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OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMVKY)
OTHER OTC:OMVKY

OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMVKY) AI Stock Analysis

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OMVKY

OMV Aktiengesellschaft

(OTC:OMVKY)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
â–²(43.28% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven primarily by resilient cash generation and manageable leverage despite a clear earnings downcycle. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive MACD. A high dividend yield helps valuation, while earnings-call guidance flags near-term margin pressure (refining and chemicals) and a temporary leverage increase after the BGI closing.
Positive Factors
Resilient cash generation
OMV's operating cash flow remained robust (~€5.0B in 2025) with free cash flow improving to ~€1.31B. Durable cash generation funds disciplined CapEx, a shareholder distribution policy and provides buffer for deleveraging and investment through commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Prolonged earnings downcycle
OMV has experienced multi‑year revenue declines and a material fall in net income (to ~€1.0B in 2025 from ~€3.7B in 2022). Protracted cyclical weakness pressures return on equity, limits capital rebuilding and reduces flexibility to absorb future commodity or demand shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Resilient cash generation
OMV's operating cash flow remained robust (~€5.0B in 2025) with free cash flow improving to ~€1.31B. Durable cash generation funds disciplined CapEx, a shareholder distribution policy and provides buffer for deleveraging and investment through commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors

OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMVKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
OMV Aktiengesellschaft operates as an energy and chemicals company in Austria, Germany, Romania, Norway, New Zealand, the United Arab Emirates, the rest of Central and Eastern Europe, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates t...
How the Company Makes Money
OMV primarily makes money through multiple operating segments that generate revenue from selling hydrocarbons, fuels, and chemical products, as well as from energy-related services and trading. (1) Exploration & Production (upstream): OMV earns re...

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a largely positive financial and strategic picture: OMV delivered very strong operating cash flow, maintained an attractive dividend, advanced major growth and decarbonization projects, secured financing for the BGI transaction and achieved substantial efficiency program progress. These positives are tempered by weaker Clean CCS results versus the prior year (partly driven by one‑off comparatives), commodity price declines, reduced E&P production due to asset divestment and natural declines, and a subdued chemicals market in the near term. The company expects leverage to rise after the BGI close but to remain within conservative limits and provided disciplined CapEx guidance for 2026.
Positive Updates
Robust operating cash flow and shareholder distributions
Full-year cash flow from operating activities of EUR 5.2 billion (only 4% below prior year). Fourth-quarter operating cash flow of ~EUR 1.7 billion, up >60% year‑on‑year. Free cash flow positive at EUR 180 million after EUR 2.3 billion of dividends. Proposed total dividend of EUR 4.40 per share (regular EUR 3.15 + additional EUR 1.25), representing a 9.3% yield and 28% of operating cash flow.
Negative Updates
Clean CCS operating result decline
Full-year Clean CCS operating result of EUR 4.6 billion, down 10% versus prior year. Q4 Clean CCS operating result around EUR 1.15 billion, down EUR 222 million or 16% year‑on‑year (prior-year quarter benefited from a EUR 210 million arbitration award; excluding that one-off the quarter would be broadly in line).
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Robust operating cash flow and shareholder distributions
Full-year cash flow from operating activities of EUR 5.2 billion (only 4% below prior year). Fourth-quarter operating cash flow of ~EUR 1.7 billion, up >60% year‑on‑year. Free cash flow positive at EUR 180 million after EUR 2.3 billion of dividends. Proposed total dividend of EUR 4.40 per share (regular EUR 3.15 + additional EUR 1.25), representing a 9.3% yield and 28% of operating cash flow.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
OMV guided organic CapEx of around EUR 3.2 billion for 2026 (≈60% energy, majority of the remainder to fuels; ~70% growth projects, ~30% sustainable), with average organic CapEx to 2030 below the prior EUR 2.8 billion p.a. target; market assumptions of Brent ≈ $65/bl, TAG gas > €30/MWh and OMV realized gas < €30/MWh; Energy output slightly below 300,000 boe/d with unit production costs expected to stay below $11/boe and exploration & appraisal spend < €200 million; Fuels refining indicator margin forecast ≈ $8/bl with European refinery utilization >90% and total fuel sales volumes higher year-on-year (retail/commercial margins slightly below 2025); Chemicals: European olefin indicator margins expected slightly below prior year and two crackers’ utilization ~90% in 2026; full‑year clean tax rate ~45%; capital structure and shareholder returns: propose EUR 3.15 regular + EUR 1.25 additional = EUR 4.40/share (9.3% yield, payout ~28% of operating cash flow), new dividend policy to distribute 20–30% of consolidated CFO plus 50% of OMV’s share of any BGI dividend, BGI floor dividend net to OMV at least USD 1 billion for 2026, BGI closing expected Q1 and leverage anticipated in the low‑20%s (around 22% post close, easing by year‑end).

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is the strongest pillar (2025 operating cash flow ~€5.0B and improved free cash flow ~€1.31B), while profitability has weakened materially from prior peaks (net income ~€1.0B in 2025 vs ~€3.7B in 2022) and revenues have declined for multiple years. Leverage appears manageable for the industry, though equity declined from 2024 to 2025 and lower profitability reduces financial flexibility.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.35B33.29B38.54B60.63B34.90B
Gross Profit5.47B9.65B10.31B16.80B11.12B
EBITDA5.13B7.73B7.64B13.66B7.72B
Net Income975.90M1.45B1.55B3.71B2.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.32B48.81B50.66B56.86B53.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.07B7.03B8.30B9.56B6.35B
Total Debt10.86B9.41B9.13B10.28B10.85B
Total Liabilities25.74B24.20B25.29B30.24B31.80B
Stockholders Equity14.34B17.87B18.24B19.15B15.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.31B1.94B2.22B4.82B4.52B
Operating Cash Flow5.01B5.46B5.71B7.76B7.02B
Investing Cash Flow-2.65B-3.15B-3.03B-1.97B-1.82B
Financing Cash Flow-2.72B-3.13B-3.77B-2.66B-2.98B

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.61
Price Trends
50DMA
16.55
Positive
100DMA
15.29
Positive
200DMA
14.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
56.69
Neutral
STOCH
70.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMVKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.52, below the 50-day MA of 16.55, and below the 200-day MA of 14.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OMVKY.

OMV Aktiengesellschaft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$123.24B3.8027.02%14.10%-11.63%-15.67%
68
Neutral
$23.19B63.656.75%9.56%-23.01%-3.64%
66
Neutral
$95.77B12.113.44%7.43%1.53%-35.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$80.17B19.505.20%5.41%-3.84%15.75%
60
Neutral
$116.45B1,640.390.10%5.62%-4.11%-37.59%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMVKY
OMV Aktiengesellschaft
17.69
6.84
63.13%
BP
BP
45.90
21.12
85.19%
E
Eni SPA
55.68
31.32
128.57%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
20.69
10.38
100.62%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
38.55
16.96
78.54%
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
89.93
38.06
73.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026