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Celularity (CELU)
NASDAQ:CELU
US Market

Celularity (CELU) AI Stock Analysis

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CELU

Celularity

(NASDAQ:CELU)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(20.00% Upside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance—large ongoing losses, declining revenue, and negative equity with meaningful debt. Technicals also point to a sustained downtrend with weak momentum. Valuation offers limited support given negative earnings and no dividend, while recent corporate events are mixed: liquidity improved via financing, but dilution/regulatory and shareholder constraints remain.
Positive Factors
Solid gross margin (~55%)
A sustained ~55% gross margin indicates the core therapeutic products have favorable unit economics. Over the medium term this supports scalable profitability if SG&A and R&D growth are controlled, and it strengthens the case for margin recovery as revenues stabilize.
Proprietary placental-derived platform
A unique, platform-driven approach creates durable competitive advantages: platform extensibility across oncology, degenerative diseases and longevity enables multiple indications, partnership opportunities, and potential recurring revenue streams from licensing or co-development.
Improved cash burn vs prior years
Material reduction in cash burn versus earlier years shows progress on cost discipline and raises the runway profile. While still negative, lower burn reduces near-term financing frequency and gives management more time to execute commercialization or restructuring initiatives.
Negative Factors
Deep unprofitability and falling revenue
Severe losses and shrinking revenue impair the company’s ability to self-fund growth and extend runway. Persistently negative margins force reliance on external capital, increasing dilution risk and constraining long-term investments in R&D and commercial scale-up.
Weakened balance sheet; negative equity
Negative equity and sizable debt reduce financial flexibility, elevate refinancing risk, and may trigger restrictive covenants. This structural leverage constraint makes funding future trials or commercialization more costly and increases the likelihood of dilutive financings.
Dilutive, investor-favorable financing and governance rights
While the package improves near-term liquidity, investor-favorable terms and governance visibility can limit strategic flexibility, increase potential dilution via conversion/warrants, and prioritize investor upside over long-term shareholder value during future financings.

Celularity (CELU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Celularity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelularity Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing innovative cell-based therapies for the treatment of cancer, degenerative diseases, and other serious conditions. The company leverages its proprietary platform that utilizes placental-derived cells, particularly those from the human placenta, to create advanced therapeutic products. Celularity operates primarily within the sectors of regenerative medicine and immunotherapy, aiming to harness the unique properties of these cells to improve patient outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelularity generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the commercialization of its cell therapies and related products. This includes sales of its therapeutic offerings directly to healthcare providers and hospitals. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships with pharmaceutical firms for co-development and licensing of its technologies, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales. Research grants and funding from governmental and non-governmental organizations focused on advancing regenerative medicine also contribute to their financial resources. Moreover, Celularity may explore collaborations with academic institutions and other biotech companies to enhance its research capabilities and expand its product pipeline, further driving future revenue potential.

Celularity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celularity shows strong revenue growth but remains unprofitable with high operational expenses. The balance sheet indicates high leverage and declining equity, raising financial stability concerns. Cash flows are negative but improving, supported by financing activities.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Celularity has shown a significant increase in revenue, growing from $22.8 million in 2023 to $54.2 million in 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable with a negative net profit margin due to high operational expenses, as indicated by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin improved to 83.6% in 2024 from 29.7% in 2023, which is a positive sign of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.29 in 2024, indicating financial risk. The equity ratio is low at 6.7%, showing limited equity buffer. The stockholders' equity has decreased significantly, reflecting potential financial instability and risk.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Celularity's free cash flow remains negative, but has improved from -$42.7 million in 2023 to -$6.56 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting ongoing cash drain. However, the company successfully raised funds through financing activities, providing some liquidity cushion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.58M54.22M22.77M17.98M21.34M14.28M
Gross Profit22.42M39.23M6.75M-1.69M11.68M9.35M
EBITDA-63.56M-43.71M-183.95M-138.83M-88.11M-202.41M
Net Income-80.64M-57.89M-196.29M14.19M-100.12M-208.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets114.24M132.68M143.89M401.07M414.13M431.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.00K738.00K227.00K13.97M37.24M54.31M
Total Debt66.76M68.84M65.42M65.59M31.14M30.64M
Total Liabilities134.33M123.84M102.93M202.16M314.71M412.30M
Stockholders Equity-20.09M8.84M40.96M198.90M99.42M18.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.61M-6.56M-42.73M-143.11M-116.30M-91.03M
Operating Cash Flow-6.56M-6.40M-38.69M-137.88M-110.10M-63.19M
Investing Cash Flow-1.56M514.00K-4.05M-5.24M-5.90M-12.81M
Financing Cash Flow8.07M6.70M24.09M119.84M98.56M102.01M

Celularity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.25
Price Trends
50DMA
1.57
Negative
100DMA
1.94
Negative
200DMA
2.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
42.04
Neutral
STOCH
77.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CELU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.28, below the 50-day MA of 1.57, and below the 200-day MA of 2.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CELU.

Celularity Risk Analysis

Celularity disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celularity reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celularity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$112.08M-1.52-49.78%-82.16%14.58%
53
Neutral
$299.31M-4.38-57.84%-84.46%33.32%
52
Neutral
$39.59M-2.00-104.58%1.18%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
$38.35M-0.39-15.81%-113.06%
44
Neutral
$22.63M-0.70-1292.87%18.47%
39
Underperform
$38.07M-0.60-80.81%-17.82%57.32%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CELU
Celularity
1.29
-0.91
-41.36%
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
3.51
-0.09
-2.50%
GBIO
Generation Bio
5.64
-3.82
-40.40%
RPTX
Repare Therapeutics
2.57
1.29
100.78%
STTK
Shattuck Labs
4.47
3.38
310.09%
FBLG
FibroBiologics, Inc.
0.34
-1.57
-82.36%

Celularity Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Celularity Secures New Financing To Support Strategic Shift
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Celularity Inc. entered into senior secured note and convertible note financings with investor Philip A. Barach, receiving $10 million in gross proceeds at closing and structuring commitments for up to an additional $2 million, subject to conditions and the investor’s election. The package comprises a $7 million senior secured term loan backed by a first‑priority lien on substantially all company assets and a secured convertible note facility of up to $5 million, including a $3 million initial note convertible into Class A common stock at $1.66 per share and additional tranches available to both the lead investor and potential participation purchasers, alongside warrants to purchase 3,707,657 shares at $2.00 per share from June 19, 2026 to December 19, 2030. The notes rank pari passu, include investor-favorable participation and “most favored nation” protections for future financings, and grant the investor a board observer right, collectively strengthening Celularity’s near-term liquidity while giving the investor significant economic upside and governance visibility. Management said the December 22, 2025 closing of these privately placed, SEC-registration-exempt securities is intended to support ongoing operations and strategic initiatives as the company sharpens its focus on leveraging its placenta-derived platform in longevity, healthy aging and performance optimization, with implications for a potential reshaping of its portfolio and corporate strategy to drive longer-term value for patients and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CELU) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celularity stock, see the CELU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Celularity Shareholders Reject Expansion of Equity Incentive Plan
Negative
Dec 19, 2025

Celularity Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on December 19, 2025, where shareholders voted on director elections, auditor ratification and a proposed amendment to the company’s equity incentive plan. Stockholders reelected three Class I directors to serve until 2028 and ratified the appointment of EisnerAmper LLP as independent auditor for the 2025 fiscal year, but they rejected a proposal to increase the share reserve under the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan by 3.5 million shares, signaling shareholder resistance to further equity-based dilution and potentially constraining the company’s use of stock compensation going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (CELU) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celularity stock, see the CELU Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Celularity Receives FDA Warning Over Marketing Claims
Negative
Dec 5, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Celularity Inc. received a warning letter from the FDA concerning the marketing materials for Interfyl, a human connective tissue matrix. The letter emphasized the need to limit outcome-based claims and metabolic activity descriptions in marketing to comply with regulatory standards. Despite the warning, the company’s manufacturing and shipping operations remain unaffected, and no product recalls are required. Celularity is actively engaging with the FDA to address the issues, although there is no assurance of a swift resolution. The company does not anticipate any material impact on its operational or financial expectations due to the letter.

The most recent analyst rating on (CELU) stock is a Sell with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celularity stock, see the CELU Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Celularity Secures $2 Million in Private Placement
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Celularity Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with an institutional investor to issue and sell Series A Convertible Preferred Stock and accompanying warrants in a private placement transaction. The initial tranche closed on the same day, providing the company with approximately $2 million in gross proceeds. The funds are intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market operations. The agreement includes provisions for conversion, voting rights, and dividend entitlements, with implications for shareholder equity and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CELU) stock is a Sell with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celularity stock, see the CELU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026