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Oxford Industries
(NYSE:OXM)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▼(-22.03% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/27/26
OXM scores below average primarily due to deteriorating profitability and increased leverage, reinforced by bearish technical trends (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include still-positive operating and free cash flow, a very high dividend yield, and earnings-call guidance pointing to margin recovery and improved EPS outlook despite uneven sales trends and brand-specific weakness.
Positive Factors
Resilient cash generation
Oxford's operating and free cash flow resilience, despite earnings volatility, provides durable liquidity to fund capex (Lyons DC), dividends and working capital. Positive cash generation supports execution of strategic investments and gives flexibility to delever or weather soft sales over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Deteriorated profitability and recent losses
Sustained losses and significant revenue contraction undermine return generation and can erode reinvestment capacity. Negative operating profit and thin EBITDA margin suggest operational issues that require several quarters of consistent sales and cost improvements to restore durable profitability and ROE.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Resilient cash generation
Oxford's operating and free cash flow resilience, despite earnings volatility, provides durable liquidity to fund capex (Lyons DC), dividends and working capital. Positive cash generation supports execution of strategic investments and gives flexibility to delever or weather soft sales over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Oxford Industries (OXM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$548.71M
Dividend Yield6.77%
Average Volume (3M)502.41K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.14
Revenue Growth-2.31%
EPS Growth-150.53%
CountryUS
Employees6,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.63
Shares Outstanding14,930,932
10 Day Avg. Volume905,966
30 Day Avg. Volume502,406
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.15
Price to Book (P/B)1.07
Price to Sales (P/S)0.37
P/FCF Ratio48.77
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.04
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.76
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.26
Enterprise Value/Ebitda55.39
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$40.00Price Target Upside-10.89% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)2.46
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.49B
Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Oxford Industries, Inc. (OII) operates globally as a lifestyle apparel and accessories enterprise, engaged in the development, procurement, promotion, and sale of various branded products. Its portfolio includes several distinct labels: Tommy Baha...
How the Company Makes Money
Oxford Industries makes money primarily by selling branded apparel and related products through two main channels: (1) direct-to-consumer (DTC) and (2) wholesale. In DTC, the company generates revenue from purchases made in its owned retail stores...
Oxford Industries Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jun 10, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed but managed outcome: the company delivered better-than-expected earnings driven by margin actions and strong Tommy Bahama and emerging brand performances, and it has taken proactive steps on sourcing, tariff refunds and operational investments (Lyons DC). However, comparable sales were down, adjusted EBITDA declined, and two key brands (Lilly Pulitzer and Johnny Was wholesale) face notable challenges. Management narrowed revenue guidance while tightening and increasing the low end of EPS guidance, signaling confidence in margin recovery even as top-line softness and tariff uncertainty persist. Overall the narrative is cautiously constructive with tangible operating fixes underway but uneven near-term sales performance.Positive Updates
Earnings and Margin Outperformance in Q1
Reported adjusted EPS of $1.39 in Q1 FY26 and earnings were better than expectations primarily driven by stronger-than-expected gross margin performance.
Negative Updates
Topline Softness and Comparable Sales Decline
Consolidated net sales were $391M in Q1 FY26 vs $393M prior year; total company comparable sales declined 2% (retail comps -2%, e-commerce comps -2%) and wholesale sales decreased 5% YoY.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Earnings and Margin Outperformance in Q1
Reported adjusted EPS of $1.39 in Q1 FY26 and earnings were better than expectations primarily driven by stronger-than-expected gross margin performance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Oxford updated its fiscal 2026 guidance to net sales of $1.48B–$1.505B (roughly flat to +2% vs. FY25’s $1.48B) with full‑year comps expected to be slightly negative to slightly positive; Q2 sales are guided to $380M–$400M (vs. $403M Q2 FY25) with Q2 comps in the low‑single‑digit negative to flat range. By channel, management models FY26 food & beverage up high‑single‑digits, DTC down low‑single‑digits to flat, and wholesale down mid‑single‑digits; they expect gross margin expansion of ~100–200 bps in Q2–Q4 (approximately +100 bps for the year inclusive of the Q1 tariff headwind) assuming a 10% tariff rate (guidance excludes potential tariff refunds). Financial assumptions include adjusted EPS $2.30–$2.70 (tightened; vs. $2.11 last year) and Q2 adjusted EPS $1.20–$1.40 (vs. $1.26), SG&A growth in the low single digits, roughly +$2M royalties in EBITDA, interest expense of about $7M for the year (~$2M in Q2), an effective tax rate near 28% for FY26 (≈29% in Q2), and CapEx ≈ $60M for the year (including $23M spent in Q1); the company also noted it has filed ~ $25M of phase‑1 tariff claims and begun receiving refunds.Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.48B | 1.48B | 1.52B | 1.57B | 1.41B | 1.14B |
| Gross Profit | 889.34M | 897.74M | 954.57M | 995.59M | 888.86M | 706.22M |
| EBITDA | 20.19M | 34.62M | 186.91M | 145.05M | 266.38M | 205.44M |
| Net Income | -39.08M | -27.89M | 92.97M | 60.70M | 165.74M | 131.32M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.34B | 1.31B | 1.29B | 1.10B | 1.19B | 957.64M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 9.36M | 8.13M | 9.47M | 7.60M | 8.83M | 209.75M |
| Total Debt | 592.43M | 563.44M | 449.18M | 337.58M | 413.58M | 260.76M |
| Total Liabilities | 814.46M | 794.12M | 667.25M | 536.93M | 632.39M | 449.98M |
| Stockholders Equity | 523.39M | 514.84M | 622.56M | 560.91M | 556.27M | 507.66M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 23.81M | 11.31M | 59.80M | 170.19M | 78.94M | 166.11M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 131.49M | 119.65M | 194.03M | 244.28M | 125.61M | 198.01M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -107.72M | -108.40M | -143.27M | -83.98M | -151.75M | -181.57M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -22.75M | -12.89M | -48.61M | -161.17M | -11.53M | -38.17M |
Oxford Industries Technical Analysis
Negative
44.89
Price Trends
40.06
Negative
39.57
Negative
38.06
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.21
Negative
44.79
Neutral
66.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.11, above the 50-day MA of 40.06, and above the 200-day MA of 38.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OXM.
Oxford Industries Risk Analysis
Oxford Industries disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oxford Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Oxford Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $1.47B | 11.54 | 7.12% | ― | -7.78% | -32.92% | |
73 Outperform | $23.51B | 24.29 | 34.77% | 0.93% | 14.63% | 29.96% | |
70 Outperform | $3.22B | 20.23 | 10.26% | 2.18% | 0.54% | -19.72% | |
68 Neutral | $5.69B | 31.25 | 10.25% | 1.33% | 2.91% | 29.96% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
55 Neutral | $3.66B | 23.37 | 3.25% | 0.22% | 3.54% | -55.30% | |
49 Neutral | $548.71M | -13.77 | -7.23% | 6.77% | -2.31% | -150.53% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
OXM
Oxford Industries
36.21
-6.14
-14.49%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
63.72
4.58
7.74%
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
34.50
10.80
45.54%
PVH
PVH
77.78
5.56
7.70%
RL
Ralph Lauren
374.49
88.58
30.98%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
13.16
4.45
51.13%
Oxford Industries Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Oxford Industries Shareholders Approve Directors and Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 26, 2026
On June 23, 2026, Oxford Industries, Inc. shareholders held their 2026 annual meeting, re-electing three Class I directors, Dennis M. Love, Clyde C. Tuggle and Carol B. Yancey, to three-year terms expiring in 2029. The meeting also saw investors a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.