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Old Republic International (ORI)
:ORI

Old Republic International (ORI) AI Stock Analysis

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Old Republic International

(NYSE:ORI)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
Old Republic International exhibits solid financial health with robust revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. The earnings call underscored resilience and growth in specialty insurance, despite challenges in the real estate market. The stock is reasonably valued with moderate income potential, supported by stable technical indicators.
Positive Factors
General Insurance Growth
The General Insurance segment showed strong growth with net earned premiums increasing by 14%, beating the estimated 10%.
Specialty Insurance Performance
Old Republic's Specialty Insurance segment exceeded expectations with strong premium growth and favorable underwriting income.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Earnings Uncertainty
There are ongoing concerns about revenue and earnings uncertainty in the Title Insurance segment and broader market reserve and inflation issues in commercial auto and general liability.
Title Insurance Challenges
The Title Insurance segment underperformed due to higher-than-expected expense ratios and lower premium growth.

Old Republic International (ORI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Old Republic International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOld Republic International Corporation (ORI) is one of the largest publicly held insurance organizations in the United States. Founded in 1923 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, ORI operates in two main segments: General Insurance Group and Title Insurance Group. The General Insurance Group provides property and liability insurance, while the Title Insurance Group offers title insurance policies and related services. The company is recognized for its comprehensive insurance solutions catering to a wide array of industries including aviation, trucking, and construction.
How the Company Makes MoneyOld Republic International (ORI) generates revenue primarily through the underwriting and sale of insurance policies across its two main business segments: General Insurance and Title Insurance. In the General Insurance Group, ORI offers various types of insurance products, including property, liability, and workers' compensation insurance, earning premiums from policyholders. The Title Insurance Group contributes to revenue by providing title insurance policies, which protect real estate owners and lenders from financial losses related to defects in the title of a property. Additionally, ORI earns investment income from its portfolio of invested assets, which includes bonds and equities, that supports its insurance operations. The company's financial performance is bolstered by its strategic partnerships with independent agents and brokers, who help distribute its insurance products to a broad client base.

Old Republic International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth and profitability in specialty insurance and improved investment performance. Despite challenges in the real estate market and economic uncertainties, the company showed resilience and strategic focus on growth and profitability.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Pre-Tax Operating Income
Consolidated pre-tax operating income increased to $252.7 million from $231.5 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Specialty Insurance Growth
Specialty insurance grew net premiums earned by 13% and produced $260 million of pre-tax operating income, up from $220 million last year.
Title Insurance Revenue Increase
Title insurance premiums and fees grew by 11% in the first quarter, with pre-tax operating income increasing to $4.3 million from $2.3 million last year.
Strong Investment Performance
The investment portfolio increased by nearly $200 million, with the equity portfolio up nearly $60 million in the quarter.
Improved Combined Ratios
The consolidated combined ratio improved to 93.7 from 94.3, and the specialty insurance combined ratio improved to 89.8 from 90.3.
Return on Equity Improvement
Operating return on equity improved to an annualized rate of 14.4%, compared to 11.5% in the first quarter last year.
Negative Updates
Challenging Real Estate Market
Despite growth, the title insurance segment continues to face challenges due to higher mortgage interest rates and a tight real estate market.
Expense Ratio Concerns in Title Insurance
The title insurance combined ratio remains elevated at 102.1%, reflecting ongoing market challenges.
Impact of Tariffs and Economic Uncertainty
There are concerns about the potential impact of tariffs and economic uncertainty on various segments, particularly in Canadian business and travel accident insurance.
Company Guidance
During the Old Republic International Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a consolidated pre-tax operating income of $252.7 million, an increase from $231.5 million in the same quarter of 2024. The consolidated combined ratio improved to 93.7 from 94.3 last year. Specialty insurance saw a 13% growth in net premiums earned, achieving $260 million in pre-tax operating income, with a combined ratio of 89.8, down from 90.3. Title insurance premiums and fees grew by 11%, reaching $4.3 million in pre-tax operating income, with a combined ratio of 102.1, slightly better than last year's 102.5. The company's net operating income rose to $202 million, a 21% increase per share from $0.67 to $0.81. Investment income saw a 4% increase, with a bond portfolio yield of 4.6%. Favorable development in loss reserves contributed 2.6 percentage points to the consolidated loss ratio, up from 2.3 last year. The quarter concluded with a book value per share of $24.19, reflecting a 7% increase. The company returned capital to shareholders through a $500 million special dividend, a $68 million regular dividend, and $25 million in share repurchases, with $200 million remaining in the repurchase program.

Old Republic International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Old Republic International demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and a debt-free balance sheet. However, the absence of recent EBIT and EBITDA metrics and declining free cash flow pose potential concerns for operational efficiency.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Old Republic International shows a strong revenue growth of 13.4% in the latest year, coupled with a high gross profit margin consistently at 100%. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA metrics in recent years suggests a potential decline in operational profitability tracking.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with no debt as of the latest year, reflecting strong financial stability. The equity ratio stands at 20.2%, indicating a well-capitalized position. An increasing trend in stockholders' equity further enhances financial strength.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Despite the lack of operating cash flow data in the latest year, previous periods show consistent free cash flow, though there is a notable decline in free cash flow in the current year. Historical operating cash flow to net income ratios indicate efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.33B8.23B7.26B8.08B9.34B7.17B
Gross Profit8.33B8.23B7.26B8.08B9.34B7.17B
EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income780.80M852.70M598.60M686.40M1.53B558.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.03B27.84B26.50B25.16B24.98B22.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.74B3.04B2.82B12.69B11.40B11.37B
Total Debt1.59B1.59B1.59B1.60B1.59B966.40M
Total Liabilities22.08B22.22B20.09B18.99B1.84B1.10B
Stockholders Equity5.92B5.62B6.41B6.17B6.89B6.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30B1.23B880.40M1.17B1.31B1.19B
Operating Cash Flow1.30B1.23B880.40M1.17B1.31B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow779.70M-3.90M25.30M-415.00M-936.50M-845.20M
Financing Cash Flow-1.95B-1.23B-783.20M-832.70M-335.70M-300.00M

Old Republic International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.53
Price Trends
50DMA
37.51
Positive
100DMA
37.24
Positive
200DMA
35.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
49.57
Neutral
STOCH
73.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.42, above the 50-day MA of 37.51, and above the 200-day MA of 35.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORI.

Old Republic International Risk Analysis

Old Republic International disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Old Republic International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Old Republic International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HIHIG
78
Outperform
$35.97B12.6218.49%1.64%7.55%14.16%
77
Outperform
$5.04B10.808.56%10.70%-39.16%
PFPFG
75
Outperform
$18.12B17.339.70%3.76%5.84%-10.64%
ORORI
75
Outperform
$9.49B12.5412.68%2.89%10.83%20.74%
73
Outperform
$34.29B9.0618.42%25.29%-23.19%
67
Neutral
$16.86B11.649.71%3.83%11.61%-9.60%
65
Neutral
$3.92B85.5560.58%21.60%90.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORI
Old Republic International
37.53
9.69
34.81%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group
88.38
-4.48
-4.82%
ESGR
Enstar Group
337.91
14.43
4.46%
HIG
Hartford Financial
122.90
24.93
25.45%
PFG
Principal Financial
80.51
4.17
5.46%
GSHD
GooseHead Insurance
102.62
48.83
90.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 26, 2025