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Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY)
NASDAQ:ONCY
US Market
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Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY) AI Stock Analysis

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ONCY

Oncolytics Biotech

(NASDAQ:ONCY)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.82
▲(0.99% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/25/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (no revenue, large losses, persistent cash burn, and negative equity), reinforced by a technically weak price trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Corporate events provide some offset via positive regulatory and pipeline momentum plus strengthened IP, but Nasdaq bid-price noncompliance adds meaningful near-term risk and limits the uplift.
Positive Factors
Durable clinical efficacy in colorectal cancer
REO 022 data showing a ~19.5-month median duration of response and a ~33% objective response rate in second-line KRAS-mutant MSS colorectal cancer indicate clinically meaningful, durable benefit versus historical benchmarks. Such robust efficacy in a hard-to-treat population can support registrational pathways, strengthen partner interest, and form a lasting clinical differentiation that underpins commercialization potential if confirmed in randomized trials.
Negative Factors
Zero revenue and persistent cash burn
The company reports no product revenue while burning significant cash (TTM operating and free cash flow roughly -$20.9M and a TTM net loss near $31.3M). This persistent negative cash generation creates structural dependency on external financing or partnerships to fund pivotal trials and commercialization, increasing dilution and execution risk over the medium term if capital alternatives are constrained.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Durable clinical efficacy in colorectal cancer
REO 022 data showing a ~19.5-month median duration of response and a ~33% objective response rate in second-line KRAS-mutant MSS colorectal cancer indicate clinically meaningful, durable benefit versus historical benchmarks. Such robust efficacy in a hard-to-treat population can support registrational pathways, strengthen partner interest, and form a lasting clinical differentiation that underpins commercialization potential if confirmed in randomized trials.
Read all positive factors

Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oncolytics Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Oncolytics Biotech Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and commercialization of oncology treatments. The company develops pelareorep, an intravenously delivered immunotherapeutic agent for the tr...
How the Company Makes Money
Oncolytics Biotech is a clinical-stage drug developer and, as such, it does not primarily generate revenue from selling approved products; instead, its ability to generate revenue generally depends on non-recurring or development-linked sources. I...

Oncolytics Biotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with significant advancements in clinical data and strategic financial moves. The highlights, particularly in clinical trial progress and promising data across several cancer types, outweigh the challenges such as the ongoing CEO search and reduced R&D spending.
Positive Updates
Clinical Data Exceeds Expectations
Oncolytics Biotech's clinical data for pelareorep continues to exceed expectations, particularly in difficult-to-treat malignancies such as pancreatic cancer, breast cancer, and anal carcinoma.
Negative Updates
Ongoing CEO Search
The search for a new CEO is still ongoing, indicating a potential leadership gap in the interim period.
Read all updates
Q1-2025 Updates
Negative
Clinical Data Exceeds Expectations
Oncolytics Biotech's clinical data for pelareorep continues to exceed expectations, particularly in difficult-to-treat malignancies such as pancreatic cancer, breast cancer, and anal carcinoma.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the first quarter conference call for Oncolytics Biotech in 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics related to the development of their cancer therapeutic, pelareorep (pela). They reported cash and cash equivalents of $15.3 million, which is expected to provide financial runway through the third quarter of 2025. Net cash used in operating activities was $6.5 million, a decrease from $7.5 million in the same period last year. General and administrative expenses remained consistent at $3 million, while research and development expenses decreased to $4.1 million from $5.7 million in Q1 2024. The net loss for the quarter was $6.7 million, or $0.08 per share, compared to $6.9 million or $0.09 per share in the previous year. The company also announced a $20 million share purchase agreement with Alumni Capital to extend their financial runway. Oncolytics is advancing their clinical trials, particularly focusing on breast and pancreatic cancer, with promising efficacy data from randomized Phase 2 studies and plans for future registrational opportunities.

Oncolytics Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals: $0 revenue across periods with sizable ongoing losses (TTM net loss ~$31.3M). Cash burn remains heavy (TTM operating/FCF about -$20.9M) despite some improvement. Balance sheet has deteriorated meaningfully with stockholders’ equity turning negative (~-$5.1M TTM) and assets declining, increasing solvency and dilution/financing risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-40.31K0.000.00-298.59K-301.11K-360.57K
EBITDA-33.09M-39.41M-34.88M-20.19M-18.71M-20.58M
Net Income-35.52M-39.46M-31.71M-20.56M-19.08M-20.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.16M10.40M20.19M38.82M37.33M45.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.49M7.14M15.94M34.91M32.14M41.26M
Total Debt508.00K772.51K1.06M423.00K373.00K655.00K
Total Liabilities13.29M15.62M14.20M11.26M10.83M9.78M
Stockholders Equity-5.13M-5.21M5.98M27.56M26.50M36.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.89M-27.60M-27.20M-28.46M-23.41M-22.72M
Operating Cash Flow-30.89M-27.60M-26.97M-28.45M-23.36M-22.43M
Investing Cash Flow-15.65K-8.23K-239.00K20.22M-20.40M-285.95K
Financing Cash Flow23.71M19.37M6.64M31.99M12.21M33.02M

Oncolytics Biotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.81
Price Trends
50DMA
0.87
Negative
100DMA
0.90
Negative
200DMA
0.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
44.51
Neutral
STOCH
67.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONCY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.83, below the 50-day MA of 0.87, and below the 200-day MA of 0.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ONCY.

Oncolytics Biotech Risk Analysis

Oncolytics Biotech disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oncolytics Biotech reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oncolytics Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$166.57M1.5455.29%-100.00%
54
Neutral
$337.42M-2.74-53.61%-100.00%44.78%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$366.37M-4.34-118.24%138.86%42.14%
49
Neutral
$75.51M-12.7025.68%-88.41%76.14%
43
Neutral
$89.91M-3.145214.36%13.21%
43
Neutral
$20.65M-0.47-84.91%-40.23%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONCY
Oncolytics Biotech
0.80
-0.11
-12.57%
ATOS
Atossa Therapeutics
2.42
-9.16
-79.11%
ORMP
Oramed Pharm
4.30
2.36
121.76%
ATRA
Atara Biotherapeutics
8.25
-2.71
-24.73%
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals
5.00
3.55
244.83%
PRLD
Prelude Therapeutics
4.68
3.82
444.19%

Oncolytics Biotech Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Oncolytics Biotech Faces Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Noncompliance
Negative
Jul 24, 2026
On July 20, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech disclosed that it received a notice from Nasdaq indicating its shares had traded below $1.00 for 30 consecutive business days, putting the company out of compliance with the exchange’s minimum bid price r...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Oncolytics Biotech gains FDA Fast Track for pelareorep
Positive
Jul 20, 2026
On July 20, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted Fast Track designation to pelareorep in combination with a checkpoint inhibitor for patients with inoperable, locally recurrent or metastatic squamou...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Oncolytics Biotech advances REO 033 colorectal cancer program
Positive
Jul 13, 2026
On July 13, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech reported clinical and regulatory progress for its REO 033 randomized controlled trial of pelareorep plus FOLFIRI and bevacizumab in second-line RAS-mutant, microsatellite stable metastatic colorectal cancer, bu...
Business Operations and Strategy
Oncolytics Biotech Secures New Pelareorep Manufacturing Patent
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
On June 16, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech Inc. announced that the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office issued a new patent covering key aspects of its proprietary commercial manufacturing process for pelareorep, extending intellectual property protection i...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Oncolytics Biotech Strengthens Leadership with New COO, Director
Positive
Jun 2, 2026
On June 1, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech appointed veteran clinical operations executive John McAdory as Chief Operating Officer, expanding his remit to oversee clinical operations, development activities, preclinical RD, and strategic partnerships, af...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Oncolytics Highlights Pelareorep-RAS Combo Preclinical Cancer Results
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
On June 1, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech Inc. reported initial preclinical data showing that its investigational immunotherapy pelareorep, when combined with RAS inhibitor modalities in a solid tumor model, produced greater anti-tumor activity than eit...
Business Operations and Strategy
Oncolytics Highlights Pelareorep Immune Activation Data at ASCO
Positive
May 22, 2026
On May 22, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech announced that translational data from its GOBLET and AWARE-1 trials will be presented at the 2026 American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting, highlighting pelareorep’s ability to activate both i...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Oncolytics Biotech Highlights Strong Pelareorep Data in Colorectal Cancer
Positive
May 4, 2026
On May 4, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech reported new data from its REO 022 study showing that pelareorep-based combination therapy produced a 19.5-month median duration of response in second-line KRAS-mutant, microsatellite-stable metastatic colorectal...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2026