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Orange SA (ORANY)
OTHER OTC:ORANY

Orange SA (ORANY) AI Stock Analysis

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Orange SA

(OTC:ORANY)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
Orange SA shows solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability. However, technical indicators reflect a bearish sentiment, weighing down the stock's momentum. The valuation remains attractive due to a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield, but the lack of earnings call guidance and negative market reaction post-earnings release introduce uncertainties. Overall, while the company is financially stable, current market conditions suggest caution.

Orange SA (ORANY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orange SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrange S.A. is a multinational telecommunications company. It provides a range of fixed telephone and mobile telecommunications, Internet and multimedia, data transmission, and other value-added services to consumers, businesses, and other telecommunications operators.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrange SA generates revenue through several key streams. The company earns a substantial portion of its income from subscription services for mobile telephony, including voice, data, and messaging services. Additionally, Orange provides fixed-line services, including broadband internet and digital TV subscriptions. Business services, such as cloud computing, cybersecurity, and IT consulting, also contribute to its revenue. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and investments in emerging markets, enhancing its growth potential and market reach. Roaming fees and equipment sales, such as mobile devices and accessories, further augment its earnings.

Orange SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 2.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance in Q3 2024, significant growth in the Middle East and Africa, and successful technological execution during the Paris 2024 Olympics. Challenges were noted in the wholesale and business segments due to market conditions. The positive performance in key areas like MEA and France suggests optimistic future prospects.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q3 Financial Performance
Revenues increased by 1.6% year-on-year to EUR 10 billion, with a 2.7% growth in group EBITDAaL to EUR 3.3 billion.
Middle East and Africa Double-Digit Growth
MEA delivered sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth at 10.5% with a strong retail service growth of over 11%.
Successful Olympic Games Connectivity
Orange was the sole operator providing full connectivity for the Paris 2024 Olympics, doubling 5G traffic in Paris during the event.
France Revenue Growth
France revenue grew by 1.3%, driven by a 2.8% increase in retail services excluding PSTN, fueled by convergence.
Retail Services and Fiber Expansion
Retail services excluding PSTN grew 2.5%. Over 1 million FTTH net adds in the last 12 months, with strong mobile and broadband net adds.
Negative Updates
Decline in Wholesale Revenues
Wholesale revenues faced a decline of 3.3%, though partially offset by retail service growth.
Challenges in Orange Business Segment
Orange Business revenues decreased by 2.6% due to a decline in voice and complex IT market conditions.
European Revenue Decline
Europe revenues slightly decreased year-on-year due to low-margin activities, although retail services grew by 1.3%.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2024 earnings call for Orange (ORA.PA), the executives confirmed their full-year guidance, highlighting key metrics from their performance. In France, the company achieved retail growth excluding PSTN at 2.8% in Q3, with expectations to exceed 2.5% growth in H2. The mobile net adds were 83,000, while fixed broadband net adds returned to growth with 6,000 additions, supported by strong fiber momentum, contributing over 1 million FTTH net adds in the past year. Convergent revenues increased by nearly 5%, with an ARPU close to EUR 78. In the Middle East and Africa (MEA), Orange recorded its sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth at 10.5%, driven by a significant increase in mobile customers and Orange Money's 21% growth. Group revenues rose by 1.6% year-on-year to EUR 10 billion, with group EBITDAaL growing by 2.7% to EUR 3.3 billion. Despite a 3.3% decline in wholesale, retail services growth at 2.5% sustained the overall revenue increase. The company also maintained its eCapEx target at 14% of sales for Q3, aiming for around 15% for the year.

Orange SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orange SA exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The company has reduced its debt, enhancing financial stability, and maintains a solid equity base. While cash flow generation remains robust, the recent decline in free cash flow points to potential areas for strategic improvement to sustain long-term growth and shareholder value.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Orange SA has demonstrated a steady revenue growth rate with a notable increase from 43,471 million to 44,122 million, translating to a revenue growth rate of approximately 1.5% from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin stands strong at about 56.2% for 2023. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA figures for 2023 limits a full assessment of operational efficiency. Despite these missing metrics, the company's net profit margin improved from 4.9% in 2022 to 7.4% in 2023, indicating enhanced profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of Orange SA reflects a stable equity position, with stockholders' equity slightly increasing to 31,824 million. The debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to approximately 0.23 in 2023, reflecting reduced leverage risk compared to previous years. The equity ratio remains robust at about 29.1%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. While these improvements suggest stability, the overall asset base has remained relatively static.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Orange SA's cash flow statement shows a healthy operating cash flow of 12,055 million in 2023, though the free cash flow declined to 4,418 million from the previous year's 11,235 million, suggesting increased capital expenditures or changes in working capital. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, highlighting the need for improved free cash generation strategies.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
Gross Profit
24.80B24.74B24.55B24.58B42.25B
EBIT
4.19B5.81B4.49B4.82B5.26B
EBITDA
13.45B11.24B13.95B12.80B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.44B2.15B233.00M4.82B5.72B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Assets
109.20B109.61B108.07B107.68B106.74B
Total Debt
7.17B45.88B44.42B42.63B44.01B
Net Debt
1.55B44.39B42.98B42.53B43.90B
Total Liabilities
74.96B74.66B72.71B70.48B72.33B
Stockholders Equity
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.42B11.23B701.00M3.04B-137.00M
Operating Cash Flow
12.05B11.23B11.24B12.70B10.19B
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Orange SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.44
Price Trends
50DMA
13.98
Positive
100DMA
12.76
Positive
200DMA
11.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
53.20
Neutral
STOCH
4.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORANY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.45, above the 50-day MA of 13.98, and above the 200-day MA of 11.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORANY.

Orange SA Risk Analysis

Orange SA disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orange SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orange SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TLTLK
79
Outperform
$17.75B12.1916.28%6.70%-5.14%-7.47%
CHCHT
76
Outperform
$34.49B29.619.59%3.33%-0.19%-0.79%
VOVOD
71
Outperform
$24.46B9.21-7.17%5.14%-24.84%-74.77%
AMAMX
71
Outperform
$52.40B31.208.54%2.87%0.19%-49.68%
TETEF
64
Neutral
$30.19B-0.55%5.99%1.18%
63
Neutral
$38.41B16.218.07%4.01%0.25%41.98%
61
Neutral
$14.79B5.90-3.99%6.20%2.67%-30.30%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORANY
Orange SA
14.44
4.73
48.71%
AMX
America Movil
17.09
0.75
4.59%
CHT
Chunghwa Telecom Co
44.39
6.16
16.11%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
17.97
0.37
2.10%
TEF
Telefonica
5.23
1.11
26.94%
VOD
Vodafone
9.80
1.46
17.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.