decreased to $393 million from $398 million compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Challenges with Johnny Was Brand
Reported mid-teens decline in Q1 with no major rebound expected in the short term.
Gross Margin and Profitability Concerns
Adjusted gross margin contracted by 110 basis points to 64.3%, and adjusted operating profit decreased from 14.4% to 9.8%.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Oxford Industries reported consolidated net sales of $393 million, slightly down from $398 million in the same period of 2024, yet within their guidance range of $375 million to $395 million. Despite a challenging market environment, the Lilly Pulitzer brand experienced double-digit growth with positive comps in both e-commerce and retail, contributing significantly to the quarter’s success. Meanwhile, the Tommy Bahama brand saw a slight decline, though it continued to expand with the opening of two new Marlin Bars, which are expected to boost retail performance. Adjusted gross margin contracted by 110 basis points to 64.3%, impacted by increased freight expenses and markdowns. The company also faced a $40 million cost due to newly implemented US tariffs, a substantial increase from the earlier estimate of $9-10 million, highlighting the unpredictable nature of current trade policies. Oxford Industries is actively working on diversifying its supply chain and expects to be substantially out of China by the second half of 2026. Despite these challenges, adjusted net earnings per share were $1.82, with the company maintaining a focus on long-term strategic goals and brand positioning.

Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oxford Industries demonstrates robust profitability but faces challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow generation. While the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin, operational efficiencies have decreased. Balance sheet metrics show moderate leverage, and although cash flow generation remains strong, the decline in free cash flow warrants attention.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Oxford Industries shows a steady financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 62.8% TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and a net profit margin of 5.3% TTM. While revenue growth has faced challenges, particularly a revenue decline from $1.57 billion in 2024 to $1.52 billion TTM, the company maintains solid profitability metrics, though a decrease in EBIT margin from 5.1% TTM compared to 7.5% in 2024 highlights some operational efficiency issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of Oxford Industries indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.92 TTM, reflecting an increase from 0.60 in 2024. The equity ratio stands at 44.2% TTM, suggesting a reasonable level of financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 13.6% TTM, showing a slight decline, which might be a concern for long-term investors.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Oxford Industries' cash flow statement highlights a significant reduction in free cash flow from $59.8 million in 2024 to $11.4 million TTM, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.94 TTM, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the decline in free cash flow prompts caution.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.57B1.41B1.14B748.83M
Gross Profit954.57M995.59M888.86M706.22M415.21M
EBITDA186.91M145.05M266.38M205.44M-83.76M
Net Income92.97M60.70M165.74M131.32M-95.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.29B1.10B1.19B957.64M865.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.47M7.60M8.83M209.75M66.01M
Total Debt449.18M337.58M413.58M260.76M300.85M
Total Liabilities667.25M536.93M632.39M449.98M459.91M
Stockholders Equity622.56M560.91M556.27M507.66M405.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.80M170.19M78.94M166.11M54.93M
Operating Cash Flow194.03M244.28M125.61M198.01M83.85M
Investing Cash Flow-143.27M-83.98M-151.75M-181.57M-34.65M
Financing Cash Flow-48.61M-161.17M-11.53M-38.17M-35.85M

Oxford Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price45.83
Price Trends
50DMA
42.09
Positive
100DMA
46.73
Negative
200DMA
59.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Negative
RSI
58.05
Neutral
STOCH
73.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.11, above the 50-day MA of 42.09, and below the 200-day MA of 59.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OXM.

Oxford Industries Risk Analysis

Oxford Industries disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oxford Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oxford Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$17.32B22.8132.55%1.19%9.61%21.14%
71
Outperform
$1.17B6.2412.21%1.72%13.75%
71
Outperform
$3.34B24.898.89%1.71%2.26%-37.52%
69
Neutral
$3.84B11.268.31%0.19%-3.63%-37.24%
67
Neutral
$701.96M9.1313.63%5.79%-2.47%99.50%
61
Neutral
$17.72B12.54-5.44%3.05%1.52%-15.30%
54
Neutral
$5.35B63.087.83%2.63%-7.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OXM
Oxford Industries
47.00
-34.29
-42.18%
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
26.71
0.31
1.17%
PVH
PVH
81.60
-21.91
-21.17%
RL
Ralph Lauren
287.39
118.76
70.43%
VFC
VF
13.67
-3.66
-21.12%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
8.20
-2.05
-20.00%

Oxford Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Oxford Industries Concludes 2025 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Oxford Industries, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. During the meeting, shareholders elected three Class III directors to the Board for a term ending in 2028, approved Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal 2025, and endorsed the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (OXM) stock is a Hold with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oxford Industries stock, see the OXM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025