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Oxford Industries (OXM)
NYSE:OXM

Oxford Industries (OXM) AI Stock Analysis

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Oxford Industries

(NYSE:OXM)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(1.96%Upside)
Oxford Industries' stock score is primarily influenced by its solid valuation metrics, offering a strong dividend yield and low P/E ratio, which suggests potential undervaluation. Financial performance is stable, but challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow generation pose risks. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and mixed outcomes from the earnings call suggest a cautious outlook. Investors should be aware of the operational challenges and market conditions impacting the company.
Positive Factors
Brand Performance
Lilly Pulitzer brand initiatives appear to be taking hold, contributing positively to performance.
Financial Performance
4Q revenue and adjusted EPS were better than both the analyst's and the Street's expectations.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Forecast
Management revised guidance significantly lower due to higher assumed tariffs and the company's high exposure to China.
Macroeconomic Environment
OXM remains in a tough spot as the macro environment remains very challenging.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs implemented caused a significant headwind to earnings per share.

Oxford Industries (OXM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) is an American apparel company that designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle products. The company operates primarily in the branded apparel sector, with a focus on high-end, lifestyle-centric clothing. Its core brands include Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, and Southern Tide, each offering a unique range of products such as casual wear, swimwear, and accessories, catering to various consumer demographics.
How the Company Makes MoneyOxford Industries generates revenue through the design, sourcing, marketing, and distribution of branded apparel and related products. The company operates retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale distribution channels to sell its products. Key revenue streams include direct-to-consumer sales via its branded retail stores and e-commerce websites, as well as wholesale sales to department stores and specialty retailers. Oxford Industries also benefits from licensing agreements and partnerships that expand their brand presence and product offerings. Seasonal fashion collections and brand-specific promotions further drive sales, along with strategic geographic expansion and a focus on enhancing customer experience both online and in-store.

Oxford Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 11, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed view with strong performance in the Lilly Pulitzer brand and growth in the wholesale channel. However, the company faces significant challenges such as overall sales decline, tariff impacts, and increased expenses. While there are positive steps being taken in supply chain diversification and new store openings, the balance of highlights and lowlights suggests a cautious outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Lilly Pulitzer Brand
Lilly Pulitzer posted double-digit growth with positive comps in both e-commerce and retail, and meaningful growth in average order size and profitability.
Wholesale Channel Growth
Sales in the wholesale channel increased by 4% compared to the first quarter of 2024, with increased sales to major department stores and off-price retailers.
Progress on Supply Chain Diversification
The company is making excellent progress on diversifying its supply chain away from China and expects to be substantially out of China by the second half of 2026.
New Store Openings
Tommy Bahama opened two new Marlin bars, which are expected to provide an immersive brand experience and boost retail business.
Negative Updates
Overall Decrease in Net Sales
Consolidated net sales were $393 million compared to $398 million in the first quarter of 2024, indicating a slight decrease.
Impact of Tariffs
The company incurred $1 million of additional charges due to US tariffs on imported goods in the first quarter, with an overall $40 million negative impact expected for the year.
Negative Comps and Decreased Sales
Brick and mortar locations saw a negative comp of 5%, and e-commerce sales decreased by 5%.
Decline in Tommy Bahama and Johnny Was Sales
Lower sales were recorded in the Tommy Bahama and Johnny Was segments.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Adjusted SG&A expenses increased by 5% compared to last year, driven by higher employment costs, occupancy costs, and expenses from new retail locations.
Expected Decrease in Operating Income
Operating income is expected to decline due to investments in a challenging consumer and macro environment.
Higher Debt Levels and Interest Expense
Interest expense increased due to higher average debt levels, impacting overall profitability.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Oxford Industries reported net sales of $393 million, slightly below the prior year's $398 million but within the forecast range of $375 million to $395 million. Despite challenging market conditions, the Lilly Pulitzer brand achieved double-digit growth, driven by a 50% increase in new products compared to 40% last year and positive comps in both e-commerce and retail. Conversely, Tommy Bahama and Johnny Was experienced lower sales, with adjusted gross margins contracting by 110 basis points to 64.3%, primarily due to increased freight expenses and markdowns. The company faced a $40 million impact from new tariffs, leading to a projected decrease in gross margin by 200 basis points for the year. Capital expenditures for the year are expected to reach $120 million, with a focus on the new distribution center in Lyons, Georgia, and new retail locations. Adjusted net earnings per share for the quarter were $1.82, with a full-year expectation between $2.80 and $3.20, down from $6.68 last year.

Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oxford Industries demonstrates robust profitability with a strong gross profit margin but faces challenges in revenue growth and free cash flow generation. Operational efficiencies have decreased, and moderate leverage on the balance sheet requires attention. Continued focus on operational improvements and managing debt levels will be crucial for sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Oxford Industries shows a steady financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 62.8% TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and a net profit margin of 5.3% TTM. While revenue growth has faced challenges, particularly a revenue decline from $1.57 billion in 2024 to $1.52 billion TTM, the company maintains solid profitability metrics, though a decrease in EBIT margin from 5.1% TTM compared to 7.5% in 2024 highlights some operational efficiency issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of Oxford Industries indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.92 TTM, reflecting an increase from 0.60 in 2024. The equity ratio stands at 44.2% TTM, suggesting a reasonable level of financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 13.6% TTM, showing a slight decline, which might be a concern for long-term investors.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Oxford Industries' cash flow statement highlights a significant reduction in free cash flow from $59.8 million in 2024 to $11.4 million TTM, indicating potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.94 TTM, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the decline in free cash flow prompts caution.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.51B1.52B1.57B1.41B1.14B748.83M
Gross Profit948.50M954.57M995.59M888.86M706.22M415.21M
EBITDA171.09M186.91M145.05M266.38M205.44M-83.76M
Net Income80.78M92.97M60.70M165.74M131.32M-95.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B1.29B1.10B1.19B957.64M865.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.18M9.47M7.60M8.83M209.75M66.01M
Total Debt542.77M449.18M337.58M413.58M260.76M300.85M
Total Liabilities747.28M667.25M536.93M632.39M449.98M459.91M
Stockholders Equity592.42M622.56M560.91M556.27M507.66M405.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.40M59.80M170.19M78.94M166.11M54.93M
Operating Cash Flow157.17M194.03M244.28M125.61M198.01M83.85M
Investing Cash Flow-154.59M-143.27M-83.98M-151.75M-181.57M-34.65M
Financing Cash Flow-1.94M-48.61M-161.17M-11.53M-38.17M-35.85M

Oxford Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price48.06
Price Trends
50DMA
49.38
Negative
100DMA
53.68
Negative
200DMA
65.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.53
Negative
RSI
56.94
Neutral
STOCH
90.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.59, below the 50-day MA of 49.38, and below the 200-day MA of 65.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OXM.

Oxford Industries Risk Analysis

Oxford Industries disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oxford Industries reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oxford Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RLRL
76
Outperform
$17.26B24.5529.49%1.28%6.75%19.71%
ZGZGN
76
Outperform
$3.66B27.128.89%1.51%2.26%-37.52%
71
Outperform
$1.02B5.4512.21%1.72%13.75%
OXOXM
66
Neutral
$634.16M8.2513.63%6.05%-2.47%99.50%
PVPVH
66
Neutral
$3.55B10.418.31%0.20%-3.63%-37.24%
56
Neutral
HK$24.88B3.87-2.03%6.54%-0.32%-67.68%
VFVFC
47
Neutral
$4.85B-2.39%2.89%-7.52%94.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OXM
Oxford Industries
48.06
-48.59
-50.27%
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
23.55
-3.28
-12.23%
PVH
PVH
72.59
-36.10
-33.21%
RL
Ralph Lauren
290.56
109.31
60.31%
VFC
VF
12.46
-0.68
-5.18%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
8.95
-2.13
-19.22%

Oxford Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Oxford Industries Concludes 2025 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Oxford Industries, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. During the meeting, shareholders elected three Class III directors to the Board for a term ending in 2028, approved Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal 2025, and endorsed the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (OXM) stock is a Hold with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oxford Industries stock, see the OXM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Oxford Industries Shifts Sourcing Amid New U.S. Tariffs
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

In response to newly announced U.S. tariffs on imported goods, Oxford Industries is actively diversifying its sourcing strategy to mitigate potential impacts. The company plans to reduce its reliance on Chinese producers, aiming for less than 35% of sourcing from China by fiscal 2025 and less than 10% by fiscal 2026, while increasing sourcing from countries like Cambodia, India, and Vietnam. This strategic shift is expected to help the company manage the uncertain economic environment, although the full effects of the tariffs and diversification efforts remain uncertain.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025