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Old Republic International Corp. (ORI)
NYSE:ORI

Old Republic International (ORI) AI Stock Analysis

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ORI

Old Republic International

(NYSE:ORI)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(18.60% Upside)
Old Republic International's strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the overall score. The company's robust cash flow and strategic corporate events, including a special dividend, further enhance its investment appeal. Technical indicators support a positive trend, although they are less influential in the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates robust business expansion and market penetration, supporting long-term sustainability and competitive positioning.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management ensures liquidity and financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquiring Everett Cash Mutual strengthens ORI's market position and diversifies its product offerings, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Expense Ratio
Rising expenses can pressure profit margins, potentially impacting long-term profitability if not managed effectively.
Residential Market Challenges
Weakness in the residential market may limit growth in related insurance segments, affecting revenue diversification.
Gross Profit Margin
A low gross profit margin suggests potential cost management issues, which could hinder profitability and competitive edge over time.

Old Republic International (ORI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Old Republic International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOld Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the insurance underwriting and related services business primarily in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: General Insurance, Title Insurance, and the Republic Financial Indemnity Group Run-off Business. The General Insurance segment offers automobile extended warranty, aviation, commercial automobile, commercial multi-peril, commercial property, general liability, home warranty, inland marine, travel accident, and workers' compensation insurance products; and financial indemnity products for specialty coverages, including errors and omissions, fidelity, guaranteed asset protection, and surety. This segment provides its insurance products to businesses, government, and other institutions in transportation, commercial construction, healthcare, education, retail and wholesale trade, forest products, energy, general manufacturing, and financial services industries. The Title Insurance segment offers lenders' and owners' title insurance policies to real estate purchasers and investors based upon searches of the public records. This segment also provides escrow closing and construction disbursement services; and real estate information products, national default management services, and various other services pertaining to real estate transfers and loan transactions. The Republic Financial Indemnity Group Run-off Business segment offers private mortgage insurance coverage that protects mortgage lenders and investors from default related losses on residential mortgage loans made primarily to homebuyers. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyOld Republic International generates revenue primarily through its insurance premiums, which are collected from policyholders in exchange for coverage against various risks. The company earns money by underwriting insurance policies, where it assesses risks and charges premiums accordingly. Additionally, ORI has a significant revenue stream from its title insurance operations, which involves insuring property titles against defects and claims. Investment income is another crucial revenue source, as ORI invests the premiums it collects in various financial instruments, generating returns. The company also engages in reinsurance agreements and has strategic partnerships with other insurance providers, which can enhance its market reach and revenue potential.

Old Republic International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive sentiment with robust growth in pretax operating income and strategic expansions, such as the acquisition of Everett Cash Mutual. While there are some challenges, particularly in the residential purchase market and increased expenses in Specialty Insurance, these are outweighed by the positive developments and growth in premiums and fees.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Agreement to Purchase Everett Cash Mutual
Old Republic announced the acquisition of Everett Cash Mutual, a leading insurer of farm and agricultural operations, which wrote $237 million of direct premium in 2024. This move is expected to enhance product diversification and geographical growth.
Increased Consolidated Pretax Operating Income
Old Republic's consolidated pretax operating income rose to $248.2 million in Q3 2025, compared to $229.2 million in the same quarter of 2024.
Specialty Insurance Growth
Net premiums earned in Specialty Insurance grew by 8.1%, with pretax operating income up to $207 million from $197.3 million in Q3 2024.
Title Insurance Premium and Fees Increase
Despite a slow real estate market, Title Insurance grew premium and fees by 8.3%, with pretax operating income rising to $45.7 million from $40.2 million in Q3 2024.
Net Operating Income Increase
The company reported net operating income of $197 million for the quarter, compared to $183 million last year, marking a 10% increase in per-share earnings.
Negative Updates
Increased Expense Ratio in Specialty Insurance
The expense ratio in Specialty Insurance rose to 31.3% from 28.8% last year, primarily due to higher personnel expenses and technological investments.
Challenges in Residential Purchase Market
The residential purchase market remains soft due to persistent price and affordability challenges, although commercial sectors show strong activity.
Company Guidance
During the Old Republic International Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call held on October 23, 2025, the company provided several key financial metrics and updates. The consolidated pretax operating income for the third quarter was reported at $248.2 million, an increase from $229.2 million in the same quarter of 2024. The consolidated combined ratio stood at 95.3%, slightly higher than the 95% from the previous year. The annualized operating return on beginning equity improved to 14.4% compared to 11.9% in the prior year. Specialty Insurance net premiums earned grew by 8.1%, with a combined ratio of 94.8%. Title Insurance experienced an 8.3% increase in premium and fees, achieving a pretax operating income of $45.7 million and a combined ratio of 96.4%. Additionally, the company announced an agreement to acquire Everett Cash Mutual, which wrote $237 million in direct premiums in 2024, to expand its Specialty Insurance portfolio. Net operating income for the quarter was $197 million, up from $183 million in the previous year, with net investment income rising by 6.7%. The company also highlighted strong capital management, reflected in an 18.5% year-to-date increase in book value per share, and discussed the ongoing strategic focus on digital transaction tools and solutions in the Title Insurance segment.

Old Republic International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Old Republic International exhibits a strong financial position with impressive revenue growth and profitability in the TTM period. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and the cash flow statement indicates robust cash generation and management. While the gross profit margin could be improved, the overall financial health of the company is solid, supporting continued growth and stability.
Income Statement
Old Republic International shows strong revenue growth in the TTM period with a 95.5% increase, indicating robust business expansion. The company maintains healthy profit margins, with a net profit margin of 9.53% and an EBIT margin of 12.82% in the TTM. However, the gross profit margin is relatively low at 13.87%, suggesting potential cost management issues. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory with solid profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in the TTM, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is decent at 13.82%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates financial stability with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 7.40% in the TTM, highlighting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high at 57.12, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is consistently at 1.0, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects excellent liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.75B8.23B7.26B8.08B9.34B7.17B
Gross Profit5.51B5.21B4.68B5.66B6.94B4.69B
EBITDA1.12B1.15B817.90M924.10M1.98B732.10M
Net Income834.00M852.70M598.60M686.40M1.53B558.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.25B27.84B26.50B25.16B24.98B22.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.14B3.04B13.38B12.69B11.40B11.37B
Total Debt1.59B1.59B1.59B1.60B1.59B966.40M
Total Liabilities23.81B22.22B20.09B18.99B18.09B16.63B
Stockholders Equity6.42B5.62B6.41B6.17B6.89B6.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.29B1.23B880.40M1.17B1.31B1.19B
Operating Cash Flow1.29B1.23B880.40M1.17B1.31B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow-139.10M-7.20M25.30M-415.00M-936.50M-845.20M
Financing Cash Flow-1.43B-1.23B-783.20M-832.70M-335.70M-300.00M

Old Republic International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.00
Price Trends
50DMA
41.48
Positive
100DMA
39.96
Positive
200DMA
37.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
52.50
Neutral
STOCH
18.86
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.17, above the 50-day MA of 41.48, and above the 200-day MA of 37.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.86 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORI.

Old Republic International Risk Analysis

Old Republic International disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Old Republic International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Old Republic International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$10.64B12.8312.96%6.98%7.08%-4.36%
78
Outperform
$38.43B11.1320.07%1.55%7.11%22.52%
76
Outperform
$20.15B13.1413.74%3.44%12.33%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$11.48B8.4214.42%5.77%-6.19%
64
Neutral
$42.03B13.527.68%2.02%-23.02%52.43%
40
Underperform
$13.75B-17.33-41.33%2.15%7.70%-155.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORI
Old Republic International
43.00
12.03
38.84%
AEG
Aegon
7.80
2.10
36.84%
AIG
American International Group
77.90
8.54
12.31%
HIG
Hartford Insurance
137.91
32.21
30.47%
PFG
Principal Financial
91.73
16.84
22.49%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
47.99
>-0.01
-0.02%

Old Republic International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividends
Old Republic Announces Special Cash Dividend
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Old Republic International Corporation announced a special cash dividend of $2.50 per share, payable on January 14, 2026, returning approximately $620 million to shareholders. This decision reflects the company’s strong performance and commitment to capital allocation, complementing its ongoing share repurchase program and focus on profitable growth, technology investments, and strategic acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ORI) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Old Republic International stock, see the ORI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 12, 2025