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Lantern Pharma, Inc. (LTRN)
NASDAQ:LTRN
US Market

Lantern Pharma (LTRN) AI Stock Analysis

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LTRN

Lantern Pharma

(NASDAQ:LTRN)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-0.66% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (no revenue, persistent losses, and significant cash burn with a shrinking equity base). Offsetting this, the latest earnings call cited notable clinical/regulatory milestones and AI platform progress, while technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive but not strong enough to outweigh financing and profitability risks.
Positive Factors
Clinical trial validation (LP-184 Phase Ia)
Achieving all primary endpoints with a 48% clinical benefit rate materially de-risks LP-184 relative to early-stage peers. Durable impact: positive human efficacy signals improve prospects for later-stage trials, partnering interest, and regulatory engagement, raising program success probability.
RADR AI platform commercial readiness
A commercially ready, modular AI platform creates a structural advantage by enabling licensing, services, and partnerships that can generate recurring non-drug revenue. Over months, platform monetization can diversify cash sources and enhance trial efficiency and target selection.
Low financial leverage reduces solvency risk
Very low debt limits fixed obligations and preserves optionality on timing and structure of future financings or partnerships. Structurally, low leverage reduces bankruptcy risk and gives management flexibility to pursue clinical or platform milestones without debt-driven constraints.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with persistent net losses
Remaining pre-revenue means Lantern lacks product-derived cash flow and must fund operations externally. Persistently large net losses imply continued financing dependence, constrain reinvestment capacity, and lengthen the time to sustainable margins or self-funding business model.
Heavy cash burn and limited runway
Sustained negative operating cash flow and limited cash to Q3 2026 create a structural funding cliff. This forces near-term capital raises that can dilute shareholders, limit the company's ability to run multiple trials, and compress optionality for partnering or commercialization pacing.
Shrinking equity base increases financing risk
A materially reduced equity base signals repeated financing or valuation erosion, leaving less balance-sheet cushion for future adverse outcomes. Structurally this elevates dilution risk, constrains negotiating leverage with partners, and raises the stakes of near-term clinical and funding milestones.

Lantern Pharma (LTRN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lantern Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLantern Pharma Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, focuses on artificial intelligence, machine learning, and genomic data to streamline the drug development process. Its advanced drug candidate is LP-100, which is in phase II clinical trials to treat metastatic, castration-resistant, and prostate cancer. The company also develops LP-300 as a combination therapy for non or never-smokers with non-small cell lung cancer adenocarcinoma. In addition, its preclinical development drug candidate is LP-184, an alkylating agent that damages DNA in cancer cells that overexpress certain biomarkers or that harbor mutations in DNA repair pathways. Further, the company operates ADC program, an antibody drug conjugate therapeutic approach for cancer treatment. Additionally, the company's artificial intelligence platform RADR uses big data analytics and machine learning for combining molecular data. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyLantern Pharma generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its drug candidates. The company uses its proprietary RADR platform to identify biomarkers and genetic signatures that can predict patient response to its drug candidates, thereby reducing time and cost associated with drug development. Revenue streams include out-licensing partnerships, collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, and potentially, future sales of approved drugs. These partnerships often involve milestone payments, royalties, and shared development costs, which are significant contributors to the company's earnings. As Lantern Pharma advances its drug pipeline and secures additional partnerships, these factors are expected to drive financial growth.

Lantern Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in clinical trial results and regulatory progress, along with advancements in AI platform commercialization. Financial stability was noted, but there is a requirement for additional funding in the near future.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful LP-184 Phase Ia Clinical Trial
The LP-184 Phase Ia clinical trial successfully achieved all primary endpoints, demonstrating a 48% clinical benefit rate in evaluable cancer patients who received doses at or above the therapeutic threshold.
Regulatory Progress with FDA
Completed a productive FDA Type C meeting for Starlight Therapeutics, gaining clear guidance for a planned pediatric CNS cancer trial targeting ATRT.
Expansion of AI Platform, RADR
Demonstrated commercial readiness of the RADR AI platform with several deployable, scalable modules, indicating potential for significant revenue generation.
Financial Stability
As of September 30, 2025, Lantern Pharma had $12.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, providing a runway into Q3 2026.
Positive Preliminary Data from LP-300 HARMONIC Trial
Preliminary data showed an 86% clinical benefit rate, with one patient demonstrating a durable complete response lasting nearly two years.
AI Platform Commercial Opportunities
Showcased commercial readiness of AI modules at the AI Biology and Medicine Symposium, highlighting potential revenue streams from licensing to biopharma partners.
Negative Updates
Decrease in R&D Expenses
R&D expenses decreased to $2.4 million from $3.7 million year-over-year, primarily due to reductions in research study and materials expenses, consulting, and payroll.
Need for Additional Funding
Acknowledged the need for substantial additional funding in the near future to continue operations and development.
Company Guidance
During Lantern Pharma's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics and milestones, signaling a transformative period. The LP-184 Phase Ia clinical trial achieved all primary endpoints with a 48% clinical benefit rate in cancer patients, particularly those with DNA damage repair mutations. The company also advanced its AI platform, RADR, and outlined future plans for its CNS-focused subsidiary, Starlight Therapeutics. Financially, Lantern reported a net loss of $4.2 million, or $0.39 per share, for the quarter, with $12.4 million in cash and equivalents, providing runway until the third quarter of 2026. The company also discussed its strategic approach to drug development, leveraging AI to identify high-probability success areas, and detailed upcoming clinical trials targeting a combined market opportunity exceeding $7 billion.

Lantern Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue with sizable ongoing losses and heavy, worsening cash burn (TTM operating cash flow about -$16.9M). Low leverage reduces solvency risk, but the equity base has materially declined over time, increasing financing/runway dependence.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company is still pre-revenue (revenue is $0 in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and recent annual periods), so losses are driven by operating spend rather than sales. Net losses remain large (about -$18.9M in TTM), and profitability has not stabilized—losses have generally widened versus 2020, indicating rising cost intensity over time. Strength: the loss profile is fairly consistent with an R&D-stage biotechnology model, but the lack of revenue and persistently deep negative earnings keep the income statement score low.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage is very low (debt-to-equity ~0.01 in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and 2024), which reduces solvency risk and provides financial flexibility. However, the equity base has declined meaningfully over time (from ~$71.6M in 2021 to ~$9.6M in TTM), reflecting ongoing losses and potential dilution/valuation compression. Return on equity is sharply negative (near -1.0 in TTM), highlighting that the balance sheet is being consumed by operating deficits despite low debt.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash burn is heavy and persistent: operating cash flow is negative across all periods and is -$16.9M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with free cash flow also negative at roughly the same level. Free cash flow deterioration versus the prior year is pronounced (TTM free cash flow growth -5.666), signaling accelerating cash use. Strength: free cash flow roughly tracks net loss (free cash flow to net income ~1.0), suggesting losses are largely cash-backed rather than driven by large non-cash addbacks, but the magnitude and trajectory of burn are the key weakness.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-59.90K0.00-174.84K0.000.000.00
EBITDA-19.41M-22.20M-15.79M-14.42M-12.58M-5.90M
Net Income-18.92M-20.78M-15.96M-14.26M-12.36M-5.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.63M25.57M43.65M58.84M73.95M20.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.36M24.01M41.30M55.20M70.73M19.23M
Total Debt93.95K243.66K234.47K52.89K204.95K108.50K
Total Liabilities4.04M4.38M2.74M2.80M2.38M660.84K
Stockholders Equity9.59M21.19M40.91M56.04M71.57M19.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.86M-17.83M-14.37M-12.80M-10.61M-5.67M
Operating Cash Flow-16.86M-17.81M-14.35M-12.77M-10.59M-5.65M
Investing Cash Flow16.21M3.37M-930.21K179.27K-19.53M-16.14K
Financing Cash Flow971.78K66.71K-500.00K-2.18M63.42M23.66M

Lantern Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.02
Price Trends
50DMA
3.41
Negative
100DMA
3.69
Negative
200DMA
3.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
36.78
Neutral
STOCH
14.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LTRN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.33, below the 50-day MA of 3.41, and below the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LTRN.

Lantern Pharma Risk Analysis

Lantern Pharma disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lantern Pharma reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lantern Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$35.35M-2.71-146.61%37.89%
50
Neutral
$32.99M-1.68-104.58%1.18%
49
Neutral
$27.89M-0.67-94.31%-53.18%
45
Neutral
$28.88M-0.54-2237.54%-55.95%
44
Neutral
$13.44M-0.18-100.00%32.37%
44
Neutral
$79.25M-2.88-2691.06%44.50%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
2.56
-2.74
-51.70%
SKYE
Skye Bioscience
0.80
-2.18
-73.19%
BCAB
BioAtla
0.19
-0.31
-62.00%
RNXT
RenovoRx
0.95
-0.51
-34.93%
MAIA
MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.
1.91
-0.07
-3.54%
MDCX
Medicus Pharma Ltd
1.09
-1.75
-61.62%

Lantern Pharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Lantern Pharma Showcases AI Platform for Rare Cancers
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Lantern Pharma hosted an event where it used a prepared presentation to support discussions and a live demonstration of its initial AI tools and multi-agent system designed for rare cancer applications. The event, and the associated presentation, underscored the company’s operational focus on integrating advanced AI technologies into oncology research for rare cancers, signaling continued efforts to position itself as a technology-driven player in precision cancer therapeutics and to engage stakeholders around its emerging AI platform capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTRN) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lantern Pharma stock, see the LTRN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Lantern Pharma Achieves Key Milestones in Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Lantern Pharma reported its third quarter 2025 financial results and business updates, highlighting significant progress in clinical validation, regulatory advancements, and strategic momentum. The company achieved all primary endpoints in its LP-184 Phase 1a clinical trial, showing a 48% clinical benefit rate in cancer patients, and received FDA guidance for its pediatric CNS cancer trial. The AI platform’s commercial readiness was demonstrated, and disciplined capital management was maintained, positioning Lantern Pharma for future growth in oncology indications.

The most recent analyst rating on (LTRN) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lantern Pharma stock, see the LTRN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026