Oxford Industries (OXM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $625.49M
• Dividend Yield: 6.59%
• Average Volume (3M): 453.15K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.72
• Revenue Growth: -2.47%
• EPS Growth: 99.50%
• Country: US
• Employees: 6,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): 1.82
• Shares Outstanding: 14,935,408
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 678,305
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 453,149
• PEG Ratio: 0.35
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.35
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 23.61
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 3.63
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.37
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.38
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 4.58
• 1Y Price Target: $47.75
• Price Target Upside: 12.62% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 47 Neutral
• Price Target: $39.00 ▼(-8.02%Downside)

Oxford Industries' overall stock score reflects significant financial performance weaknesses, including declining profitability and high financial leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. While valuation metrics offer some positives, challenges from tariffs and expenses, as indicated in the earnings call, contribute to a cautious outlook.

Positive Factors

Brand Performance

Lilly Pulitzer brand initiatives appear to be taking hold, contributing positively to performance.

Financial Results

4Q revenue and adjusted EPS were better than both the analyst's and the Street's expectations.

Tariff Mitigation

The company is working to control the controllables and is focusing on initiatives to mitigate tariff risk and attract new customers.

Negative Factors

Earnings Guidance

Q2 EPS guidance came in well below consensus, while the '25 outlook was lowered significantly, both as a result of higher tariffs and continued macro uncertainty.

Macroeconomic Challenges

OXM remains in a tough spot as the macro environment remains very challenging.

Tariff Impact

A high percentage of merchandise is sourced in China, posing a sizable headwind due to tariff dynamics.

Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes products of lifestyle and other brands worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; women's and girl's dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as footwear and children's apparel and swimwear under the Lilly Pulitzer brand; and men's shirts, pants, shorts, outerwear, ties, swimwear, footwear, and accessories, as well as women and youth products under the Southern Tide brand. It also designs, sources, markets, and distributes premium childrenswear, including bonnets, hats, apparel, swimwear, and accessories through thebeaufortbonnetcompany.com and wholesale specialty retailers; men's apparel, which include pants, shorts, and tops through duckhead.com and wholesale specialty retailers. In addition, the company licenses Tommy Bahama brand for various products, such as indoor and outdoor furniture, beach chairs, bedding and bath linens, fabrics, leather goods and gifts, headwear, hosiery, sleepwear, shampoo, toiletries, fragrances, cigar accessories, distilled spirits, and other products; Lilly Pulitzer for stationery and gift products, home furnishing products, and eyewear; and Southern Tide trademark for bed and bath product. Oxford Industries, Inc. offers products through its retail stores, department stores, specialty stores, multi-branded e-commerce retailers, off-price retailers, and other retailers, as well as e-commerce sites. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 186 brand-specific full-price retail stores; 21 Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations; and 35 Tommy Bahama outlet stores. Oxford Industries, Inc. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

How the Company Makes Money

Oxford Industries generates revenue through the design, sourcing, marketing, and distribution of branded apparel and related products. The company operates retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale distribution channels to sell its products. Key revenue streams include direct-to-consumer sales via its branded retail stores and e-commerce websites, as well as wholesale sales to department stores and specialty retailers. Oxford Industries also benefits from licensing agreements and partnerships that expand their brand presence and product offerings. Seasonal fashion collections and brand-specific promotions further drive sales, along with strategic geographic expansion and a focus on enhancing customer experience both online and in-store.

Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Oxford Industries faces significant financial challenges, including declining profitability and increasing financial leverage. Despite past revenue growth, the company's net profit margin and ROE have decreased, and cash flow inconsistencies raise concerns about financial sustainability.

Income Statement

Oxford Industries experienced a volatile revenue trajectory with strong growth from 2021 to 2023, followed by a decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins in 2024. The gross profit margin was relatively stable, but the net profit margin significantly decreased in 2024, indicating reduced profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating potential financial leverage risks. The equity ratio has decreased over time, suggesting higher reliance on debt financing. ROE was positive until 2024 when it turned negative due to net losses, impacting shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow showed some growth in 2024 but was insufficient to cover net income, leading to negative cash flow ratios. Operating cash flow has been inconsistent, affecting overall liquidity management.

Breakdown
Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement		Total Revenue
1.52B	1.57B	1.41B	1.14B	748.83M
	Gross Profit
954.57M	995.59M	888.86M	706.22M	415.21M
	EBIT
119.04M	80.98M	218.77M	165.50M	-63.40M
	EBITDA
186.91M	145.05M	266.38M	205.44M	-83.76M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
92.97M	60.70M	165.74M	131.32M	-95.69M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.47M	7.60M	8.83M	209.75M	66.01M
	Total Assets
1.29B	1.10B	1.19B	957.64M	865.63M
	Total Debt
449.18M	337.58M	413.58M	260.76M	300.85M
	Net Debt
439.71M	329.98M	404.76M	215.90M	234.84M
	Total Liabilities
667.25M	536.93M	632.39M	449.98M	459.91M
	Stockholders Equity
622.56M	560.91M	556.27M	507.66M	405.73M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
59.80M	170.19M	78.94M	166.11M	54.93M
	Operating Cash Flow
194.03M	244.28M	125.61M	198.01M	83.85M
	Investing Cash Flow
-143.27M	-83.98M	-151.75M	-181.57M	-34.65M
	Financing Cash Flow
-48.61M	-161.17M	-11.53M	-38.17M	-35.85M

Oxford Industries Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 42.40
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.59, below the 50-day MA of 51.27, and below the 200-day MA of 68.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OXM.

Oxford Industries Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
RL	76 Outperform	$16.31B	23.29	29.49%	1.27%	6.75%	19.71%
ZGN	76 Outperform	$3.68B	27.27	8.89%	1.43%	2.26%	-37.52%
PVH	72 Outperform	$3.13B	9.18	8.31%	0.24%	-3.63%	-37.24%
GIII	66 Neutral	$929.34M	4.96	12.21%	―	1.72%	13.75%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.86B	11.07	2.77%	4.27%	2.66%	-24.95%
VFC	53 Neutral	$4.84B	―	-2.39%	2.90%	-8.42%	57.91%
OXM	47 Neutral	$625.49M	8.14	13.63%	6.59%	-2.47%	99.50%

Oxford Industries Corporate Events

Oxford Industries Shifts Sourcing Amid New U.S. Tariffs

In response to newly announced U.S. tariffs on imported goods, Oxford Industries is actively diversifying its sourcing strategy to mitigate potential impacts. The company plans to reduce its reliance on Chinese producers, aiming for less than 35% of sourcing from China by fiscal 2025 and less than 10% by fiscal 2026, while increasing sourcing from countries like Cambodia, India, and Vietnam. This strategic shift is expected to help the company manage the uncertain economic environment, although the full effects of the tariffs and diversification efforts remain uncertain.