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Rambus Inc (RMBS)
NASDAQ:RMBS
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Rambus (RMBS) AI Stock Analysis

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RMBS

Rambus

(NASDAQ:RMBS)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$84.00
▲(13.87% Upside)
Rambus's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to its high overall score. The company's robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic positioning in the semiconductor industry are key strengths. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, although valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
MRDIMMs are considered a positive sentiment driver for Rambus, with significant opportunities anticipated from 2026 onwards.
Revenue Growth
Rambus is projected to present a revenue compound annual growth rate of over 20%, with a clear path to increased earnings per share.
Valuation
Analyst reiterates 'Outperform' rating on RMBS due to its attractive valuation among higher growth semiconductor stocks with a strong free cash flow profile.
Negative Factors
Market Visibility
Rambus currently does not see a direct impact from tariffs, but notes that dynamics are fluid and result in limited visibility.
Revenue Fluctuation
Contract Revenue came in lower due to selling lower customizable IP.

Rambus (RMBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rambus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRambus Inc. provides semiconductor products in the United States, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Europe, Canada, Singapore, China, and internationally. The company offers DDR memory interface chips, including DDR5, DDR4 and DDR3 memory interface chips to module manufacturers and OEMs; silicon IP comprising, interface and security IP solutions that move and protect data in advanced applications; and physical interface and digital controller IP to offer industry-leading, integrated memory and interconnect subsystems. It also provides a portfolio of patents that covers memory architecture, high-speed serial links, and security products. The company markets its products and services through its direct sales force and distributors. Rambus Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRambus generates revenue primarily through licensing its intellectual property, which includes patented technologies related to memory interfaces, cryptography, and security solutions. The company has established key partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers and technology firms, allowing it to monetize its innovations through licensing agreements and royalties. Additionally, Rambus provides engineering services and custom solutions, contributing to its revenue streams. Significant collaboration with industry leaders in the semiconductor space further enhances its earnings potential, as these partnerships often lead to long-term contracts and recurring revenue.

Rambus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and growth, driven by record product revenue and leadership in DDR5 products. Despite the modest current contribution from new products and uncertainty in the CXL market, Rambus is well-positioned for continued success and long-term growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Product Revenue
Rambus achieved record product revenue for the fifth consecutive quarter, driven by a 43% year-over-year growth in the memory interface chip business.
Strong Financial Performance
The company exceeded expectations with Q2 revenue of $172.2 million and generated record cash from operations of $94 million.
DDR5 Leadership
Sustained leadership in DDR5 products with increased sales and market share above 40%. Expecting continued double-digit sequential product revenue growth in Q3.
Expanding Product Portfolio
Introduction of client memory module chipset for AI PCs and traction in new products, contributing to growth.
Negative Updates
Modest Contribution from New Products
Newly introduced products, including power management chips, currently show modest contribution to revenue, representing low single-digit percentage.
CXL Market Uncertainty
Potential delay in CXL 3.0 adoption, impacting future revenue expectations from this segment.
Company Guidance
During the Rambus Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong financial performance and anticipated growth. Rambus reported record product revenue with a 43% year-over-year increase, driven by their memory interface chip business. The company generated $172.2 million in revenue, surpassing expectations, with $81.3 million from product revenue, marking a 7% sequential increase. Royalty revenue was $68.6 million, with licensing billings at $66.4 million. Rambus also noted record cash from operations at $94 million. Looking ahead to Q3, Rambus projects revenue between $172 million and $178 million, with royalty revenue expected between $57 million and $63 million and licensing billings between $58 million and $64 million. They anticipate continued record product revenue with double-digit growth, driven by expanding DDR5 sales and new product contributions. The company expects Q3 non-GAAP earnings per share to range between $0.58 and $0.66, maintaining a strategic focus on data center and AI market opportunities.

Rambus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rambus demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth, high profitability margins, and robust cash flow. The company's low leverage and effective equity utilization further enhance its financial stability, positioning it well within the semiconductor industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Rambus has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 6.62% increase in TTM, supported by high gross and net profit margins of 80.29% and 35.49%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 40.01% and 46.36%. These metrics indicate a healthy profitability and operational efficiency, positioning Rambus well within the semiconductor industry.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0227, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is solid at 20.15%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 83.66%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to total assets, which contributes to financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Rambus exhibits a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 12.33% in TTM, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.05. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also high at 0.90, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income, supporting future growth and investment opportunities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue645.49M556.62M461.12M454.79M328.30M246.32M
Gross Profit518.26M446.52M357.69M347.21M257.91M182.00M
EBITDA299.24M239.27M241.09M41.17M76.43M21.99M
Net Income229.10M179.82M333.90M-14.31M18.33M-40.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.47B1.34B1.26B1.01B1.23B1.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments594.83M481.80M425.84M313.23M485.61M502.65M
Total Debt27.94M30.15M30.71M44.48M198.78M195.06M
Total Liabilities239.83M222.44M220.13M233.30M370.25M338.70M
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.12B1.04B779.30M862.40M912.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow262.09M199.90M172.55M209.91M195.43M155.73M
Operating Cash Flow292.83M230.60M195.79M230.39M209.22M185.46M
Investing Cash Flow-227.08M-56.72M-57.40M151.98M-115.66M-90.39M
Financing Cash Flow-102.69M-167.99M-169.62M-362.94M-114.21M-61.19M

Rambus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.77
Price Trends
50DMA
68.99
Positive
100DMA
60.99
Positive
200DMA
59.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.85
Positive
RSI
52.25
Neutral
STOCH
75.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RMBS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.99, above the 50-day MA of 68.99, and above the 200-day MA of 59.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RMBS.

Rambus Risk Analysis

Rambus disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rambus reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rambus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$7.76B35.9924.23%43.69%51.22%
79
Outperform
$7.94B34.9120.30%35.17%0.10%
79
Outperform
$5.19B26.2410.53%15.51%20.31%
75
Outperform
$9.09B289.874.57%-22.15%-83.34%
72
Outperform
$8.40B105.862.33%-8.84%
61
Neutral
$35.45B7.89-10.11%1.88%8.47%-9.45%
57
Neutral
$4.41B-9.71%29.66%47.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RMBS
Rambus
73.77
33.19
81.79%
LSCC
Lattice Semiconductor
66.38
23.33
54.19%
ONTO
Onto Innovation
106.00
-80.77
-43.25%
NVMI
Nova
263.34
61.68
30.59%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
134.35
28.01
26.34%
QRVO
Qorvo
90.70
-17.41
-16.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025