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Oklo Inc (OKLO)
NYSE:OKLO
US Market

Oklo Inc (OKLO) AI Stock Analysis

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OKLO

Oklo Inc

(NYSE:OKLO)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(3.16% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and rising cash burn) and limited valuation support (negative P/E, no dividend). These are partly offset by a strong earnings-call outlook (substantial cash position, burn within guidance, and major deployment/regulatory and partnership milestones) and a mixed-to-moderate technical setup.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet and liquidity
Oklo's ~$1.2B liquidity combined with extremely low leverage provides multi-year runway for licensing, construction and early operations. For a capital-intensive build‑own‑operate model, a strong balance sheet preserves strategic optionality and reduces near-term financing pressure while projects mature.
Regulatory progress on fuel fabrication
Approval of the Preliminary Documented Safety Analysis for the Aurora fuel facility is a durable regulatory milestone that advances domestic HALEU fabrication. Securing safety-basis approvals materially reduces authorization risk, accelerates first‑of‑a‑kind commissioning and underpins long‑term plant deployment timelines.
Vertical integration of fuel supply
A planned $1.68B Advanced Fuel Center signals strategic vertical integration of fuel fabrication and recycling. Controlling fuel supply addresses HALEU availability, can stabilize input costs over time, and supports Oklo's build‑own‑operate economics and potential ancillary fuel‑cycle revenues.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with persistent losses
Oklo remains pre-commercial with no recorded revenue across multiple years and recurring operating losses. Long-term profitability hinges on successful licensing, capital deployment and contract wins; until commercial plants operate, earnings and margin sustainability are speculative and distant.
Rising cash burn and weak cash generation
Negative operating and free cash flow that worsened in the TTM highlights growing funding needs. For multi-year reactor development, escalating burn increases the cadence and quantum of capital raises required and magnifies execution risk if financing windows tighten.
Dependence on external capital (dilution risk)
An ATM agreement to raise up to $1.5B underscores ongoing reliance on public markets to fund scale‑up. For a capital‑intensive build‑own‑operate strategy, persistent market financing increases dilution risk and exposes project timelines to market access and cost‑of‑capital variability over multiple years.

Oklo Inc (OKLO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oklo Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOklo Inc. designs and develops fission power plants to provide reliable and commercial-scale energy to customers in the United States. It also provides used nuclear fuel recycling services. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyOklo Inc generates revenue primarily through the development, sale, and operation of its advanced nuclear reactors. The company secures contracts with utilities and industrial customers who require stable and sustainable energy solutions. Oklo's reactors are designed to be deployed in a variety of settings, offering flexibility to its clients. Additionally, Oklo may engage in strategic partnerships with governments and private entities to further expand its market reach and technological capabilities. Revenue streams are further enhanced by providing long-term operational support and maintenance services for the reactors, ensuring a continuous relationship with clients.

Oklo Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showed strong progress in regulatory approvals, partnerships, and financial stability, indicating positive momentum. However, challenges in supply chain and fuel cost uncertainties were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
Oklo closed the quarter with approximately $1.2 billion in cash and marketable securities. Cash burn is tracking in line with expectations.
Department of Energy Reactor Pilot Program
Oklo was selected for 3 projects under the DOE's new Reactor Pilot Program, accelerating deployment timelines and complementing ongoing NRC work.
Fuel and Recycling Progress
Oklo announced an Advanced Fuel Center with up to $1.68 billion investment, anchoring the long-term fuel supply chain.
International Partnerships
Signed new international partnerships with European nuclear companies Blykalla and newcleo to advance joint technology and manufacturing capabilities.
Successful Capital Raise
Completed an at-the-market fundraising program generating $540 million in gross proceeds to support growth.
Negative Updates
Supply Chain Challenges
Procurement is impacted by fluctuating tariffs, supply chain pressures, and inflation, requiring careful management.
Fuel Cost Uncertainty
The cost environment for HALEU and related materials has changed significantly due to tariffs, supply chain constraints, and sanctions.
Company Guidance
The Oklo Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Business Update Call provided comprehensive guidance on several key metrics. The company reported a strong cash position with approximately $1.2 billion in cash and marketable securities, while cash burn was tracking within the expected range of $65 million to $80 million for the year. Oklo's operating loss for the third quarter was $36.3 million, including $9.1 million in noncash stock-based compensation, and the loss before income taxes was $29.2 million. The call highlighted significant milestones, such as Oklo's selection for three projects under the Department of Energy's new Reactor Pilot Program, allowing access to authorization pathways that could accelerate deployment timelines. Oklo also announced its Advanced Fuel Center, representing an investment of up to $1.68 billion in Tennessee, and discussed plans for the Atomic Alchemy Pilot Project and international partnerships. The company's strategic focus remains on its build-own-operate model, small scalable reactor designs, and advanced fuel strategies, with ongoing customer evaluations and partnerships across data centers, utilities, and defense markets.

Oklo Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oklo Inc. is facing significant financial challenges with no revenue generation and consistent net losses. Despite a strong equity position, the lack of revenue and negative cash flow are critical concerns that undermine financial stability.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Oklo Inc has reported no revenue over the periods, indicating potential challenges in sales or product launch. The company continues to incur significant losses with negative EBIT and net income, highlighting ongoing operational challenges. The lack of revenue growth and persistent net losses indicate financial instability at present.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company has a strong equity position with a substantial stockholders' equity compared to its total assets, indicating a solid capital base. However, the presence of high liabilities relative to zero revenue and negative income poses a risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting limited leverage, which is a positive aspect in terms of financial risk.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Oklo Inc is experiencing negative free cash flow, reflecting higher expenses and investment than cash generation. The negative operating cash flow relative to net income indicates cash constraints. Without substantial revenue, the company faces challenges in improving its cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-97.12M-52.53M-18.56M-10.00M-5.16M
Net Income-74.51M-73.62M-32.17M-10.02M-5.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.25B281.74M14.88M10.99M11.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments921.60M227.81M9.87M9.65M10.44M
Total Debt1.94M1.28M250.00K304.18K494.32K
Total Liabilities40.63M30.88M49.25M39.10M4.74M
Stockholders Equity1.21B250.86M-34.36M-28.11M6.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-68.54M-38.74M-16.08M-10.14M-1.94M
Operating Cash Flow-62.21M-38.39M-16.00M-9.99M-1.88M
Investing Cash Flow-587.71M-175.77M-83.00K-149.56K-500.00M
Financing Cash Flow968.16M301.43M16.30M9.35M505.22M

Oklo Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price95.97
Price Trends
50DMA
93.82
Negative
100DMA
105.23
Negative
200DMA
77.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.06
Negative
RSI
49.47
Neutral
STOCH
48.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKLO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 95.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.41, above the 50-day MA of 93.82, and above the 200-day MA of 77.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OKLO.

Oklo Inc Risk Analysis

Oklo Inc disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oklo Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oklo Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$8.93B17.4310.69%3.82%18.03%29.46%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$17.19B21.0411.46%3.11%7.76%23.48%
65
Neutral
$7.15B22.709.41%2.72%-1.58%8.49%
65
Neutral
$11.05B18.958.62%4.15%5.70%-8.25%
60
Neutral
$6.44B34.546.02%2.80%10.65%-10.67%
57
Neutral
$15.00B-176.00-10.14%89.94%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKLO
Oklo Inc
91.45
67.22
277.42%
LNT
Alliant Energy
67.06
8.89
15.29%
IDA
IdaCorp
132.73
25.68
23.99%
OGE
OGE Energy
43.72
2.95
7.24%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
92.69
9.65
11.62%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
59.03
11.51
24.22%

Oklo Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Oklo Inc. Announces $1.5 Billion Equity Distribution
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Oklo Inc. entered into an equity distribution agreement with several major financial institutions, allowing the company to offer and sell shares of its Class A common stock, potentially raising up to $1.5 billion. This agreement enables Oklo Inc. to conduct an ‘at the market’ equity offering, providing flexibility in selling shares through various market venues, with the sales agents receiving a commission for their services. This move is expected to impact Oklo Inc.’s financial strategy and market presence, as it allows the company to raise significant capital while maintaining control over the timing and pricing of the stock sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKLO) stock is a Hold with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oklo Inc stock, see the OKLO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026