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Onity Group Inc. (ONIT)
:ONIT
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Onity Group (ONIT) AI Stock Analysis

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ONIT

Onity Group

(NYSE:ONIT)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
▼(-0.50% Downside)
Onity Group's overall stock score is driven by its strong earnings call performance, indicating robust net income and book value growth. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, but financial performance is hindered by high leverage and cash flow challenges. Valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield is a drawback.

Onity Group (ONIT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Onity Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOnity Group Inc., a financial services company, originates and services forward and reserve mortgage loans in the United States, the United States Virgin Islands, India, and the Philippines. It operates through the Servicing and Originations segments. The company offers owned mortgage servicing rights and subservicing products; conventional, government-insured, and non-agency mortgage loans, as well as reverse mortgage and multi-family loans; and residential forward mortgage and small commercial mortgage loans. It also originates and purchases conventional and government-insured residential forward and reverse mortgage loans through its correspondent lending arrangements, broker relationships, and retail channels. The company offers its services under the PHH Mortgage and Liberty Reverse Mortgage brands. It serves financial institutions. The company was formerly known as Ocwen Financial Corporation and changed its name to Onity Group Inc. in June 2024. Onity Group Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in West Palm Beach, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyOnity generates revenue through the sale of its electronic locking solutions and security products, which are typically sold directly to hotels, educational institutions, and commercial enterprises. Key revenue streams include hardware sales from electronic locks and access control devices, software licensing for security management systems, and ongoing maintenance and support services. Additionally, Onity benefits from partnerships with hospitality management companies and technology integrators, which help expand its market reach and customer base. The company's focus on innovation, such as the development of mobile access solutions, also plays a significant role in driving revenue growth by meeting evolving customer demands for convenience and security.

Onity Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall, Onity Group demonstrated strong financial performance with robust net income, book value growth, and significant advancements in technology and servicing. However, the company faced challenges from market volatility impacting originations and increased MSR runoff.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Net Income and Book Value Growth
Onity Group reported a GAAP net income of $20 million or $2.40 per share, reflecting an annualized ROE of 17%. Book value increased to $60 per share, up 5% versus the prior year, demonstrating strong financial performance despite market volatility.
Strong Originations and Servicing Performance
The company achieved a 35% year-over-year growth in originations, surpassing the industry's 23% growth. The average servicing UPB grew steadily, with $36 billion in servicing additions, net of runoff.
Top-Tier Servicing Platform
Onity's servicing platform was recognized for industry-leading performance, including high satisfaction ratings from borrowers and clients. Fitch upgraded all 6 residential servicing ratings, highlighting effective risk management and technology enhancements.
Successful Technology Strategy
Investments in AI and robotic process automation resulted in significant process improvements, saving approximately 57,000 hours of manual efforts per month. 88% of customer inquiries were resolved via digital interfaces supported by AI.
Negative Updates
Negative Impact of Market Volatility on Originations
April's market volatility negatively impacted originations profitability by over $4 million, leading to lower adjusted pretax income compared to the previous year.
Higher MSR Runoff
The company experienced higher MSR runoff, driven by increased prepayment speeds, which negatively affected the servicing segment's pretax income.
Challenges in Reverse Origination
Reverse origination faced profitability challenges due to an uncertain interest rate environment, with higher rates limiting the benefits for borrowers.
Company Guidance
During the Onity Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, key financial metrics were highlighted, including a robust GAAP net income attributable to common shareholders of $20 million or $2.40 per share fully diluted, reflecting an annualized ROE of 17%. The company reported an adjusted pretax income of $16 million, leading to an annualized adjusted ROE of 14%. Despite market volatility, the company experienced a 5% year-over-year increase in book value, reaching $60 per share. Originations demonstrated a 35% year-over-year growth, outperforming the industry’s 23% growth, while the Mortgage Bankers Association Refinance Application Index increased by 43% from the previous year. The servicing portfolio saw a 2% year-over-year increase, ending the quarter up approximately $5 billion. However, origination margins were impacted by an unfavorable $4 million due to market volatility. The company maintained its annual adjusted ROE guidance of 16% to 18% for the full year 2025, emphasizing its robust strategy and resilience in navigating market challenges.

Onity Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Onity Group's financial performance is challenged by high leverage, inconsistent profitability, and strained cash flow management. The balance sheet indicates financial risk due to high debt levels, and cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Onity Group's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but the net profit margin is weak due to inconsistent net income, with a recent return to profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline in the latest year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating operational efficiency but also highlighting challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is low, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is weak, suggesting limited buffer against liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial risk due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth, indicating cash outflows exceeding inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting operational cash challenges. Free cash flow to net income is also negative, suggesting difficulties in generating cash from operations. Overall, cash flow management appears strained.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.10B1.07B1.14B999.50M1.08B976.80M
Gross Profit515.80M495.60M584.50M459.20M521.00M524.80M
EBITDA238.50M256.10M238.80M285.50M235.80M175.50M
Net Income36.90M33.90M-63.70M25.70M18.10M-40.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.53B16.44B12.51B12.40B12.15B10.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments194.30M184.80M213.10M274.20M263.45M357.26M
Total Debt15.32B14.74B10.93B10.46B10.47B9.29B
Total Liabilities16.00B15.94B12.11B11.94B11.67B10.24B
Stockholders Equity531.80M492.90M401.80M456.70M476.70M415.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.27B-807.00M-111.80M-31.70M-1.30B-16.30M
Operating Cash Flow-945.70M-573.80M10.40M173.20M-468.40M261.00M
Investing Cash Flow1.16B401.30M-100.30M-120.80M-1.01B-527.90M
Financing Cash Flow-206.50M182.90M70.80M-13.40M1.38B131.80M

Onity Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.21
Price Trends
50DMA
38.56
Positive
100DMA
36.88
Positive
200DMA
34.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Negative
RSI
63.97
Neutral
STOCH
79.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONIT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.85, above the 50-day MA of 38.56, and above the 200-day MA of 34.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ONIT.

Onity Group Risk Analysis

Onity Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Onity Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Onity Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$17.84B12.0310.32%3.73%9.70%0.76%
68
Neutral
$733.41M8.7315.02%35.12%25.28%
64
Neutral
$341.38M10.757.55%-2.84%2420.57%
64
Neutral
$225.14M9.906.65%5.49%4.30%
61
Neutral
$2.91B26.726.26%3.06%11.18%24.94%
58
Neutral
$1.24B51.212.12%2.49%34.62%-7.94%
57
Neutral
$671.78M-23.67%6.60%44.77%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONIT
Onity Group
42.21
12.58
42.46%
SNFCA
Security National Financial
8.79
0.44
5.27%
WD
Walker & Dunlop
86.87
-16.09
-15.63%
LDI
loanDepot
2.10
-0.53
-20.15%
VEL
Velocity Financial
19.05
0.40
2.14%
GHLD
Guild Holdings
19.96
5.48
37.85%

Onity Group Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Onity Group Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Onity Group held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where three key proposals were voted on. Shareholders elected directors for one-year terms, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025