tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd (OTSKY)
OTHER OTC:OTSKY
US Market

Otsuka Holdings Co (OTSKY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
33 Followers

Top Page

OTSKY

Otsuka Holdings Co

(OTC:OTSKY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(11.15% Upside)
Otsuka Holdings Co's stock is supported by strong technical indicators and a solid valuation, which are the most significant factors contributing to the score. While the financial performance shows profitability and stability, concerns about revenue decline and cash flow growth slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Innovative Product Pipeline
The NDA submission for zipalertinib indicates a strong pipeline in oncology, enhancing Otsuka's competitive position and potential revenue growth.
Strong Profitability
High profit margins demonstrate efficient operations and strong pricing power, supporting long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Robust Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio indicates financial stability, providing flexibility for strategic investments and resilience in economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A sharp revenue decline can impact future profitability and market position, posing a challenge to maintaining growth momentum.
Decreasing Free Cash Flow
Reduced free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to invest in new projects and return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term growth.
Cash Flow Concerns
A lower operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests potential cash generation issues, which could hinder operational flexibility.

Otsuka Holdings Co (OTSKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Otsuka Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOtsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. is a Japanese multinational pharmaceutical and consumer goods company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Established in 1921, Otsuka operates primarily in two sectors: pharmaceuticals and nutraceuticals. The company is known for its innovative products, including prescription pharmaceuticals for mental health, oncology, and cardiovascular diseases, as well as consumer products like functional foods and beverages designed to promote health and well-being.
How the Company Makes MoneyOtsuka Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of pharmaceutical products, which account for a significant portion of its income. The company markets a range of prescription drugs, with a strong focus on areas such as psychiatry, neurology, and oncology. Key revenue streams include the commercialization of patented drugs and ongoing sales of established products. Additionally, Otsuka diversifies its income through its nutraceutical segment, which includes health supplements and functional beverages. The company often engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical firms, research institutions, and healthcare organizations to enhance its product offerings and expand market reach. This collaborative approach contributes to its earnings by enabling access to new technologies and markets, as well as sharing research and development costs.

Otsuka Holdings Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance in both pharmaceutical and nutraceutical segments with significant revenue and profit growth, and positive strategic expansions such as the acquisition for drug discovery. However, there were challenges such as impairment losses and increased SG&A expenses.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue and Profit Growth
Revenue increased by 17.0% to JPY 1,108.9 billion, and business profit grew by 37.8% to JPY 213.6 billion year-on-year, highlighting strong performance in pharmaceutical and nutraceutical segments.
Nutraceutical Business Expansion
The Nutraceutical business achieved over 20% growth, with revenue increasing in all three categories, notably For Women's Health at 56.9% and For Healthier Life at 25.5%.
Pharmaceutical Business Growth
Revenue in the pharmaceutical business increased by 17.9% year-on-year to JPY 766.7 billion, with significant contributions from products like REXULTI and LONSURF.
Upward Revision of Financial Forecast
The full-year revenue forecast was revised up by JPY 175 billion to JPY 2,315 billion, and business profit was revised up by JPY 60 billion to JPY 390 billion.
Acquisition for Drug Discovery
Announcement of the acquisition of a company in Boston for drug discovery technology, indicating strategic expansion.
Negative Updates
Impairment Loss Impact
Operating profit was impacted by an impairment loss on AVP-786, which led to strategic discontinuation of its development.
Decrease in Milestone Revenue
Upfront milestone and royalty revenue decreased to JPY 41.8 billion due to lower sales milestone income compared to the previous year.
Increase in SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased due to higher promotion expenses, impacting overall cost management.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2024 earnings call for 4578.T, significant financial growth was highlighted, with revenue increasing by 17.0% to JPY 1,108.9 billion and business profit rising by 37.8% to JPY 213.6 billion year-on-year, driven by strong performance in pharmaceutical and nutraceutical segments. Despite an impairment loss on AVP-786 affecting operating profit, net profit climbed by 5.1% due to finance income. The pharmaceutical business saw revenue increase by 17.9% to JPY 766.7 billion, bolstered by products like ABILIFY MAINTENA and JYNARQUE, while LONSURF achieved significant gains through colorectal cancer treatment guidelines endorsements. Nutraceuticals experienced over 20% growth, with revenue reaching JPY 271.8 billion, fueled by a 56.9% rise in the For Women's Health category. The company revised its full-year forecast, raising revenue expectations by JPY 175 billion to JPY 2,315 billion and business profit projections by JPY 60 billion to JPY 390 billion, aiming to maintain momentum through strategic investments and addressing social issues.

Otsuka Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Otsuka Holdings Co shows strong profitability with high margins and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. However, a significant revenue decline and decrease in free cash flow growth are concerns that impact the overall financial performance score.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Otsuka Holdings Co shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 71.72% and a net profit margin of 18.57% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the company experienced a significant revenue decline of 25.68% in the latest period, which is a concern. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations, but the revenue contraction impacts the overall score.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.076, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is strong at 16.39%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is solid, suggesting a strong capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial health and stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 37.73% in the latest period, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable at 0.56, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.77. Despite the decline in free cash flow, the company maintains a decent cash flow position relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78T2.33T2.02T1.74T1.50T1.42T
Gross Profit1.28T1.67T1.41T1.17T1.00T983.08B
EBITDA369.94B452.62B246.96B279.83B231.43B291.03B
Net Income325.82B343.12B121.62B133.91B125.46B148.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.81B3.74T3.36T3.10T2.82T2.63T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.33B458.08B529.40B489.12B430.76B401.77B
Total Debt1.48B189.38B214.19B194.16B212.45B226.08B
Total Liabilities7.00B961.09B924.93B840.17B775.73B744.38B
Stockholders Equity19.36B2.73T2.39T2.23T2.01T1.85T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow212.23B225.28B168.56B104.06B115.71B134.96B
Operating Cash Flow285.53B354.64B283.23B211.85B228.86B232.84B
Investing Cash Flow-56.18B-265.79B-190.54B-81.58B-95.29B-99.86B
Financing Cash Flow-241.65B-189.37B-60.26B-95.47B-95.84B-104.93B

Otsuka Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.69
Price Trends
50DMA
27.98
Positive
100DMA
27.60
Positive
200DMA
25.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Positive
RSI
53.91
Neutral
STOCH
22.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OTSKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.34, above the 50-day MA of 27.98, and above the 200-day MA of 25.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OTSKY.

Otsuka Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$111.38B18.4733.84%4.84%1.26%
78
Outperform
$155.92B19.4740.53%2.52%2.76%6407.19%
77
Outperform
$98.33B13.7735.62%3.41%5.97%128.66%
75
Outperform
$116.39B12.028.39%4.58%-9.32%120.62%
74
Outperform
$25.87B16.159.31%5.00%-1.03%
73
Outperform
$30.70B10.3615.51%1.48%7.51%203.70%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OTSKY
Otsuka Holdings Co
29.40
1.93
7.03%
BIIB
Biogen
176.33
25.02
16.54%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb
54.64
-0.31
-0.56%
GILD
Gilead Sciences
124.70
33.15
36.21%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
49.08
16.39
50.14%
SNY
Sanofi
48.47
1.25
2.65%

Otsuka Holdings Co Corporate Events

Otsuka Holdings Reports Strong Nine-Month Financial Results
Oct 31, 2025

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. is a diversified healthcare company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, operating primarily in the pharmaceuticals and nutraceuticals sectors, with a focus on innovative products that promote well-being. The company reported a solid financial performance for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025, with revenue reaching ¥1,818,743 million, marking a 5.1% increase from the previous year. This growth was driven by strong sales in its pharmaceutical segment, particularly from its antipsychotic and anti-cancer agents, and a steady performance in its nutraceuticals business. Key financial highlights include a significant rise in operating profit by 56.1% to ¥407,421 million and a 55.3% increase in profit attributable to owners of the company, amounting to ¥297,658 million. The company’s strategic focus on expanding its product pipeline and enhancing its market presence was evident with increased research and development expenses and the acquisition of new subsidiaries. Looking ahead, Otsuka Holdings anticipates continued growth, supported by strong product demand and strategic investments, while navigating potential challenges such as pricing policies and tariffs in the U.S.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025