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Onto Innovation Inc (ONTO)
NYSE:ONTO
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Onto Innovation (ONTO) AI Stock Analysis

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ONTO

Onto Innovation

(NYSE:ONTO)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$124.00
▲(13.88% Upside)
Onto Innovation's strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions are key strengths, supporting a positive outlook. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, although valuation remains moderate. The company's strategic initiatives and leadership changes are expected to drive future growth.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
Onto announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire the materials analysis business of Semilab International for $475 million in cash and 706,215 shares of Onto Innovation common stock.
Product Development
Onto Innovation has improved its Dragonfly defect tool and received encouraging feedback from a recent customer demo.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Onto reported earnings for 2Q25 that were three cents below investor expectations and guided lower for 3Q25 due to softness in the Advanced Node segment.
Market Competition
ONTO’s shares have suffered a 50% haircut since late January primarily due to share loss at AI customers to KLA-Tencor in the defect analysis business.

Onto Innovation (ONTO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Onto Innovation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOnto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that performs macro defect inspection and 2D/3D optical metrology, lithography systems, and process control analytical software worldwide. It offers process and yield management solutions, and device packaging and test facilities through standalone systems for macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, probe card test and analysis, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements; and process control software portfolio that includes solutions for standalone tools, groups of tools, and enterprise-or factory-wide suites. The company also provides spare parts and software licensing services. Its products are used by semiconductor and advanced packaging device manufacturers; silicon wafer; light emitting diode; vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser; micro-electromechanical system; CMOS image sensor; power device; RF filter; data storage; and various industrial and scientific applications. The company was formerly known as Rudolph Technologies, Inc. Onto Innovation Inc. was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyOnto Innovation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor equipment and related services. The company's revenue model is built on several key streams: equipment sales, which include metrology and inspection systems; service contracts that provide maintenance and support for their products; and software solutions that enhance the performance of semiconductor manufacturing processes. Additionally, partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers and collaborations with research institutions contribute to Onto's earnings by expanding its market reach and facilitating innovation. The company also benefits from industry trends towards increased demand for advanced semiconductor technologies, which drives sales growth.

Onto Innovation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook for Onto Innovation, with strong Q2 performance, strategic acquisitions, and expected growth in AI packaging and advanced nodes. Despite anticipated short-term revenue decline and tariff impacts in Q3, the company remains confident in a rebound in Q4.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Second Quarter Performance
Onto Innovation delivered strong revenue and operating margin in Q2, exceeding the midpoint of the guidance range with revenue at $253.6 million, a 5% increase year-over-year.
Strategic Acquisition
Announced a strategic agreement to acquire product lines from Semilab International, expected to add over $130 million in annual revenue and increase first-year earnings per share by more than 10%.
AI Packaging and Dragonfly Platform
Significant progress with the next-generation Dragonfly platform, achieving milestones with key customers and expecting to ship to several customers in the second half of the year.
Advanced Node Market
Second-quarter revenue from memory markets remained strong, with an expected nearly double revenue by year-end 2024.
Financial Position and Cash Flow
Cash from operations was $58 million, and the company ended the quarter with $895 million in cash and investments.
Negative Updates
Temporary Revenue Decline Expected in Q3
Revenue for Q3 is expected to be between $210 million and $225 million, reflecting an anticipated slowdown in advanced node spending.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs are expected to impact gross margins by 1 percentage point in Q3, with incurred tariff expenses of approximately $2 million to $3 million.
Operating Margin Pressure
Q3 operating margins are expected to decrease temporarily to a range of 18% to 21% due to lower revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Onto Innovation Second Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call for 2025, the company reported a strong performance, with revenue of $253.6 million, marking a 5% year-over-year increase. The gross margin for the quarter stood at 54.5%, slightly impacted by tariffs, while the operating margin reached 25.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) were $1.25, influenced by foreign exchange and tax rate changes. Advanced nodes contributed $89 million, specialty devices and advanced packaging $117 million, and software and services $48 million to the revenue. The company announced a strategic acquisition of product lines from Semilab International, expected to add over $130 million in annual revenue and increase EPS by more than 10%. Looking ahead, third-quarter revenue is expected to range from $210 million to $225 million, with a projected rebound in the fourth quarter, aligning with first-half 2025 levels.

Onto Innovation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Onto Innovation demonstrates strong financial health with stable revenue growth, robust profitability margins, and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet reflects a low leverage position, providing a solid foundation for future growth, although there may be potential to leverage debt more effectively for further expansion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Onto Innovation shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue and net income over the years. The TTM gross profit margin is 51.48% and the net profit margin stands at 21.37%, indicating efficient cost management and strong profit generation. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 20.37% and 24.84% respectively. Revenue growth rate from the previous annual report to TTM is 3.82%, showing a steady upward trend.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 and a strong equity ratio of 90.77%, reflecting financial stability and low leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is robust at 11.40%, demonstrating effective utilization of equity. However, the high equity ratio might indicate underutilization of debt financing for growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Onto Innovation exhibits strong cash flow management with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.28 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.13, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow growth rate from the previous year is 15.72%, highlighting robust cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B987.32M815.87M1.01B788.90M556.50M
Gross Profit531.57M515.31M420.25M539.22M429.09M278.45M
EBITDA272.03M249.41M183.29M301.38M222.21M94.25M
Net Income199.87M201.67M121.16M223.33M142.35M31.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.14B2.12B1.91B1.79B1.65B1.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments894.94M852.33M697.81M547.78M511.34M373.72M
Total Debt13.41M15.16M19.52M22.02M17.72M20.93M
Total Liabilities177.00M191.21M173.18M198.44M223.76M203.43M
Stockholders Equity1.96B1.93B1.74B1.60B1.43B1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow238.49M213.77M149.40M118.30M163.24M102.16M
Operating Cash Flow273.17M245.68M171.97M136.70M175.28M105.98M
Investing Cash Flow-125.47M-226.55M-103.39M-55.69M-141.79M-48.60M
Financing Cash Flow-104.95M-35.67M-9.47M-68.35M2.67M-53.70M

Onto Innovation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price108.89
Price Trends
50DMA
100.91
Positive
100DMA
104.42
Positive
200DMA
135.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.47
Negative
RSI
58.82
Neutral
STOCH
52.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONTO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 108.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.27, above the 50-day MA of 100.91, and below the 200-day MA of 135.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ONTO.

Onto Innovation Risk Analysis

Onto Innovation disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Onto Innovation reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Onto Innovation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$7.64B35.4624.23%43.69%51.22%
79
Outperform
$5.34B26.9510.53%15.51%20.31%
77
Outperform
$4.05B30.4924.28%1.61%27.88%37.85%
61
Neutral
$35.62B8.22-10.94%1.88%8.86%-10.36%
59
Neutral
$3.45B-9.89%-14.77%-261.91%
57
Neutral
$4.65B-9.71%29.66%47.97%
57
Neutral
$5.86B-6.75%-18.82%-195.20%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONTO
Onto Innovation
108.89
-97.90
-47.34%
CAMT
Camtek
84.83
-7.36
-7.98%
IPGP
IPG Photonics
83.63
14.29
20.61%
NVMI
Nova
259.50
39.61
18.01%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
141.81
27.70
24.27%
ALGM
Allegro MicroSystems
31.65
7.61
31.66%

Onto Innovation Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Onto Innovation Acquires Semilab USA for $475 Million
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Onto Innovation Inc. announced an agreement to acquire Semilab USA for $475 million in cash and shares, with the transaction expected to close in the second half of 2025. This acquisition is anticipated to add over $130 million to annual revenue, enhance Onto Innovation’s market position in high-growth semiconductor segments, and be immediately accretive to margins and earnings per share.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Onto Innovation Appoints New CFO Brian Roberts
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Onto Innovation Inc. announced the appointment of Brian Roberts as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective June 16, 2025. Roberts brings extensive experience from his previous roles, including CFO at Sensata Technologies and CEO at Tarveda Therapeutics. His employment agreement includes a base salary, bonus incentives, equity grants, and severance benefits, reflecting Onto Innovation’s strategic focus on strengthening its financial leadership and operational stability.

Executive/Board Changes
Onto Innovation Announces CFO Departure Effective Immediately
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Onto Innovation, Inc. announced the mutual termination of employment with its Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Mark Slicer, effective immediately. The separation was amicable and not due to any disagreements regarding the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Onto Innovation Holds 2025 Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

Onto Innovation held its 2025 Annual Meeting on May 21, 2025, in Milpitas, California, where stockholders voted on three key proposals. The stockholders elected seven directors to serve until the next annual meeting, approved executive compensation on an advisory basis, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 3, 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025