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Prelude Therapeutics (PRLD)
NASDAQ:PRLD
US Market

Prelude Therapeutics (PRLD) AI Stock Analysis

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PRLD

Prelude Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:PRLD)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(2.04% Upside)
The score is held back most by weak financial performance (large ongoing losses, significant cash burn, and shrinking equity), partially offset by strong technical uptrend signals and a supportive earnings-call backdrop (Incyte deal extending runway and clear development milestones). Valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Strategic partnership / funding runway
The Incyte option and upfront capital provide substantial non-dilutive and milestone-linked funding, materially extending development runway into 2027. This structural backing reduces near-term financing risk, supports multi-program advancement, and strengthens negotiating leverage for future partnerships.
Advancing pipeline to clinic
Moving two differentiated programs toward IND and clinical entry by 2026 represents a durable value inflection path. Clinical translation reduces preclinical risk for lead assets, creates near-term milestone and partnering opportunities, and targets sizable patient populations with potential disease-modifying benefit.
Modest leverage
Low reported debt relative to equity reduces default and interest-rate risk during an extended R&D phase. Modest leverage preserves financial flexibility to fund trials and business development, allowing management to prioritize development decisions over debt servicing constraints.
Negative Factors
High cash burn
Sustained ~-$100M annual cash burn creates a structural dependency on external funding or partner payments. Persistent negative cash flow elevates dilution and refinancing risk, constrains discretionary R&D spend, and makes long-term program continuity contingent on successful milestone receipts or new capital.
Large ongoing losses
Substantial and recurring operating losses indicate the company cannot self-fund development from operations. Negative profitability drives negative returns on equity, limits reinvestment capacity, and forces reliance on licensing, milestones, or capital markets to sustain clinical programs over the medium term.
Shrinking equity base
A marked decline in shareholders' equity reduces the balance-sheet cushion against future losses and magnifies the dilutive impact of any new capital raises. This structural sensitivity can increase cost of capital, constrain borrowing capacity, and limit optionality in funding or partnering strategies over the coming years.

Prelude Therapeutics (PRLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prelude Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrelude Therapeutics Incorporated, a clinical-stage precision oncology company, focuses on the discovery and development of novel precision cancer medicines to underserved patients. It is developing PRT543 that is in Phase 1 clinical trials in select solid tumors and myeloid malignancies; and PRT811, which is in Phase 1 clinical trials in solid tumors, including glioblastoma multiforme. The company is also developing PRT1419, a potent and selective inhibitor of the anti-apoptotic protein; PRT2527, a potent inhibitor of CDK9 that exhibits high kinome selectivity; PRT-SCA2, which is in preclinical stage for multiple genomically selected cancers; PRT3645, a brain penetrant molecule that potently and selectively targets CDK4/6; and PRT-K4 that is in preclinical stage for solid tumors. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrelude Therapeutics primarily makes money through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates. The company's revenue model includes out-licensing its drug candidates to larger pharmaceutical companies, which may involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales if the drugs are successfully developed and commercialized. Prelude may also engage in collaborative research and development partnerships with other biotech or pharmaceutical companies, which can provide additional funding and resources. Additionally, the company might receive grants or funding from government or non-profit organizations to support its research efforts. As a clinical-stage company, Prelude's revenue may be limited until its drug candidates receive regulatory approval and reach the market.

Prelude Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights strategic advancements and a strong financial partnership with Incyte, positioning Prelude well for future development. However, challenges remain in differentiating their products in competitive spaces and ensuring timely clinical progress.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Decisions and Financial Position
Prelude Therapeutics has made strategic decisions to focus on R&D, optimize capital allocation, and align business strategy with high-probability success programs. These efforts have strengthened their financial position, providing additional cash runway into 2027.
Advancement of Development Candidates
Prelude is advancing two development candidates into clinical development by 2026: a JAK2V617F selective inhibitor for myeloproliferative neoplasms and a KAT6A selective degrader for ER-positive breast cancer.
Incyte Collaboration
Prelude entered into an exclusive option agreement with Incyte for the JAK2V617F program, potentially bringing up to $910 million in cash payments and future milestones, including a $35 million upfront fee and $25 million stock purchase.
Discovery Progress
Significant progress in next-generation ADCs called degrader antibody conjugates (DACs), with potential for licensing agreements to bring in non-dilutive capital.
Negative Updates
Potential Competition
The presence of competitors in both JAK2 and KAT6A spaces, including established players like Pfizer, poses a challenge in differentiating Prelude's offerings.
Clinical Development Timelines
Both lead programs will not begin clinical trials until 2026, indicating a potential delay in market entry compared to competitors.
Specificity and Selectivity Challenges
Achieving the desired selectivity and efficacy in preclinical models to differentiate from existing treatments remains a key challenge.
Company Guidance
During the Prelude Therapeutics Investor Conference Call, the company provided guidance on its strategic focus and future clinical development activities. Prelude is set to advance two key development candidates into clinical trials by 2026: a JAK2V617F selective inhibitor for myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) and a KAT6A selective degrader for ER-positive breast cancer. The JAK2V617F inhibitor targets a mutation present in over 95% of polycythemia vera patients and 50-60% of patients with myelofibrosis and essential thrombocythemia, representing a market of over 200,000 MPN patients in the U.S. alone. The KAT6A program aims to address resistance in ER-positive breast cancer, with preclinical data suggesting a differentiated safety and efficacy profile over existing treatments. Prelude announced a significant $910 million deal with Incyte, including an upfront payment of $60 million, providing a financial runway into 2027, and plans to file an Investigational New Drug (IND) application for the JAK2 program in early 2026.

Prelude Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prelude Therapeutics is facing severe financial challenges with no revenue generation and increasing losses. The balance sheet remains moderately leveraged, but declining equity and increasing liabilities are concerning. Persistent negative cash flow from operations exacerbates the financial strain, underscoring the need for strategic adjustments to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Prelude Therapeutics has consistently reported zero revenue over the past years, indicating no sales generation. The company is incurring substantial EBIT and net losses, which are increasing annually, reflecting mounting operational challenges. The lack of any revenue growth and negative profit margins highlight significant financial strain.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively stable equity position, though declining over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, which indicates limited leverage use. However, the continuous decline in stockholders' equity coupled with increasing liabilities suggests growing financial pressure.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash flow from operations remains negative and has worsened, which indicates ongoing cash burn. Although free cash flow shows a negative trajectory, the company has managed to access financing, which temporarily boosts liquidity. The lack of revenue significantly hampers cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.50M7.00M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit10.07M7.00M0.000.000.00-542.00K
EBITDA-118.57M-137.94M-131.11M-122.22M-112.82M-58.22M
Net Income-111.77M-127.17M-121.83M-115.44M-111.69M-56.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets94.75M175.51M277.67M220.50M305.10M223.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.96M133.61M232.94M201.73M291.23M218.31M
Total Debt17.85M18.02M16.89M1.83M1.74M0.00
Total Liabilities36.22M44.06M40.58M25.06M19.20M11.41M
Stockholders Equity58.53M131.46M237.09M195.44M285.90M212.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-100.28M-103.65M-110.58M-86.75M-85.85M-46.80M
Operating Cash Flow-100.17M-102.89M-107.06M-83.73M-83.53M-46.18M
Investing Cash Flow135.92M90.19M-34.65M81.69M-263.80M-621.00K
Financing Cash Flow-162.00K-120.00K136.40M815.00K164.90M246.23M

Prelude Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.45
Price Trends
50DMA
1.94
Positive
100DMA
1.63
Positive
200DMA
1.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
49.83
Neutral
STOCH
17.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.42, above the 50-day MA of 1.94, and above the 200-day MA of 1.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRLD.

Prelude Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Prelude Therapeutics disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prelude Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prelude Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$112.08M-1.53-49.78%-82.16%14.58%
56
Neutral
$127.95M-1.40-103.99%250.00%15.15%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$60.66M-0.72-51.87%-58.47%
46
Neutral
$84.62M-3.44-261.72%42.29%
43
Neutral
$40.34M-0.15-8.16%22.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRLD
Prelude Therapeutics
2.26
1.24
121.57%
PSTV
Plus Therapeutics
0.29
-0.90
-75.63%
RPTX
Repare Therapeutics
2.60
1.32
103.13%
PMVP
PMV Pharmaceuticals
1.14
-0.23
-16.79%
GANX
Gain Therapeutics
2.20
-0.17
-7.17%
IMMX
Immix Biopharma
4.96
2.90
140.78%

Prelude Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Prelude Therapeutics unveils strategic investor presentation on pipelines
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Prelude Therapeutics began using a new corporate investor presentation outlining its strategy to advance two highly differentiated programs: JAK2V617F mutant-selective JH2 inhibitors for myeloproliferative neoplasms and first-in-class, highly selective oral KAT6A degraders for ER-positive breast cancer and other tumors. The materials highlight recently disclosed preclinical data showing potent, mutant-selective activity of its JAK2V617F inhibitors, positioning them as potential disease-modifying therapies in a large and growing market now dominated by first-generation agents such as ruxolitinib, and describe a planned Phase 1 program as well as an exclusive option agreement with Incyte announced in November 2025 that provides significant capital to support the JAK2V617F and KAT6A pipelines, alongside ongoing degrader payload discovery and partnering efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRLD) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prelude Therapeutics stock, see the PRLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prelude Therapeutics Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Prelude Therapeutics reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results and provided a corporate update, highlighting advancements in its pipeline programs. The company is progressing with its JAK2V617F inhibitor and KAT6A degrader programs, with IND filings expected in 2026. Financially, Prelude reduced its net loss to $19.7 million compared to the previous year, with a cash runway projected into 2027, supported by recent license payments.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRLD) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prelude Therapeutics stock, see the PRLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Prelude Therapeutics Signs Option Agreement with Incyte
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Prelude Therapeutics entered into an Exclusive Option Agreement with Incyte Corporation to potentially acquire Prelude’s JAK2V617F JH2 inhibitor program, aimed at treating myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs). The agreement provides Prelude with $60 million in capital and the possibility of up to $910 million in total payments if Incyte exercises its option. Additionally, Prelude announced the resignation of Jane Huang, M.D., as President and Chief Medical Officer, effective November 3, 2025, with Dr. Victor Sandor stepping in to provide strategic oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRLD) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prelude Therapeutics stock, see the PRLD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Prelude Therapeutics Appoints Katina Dorton to Board
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Prelude Therapeutics announced the appointment of Katina Dorton to its Board of Directors, following the resignation of Mardi Dier. Ms. Dorton, who brings over 30 years of experience in finance and healthcare, will serve as Chair of the Audit Committee. Her extensive background in strategic and financial advisory roles is expected to contribute significantly to Prelude’s goals in advancing its precision oncology drug candidates.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRLD) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Prelude Therapeutics stock, see the PRLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026