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Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM)
NYSE:OXM
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Oxford Industries (OXM) AI Stock Analysis

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OXM

Oxford Industries

(NYSE:OXM)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▼(-19.80% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/12/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorated profitability (losses and revenue declines) and increased leverage, reinforced by weak technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD). These negatives are partially offset by positive operating/free cash flow, a very high dividend yield, and an earnings call that signals margin recovery efforts and improved EPS guidance despite soft sales and brand/channel headwinds.
Positive Factors
Brand strength — Tommy Bahama
Tommy Bahama's consistent DTC comp gains and cross-gender mix improvements indicate a durable, high-margin franchise within the portfolio. Strong brand economics support steady cash generation and provide a stable revenue anchor while management rebalances weaker brands.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and recent losses
Sustained revenue weakness and the shift to net losses represent a material deterioration in operating performance. Persistent top-line declines erode scale benefits and margins, making recovery dependent on successful brand fixes and consistent DTC growth over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Brand strength — Tommy Bahama
Tommy Bahama's consistent DTC comp gains and cross-gender mix improvements indicate a durable, high-margin franchise within the portfolio. Strong brand economics support steady cash generation and provide a stable revenue anchor while management rebalances weaker brands.
Read all positive factors

Oxford Industries (OXM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Oxford Industries, Inc. (OII) operates globally as a lifestyle apparel and accessories enterprise, engaged in the development, procurement, promotion, and sale of various branded products. Its portfolio includes several distinct labels: Tommy Baha...
How the Company Makes Money
Oxford Industries makes money primarily by selling branded apparel and related products through two main channels: (1) direct-to-consumer (DTC) and (2) wholesale. In DTC, the company generates revenue from purchases made in its owned retail stores...

Oxford Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 10, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed but managed outcome: the company delivered better-than-expected earnings driven by margin actions and strong Tommy Bahama and emerging brand performances, and it has taken proactive steps on sourcing, tariff refunds and operational investments (Lyons DC). However, comparable sales were down, adjusted EBITDA declined, and two key brands (Lilly Pulitzer and Johnny Was wholesale) face notable challenges. Management narrowed revenue guidance while tightening and increasing the low end of EPS guidance, signaling confidence in margin recovery even as top-line softness and tariff uncertainty persist. Overall the narrative is cautiously constructive with tangible operating fixes underway but uneven near-term sales performance.
Positive Updates
Earnings and Margin Outperformance in Q1
Reported adjusted EPS of $1.39 in Q1 FY26 and earnings were better than expectations primarily driven by stronger-than-expected gross margin performance.
Negative Updates
Topline Softness and Comparable Sales Decline
Consolidated net sales were $391M in Q1 FY26 vs $393M prior year; total company comparable sales declined 2% (retail comps -2%, e-commerce comps -2%) and wholesale sales decreased 5% YoY.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Earnings and Margin Outperformance in Q1
Reported adjusted EPS of $1.39 in Q1 FY26 and earnings were better than expectations primarily driven by stronger-than-expected gross margin performance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Oxford updated its fiscal 2026 guidance to net sales of $1.48B–$1.505B (roughly flat to +2% vs. FY25’s $1.48B) with full‑year comps expected to be slightly negative to slightly positive; Q2 sales are guided to $380M–$400M (vs. $403M Q2 FY25) with Q2 comps in the low‑single‑digit negative to flat range. By channel, management models FY26 food & beverage up high‑single‑digits, DTC down low‑single‑digits to flat, and wholesale down mid‑single‑digits; they expect gross margin expansion of ~100–200 bps in Q2–Q4 (approximately +100 bps for the year inclusive of the Q1 tariff headwind) assuming a 10% tariff rate (guidance excludes potential tariff refunds). Financial assumptions include adjusted EPS $2.30–$2.70 (tightened; vs. $2.11 last year) and Q2 adjusted EPS $1.20–$1.40 (vs. $1.26), SG&A growth in the low single digits, roughly +$2M royalties in EBITDA, interest expense of about $7M for the year (~$2M in Q2), an effective tax rate near 28% for FY26 (≈29% in Q2), and CapEx ≈ $60M for the year (including $23M spent in Q1); the company also noted it has filed ~ $25M of phase‑1 tariff claims and begun receiving refunds.

Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by declining revenue and a shift to losses in FY2026 and TTM, alongside higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.1x) and negative ROE. The main offset is resilience in cash generation, with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in FY2026/TTM and improved TTM FCF versus the prior period.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.48B1.48B1.52B1.57B1.41B1.14B
Gross Profit857.08M831.84M954.57M995.59M888.86M706.22M
EBITDA11.54M79.82M186.91M145.05M266.38M205.44M
Net Income-39.08M-27.89M92.97M60.70M165.74M131.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B1.31B1.29B1.10B1.19B957.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.36M8.13M9.47M7.60M8.83M209.75M
Total Debt592.43M563.44M449.18M337.58M413.58M260.76M
Total Liabilities814.46M794.12M667.25M536.93M632.39M449.98M
Stockholders Equity523.39M514.84M622.56M560.91M556.27M507.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.81M11.31M59.80M170.19M78.94M166.11M
Operating Cash Flow131.49M119.65M194.03M244.28M125.61M198.01M
Investing Cash Flow-107.72M-108.40M-143.27M-83.98M-151.75M-181.57M
Financing Cash Flow-22.75M-12.89M-48.61M-161.17M-11.53M-38.17M

Oxford Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.89
Price Trends
50DMA
42.51
Negative
100DMA
39.83
Negative
200DMA
38.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.59
Positive
RSI
36.16
Neutral
STOCH
12.98
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.94, above the 50-day MA of 42.51, and above the 200-day MA of 38.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OXM.

Oxford Industries Risk Analysis

Oxford Industries disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oxford Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oxford Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.47B11.637.12%-7.78%-32.92%
73
Outperform
$24.59B26.7734.77%0.93%14.63%29.96%
70
Outperform
$3.40B20.6610.26%2.18%0.54%-19.72%
68
Neutral
$5.87B32.6510.25%1.33%2.91%29.96%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$3.55B22.383.25%0.22%3.54%-55.30%
48
Neutral
$543.34M-13.87-7.23%6.77%-2.31%-150.53%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OXM
Oxford Industries
36.39
-1.04
-2.79%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
66.46
7.48
12.69%
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
34.77
13.13
60.68%
PVH
PVH
77.07
13.90
22.00%
RL
Ralph Lauren
413.01
145.59
54.44%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
13.87
5.27
61.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 12, 2026