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Oklo Inc (OKLO)
NYSE:OKLO
US Market

Oklo Inc (OKLO) AI Stock Analysis

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Oklo Inc

(NYSE:OKLO)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
The overall score reflects Oklo Inc.'s significant financial challenges, with no revenue generation and consistent net losses. The technical analysis provides mixed signals, and the negative P/E ratio highlights valuation concerns. The positive aspects from the earnings call, such as strategic partnerships and advancements, are overshadowed by ongoing financial and regulatory challenges.
Positive Factors
Analyst Upgrades
OKLO is being upgraded to a Buy recommendation, indicating confidence in its future performance.
Strategic Advantages
The focus on OKLO’s future growth is centered around its fuel capabilities, suggesting a strategic advantage.
Negative Factors
Investment Risks
Risks to an investment in Oklo include regulation, funding, and execution.
Regulatory Challenges
The overburdensome regulatory regime is the largest impediment to the nuclear industry, especially impacting SMRs like Oklo's.

Oklo Inc (OKLO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oklo Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOklo Inc (OKLO) is a pioneering company in the energy sector, specializing in the design and deployment of advanced, compact nuclear reactors. These reactors are designed to provide reliable, clean, and cost-effective energy solutions. Oklo's innovative approach focuses on utilizing waste nuclear material as fuel, aiming to revolutionize the nuclear energy landscape and contribute to sustainable energy practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyOklo Inc generates revenue primarily through the development, sale, and operation of its advanced nuclear reactors. The company secures contracts with utilities and industrial customers who require stable and sustainable energy solutions. Oklo's reactors are designed to be deployed in a variety of settings, offering flexibility to its clients. Additionally, Oklo may engage in strategic partnerships with governments and private entities to further expand its market reach and technological capabilities. Revenue streams are further enhanced by providing long-term operational support and maintenance services for the reactors, ensuring a continuous relationship with clients.

Oklo Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 95.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Oklo's strategic partnerships and government support, positioning it well for future growth. However, financial losses and regulatory challenges pose significant hurdles. The company is navigating a complex landscape with promising government backing, but faces operational and strategic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Government Support for Nuclear
The current administration has emphasized nuclear energy as a strategic priority, with several executive orders aimed at regulatory reform and fast-tracking nuclear projects.
Partnership with Department of Defense
Oklo has been selected as a qualified vendor for the Department of Defense's Advanced Nuclear Power for Installations program, reinforcing its credibility and opening new deployment opportunities.
Fuel Supply and Recycling Strategy
Oklo is the only advanced nuclear company with secured HALEU for its first commercial plant and has signed an MOU with Centrus for a reliable future supply, positioning itself strongly in the market.
Acquisition of Atomic Alchemy
The acquisition expands Oklo's reach into the high-growth radioisotope market, providing a capital-light opportunity for near-term revenue and long-term market leadership.
Financial Stability
Oklo reported a cash and marketable securities balance of $260.7 million, aligning with its guidance for cash used in operations for 2025.
Successful Milestone Completion
Completion of a comprehensive drilling campaign at Idaho National Laboratory, supporting licensing efforts for the Aurora powerhouse.
Negative Updates
Operating Losses
Oklo reported a first-quarter operating loss of $17.9 million, with net interest income only partially offsetting this, resulting in a loss before income taxes of $14.2 million.
Regulatory Challenges
Although progress has been made, the licensing process with the NRC remains complex, with anticipated gaps and feedback that will need to be addressed.
Fuel Supply Risks
Despite the MOU with Centrus, the future commercial procurement of HALEU is contingent upon developing the right structures and ramp rates, indicating potential supply chain risks.
Company Guidance
The call provided extensive guidance on Oklo's strategic focus and progress, highlighting numerous metrics and developments. Oklo aims to deploy its Aurora powerhouses, targeting a commercial start between late 2027 and early 2028. The company plans to leverage a build, own, and operate model, with a customer pipeline exceeding 14 gigawatts across sectors like data centers and defense. Financially, Oklo reported a first-quarter operating loss of $17.9 million, with a cash burn on track to meet the full-year guidance of $65 million to $80 million. Cash and marketable securities totaled $260.7 million at the end of the quarter. On the regulatory front, Oklo is in the pre-application readiness phase for its Aurora INL powerhouse and has made substantial progress in licensing, including advancing its Oklo Fuel Foundry licensing project plan. The company is also exploring strategic partnerships and has recently been selected as a qualified vendor for the Department of Defense's Advanced Nuclear Power for Installations program. Additionally, Oklo's acquisition of Atomic Alchemy is expected to drive near-term revenue in the radioisotope market, with the VIPR facility projected to operate by 2028.

Oklo Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oklo Inc. is facing significant financial challenges with no revenue generation and consistent net losses. Despite a strong equity position, the lack of revenue and negative cash flow are critical concerns that undermine financial stability.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Oklo Inc has reported no revenue over the periods, indicating potential challenges in sales or product launch. The company continues to incur significant losses with negative EBIT and net income, highlighting ongoing operational challenges. The lack of revenue growth and persistent net losses indicate financial instability at present.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company has a strong equity position with a substantial stockholders' equity compared to its total assets, indicating a solid capital base. However, the presence of high liabilities relative to zero revenue and negative income poses a risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting limited leverage, which is a positive aspect in terms of financial risk.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Oklo Inc is experiencing negative free cash flow, reflecting higher expenses and investment than cash generation. The negative operating cash flow relative to net income indicates cash constraints. Without substantial revenue, the company faces challenges in improving its cash flow position.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-62.83K-268.00K0.000.000.00
EBIT
-63.30M-52.80M-18.64M-10.03M-5.16M
EBITDA
-62.96M-72.67M-18.56M-9.99M-5.16M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-59.40M-73.62M-32.17M3.93M-1.06M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
201.02M227.81M9.87M3.58M3.34M
Total Assets
302.15M281.74M14.88M510.14M504.72M
Total Debt
2.05M1.28M46.14M304.18K494.32K
Net Debt
-88.03M-95.85M36.27M-3.27M-2.84M
Total Liabilities
32.82M30.88M49.25M19.40M17.90M
Stockholders Equity
269.33M250.86M-34.36M490.74M486.82M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-43.93M-38.74M-16.08M-1.10M-1.94M
Operating Cash Flow
-33.59M-38.39M-954.69K-1.88M
Investing Cash Flow
-169.61M-175.77M1.20M-500.00M
Financing Cash Flow
265.02M301.43M16.29K9.35M505.22M

Oklo Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.77
Price Trends
50DMA
36.92
Positive
100DMA
35.76
Positive
200DMA
26.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.71
Negative
RSI
67.51
Neutral
STOCH
68.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKLO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.88, above the 50-day MA of 36.92, and above the 200-day MA of 26.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OKLO.

Oklo Inc Risk Analysis

Oklo Inc disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oklo Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oklo Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
POPOR
73
Outperform
$4.41B14.098.33%4.97%11.83%9.53%
71
Outperform
$1.88B18.345.84%2.93%-9.99%-73.66%
70
Outperform
$5.24B25.168.37%2.88%10.10%149.78%
69
Neutral
$5.01B27.573.67%0.56%-12.73%-74.65%
GNGNE
67
Neutral
$682.68M44.829.13%1.18%-0.18%8.88%
64
Neutral
$12.86B9.797.84%78.10%12.05%-7.99%
42
Neutral
$9.57B-20.99%-2747.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKLO
Oklo Inc
62.77
52.88
534.68%
GNE
Genie Energy Commo
25.19
11.14
79.29%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
56.30
21.86
63.47%
POR
Portland GE
40.11
-0.44
-1.09%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
3.56
0.92
34.85%
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
11.88
2.62
28.29%

Oklo Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Sam Altman Resigns as Chair of Oklo Inc
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Sam Altman announced his resignation as Chair and Class II director of Oklo Inc.’s board, effective immediately. His departure was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Spark’s Take on OKLO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, OKLO is a Underperform.

Oklo Inc. is under significant financial pressure, with no revenue and consistent losses being major drawbacks. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, and the negative P/E ratio highlights profitability concerns. While strategic partnerships and technological advancements are promising, they have yet to translate into financial stability or stock performance improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on OKLO stock, click here.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.