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Universal Display (OLED)
NASDAQ:OLED
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Universal Display (OLED) AI Stock Analysis

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OLED

Universal Display

(NASDAQ:OLED)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$96.00
▲(21.11% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/05/26
The score is primarily driven by strong financial quality (high margins, minimal leverage, and solid cash generation) and a reasonable valuation with dividend support. These positives are moderated by weaker technical conditions (negative MACD and trading below longer-term moving averages) and a more cautious near-term business outlook from the latest earnings call (revenue tracking toward the low end of guidance and material sales weakness), despite resilient margin guidance and strong cash/returns to shareholders.
Positive Factors
High profitability and durable margins
Universal Display's persistently high gross and net margins provide structural resilience versus volume swings. Elevated margins (Q2 76%, FY guide 74–76%) reflect valuable materials/IP mix and give the company durable cash generation capacity to fund R&D, shareholder returns, and withstand cyclical downturns.
Negative Factors
Near-term revenue and materials weakness
Significant YoY declines in revenue and especially materials sales point to durable near-term headwinds if end-market volumes remain soft. Because materials revenue is tied to panel production, prolonged volume weakness can compress top-line and reduce scale benefits for materials margins and license catch-ups over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability and durable margins
Universal Display's persistently high gross and net margins provide structural resilience versus volume swings. Elevated margins (Q2 76%, FY guide 74–76%) reflect valuable materials/IP mix and give the company durable cash generation capacity to fund R&D, shareholder returns, and withstand cyclical downturns.
Read all positive factors

Universal Display Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Highlights revenue from different business segments, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and how the company is diversifying its income streams.
Chart InsightsRoyalty income is the key source of volatility and the main reason headline revenue has softened—royalties have swung down on customer mix and China lumpiness while material sales have stayed relatively steadier but recently plateaued. A mid‑2025 bump in contract research hints at intensified R&D/commercialization activity (phosphorescent blue), which could lift future royalty streams as new panels scale. Management’s guidance and strong cash/buybacks cushion near‑term weakness, but royalties will determine recovery timing.
Data provided by:The Fly

Universal Display (OLED) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Display Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Universal Display Corporation is dedicated to the investigation, advancement, and market deployment of organic light-emitting diode (OLED) innovations and their constituent materials, primarily for use in display and solid-state illumination appli...
How the Company Makes Money
Universal Display makes money mainly through (1) the sale of OLED materials and (2) licensing and royalties from its intellectual property. Materials revenue comes from supplying proprietary OLED chemical materials—most notably phosphorescent emit...

Universal Display Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflects a balanced outlook: meaningful near-term headwinds and notable year-over-year declines in revenue and earnings were contrasted with durable profitability (high gross margins), a strong cash position, continued industry investment and capacity ramps, and ongoing R&D progress (notably on phosphorescent blue and advanced OLED architectures). Management lowered its revenue outlook toward the low end of the prior range due to volume softness but expects seasonally stronger second-half results and highlights long-term growth drivers tied to new fabs, applications (IT, automotive, TV, foldables), and technology advances.
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position and Capital Returns
Ended Q2 with approximately $855 million in cash, cash equivalents and investments; repurchased ~531,000 shares for ~$48 million in the quarter; returned more than $238 million to shareholders over the last 12 months; board declared a Q3 cash dividend of $0.50 per share.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Q2 2026 revenue was $152 million, down from $172 million in Q2 2025 (−11.6% YoY). Company updated full-year revenue outlook to the lower end of the prior $630M–$670M range, citing softer near-term demand.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Cash Position and Capital Returns
Ended Q2 with approximately $855 million in cash, cash equivalents and investments; repurchased ~531,000 shares for ~$48 million in the quarter; returned more than $238 million to shareholders over the last 12 months; board declared a Q3 cash dividend of $0.50 per share.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
UDC updated 2026 guidance so full‑year revenue is now expected to track toward the lower end of its prior $630–$670 million range, with second‑half revenue still expected to exceed the first half (management attributes the cut to lower volumes while ASPs remain stable). Profitability targets include total gross margin guidance of 74–76% (Q2 GAAP gross margin 76%), an expected rebound in materials gross margins toward historical ~60%, a full‑year materials:royalty ratio of ~1.2:1 (Q2: ~0.8:1; H1: ~1.1:1), and operating expenses forecast to rise a low single‑digit percent versus 2025. Key Q2 metrics: revenue $152M (vs $172M YoY), material sales $66M (green $51M; red $15M), royalty & license $81M, operating income $54M (35% margin), net income $49M ($1.06 diluted), effective tax rate ~19%, cash + investments ~$855M, Q2 share repurchase ~531k shares for ~$48M, and a declared Q3 cash dividend of $0.50 per share.

Universal Display Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by very high profitability (TTM gross margin ~73%, net margin ~34%), an excellent balance sheet with minimal leverage (debt-to-equity ~1%), and solid cash generation (operating cash flow ~3.0x net income). The key offset is slowing momentum: TTM revenue (-3.1%) and free cash flow (-7.2%) are down, with some historical volatility in conversion.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue606.91M650.61M647.68M576.43M616.62M553.52M
Gross Profit457.21M496.49M499.22M441.05M488.72M438.53M
EBITDA257.54M295.17M316.27M288.57M310.50M270.21M
Net Income195.68M242.07M222.08M203.01M210.06M184.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.89B1.96B1.83B1.67B1.53B1.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments471.31M602.36M492.67M514.12M577.77M663.19M
Total Debt16.86M19.22M19.14M22.86M29.04M27.26M
Total Liabilities203.77M202.74M215.81M221.74M257.45M367.00M
Stockholders Equity1.68B1.76B1.62B1.45B1.28B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.02M144.36M211.10M28.42M79.61M147.55M
Operating Cash Flow262.19M210.83M253.74M154.78M126.81M191.10M
Investing Cash Flow5.96M-45.48M-164.41M-83.29M-280.74M-457.75M
Financing Cash Flow-243.39M-125.98M-82.33M-72.93M-64.64M-51.37M

Universal Display Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.27
Price Trends
50DMA
84.92
Positive
100DMA
89.19
Positive
200DMA
103.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.20
Negative
RSI
65.95
Neutral
STOCH
95.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OLED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.38, below the 50-day MA of 84.92, and below the 200-day MA of 103.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OLED.

Universal Display Risk Analysis

Universal Display disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal Display reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Display Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$32.00B32.829.13%7.70%13.95%
73
Outperform
$4.16B21.8211.35%2.40%-8.32%-19.36%
69
Neutral
$6.20B105.484.90%7.61%-7.28%
68
Neutral
$135.89B72.0415.93%0.76%19.41%131.24%
64
Neutral
$19.77B45.0112.24%0.28%16.23%65.58%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$63.61B143.485.26%18.00%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OLED
Universal Display
94.04
-43.96
-31.85%
GLW
Corning
159.19
94.15
144.76%
NOVT
Novanta
167.71
46.52
38.39%
COHR
Coherent Corp
328.57
212.01
181.89%
MKSI
MKS
294.38
191.48
186.09%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
681.74
129.44
23.44%

Universal Display Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Universal Display Shareholders Approve Directors and Executive Pay
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
Universal Display held its 2026 annual meeting on June 18, 2026, with 42,581,241 votes represented in person or by proxy, sufficient for quorum with broker non-votes and abstentions counted as present. Shareholders re-elected all nominated directo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2026