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Orange Sa (Adr) (ORANY)
OTHER OTC:ORANY

Orange SA (ORANY) AI Stock Analysis

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ORANY

Orange SA

(OTC:ORANY)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(14.37% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/31/25
The score is driven primarily by stable (but not strong) financial performance: resilient margins and solid operating cash flow are offset by declining revenue, elevated leverage, and only moderate free-cash-flow conversion. Technicals are supportive with an uptrend and positive MACD, though near-overbought readings temper the outlook. Valuation is the main drag due to a high P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnership
This partnership with Visa enhances Orange's financial services, potentially increasing market reach and revenue in Africa and the Middle East.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and growth, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strategic Partnership
This partnership with Visa enhances Orange's financial services, potentially increasing market reach and revenue in Africa and the Middle East.
Read all positive factors

Orange SA (ORANY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orange SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orange S.A. operates as a telecommunications operator in France and internationally. It offers mobile services, such as voice, SMS, and data; and fixed broadband and narrowband services, as well as B2B fixed solutions and network services, includi...
How the Company Makes Money
Orange SA generates revenue through several key streams. The company earns a substantial portion of its income from subscription services for mobile telephony, including voice, data, and messaging services. Additionally, Orange provides fixed-line...

Orange SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights solid operational execution and financial discipline with revenue and EBITDAaL growth, strong organic cash flow (EUR 3.7bn, +>8%), disciplined eCapEx (~15% of sales), a robust balance sheet (net debt/EBITDAaL 1.8x) and major strategic progress on MASORANGE/PremiumFiber and sustainability goals. Key challenges are concentrated in Orange Business performance, significant one-off accounting charges (Senior Part-Time provision and copper decommissioning) that depress reported net income, ongoing wholesale headwinds, and competitive pressure at the low end in France. On balance the positive operational momentum, cash generation and strategic moves outweigh the managed headwinds and one-off charges.
Positive Updates
Group revenue growth
Full-year 2025 revenues of EUR 40.4 billion, up 0.9% year-on-year, driven by retail growth and strong performance in MEA and Europe.
Negative Updates
Orange Business challenges
Orange Business revenue still impacted by portfolio pruning and a weak IT/French macro environment; EBITDAaL declined ~6% year-on-year in 2025 (though trend is improving) and management recorded an impairment of ~EUR 330 million driven by market evolution.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Group revenue growth
Full-year 2025 revenues of EUR 40.4 billion, up 0.9% year-on-year, driven by retail growth and strong performance in MEA and Europe.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Orange reiterated clear financial and operational targets: organic cash flow guidance of at least EUR 3.6 billion was met and exceeded at EUR 3.7 billion (>8% YoY), eCapEx is being held at around 15% of sales, and the net debt-to-EBITDAaL target of ~2x was met with a 1.8x ratio; full-year EBITDAaL grew 3.8% with a +0.9 point margin improvement and free cash flow all‑in was EUR 2.8 billion. Management also confirmed a mid‑term procurement savings target of EUR 700 million (over EUR 300 million realized in 2025), MASORANGE cumulative synergies of >EUR 300 million and MASORANGE deleveraging to 3.6x net debt/adjusted EBITDA (from 4.5x), while PremiumFiber covers >12 million premises with ~5 million connected customers and Europe has ~100 million FTTH‑connectable homes. Capital markets measures were highlighted (two jumbo bond issues: EUR 5bn and $6bn, both heavily oversubscribed), and sustainability and cash‑return metrics were reiterated (adjusted net income EUR 3.1 billion after ~EUR 1.95 billion of adjustments; Scope 1&2 emissions down 49% vs 2015; Scope 3 down 16% vs 2018).

Orange SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability and cash generation are steady (2024 gross margin ~54%, EBITDA margin ~31%, operating cash flow ~€11.0B), but revenue declined ~7.3% in 2024 and leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.56), limiting financial flexibility. Free cash flow (~€3.8B) is solid but declined ~5.4% and cash conversion is only moderate (~34% of net income).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
49
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.79B40.26B42.90B39.13B42.52B48.19B
Gross Profit7.04B23.61B7.82B22.96B24.55B9.58B
EBITDA13.28B13.29B13.70B14.19B11.33B16.00B
Net Income1.22B2.35B2.44B2.15B9.46M5.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.62B111.07B125.63B120.79B126.60B135.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.58B12.23B9.16B11.21B12.38B13.89B
Total Debt7.51B49.67B58.16B45.96B41.00B63.09B
Total Liabilities69.00B79.79B92.33B88.76B72.71B97.30B
Stockholders Equity29.25B27.78B29.69B28.64B30.53B35.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.42B3.77B4.57B2.58B2.94B4.73B
Operating Cash Flow11.08B11.03B13.03B11.81B13.28B14.47B
Investing Cash Flow-5.28B-1.58B-7.57B-10.98B-7.06B-6.34B
Financing Cash Flow-6.47B-6.20B-5.91B-3.51B-5.72B-6.17B

Orange SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.05
Price Trends
50DMA
19.65
Positive
100DMA
17.95
Positive
200DMA
16.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
49.71
Neutral
STOCH
34.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORANY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.07, below the 50-day MA of 19.65, and above the 200-day MA of 16.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORANY.

Orange SA Risk Analysis

Orange SA disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orange SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orange SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$17.78B16.1715.56%6.14%-5.21%-7.45%
70
Outperform
$24.48B17.329.03%5.03%-3.16%4.70%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$33.95B7.35-8.37%3.77%19.67%-278.51%
58
Neutral
$53.11B10.173.74%0.00%-4.52%-49.12%
46
Neutral
$36.55B62.071.73%-2.70%-56.75%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORANY
Orange SA
19.93
7.45
59.71%
BIDU
Baidu
108.12
16.09
17.48%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
18.13
4.18
30.01%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
15.25
6.78
79.98%
VOD
Vodafone
14.49
5.53
61.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025