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Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY)
NASDAQ:ONCY

Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY) AI Stock Analysis

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ONCY

Oncolytics Biotech

(NASDAQ:ONCY)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$0.98
▲(2.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/23/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, sizable losses, heavy cash burn, and a sharply reduced equity base that raises financing risk). Technicals are a near-term positive with price above major moving averages and positive momentum indicators, while valuation remains difficult to support due to the negative P/E and lack of dividend.

Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oncolytics Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOncolytics Biotech Inc., a development-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of cancer. Its lead product is pelareorep, an intravenously delivered immunotherapeutic agent for the treatment of solid tumors and hematological malignancies. Oncolytics Biotech Inc. has a co-development agreement with Merck KGaA and Pfizer Inc. to co-develop pelareorep in combination with paclitaxel and avelumab, a human anti-PD-L1 antibody for the treatment of hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer; and PrECOG LLC. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Oncolytics Biotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with significant advancements in clinical data and strategic financial moves. The highlights, particularly in clinical trial progress and promising data across several cancer types, outweigh the challenges such as the ongoing CEO search and reduced R&D spending.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Clinical Data Exceeds Expectations
Oncolytics Biotech's clinical data for pelareorep continues to exceed expectations, particularly in difficult-to-treat malignancies such as pancreatic cancer, breast cancer, and anal carcinoma.
Positive Results in Breast Cancer Studies
Pelareorep-based combination therapy substantially outperformed standard care treatments in two randomized Phase 2 studies for HR-positive/HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer.
Promising Pancreatic and Anal Cancer Data
Interim results from the GOBLET Cohort 4 showed a 33% objective response rate in relapsed anal carcinoma, including a complete response lasting over 15 months. Additionally, the pancreatic cancer cohort is progressing with more than half of the required patients enrolled.
Favorable Safety Profile and Versatility
Pelareorep demonstrates a remarkable safety profile and versatility, showing potential in multiple cancer types and combinations with different chemotherapies and checkpoint inhibitors.
Financial Flexibility Through Share Purchase Agreement
A $20 million share purchase agreement with Alumni Capital provides Oncolytics with access to capital, enhancing financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Ongoing CEO Search
The search for a new CEO is still ongoing, indicating a potential leadership gap in the interim period.
Reduced Research and Development Spending
Research and development expenses decreased to $4.1 million from $5.7 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to reduced manufacturing and clinical trial costs.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter conference call for Oncolytics Biotech in 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics related to the development of their cancer therapeutic, pelareorep (pela). They reported cash and cash equivalents of $15.3 million, which is expected to provide financial runway through the third quarter of 2025. Net cash used in operating activities was $6.5 million, a decrease from $7.5 million in the same period last year. General and administrative expenses remained consistent at $3 million, while research and development expenses decreased to $4.1 million from $5.7 million in Q1 2024. The net loss for the quarter was $6.7 million, or $0.08 per share, compared to $6.9 million or $0.09 per share in the previous year. The company also announced a $20 million share purchase agreement with Alumni Capital to extend their financial runway. Oncolytics is advancing their clinical trials, particularly focusing on breast and pancreatic cancer, with promising efficacy data from randomized Phase 2 studies and plans for future registrational opportunities.

Oncolytics Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Scores across the statements are weak (Income 12, Balance Sheet 18, Cash Flow 14): no revenue reported, persistent and widening losses (TTM net loss ~$35.3M), heavy ongoing cash burn (TTM FCF about -$26.5M), and sharp erosion of equity (to ~$0.12M TTM) that increases financing and balance-sheet risk despite low absolute debt.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
ONCY continues to report no revenue across the annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), reflecting a pre-commercial profile. Losses remain large and have widened versus 2022–2023 (TTM net loss of ~$35.3M vs. ~$20.6M in 2023 and ~$19.1M in 2022), indicating higher spend and weaker earnings momentum. A modest positive is that annual net loss in 2024 (~$31.7M) was better than TTM (~$35.3M), but overall profitability is meaningfully negative with no visible revenue base in the provided data.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Debt is low in absolute dollars (TTM total debt ~$0.84M), but the capital structure has weakened sharply: stockholders’ equity fell to ~$0.12M in TTM from ~$6.0M in 2024 and ~$27.6M in 2023. As a result, leverage looks elevated on a ratio basis (TTM debt-to-equity ~7.26x) and return on equity is deeply negative (TTM ~-7.55), signaling significant balance-sheet strain and limited cushion to absorb ongoing losses. The main strength is that total debt itself is not large, but the very small equity base increases financing risk.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash burn remains heavy and consistent: TTM operating cash flow was about -$26.5M and free cash flow about -$26.5M, similar to 2024 and not materially improving versus prior years. Free cash flow was slightly better year over year (TTM growth ~7.3%), but it is still meaningfully negative and implies continued reliance on external funding. Cash outflows broadly track accounting losses (free cash flow roughly in line with net loss), which is directionally reassuring on quality of earnings, but does not offset the high ongoing burn rate.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.00-298.59K-301.11K-360.57K-332.65K
EBITDA-35.41M-34.88M-20.19M-18.71M-20.58M-16.45M
Net Income-35.27M-31.71M-20.56M-19.08M-20.98M-16.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.06M20.19M38.82M37.33M45.88M34.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.35M15.94M34.91M32.14M41.26M31.22M
Total Debt835.00K1.06M423.00K373.00K655.00K402.06K
Total Liabilities14.94M14.20M11.26M10.83M9.78M9.59M
Stockholders Equity115.00K5.98M27.56M26.50M36.10M24.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.48M-27.20M-28.46M-23.41M-22.72M-22.10M
Operating Cash Flow-26.47M-26.97M-28.45M-23.36M-22.43M-22.07M
Investing Cash Flow-13.00K-239.00K20.22M-20.40M-285.95K-29.30K
Financing Cash Flow18.74M6.64M31.99M12.21M33.02M39.77M

Oncolytics Biotech Risk Analysis

Oncolytics Biotech disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oncolytics Biotech reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oncolytics Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$138.91M0.5727.20%814.20%
60
Neutral
$188.38M-2.24-129.98%250.00%15.15%
53
Neutral
$189.30M-1.02-51.49%-33.76%17.54%
52
Neutral
$102.23M-3.43-755.18%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
43
Neutral
$45.90M-3.22-49.42%-9.42%
42
Neutral
$40.15M6.94-79.12%51.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONCY
Oncolytics Biotech
0.95
0.32
50.56%
ATOS
Atossa Therapeutics
5.61
-5.62
-50.03%
ORMP
Oramed Pharm
3.55
1.37
62.77%
ATRA
Atara Biotherapeutics
4.85
-2.10
-30.19%
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals
2.53
0.55
27.78%
PRLD
Prelude Therapeutics
3.16
2.44
338.89%

Oncolytics Biotech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Oncolytics Biotech Launches Phase 2 Colorectal Cancer Trial
Positive
Mar 2, 2026

On March 2, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech Inc. announced the launch of REO 033, a randomized Phase 2 study in second-line RAS-mutated, microsatellite-stable metastatic colorectal cancer, comparing standard bevacizumab plus FOLFIRI to an experimental arm adding pelareorep, with 30 patients per arm and objective response rate as the primary endpoint. The trial, led by Rutgers Cancer Institute’s Dr. Sanjay Goel and expected to open its first site later in March with preliminary data targeted by year-end, aims to confirm earlier REO 022 results in the same population, where pelareorep-based therapy showed substantially improved survival and response rates over standard of care, underscoring pelareorep’s emerging role in colorectal cancer and potentially strengthening Oncolytics’ position in gastrointestinal oncology.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONCY) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oncolytics Biotech stock, see the ONCY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Oncolytics Refocuses Pipeline on Key GI Cancer Programs
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

On February 24, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech announced it had concluded enrollment in its GOBLET gastrointestinal cancer study and would wind down the trial after gathering sufficient clinical and translational data to guide next steps. With adequate cash to meet near-term milestones, the company said it will now concentrate resources on registrational and registration-enabling programs in squamous cell anal cancer and metastatic colorectal cancer in the U.S.

Management highlighted that efficacy seen in GOBLET’s anal cancer cohort has defined a regulatory path for pelareorep in second-line and later squamous cell anal cancer, and Oncolytics plans a U.S.-based, single-arm registrational study involving fewer than 100 patients. As part of this sharper focus, the company has halted further enrollment in the metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma cohort at about 20 patients per arm, continuing only to follow existing participants so it can analyze survival and response outcomes while limiting additional spending on that indication.

Executives framed the move as a disciplined capital-allocation strategy intended to pursue approvals in high-need gastrointestinal cancers and enhance shareholder value without immediate material dilution. The GOBLET data set, generated at 17 centers in Germany, is described as having validated pelareorep’s platform potential in GI tumors and provided a clearer, more efficient roadmap for registration-focused development in colorectal, anal and potentially other gastrointestinal cancers, with implications for the company’s regulatory trajectory and competitive positioning in oncology.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONCY) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oncolytics Biotech stock, see the ONCY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Oncolytics Biotech receives FDA Fast Track for pelareorep
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted Fast Track Designation for pelareorep in combination with bevacizumab and FOLFIRI as a second-line treatment for KRAS‑mutant, microsatellite-stable metastatic colorectal cancer, following an application submitted after a strategic shift toward gastrointestinal cancers. The designation is backed by clinical data showing a 33% objective response rate, median progression-free survival of 16.6 months, and median overall survival of 27 months for the pelareorep regimen, roughly double to triple standard-of-care outcomes in this difficult-to-treat patient group, which represents a global total addressable market estimated at $3‑5 billion annually. Oncolytics plans to initiate a controlled clinical study in this indication, with the first site expected to open in March and interim data targeted by year-end 2026, positioning pelareorep as a potentially important platform immunotherapy in gastrointestinal oncology and giving the company enhanced regulatory interaction that could expedite development timelines.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONCY) stock is a Hold with a $0.98 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oncolytics Biotech stock, see the ONCY Stock Forecast page.

Oncolytics Biotech Adds Leading GI Oncologists to Advisory Board as It Prepares Pivotal Pelareorep Trials
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Oncolytics Biotech expanded its Gastrointestinal Tumor Scientific Advisory Board by appointing three high-profile gastrointestinal oncology experts—Drs. Eileen O’Reilly and Neil Segal of Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center and Dr. Van Morris of MD Anderson Cancer Center—to help guide the late-stage clinical and strategic development of pelareorep as a platform immunotherapy across pancreatic, colorectal, and anal cancers. With the GI advisory board now comprising six global leaders, the company is reinforcing its clinical and strategic infrastructure as it prepares registration-enabling trials in these high-value indications, underpinned by earlier clinical data suggesting improved survival and response rates versus historical benchmarks in first-line pancreatic cancer, squamous cell anal carcinoma, and KRAS-mutant metastatic colorectal cancer—positioning Oncolytics to potentially enhance its competitive standing in GI oncology and attract greater attention from larger pharmaceutical players.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONCY) stock is a Hold with a $0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oncolytics Biotech stock, see the ONCY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026