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Northwest Pipe Company (NWPX)
NASDAQ:NWPX

Northwest Pipe Company (NWPX) AI Stock Analysis

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Northwest Pipe Company

(NASDAQ:NWPX)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
Northwest Pipe Company shows strong financial health with solid profit margins and excellent cash flow management. The technical indicators point to a bearish trend, which could pose short-term challenges. The valuation appears reasonable, though the absence of a dividend yield might deter some investors. The latest earnings call reflected both opportunities and challenges, with growth in key segments but also revenue pressure due to external factors. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile.

Northwest Pipe Company (NWPX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Northwest Pipe Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorthwest Pipe Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies water related infrastructure products in North America. It operates in two segments, Engineered Steel Pressure Pipe (SPP) and Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems (Precast). The SPP segment offers large-diameter, high-pressure steel pipeline systems for use in water infrastructure applications, which are primarily related to drinking water systems. Its products are also used for hydroelectric power systems, wastewater systems, and other applications. In addition, this segment makes products for industrial plant piping systems and certain structural applications. The Precast segment provides precast and reinforced concrete products, including manholes, box culverts, vaults, catch basins, oil water separators, pump lift stations, biofiltration, and other environmental and engineered solutions. The company sells its water infrastructure products primarily to installation contractors. Northwest Pipe Company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorthwest Pipe Company generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of engineered steel pipes and related water infrastructure products. Its key revenue streams include contracts with municipalities and water agencies for large-scale water transmission projects, sales to industrial customers requiring specialized piping systems, and partnerships with construction firms involved in water infrastructure development. The company's revenue is influenced by factors such as government spending on infrastructure, regional water management needs, and the overall economic environment impacting construction and infrastructure investment.

Northwest Pipe Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with positive growth in net sales and precast segments, but challenges in SPP revenue and increased operational costs due to trade policies and SG&A expenses. Despite these challenges, there is optimism for the future with significant backlog recovery and strong order books.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Increase
Net sales of $116.1 million were up 2.6% over the prior year period despite challenges.
Precast Segment Growth
Precast revenue increased 13.4% year-over-year to $37.7 million, driven by strong residential demand.
Precast Order Book Improvement
Precast order book improved to $64 million, approaching record levels, driven by non-residential sector growth.
Efficient Cash Management
Positive free cash flow of $1.1 million was generated, compared to negative $30.7 million in the previous year.
SPP Backlog Recovery
SPP backlog increased to over $300 million intra-quarter, indicating recovery and strong future outlook.
Negative Updates
SPP Revenue Decline
SPP segment revenue was $78.4 million, down 2% year-over-year due to weather-related downtime and trade policy effects.
Gross Margin Decrease
Consolidated gross margin decreased to 16.7% from 17.8% in the prior year, primarily due to lower production volumes.
Impact of New Trade Policies
New trade policies resulted in shipment delays and increased costs, impacting revenues and margins.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by 20.6% due to higher incentive compensation and employee benefits.
Company Guidance
During the Northwest Pipe Company's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key financial metrics, despite initial challenges. Net sales reached $116.1 million, a 2.6% increase over the previous year, driven by a strong performance in the precast segment, which saw a 13.4% revenue increase to $37.7 million. However, the Steel Pressure Pipe (SPP) segment faced a 2% revenue decline to $78.4 million due to adverse weather conditions and new trade policies. This led to shipment delays and a decrease in backlog from $310 million at the end of 2024 to $289 million as of March 31, 2025. The company is optimistic about the year ahead, citing a current intra-quarter backlog exceeding $300 million, indicating a rebound in bidding activity. The precast order book improved to $64 million, reflecting strong demand in both the residential and growing non-residential sectors. Gross profit was $19.4 million, with the SPP and precast segments reporting gross margins of 15.5% and 19.1%, respectively. Despite challenges, the company anticipates improved margins and revenues for the second quarter of 2025, consistent with 2024 levels in the second half, while continuing to focus on strategic acquisitions and operational efficiencies.

Northwest Pipe Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Northwest Pipe Company demonstrates strong financial health, with consistent profitability and efficient cash flow management. While revenue growth is modest, the company maintains solid profit margins and a stable balance sheet. Cash flow indicators are particularly strong, showcasing excellent cash conversion and operational efficiency. The balanced debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity base contribute to financial stability, though close monitoring of equity trends is advisable.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company shows a solid gross profit margin with a TTM figure of 19.1%, indicating efficient production management. The net profit margin is healthy at 6.6% TTM, reflecting profitability. However, revenue growth is modest, with a slight increase of 0.6% from the previous year, suggesting stable but slow growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 9.1% and 11.1% TTM, respectively, highlighting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.34, showing a balanced financial structure. Return on equity is solid at 8.7% TTM, indicating effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio of 65.0% TTM suggests a strong capital base, reducing financial risk. However, a slight decrease in stockholders' equity compared to total assets may warrant attention.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Free cash flow shows impressive growth at 92.9% TTM, reflecting strong cash management and operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.61, indicating excellent cash generation relative to accounting income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 2.01, reinforcing the company's ability to convert net income into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
495.44M492.55M444.36M457.67M333.31M285.91M
Gross Profit
94.63M95.41M77.64M85.86M44.25M50.52M
EBIT
45.11M48.24M33.86M27.82M2.74M12.02M
EBITDA
55.01M67.42M49.94M62.15M29.98M41.56M
Net Income Common Stockholders
32.93M34.21M21.07M31.15M11.52M19.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.30M5.01M4.07M3.68M3.00M37.93M
Total Assets
559.52M589.65M597.88M601.34M547.68M373.01M
Total Debt
187.56M129.88M162.94M188.63M185.19M43.70M
Net Debt
184.26M124.87M158.87M184.94M182.19M5.78M
Total Liabilities
272.52M215.65M257.52M283.07M264.30M103.39M
Stockholders Equity
287.00M374.00M340.36M318.27M283.38M269.63M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
66.09M34.25M35.16M-5.62M-19.07M41.74M
Operating Cash Flow
85.99M55.05M53.45M17.54M-5.81M56.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-19.88M-20.74M-20.37M-23.05M-100.15M-61.43M
Financing Cash Flow
-65.08M-33.38M-32.70M6.19M71.03M12.26M

Northwest Pipe Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.58
Price Trends
50DMA
40.44
Negative
100DMA
43.56
Negative
200DMA
45.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
47.46
Neutral
STOCH
58.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWPX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.83, below the 50-day MA of 40.44, and below the 200-day MA of 45.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NWPX.

Northwest Pipe Company Risk Analysis

Northwest Pipe Company disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Northwest Pipe Company reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Northwest Pipe Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
APAP
75
Outperform
$74.35M17.217.11%-3.60%
75
Outperform
$696.88M31.136.61%0.33%-0.33%-7.06%
72
Outperform
$108.37M9.0613.54%18.83%
MEMEC
70
Outperform
$306.92M13.899.40%-8.42%164.82%
67
Neutral
$390.97M12.099.13%8.06%38.46%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.295.40%248.53%4.14%-12.41%
RYRYI
59
Neutral
$704.77M37.86-0.78%3.43%-9.04%-108.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
39.58
5.91
17.55%
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh
3.70
2.56
224.56%
GIFI
Gulf Island Fabrication
6.68
0.09
1.37%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
35.90
6.53
22.23%
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
21.89
0.65
3.06%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
15.00
-1.87
-11.08%

Northwest Pipe Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Northwest Pipe Company Approves Executive Incentive Grants
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Northwest Pipe Company announced the approval of performance share units (PSUs) and restricted stock units (RSUs) for its Named Executive Officers. These long-term incentive grants are based on a percentage of the executives’ annual base salary, with PSUs vesting in three installments from 2026 to 2028, contingent on the company’s financial performance. The RSUs also vest in three installments, based on continued service. The company’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders is scheduled for June 12, 2025, with a record date of April 10, 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.