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IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)
NASDAQ:IPGP

IPG Photonics (IPGP) AI Stock Analysis

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IPGP

IPG Photonics

(NASDAQ:IPGP)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(6.43% Upside)
IPG Photonics' overall score is primarily influenced by its strong balance sheet and positive earnings call outlook, which are offset by bearish technical indicators and high valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and product launches provide a positive outlook, but challenges in North America sales and operating expenses remain significant.
Positive Factors
Medical Segment Expansion
The FDA clearance for new medical laser systems enhances IPG's product portfolio, potentially increasing revenue from the medical segment and strengthening its market position in healthcare technology.
Advancements in Directed Energy
The introduction of the CROSSBOW laser defense system positions IPG as a key player in defense technology, potentially opening new revenue streams and enhancing its competitive edge in the defense sector.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides IPG Photonics with financial stability and flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
North America Sales Decline
Declining sales in North America could indicate weakening market presence or competitive pressures, potentially impacting overall revenue growth and market share in a key region.
Operating Expenses
High operating expenses can strain profitability and cash flow, limiting the company's ability to invest in other strategic initiatives and potentially affecting long-term financial health.
Pressure on Margins
Margin pressure can reduce profitability and affect the company's ability to reinvest in growth, potentially impacting its competitive position and long-term financial performance.

IPG Photonics (IPGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IPG Photonics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIPG Photonics Corporation is a leading provider of high-performance fiber lasers and amplifiers for diverse applications across various industries, including materials processing, telecommunications, and medical technologies. The company specializes in developing innovative laser systems that are known for their efficiency and reliability. Founded in 1990 and headquartered in Oxford, Massachusetts, IPG operates in the laser technology sector and offers a broad range of products, including fiber lasers, solid-state lasers, and laser systems for cutting, welding, marking, and engraving.
How the Company Makes MoneyIPG Photonics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its fiber laser systems and related products. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes the sale of laser systems, which constitute the largest portion of its sales, along with related services such as installation, maintenance, and repairs. Additionally, IPG offers components like laser diodes and amplifiers, which serve as significant revenue streams. The company benefits from strong demand across various sectors, including industrial manufacturing, automotive, aerospace, and medical devices. Key partnerships with manufacturers and distributors enhance its market reach. Furthermore, the growth in automation and technological advancements in laser applications contribute to its earnings, as industries increasingly adopt laser technology for efficiency and precision.

IPG Photonics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
IPG Photonics demonstrated robust growth in several key areas, including medical and directed energy segments, and achieved strong financial performance. However, challenges such as declining North America sales and elevated operating expenses persist. Despite these, the company's strategic initiatives and successful product launches indicate a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Third quarter revenue was flat sequentially and up 11% year-over-year, excluding divestitures, driven by stronger demand in battery production and stable general industrial demand.
Medical Segment Expansion
Received FDA clearance for the next generation of thulium medical laser systems, with shipments expected by the end of the fourth quarter, indicating progress in expanding the medical portfolio.
Advancements in Directed Energy
Showcased CROSSBOW, a scalable laser defense system, at major defense shows with high interest from defense and commercial customers, and opened a new customer center in Huntsville, Alabama.
Revenue Performance by Region
Revenue in Asia increased 5% sequentially and 15% year-over-year, driven by higher welding sales in China, Japan, and Korea.
Financial Performance
Adjusted gross margin was 39.8%, driven by improved manufacturing cost absorption and a decrease in inventory provisions, with adjusted EBITDA at $37 million.
Negative Updates
North America Sales Decline
Sales in North America decreased by 16% sequentially due to the timing of some large orders in welding and advanced applications.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses remained elevated between $90 million and $92 million due to investments in business growth and organizational strengthening.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs impacted gross margin by 140 basis points, with ongoing efforts to mitigate these costs.
Company Guidance
During the call, IPG Photonics provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, expecting revenue between $230 million and $260 million, with adjusted gross margins ranging from 36% to 39%, including a tariff impact of about 140 basis points. Operating expenses are projected to be between $90 million and $92 million, largely due to strategic investments and organizational strengthening. The company anticipates adjusted earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $0.05 to $0.35, with approximately 42.5 million diluted common shares outstanding. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $21 million and $38 million. These figures reflect ongoing efforts to stabilize revenue and improve margins while investing in growth initiatives amid a cautiously optimistic demand environment.

IPG Photonics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IPG Photonics maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, which is crucial in the semiconductor industry. However, the income statement shows pressure on margins and profitability, while the cash flow statement indicates challenges in sustaining free cash flow growth. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash conversion to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
IPG Photonics shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a slight revenue growth of 1.87%, but the company has faced challenges with declining margins. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, and the net profit margin is significantly lower at 2.66% compared to previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also contracted, indicating pressure on operational efficiency. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to return to profitability in the TTM period after a loss in the previous year.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of IPG Photonics remains strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, the return on equity has decreased over the years, suggesting reduced profitability from shareholders' equity. The company's ability to maintain a robust balance sheet amidst fluctuating income statement metrics is a positive aspect.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of 43.93% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating that the company generates reasonable cash from its operations relative to its net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, reflecting challenges in converting income into free cash flow. Overall, the cash flow position is stable but shows signs of strain.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue963.64M977.13M1.29B1.43B1.46B1.20B
Gross Profit372.73M338.15M541.70M555.41M696.40M539.00M
EBITDA98.56M75.92M301.19M321.97M449.09M326.06M
Net Income25.64M-181.53M218.88M109.91M278.42M159.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.38B2.29B2.70B2.74B3.17B2.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments870.38M930.19M1.18B1.18B1.51B1.39B
Total Debt17.36M17.96M18.26M38.05M58.13M43.74M
Total Liabilities276.15M264.79M283.51M357.92M423.32M341.59M
Stockholders Equity2.10B2.02B2.42B2.39B2.75B2.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.25M149.37M185.50M102.51M266.59M197.64M
Operating Cash Flow120.32M247.90M295.99M212.65M389.70M285.33M
Investing Cash Flow-555.45M208.73M-237.55M296.95M-416.28M-99.57M
Financing Cash Flow-105.93M-339.62M-236.38M-514.55M-125.07M-10.08M

IPG Photonics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price75.17
Price Trends
50DMA
82.46
Negative
100DMA
81.35
Negative
200DMA
73.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.33
Positive
RSI
38.28
Neutral
STOCH
6.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IPGP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 75.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.18, below the 50-day MA of 82.46, and above the 200-day MA of 73.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IPGP.

IPG Photonics Risk Analysis

IPG Photonics disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IPG Photonics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IPG Photonics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$9.19B41.0623.58%39.37%40.87%
74
Outperform
$1.94B14.3611.89%-2.04%8.84%
69
Neutral
$31.63B28.3911.17%2.39%8.01%10.41%
69
Neutral
$6.21B233.4313.39%20.60%
66
Neutral
$5.48B24.8213.30%1.56%-0.58%-6.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$3.15B125.101.22%-7.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IPGP
IPG Photonics
75.17
1.33
1.80%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
14.87
5.13
52.67%
NVMI
Nova
312.78
119.25
61.62%
PLAB
Photronics
32.87
8.83
36.73%
SMTC
Semtech
71.01
7.46
11.74%
OLED
Universal Display
115.21
-32.37
-21.93%

IPG Photonics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
IPG Photonics Updates Executive Severance and Compensation Plans
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On September 30, 2025, IPG Photonics‘ Board of Directors approved significant updates to their Executive Severance Plan and other executive compensation structures. These changes include revised severance payments and performance-based equity awards for executives, particularly in the event of a Change in Control, and the termination of certain senior vice presidents’ employment agreements to align with the new plan. Additionally, the Senior Executive Annual Incentive Plan was amended to coordinate with the Severance Plan, and the Non-Employee Director Compensation Plan was updated to increase the annual cash retainer for the Non-Executive Chair.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025