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IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)
NASDAQ:IPGP

IPG Photonics (IPGP) AI Stock Analysis

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IPG Photonics

(NASDAQ:IPGP)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▼( -2.22% Downside)
IPG Photonics is navigating through a challenging period with significant financial struggles, particularly in profitability. However, the company benefits from a solid balance sheet and promising growth in emerging product segments. Technical analysis indicates a positive momentum, although valuation concerns remain due to the lack of profitability and dividend yield. The mixed guidance from the earnings call highlights both opportunities in new markets and pressures from traditional segments and tariffs.
Positive Factors
Bookings
Bookings were solid, with the BTB at the highest level in over two years as IPG saw stable-to-improving demand across its major geographies.
Regional Performance
By region, China sales increased 21.9% sequentially and 8.1% y/y.
Revenue Growth
Medical revenue grew, benefiting from shipments to a new urology customer.
Negative Factors
Industrial Demand
Cutting revenue continued to decline due to softer industrial demand and increased competition but saw some strength in certain geographies.
Revenue Decline
Total revenue decreased 10% YoY with lower sales in cutting and welding applications offsetting growth in other materials processing applications, medical and advanced applications.
Tariff Impact
IPGP shares fell 13% on the back of a weak Q2 guidance, a function of tariff-related impacts.

IPG Photonics (IPGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IPG Photonics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIPG Photonics Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells various high-performance fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers, and diode lasers used in various applications primarily in materials processing worldwide. The company's laser products include hybrid fiber-solid state lasers with green and ultraviolet wavelengths; fiber pigtailed packaged diodes and fiber coupled direct diode laser systems; high-energy pulsed lasers, multi-wavelength and tunable lasers, and single-polarization and single-frequency lasers; and high-power optical fiber delivery cables, fiber couplers, beam switches, chillers, scanners, and other accessories. It also provides erbium-doped fiber and Raman amplifiers, and integrated communications systems, which are deployed in broadband networks; and ytterbium and thulium specialty fiber amplifiers and broadband light sources. In addition, the company offers integrated laser systems; 2D compact flat sheet cutter systems and multi-axis systems; welding seam stepper and picker, a fiber laser welding tool; high precision laser systems; specialized fiber laser systems; and optical transceiver and transponder modules for interconnecting electronic equipment, including Ethernet switches, IP routers and DWDM/SONET/SDH optical transport modules within telecommunications, cable multi-system operators, and data center networking applications. It's lasers and amplifiers are also used in materials processing, communications, and medical and advanced applications. The company markets its products to original equipment manufacturers, system integrators, and end users through direct sales force, as well as through agreements with independent sales representatives and distributors. IPG Photonics Corporation was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Oxford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyIPG Photonics generates revenue by designing, producing, and selling a broad range of high-performance fiber lasers and amplifiers. Their primary revenue streams include the sale of fiber laser products for industrial applications such as cutting, welding, and marking, which constitute a significant portion of their income. The company also earns from providing complementary products and services, including laser systems, beam delivery products, and replacement parts. Moreover, IPG Photonics engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, contributing to its earnings by tapping into new markets and customer segments.

IPG Photonics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IPG Photonics faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, reflected in negative margins. However, the company maintains a robust balance sheet with no debt, enhancing its financial stability. Cash flow management remains an area for improvement to support future growth and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
40
Negative
IPG Photonics has experienced declining revenue and profitability. The revenue growth rate has been negative, indicating a downward trajectory in sales. The company also reported negative EBIT and EBITDA, leading to a significant net loss in the most recent year, reflecting operational challenges and reduced profitability margins.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with no total debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of zero. IPG Photonics maintains a high equity ratio, demonstrating financial stability. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over the years is a concern that needs to be monitored.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
IPG Photonics shows a stable cash flow position, with a positive operating cash flow. However, the decrease in free cash flow over the years and the current challenges in converting net income into cash flows indicate potential inefficiencies in cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
977.13M1.29B1.43B1.46B1.20B
Gross Profit
338.15M541.70M555.41M696.40M539.00M
EBIT
-208.25M231.57M293.31M367.88M198.66M
EBITDA
75.92M301.19M383.87M462.91M326.06M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-181.53M218.88M109.91M278.42M159.57M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
930.19M1.18B1.18B1.51B1.39B
Total Assets
2.29B2.70B2.74B3.17B2.94B
Total Debt
17.96M18.26M16.03M34.16M37.97M
Net Debt
-602.08M-496.41M-682.18M-674.95M-838.26M
Total Liabilities
264.79M283.51M357.92M423.32M341.59M
Stockholders Equity
2.02B2.42B2.39B2.75B2.59B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
149.37M185.50M102.51M266.59M197.64M
Operating Cash Flow
247.90M295.99M212.65M389.70M285.33M
Investing Cash Flow
208.73M-237.55M296.95M-416.28M-99.57M
Financing Cash Flow
-339.62M-236.38M-514.55M-125.07M-10.08M

IPG Photonics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.45
Price Trends
50DMA
60.28
Positive
100DMA
64.40
Positive
200DMA
68.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.08
Negative
RSI
58.87
Neutral
STOCH
91.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IPGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.98, above the 50-day MA of 60.28, and below the 200-day MA of 68.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IPGP.

IPG Photonics Risk Analysis

IPG Photonics disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IPG Photonics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Future sales of our common stock by our existing shareholders could cause our stock price to decline. Q4, 2024

IPG Photonics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$7.18B31.4214.58%1.09%6.13%4.70%
66
Neutral
$4.19B-14.77%2.16%-55.38%
62
Neutral
$2.83B-9.17%-20.08%-218.29%
60
Neutral
$11.56B10.24-7.04%2.94%7.46%-10.54%
58
Neutral
$4.90B-12.78%65.85%7.92%
55
Neutral
$2.97B81.315.03%1.55%-5.75%-41.75%
49
Neutral
$3.41B-137.83%4.66%84.78%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IPGP
IPG Photonics
65.49
-20.54
-23.88%
POWI
Power Integrations
51.19
-24.10
-32.01%
SMTC
Semtech
37.79
-1.59
-4.04%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
122.75
-1.47
-1.18%
OLED
Universal Display
145.96
-26.77
-15.50%
SITM
SiTime Corporation
204.03
84.10
70.12%

IPG Photonics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced view with both positive developments in emerging product growth and strategic partnerships, and challenges such as revenue decline in traditional markets and tariff impacts.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Book-to-Bill Ratio
The first quarter book-to-bill ratio was solidly above 1, indicating strong bookings growth and improved demand across several markets.
Revenue Performance
Revenue for the first quarter was $228 million, above the midpoint of guidance, with a notable increase in medical and advanced applications and contributions from the cleanLASER acquisition.
Growth in Emerging Products
Emerging growth products, such as AMB lasers and micromachining, performed well, contributing to over 50% of sales.
Partnership with AkzoNobel
A new partnership with AkzoNobel to apply laser technology for curing powder coatings, offering advantages in energy efficiency and process speed.
Strong Financial Position
IPG Photonics has over $900 million in cash and no debt, providing flexibility for strategic investments and acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Materials Processing
Revenue from materials processing decreased 14% year-over-year, primarily due to lower sales in cutting and welding.
Impact of Tariffs
Recently imposed tariffs are expected to delay approximately $15 million in shipments, affecting revenue guidance for the second quarter.
Weak Market in Europe
Sales in Europe declined 11% sequentially and 28% year-over-year, with lower revenue in cutting and welding.
Company Guidance
During IPG Photonics' first-quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided guidance on its strategic priorities and financial outlook. The book-to-bill ratio was solidly above 1, indicating strong bookings, particularly in emerging growth areas like medical, micromachining, and advanced applications. Despite a 10% year-over-year revenue decline to $228 million due to lower materials processing sales and the impact from divested Russian operations, growth was noted in medical and advanced applications, bolstered by the cleanLASER acquisition. The company projected second-quarter revenue between $210 million and $240 million, with an anticipated adjusted gross margin of 36% to 38%, factoring in a 150 to 200 basis points impact from tariffs. Adjusted EBITDA was expected to range from $16 million to $31 million. IPG emphasized its agility in navigating the dynamic operating environment by optimizing its global manufacturing and supply chain to minimize tariff impacts and leveraging its strong balance sheet, with over $900 million in cash and no debt.

IPG Photonics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
IPG Photonics Holds Annual Meeting, Elects New Board
Neutral
May 21, 2025

IPG Photonics held its Annual Meeting on May 20, 2025, where shareholders voted on several key issues. The meeting resulted in the election of ten directors, approval of executive compensation, adoption of the 2025 Incentive Compensation Plan, and ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. Following the meeting, the Board decided to reduce its size from eleven to ten members, effective immediately.

The most recent analyst rating on (IPGP) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPG Photonics stock, see the IPGP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.