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Lantern Pharma, Inc. (LTRN)
NASDAQ:LTRN
US Market

Lantern Pharma (LTRN) AI Stock Analysis

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LTRN

Lantern Pharma

(NASDAQ:LTRN)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(15.89% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, persistent losses, and significant cash burn), which elevates financing/runway risk. Offsetting this, the earnings call conveyed meaningful pipeline and regulatory progress plus RADR commercialization momentum. Technicals remain soft (below major moving averages), while valuation metrics are constrained by negative earnings and no indicated dividend.
Positive Factors
AI platform commercialization (RADR)
RADR's stated commercial readiness indicates Lantern can monetize its AI capabilities via licensing or services to biopharma, creating a recurring, scalable revenue pathway distinct from drug approvals. This structural capability can diversify cash sources and improve partner-driven trial economics over time.
Clinical validation of LP-184
Meeting Phase Ia endpoints with a 48% clinical benefit in evaluable patients materially de-risks LP-184's development path. Durable safety and activity signals, especially in biomarker-enriched populations, support efficient Phase 1b/2 designs and strengthen potential partner interest and regulatory discussions over the next several quarters.
Low financial leverage
Extremely low debt reduces near-term solvency and interest-service burdens, preserving flexibility to pursue R&D and partnerships. For a clinical-stage biotech, minimal leverage lowers bankruptcy risk and gives management optionality to raise non-debt capital or structure collaborations without looming debt covenants.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Sustained negative operating cash flow at material levels exhausts liquidity and forces continual fundraising, which can dilute shareholders and distract management. Over a 2–6 month horizon this burn constrains the ability to scale concurrent trials or commercialize RADR without new capital or non-dilutive partnerships.
Pre-revenue business model
Being pre-revenue means Lantern cannot self-fund development or commercialization from product receipts, leaving operations dependent on capital markets or deals. This structural reliance increases execution risk, limits internal reinvestment capacity, and heightens sensitivity to financing conditions over the medium term.
Near-term funding/runway risk
Management's admission of material additional funding needs, combined with reported cash (~$12.4M runway into Q3 2026), creates a clear structural risk: required capital raises or partnership deals could cause dilution or alter program timing, potentially delaying trials or commercialization efforts if markets or partners are unfavorable.

Lantern Pharma (LTRN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lantern Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLantern Pharma Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, focuses on artificial intelligence, machine learning, and genomic data to streamline the drug development process. Its advanced drug candidate is LP-100, which is in phase II clinical trials to treat metastatic, castration-resistant, and prostate cancer. The company also develops LP-300 as a combination therapy for non or never-smokers with non-small cell lung cancer adenocarcinoma. In addition, its preclinical development drug candidate is LP-184, an alkylating agent that damages DNA in cancer cells that overexpress certain biomarkers or that harbor mutations in DNA repair pathways. Further, the company operates ADC program, an antibody drug conjugate therapeutic approach for cancer treatment. Additionally, the company's artificial intelligence platform RADR uses big data analytics and machine learning for combining molecular data. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyLantern Pharma generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its drug candidates. The company uses its proprietary RADR platform to identify biomarkers and genetic signatures that can predict patient response to its drug candidates, thereby reducing time and cost associated with drug development. Revenue streams include out-licensing partnerships, collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, and potentially, future sales of approved drugs. These partnerships often involve milestone payments, royalties, and shared development costs, which are significant contributors to the company's earnings. As Lantern Pharma advances its drug pipeline and secures additional partnerships, these factors are expected to drive financial growth.

Lantern Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in clinical trial results and regulatory progress, along with advancements in AI platform commercialization. Financial stability was noted, but there is a requirement for additional funding in the near future.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful LP-184 Phase Ia Clinical Trial
The LP-184 Phase Ia clinical trial successfully achieved all primary endpoints, demonstrating a 48% clinical benefit rate in evaluable cancer patients who received doses at or above the therapeutic threshold.
Regulatory Progress with FDA
Completed a productive FDA Type C meeting for Starlight Therapeutics, gaining clear guidance for a planned pediatric CNS cancer trial targeting ATRT.
Expansion of AI Platform, RADR
Demonstrated commercial readiness of the RADR AI platform with several deployable, scalable modules, indicating potential for significant revenue generation.
Financial Stability
As of September 30, 2025, Lantern Pharma had $12.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, providing a runway into Q3 2026.
Positive Preliminary Data from LP-300 HARMONIC Trial
Preliminary data showed an 86% clinical benefit rate, with one patient demonstrating a durable complete response lasting nearly two years.
AI Platform Commercial Opportunities
Showcased commercial readiness of AI modules at the AI Biology and Medicine Symposium, highlighting potential revenue streams from licensing to biopharma partners.
Negative Updates
Decrease in R&D Expenses
R&D expenses decreased to $2.4 million from $3.7 million year-over-year, primarily due to reductions in research study and materials expenses, consulting, and payroll.
Need for Additional Funding
Acknowledged the need for substantial additional funding in the near future to continue operations and development.
Company Guidance
During Lantern Pharma's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics and milestones, signaling a transformative period. The LP-184 Phase Ia clinical trial achieved all primary endpoints with a 48% clinical benefit rate in cancer patients, particularly those with DNA damage repair mutations. The company also advanced its AI platform, RADR, and outlined future plans for its CNS-focused subsidiary, Starlight Therapeutics. Financially, Lantern reported a net loss of $4.2 million, or $0.39 per share, for the quarter, with $12.4 million in cash and equivalents, providing runway until the third quarter of 2026. The company also discussed its strategic approach to drug development, leveraging AI to identify high-probability success areas, and detailed upcoming clinical trials targeting a combined market opportunity exceeding $7 billion.

Lantern Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lantern Pharma faces significant financial challenges, with zero revenue and increasing operational losses. Despite a strong balance sheet with low debt, the negative cash flow situation raises concerns about long-term viability and the need for additional financing.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Lantern Pharma has consistently reported zero revenue, indicating a pre-revenue stage or significant challenges in generating sales. The company's net losses have increased substantially over the years, reflecting mounting operational challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative due to high operational expenses without corresponding revenue, undermining profitability prospects.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position relative to its assets, with a high equity ratio, reflecting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing, which reduces financial risk. However, the consistent increase in liabilities and decreasing cash reserves could affect future liquidity and operational capacity.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Lantern Pharma exhibits negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn without revenue inflow. Despite substantial financing inflows in prior years, the inability to generate positive cash flows from operations is concerning. The lack of free cash flow growth highlights potential sustainability challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-59.90K0.00-174.84K0.000.000.00
EBITDA-19.41M-22.20M-15.79M-14.42M-12.58M-5.90M
Net Income-18.92M-20.78M-15.96M-14.26M-12.36M-5.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.63M25.57M43.65M58.84M73.95M20.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.36M24.01M41.30M55.20M70.73M19.23M
Total Debt93.95K243.66K234.47K52.89K204.95K108.50K
Total Liabilities4.04M4.38M2.74M2.80M2.38M660.84K
Stockholders Equity9.59M21.19M40.91M56.04M71.57M19.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.86M-17.83M-14.37M-12.80M-10.61M-5.67M
Operating Cash Flow-16.86M-17.81M-14.35M-12.77M-10.59M-5.65M
Investing Cash Flow16.21M3.37M-930.21K179.27K-19.53M-16.14K
Financing Cash Flow971.78K66.71K-500.00K-2.18M63.42M23.66M

Lantern Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.02
Price Trends
50DMA
3.45
Positive
100DMA
3.80
Negative
200DMA
3.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
52.80
Neutral
STOCH
74.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LTRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.34, below the 50-day MA of 3.45, and below the 200-day MA of 3.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LTRN.

Lantern Pharma Risk Analysis

Lantern Pharma disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lantern Pharma reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lantern Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$39.59M-2.00-104.58%1.18%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$38.85M-2.90-146.61%37.89%
48
Neutral
$32.70M-0.75-94.31%-53.18%
45
Neutral
$20.01M-0.28-100.00%32.37%
44
Neutral
$61.10M-2.14-2691.06%44.50%
43
Neutral
$36.42M-0.66-2237.54%-55.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
3.51
-0.09
-2.50%
SKYE
Skye Bioscience
0.96
-1.74
-64.37%
BCAB
BioAtla
0.32
-0.17
-34.23%
RNXT
RenovoRx
1.03
-0.38
-26.95%
MAIA
MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.
1.59
-0.43
-21.29%
MDCX
Medicus Pharma Ltd
1.39
-1.13
-44.84%

Lantern Pharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Lantern Pharma Achieves Key Milestones in Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Lantern Pharma reported its third quarter 2025 financial results and business updates, highlighting significant progress in clinical validation, regulatory advancements, and strategic momentum. The company achieved all primary endpoints in its LP-184 Phase 1a clinical trial, showing a 48% clinical benefit rate in cancer patients, and received FDA guidance for its pediatric CNS cancer trial. The AI platform’s commercial readiness was demonstrated, and disciplined capital management was maintained, positioning Lantern Pharma for future growth in oncology indications.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTRN) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lantern Pharma stock, see the LTRN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025