Oxford Industries (OXM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $601.49M
• Dividend Yield: 6.77%
• Average Volume (3M): 581.46K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: -2.40%
• EPS Growth: -131.59%
• Country: US
• Employees: 6,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.92
• Shares Outstanding: 14,877,391
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 407,305
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 581,461
• PEG Ratio: 0.27
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.11
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.87
• P/FCF Ratio: 21.97
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.84
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.74
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.20
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.24
• 1Y Price Target: $36.33
• Price Target Upside: -10.14% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6
• EPS Forecast (FY): 2.28
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $1.48B

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: $39.00 ▼(-3.54% Downside)

The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and declining sales, plus a cautious outlook driven by tariff and cost pressures. Improved free cash flow and a high dividend yield provide support, while technicals show only a modest short-term recovery within a longer-term downtrend.

Positive Factors

Improved Free Cash Flow

A 54.5% rise in free cash flow signals structurally stronger cash generation despite earnings volatility. Sustainable FCF provides flexibility to fund capex, support dividends, pay down debt, and execute strategic initiatives, improving balance sheet resilience over months.

Direct‑to‑Consumer and E‑commerce Growth

Consistent DTC and e‑commerce growth reflects a durable shift in channel mix toward higher-margin and more controllable sales. Continued expansion of online and full-price retail reduces wholesale dependence and supports margin recovery and customer data-driven merchandising over the medium term.

Portfolio Strength in Select Brands

Outperformance at Lilly Pulitzer and Emerging Brands indicates brand equity and category differentiation that can drive durable revenue streams. High-performing labels provide diversification within the portfolio, enabling cross‑brand scale benefits and targeted investment to restore overall company profitability.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue and Negative Margins

Sustained revenue contraction and negative operating/net margins point to structural demand or pricing challenges and persistent cost pressure. This undermines reinvestment capacity, weakens ROE, and makes multi‑quarter margin recovery harder without material operational or assortment improvements.

Elevated Leverage

Higher leverage (D/E ~1.07) reduces financial flexibility and increases interest burden, constraining the firm's ability to invest or absorb shocks. With recent losses, elevated debt amplifies downside risk and limits capacity to fund brand investments or opportunistic upgrades over the coming quarters.

Tariff Headwinds and Assortment Constraints

Material tariff-driven cost and sourcing disruptions that reduce assortments (e.g., sweaters, cold-weather items) are structural headwinds to margins and seasonal sales. Persistent tariff exposure can compress gross margins and force ongoing promotional activity to clear constrained inventory.

Oxford Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes products of lifestyle and other brands worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; women's and girl's dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as footwear and children's apparel and swimwear under the Lilly Pulitzer brand; and men's shirts, pants, shorts, outerwear, ties, swimwear, footwear, and accessories, as well as women and youth products under the Southern Tide brand. It also designs, sources, markets, and distributes premium childrenswear, including bonnets, hats, apparel, swimwear, and accessories through thebeaufortbonnetcompany.com and wholesale specialty retailers; men's apparel, which include pants, shorts, and tops through duckhead.com and wholesale specialty retailers. In addition, the company licenses Tommy Bahama brand for various products, such as indoor and outdoor furniture, beach chairs, bedding and bath linens, fabrics, leather goods and gifts, headwear, hosiery, sleepwear, shampoo, toiletries, fragrances, cigar accessories, distilled spirits, and other products; Lilly Pulitzer for stationery and gift products, home furnishing products, and eyewear; and Southern Tide trademark for bed and bath product. Oxford Industries, Inc. offers products through its retail stores, department stores, specialty stores, multi-branded e-commerce retailers, off-price retailers, and other retailers, as well as e-commerce sites. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 186 brand-specific full-price retail stores; 21 Tommy Bahama food and beverage locations; and 35 Tommy Bahama outlet stores. Oxford Industries, Inc. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

How the Company Makes Money

Oxford Industries generates revenue through the sale of its branded apparel and accessories across multiple channels, including wholesale, direct-to-consumer, and e-commerce platforms. The company primarily earns money from wholesale distribution to department stores and specialty retailers, which account for a significant portion of its sales. Additionally, its direct-to-consumer segment, which includes branded retail stores and online sales, provides a growing revenue stream as consumer shopping habits shift towards online purchasing. Oxford Industries has established partnerships with various retailers and utilizes targeted marketing strategies to enhance brand visibility and consumer engagement. The company's diverse brand portfolio allows it to appeal to different market segments, thereby driving sales across various demographics and lifestyle preferences.

Oxford Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Oxford Industries faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, impacting its income statement and balance sheet metrics. However, strong free cash flow growth provides a positive outlook for cash flow management. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies to improve financial stability.

Income Statement

Oxford Industries has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -4.6% in the TTM period. The company also reported negative EBIT and net income margins, indicating operational challenges. However, historical data shows periods of profitability, suggesting potential for recovery.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.07 in the TTM period, indicating higher leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses. Despite this, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has grown significantly by 54.5% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting cash flow challenges relative to earnings. The company has shown resilience in cash flow management despite profitability issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.49B	1.52B	1.57B	1.41B	1.14B	748.83M
Gross Profit	921.87M	954.57M	995.59M	888.86M	706.22M	415.21M
EBITDA	64.15M	186.91M	145.05M	266.38M	205.44M	-83.76M
Net Income	-2.92M	92.97M	60.70M	165.74M	131.32M	-95.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.28B	1.29B	1.10B	1.19B	957.64M	865.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.98M	9.47M	7.60M	8.83M	209.75M	66.01M
Total Debt	566.22M	449.18M	337.58M	413.58M	260.76M	300.85M
Total Liabilities	756.08M	667.25M	536.93M	632.39M	449.98M	459.91M
Stockholders Equity	528.01M	622.56M	560.91M	556.27M	507.66M	405.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	25.55M	59.80M	170.19M	78.94M	166.11M	54.93M
Operating Cash Flow	160.97M	194.03M	244.28M	125.61M	198.01M	83.85M
Investing Cash Flow	-142.90M	-143.27M	-83.98M	-151.75M	-181.57M	-34.65M
Financing Cash Flow	-17.00M	-48.61M	-161.17M	-11.53M	-38.17M	-35.85M

Oxford Industries Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 40.43
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OXM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.70, above the 50-day MA of 36.70, and below the 200-day MA of 42.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OXM.

Oxford Industries Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
RL	76 Outperform	$22.00B	26.80	34.01%	0.93%	12.32%	29.40%
ZGN	74 Outperform	$4.44B	26.53	10.58%	1.33%	-1.88%	-5.94%
GIII	71 Outperform	$1.26B	8.96	8.61%	―	-2.61%	-11.87%
COLM	69 Neutral	$2.96B	16.54	10.84%	2.18%	2.76%	-7.83%
PVH	66 Neutral	$3.00B	9.84	6.70%	0.22%	0.52%	-45.80%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
OXM	52 Neutral	$601.49M	-127.35	-0.51%	6.77%	-2.40%	-131.59%

Oxford Industries Corporate Events

Oxford Industries Updates Outlook Ahead of ICR Conference

Oxford Industries told investors ahead of its January 12, 2026 presentation at the ICR Conference that performance during the 2025 Holiday and Resort selling seasons was tracking to the low end of its previously issued full-year guidance, underscoring a challenging year marked by softer trends at Tommy Bahama and Johnny Was, persistent promotional pressure and an estimated $25 million to $30 million earnings headwind from incremental U.S. tariffs. Management highlighted mixed brand performance, cost and efficiency initiatives, leadership and merchandising changes at Johnny Was and continued investment in distribution infrastructure, including a new fulfillment center in Lyons, Georgia, while signaling a fiscal 2026 focus on improving profitability, mitigating input costs and tariffs, reducing capital intensity and strengthening cash flow and balance sheet flexibility for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (OXM) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oxford Industries stock, see the OXM Stock Forecast page.