Orange Sa (Adr) (ORANY)
OTHER OTC:ORANY
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Orange SA
(OTC:ORANY)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(31.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is driven primarily by a mixed financial profile: strong and guided cash generation but sharply weaker reported profitability and a leveraged balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, while valuation is a major drag due to the extremely high P/E. The latest earnings call was broadly positive on cash flow, margin discipline, and leverage targets, but highlighted business-unit pressure and large exceptional items.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent organic cash flow and positive free cash flow provide a durable funding source for network investment, dividends and deleveraging. Reliable cash conversion cushions reported profit volatility and supports strategic moves without immediate equity dilution or asset sales.
Negative Factors
High leverage and declining equity
Sizable gross debt combined with a shrinking equity base reduces balance‑sheet flexibility. That structural leverage exposure heightens vulnerability to earnings shocks or higher rates, constrains strategic optionality and raises refinancing and covenant risks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent organic cash flow and positive free cash flow provide a durable funding source for network investment, dividends and deleveraging. Reliable cash conversion cushions reported profit volatility and supports strategic moves without immediate equity dilution or asset sales.
Read all positive factors
Orange SA (ORANY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$55.96B
Dividend Yield0%
Average Volume (3M)19.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.2
Beta (1Y)-0.10
Revenue Growth-4.52%
EPS Growth-49.12%
CountryUS
Employees126,909
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.41
Shares Outstanding2,660,056,600
10 Day Avg. Volume47,519
30 Day Avg. Volume19,233
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.89
Price to Book (P/B)3.72
Price to Sales (P/S)2.06
P/FCF Ratio28.29
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.67
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.05
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit12.91
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.80
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.23
Revenue Forecast (FY)$49.82B
Orange SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Orange S.A. operates as a telecommunications operator in France and internationally. It offers mobile services, such as voice, SMS, and data; and fixed broadband and narrowband services, as well as B2B fixed solutions and network services, includi...
How the Company Makes Money
Orange makes money mainly by selling telecommunications connectivity and related services to consumers, businesses, and other telecom operators. (1) Retail telecom services (largest driver): Orange earns recurring subscription and usage revenue fr...
Orange SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights solid operational execution and financial discipline with revenue and EBITDAaL growth, strong organic cash flow (EUR 3.7bn, +>8%), disciplined eCapEx (~15% of sales), a robust balance sheet (net debt/EBITDAaL 1.8x) and major strategic progress on MASORANGE/PremiumFiber and sustainability goals. Key challenges are concentrated in Orange Business performance, significant one-off accounting charges (Senior Part-Time provision and copper decommissioning) that depress reported net income, ongoing wholesale headwinds, and competitive pressure at the low end in France. On balance the positive operational momentum, cash generation and strategic moves outweigh the managed headwinds and one-off charges.Positive Updates
Group revenue growth
Full-year 2025 revenues of EUR 40.4 billion, up 0.9% year-on-year, driven by retail growth and strong performance in MEA and Europe.
Negative Updates
Orange Business challenges
Orange Business revenue still impacted by portfolio pruning and a weak IT/French macro environment; EBITDAaL declined ~6% year-on-year in 2025 (though trend is improving) and management recorded an impairment of ~EUR 330 million driven by market evolution.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Group revenue growth
Full-year 2025 revenues of EUR 40.4 billion, up 0.9% year-on-year, driven by retail growth and strong performance in MEA and Europe.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Orange reiterated clear financial and operational targets: organic cash flow guidance of at least EUR 3.6 billion was met and exceeded at EUR 3.7 billion (>8% YoY), eCapEx is being held at around 15% of sales, and the net debt-to-EBITDAaL target of ~2x was met with a 1.8x ratio; full-year EBITDAaL grew 3.8% with a +0.9 point margin improvement and free cash flow all‑in was EUR 2.8 billion. Management also confirmed a mid‑term procurement savings target of EUR 700 million (over EUR 300 million realized in 2025), MASORANGE cumulative synergies of >EUR 300 million and MASORANGE deleveraging to 3.6x net debt/adjusted EBITDA (from 4.5x), while PremiumFiber covers >12 million premises with ~5 million connected customers and Europe has ~100 million FTTH‑connectable homes. Capital markets measures were highlighted (two jumbo bond issues: EUR 5bn and $6bn, both heavily oversubscribed), and sustainability and cash‑return metrics were reiterated (adjusted net income EUR 3.1 billion after ~EUR 1.95 billion of adjustments; Scope 1&2 emissions down 49% vs 2015; Scope 3 down 16% vs 2018).Orange SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 45.59B | 40.26B | 42.90B | 39.13B | 42.52B |
| Gross Profit | 7.18B | 23.61B | 7.82B | 22.96B | 24.55B |
| EBITDA | 13.36B | 13.29B | 13.70B | 14.19B | 11.33B |
| Net Income | 607.17M | 2.35B | 2.44B | 2.15B | 9.46M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 110.76B | 111.07B | 125.63B | 120.79B | 126.60B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 15.21B | 12.23B | 9.16B | 11.21B | 12.38B |
| Total Debt | 50.00B | 49.67B | 58.16B | 45.96B | 41.00B |
| Total Liabilities | 82.11B | 79.79B | 92.33B | 88.76B | 72.71B |
| Stockholders Equity | 25.23B | 27.78B | 29.69B | 28.64B | 30.53B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 3.32B | 3.77B | 4.57B | 2.58B | 2.94B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.35B | 11.03B | 13.03B | 11.81B | 13.28B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -6.19B | -1.58B | -7.57B | -10.98B | -7.06B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -842.39M | -6.20B | -5.91B | -3.51B | -5.72B |
Orange SA Technical Analysis
Positive
17.05
Price Trends
20.20
Positive
18.38
Positive
17.06
Positive
Market Momentum
0.28
Negative
66.84
Neutral
97.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORANY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.29, below the 50-day MA of 20.20, and below the 200-day MA of 17.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORANY.
Orange SA Risk Analysis
Orange SA disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orange SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Orange SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $18.56B | 16.17 | 15.56% | 6.14% | -5.21% | -7.45% | |
70 Outperform | $27.57B | 17.32 | 9.03% | 5.03% | -3.16% | 4.70% | |
64 Neutral | $55.96B | 10.17 | 2.41% | 0.00% | -4.52% | -49.12% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
60 Neutral | $36.47B | 7.35 | -8.37% | 3.77% | 19.67% | -278.51% | |
46 Neutral | $36.59B | 62.07 | 1.73% | ― | -2.70% | -56.75% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
ORANY
Orange SA
21.05
7.58
56.30%
BIDU
Baidu
108.41
23.17
27.18%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
18.78
4.98
36.06%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
17.14
8.71
103.39%
VOD
Vodafone
15.69
7.12
83.06%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.