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Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM)
NASDAQ:ALGM
US Market

Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM) AI Stock Analysis

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Allegro MicroSystems

(NASDAQ:ALGM)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▼(-4.92%Downside)
Allegro MicroSystems' stock is supported by strong technical momentum and a positive outlook from the recent earnings call, despite facing financial performance challenges and valuation concerns. Strategic initiatives and market positioning provide potential for recovery, but immediate profitability challenges must be addressed.
Positive Factors
Management and Strategy
New CEO Mike Doogue's commitment to tech innovation and focus on financial targets is seen as a positive move for the company.
New Product Introductions
ALGM’s new product introductions grew by +50% YY in FY25 and mgmt highlighted new wins in strategic areas such as E-Mobility, Robotics/Automation, and Clean Energy.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the March quarter came in ahead of the Street at $192.8 million.
Negative Factors
Competition
Increased competition is expected, with competitors being more aggressive on pricing.
Gross Margin Challenges
Gross margin is facing challenges and is expected to reach a low point at a lower level before any recovery.
Valuation Concerns
The stock is trading at near 30 times the analyst's CY26 EPS estimate, implying that upside is somewhat priced in.

Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allegro MicroSystems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllegro MicroSystems (ALGM) is a leading global provider of high-performance power and sensor semiconductor solutions. The company focuses on the automotive and industrial sectors, offering products that are crucial for motion control and energy-efficient systems. Allegro's core products include magnetic sensors, power integrated circuits (ICs), and photonics components, which are designed to enhance the efficiency and reliability of electronic systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllegro MicroSystems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors in the automotive and industrial markets. The company's key revenue streams include magnetic sensors and power ICs, which are integrated into a wide range of applications such as electric vehicles, industrial automation, and renewable energy systems. Allegro's strategic partnerships with major automotive companies and its focus on innovation in sensor technology contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, the company's investment in research and development to create cutting-edge semiconductor solutions plays a crucial role in maintaining its competitive edge and driving revenue growth.

Allegro MicroSystems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 63.19%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth in automotive sales, record-level design wins, and innovative product releases. However, these were countered by significant year-over-year sales declines and margin pressures. Operational efficiency initiatives and growth in strategic focus areas indicate positive future potential, but the current financial performance remains a challenge.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Automotive Sales Growth
Automotive sales returned to growth with an 8% sequential increase, led by e-mobility sales which increased 16% sequentially.
Record-Level Design Wins
Achieved record-level design wins in Q4, with over 70% in strategic focus areas such as e-mobility, robotics, automation, data center, clean energy, and medical.
Innovative Product Releases
Released 50% more products compared to the IPO year, contributing to a multibillion-dollar SAM expansion initiative targeting a $12 billion market opportunity.
Data Center and Robotics Growth
Growth observed in data center and robotics and automation revenue, supported by increased activity in industrial markets.
Operational Efficiency Initiatives
Initiated a restructuring program expected to result in annualized cost savings of at least $15 million, enhancing gross margins and profitability.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Sales Decline
Total Q4 sales declined 20% year over year. Automotive sales declined 23% year over year, while industrial and other sales declined 11% year over year.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin was 45.6%, below expectations due to mix and lower absorption, with a year-over-year decline from 48%.
Challenges in the Distribution Channel
Sales throughout the distribution channel increased by only 4% sequentially, with ongoing work needed in regions like Europe and the United States.
Company Guidance
During Allegro Microsystems' earnings call for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, several key metrics and guidance were provided. The company reported fourth-quarter sales of $193 million, which exceeded the high end of their guidance, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.06, surpassing the midpoint of their expectations. Automotive sales increased by 8% sequentially, with e-mobility leading the growth at 16% sequentially. The company's gross margin was 45.6%, with an operating margin of 9% and adjusted EBITDA at 14.8% of sales. Allegro's management expressed confidence in achieving long-term financial targets, including double-digit sales growth, gross margins of 58% or greater, and operating margins exceeding 32%. For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Allegro expects sales to be between $192 million to $202 million, with a gross margin of 46-48% and non-GAAP EPS ranging from $0.06 to $0.10 per share. The call highlighted the strategic focus on innovative product development and operational efficiency to drive future growth and profitability.

Allegro MicroSystems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allegro MicroSystems faces profitability challenges with a recent net loss and declining revenue. The balance sheet remains strong with a high equity ratio, although increased debt levels warrant caution. Cash flow generation is positive, but declining operating cash flow could affect future operations. Strategic improvements in revenue growth and cost management are essential to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Allegro MicroSystems experienced a decline in total revenue from the previous year, leading to a negative revenue growth rate. The company reported a negative gross profit margin and a net loss for the most recent year, indicating profitability challenges. Despite this, historical data shows previous profitability, suggesting potential for recovery.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, the increase in total debt raises concerns about leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting manageable risk but needing careful monitoring.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, impacting the free cash flow growth rate. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that the company is generating cash despite the net loss, which is a positive sign. However, the declining operating cash flow may pose future liquidity risks.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
725.01M1.05B973.65M768.67M591.21M
Gross Profit
321.53M574.53M546.08M407.46M278.90M
EBIT
-19.80M209.46M203.31M136.65M17.71M
EBITDA
-19.80M276.94M264.49M190.33M49.46M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-73.01M152.70M187.36M119.41M17.95M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
121.33M212.14M351.58M282.38M197.21M
Total Assets
1.42B1.53B1.18B892.62M747.68M
Total Debt
368.49M275.21M42.54M41.45M25.00M
Net Debt
247.16M63.06M-309.04M-240.93M-172.21M
Total Liabilities
489.86M398.89M214.34M157.26M160.81M
Stockholders Equity
931.10M1.13B965.63M734.21M585.75M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
21.96M56.94M113.43M86.19M79.90M
Operating Cash Flow
61.91M181.72M193.21M156.13M120.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-40.82M-516.72M-99.70M-66.27M-68.25M
Financing Cash Flow
-112.06M198.88M-20.00M-5.31M-72.19M

Allegro MicroSystems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.50
Price Trends
50DMA
23.25
Positive
100DMA
24.25
Positive
200DMA
23.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.77
Negative
RSI
71.62
Negative
STOCH
87.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALGM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.22, above the 50-day MA of 23.25, and above the 200-day MA of 23.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.62 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALGM.

Allegro MicroSystems Risk Analysis

Allegro MicroSystems disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allegro MicroSystems reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allegro MicroSystems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.43B17.5317.60%5.99%23.09%
72
Outperform
$5.05B16.037.76%1.62%-1.93%-15.55%
66
Neutral
$4.53B-14.77%2.16%-55.38%
62
Neutral
$11.93B10.60-7.51%3.00%7.40%-8.09%
60
Neutral
$5.64B-7.09%-30.91%-148.73%
58
Neutral
$3.65B-93.41%13.83%88.14%
55
Neutral
$3.27B89.325.03%1.45%-5.75%-41.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALGM
Allegro MicroSystems
30.04
0.45
1.52%
AMKR
Amkor
20.32
-14.27
-41.25%
CRUS
Cirrus Logic
102.67
-21.07
-17.03%
POWI
Power Integrations
57.79
-17.16
-22.90%
SMTC
Semtech
41.94
11.57
38.10%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
136.42
14.60
11.98%

Allegro MicroSystems Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allegro MicroSystems Announces Leadership Transition
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Allegro MicroSystems announced that Max Glover, the Senior Vice President of Worldwide Sales, will transition to a new role as a strategic advisor to the CEO, effective March 29, 2025. This change in leadership is expected to impact the company’s strategic direction and may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.