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Northwest Pipe (NWPX)
:NWPX

Northwest Pipe Company (NWPX) AI Stock Analysis

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Northwest Pipe Company

(NASDAQ:NWPX)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(6.84%Upside)
Northwest Pipe Company presents a compelling investment case with strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. While technical indicators are neutral, the company's strong cash flow and operational efficiency support its stable outlook. The earnings call highlights both challenges and opportunities, suggesting a balanced risk-reward profile.

Northwest Pipe Company (NWPX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Northwest Pipe Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorthwest Pipe Company (NWPX) is a leading manufacturer of engineered steel pipe water systems in North America. The company specializes in large-diameter, high-pressure steel pipeline systems used primarily for water infrastructure projects. Northwest Pipe Company serves a diverse customer base, including municipalities, private water companies, and industrial entities, providing solutions that are integral to water transmission, treatment, and storage.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorthwest Pipe Company generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of engineered steel pipes and related water infrastructure products. Its key revenue streams include contracts with municipalities and water agencies for large-scale water transmission projects, sales to industrial customers requiring specialized piping systems, and partnerships with construction firms involved in water infrastructure development. The company's revenue is influenced by factors such as government spending on infrastructure, regional water management needs, and the overall economic environment impacting construction and infrastructure investment.

Northwest Pipe Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with positive growth in net sales and precast segments, but challenges in SPP revenue and increased operational costs due to trade policies and SG&A expenses. Despite these challenges, there is optimism for the future with significant backlog recovery and strong order books.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Sales Increase
Net sales of $116.1 million were up 2.6% over the prior year period despite challenges.
Precast Segment Growth
Precast revenue increased 13.4% year-over-year to $37.7 million, driven by strong residential demand.
Precast Order Book Improvement
Precast order book improved to $64 million, approaching record levels, driven by non-residential sector growth.
Efficient Cash Management
Positive free cash flow of $1.1 million was generated, compared to negative $30.7 million in the previous year.
SPP Backlog Recovery
SPP backlog increased to over $300 million intra-quarter, indicating recovery and strong future outlook.
Negative Updates
SPP Revenue Decline
SPP segment revenue was $78.4 million, down 2% year-over-year due to weather-related downtime and trade policy effects.
Gross Margin Decrease
Consolidated gross margin decreased to 16.7% from 17.8% in the prior year, primarily due to lower production volumes.
Impact of New Trade Policies
New trade policies resulted in shipment delays and increased costs, impacting revenues and margins.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by 20.6% due to higher incentive compensation and employee benefits.
Company Guidance
During the Northwest Pipe Company's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key financial metrics, despite initial challenges. Net sales reached $116.1 million, a 2.6% increase over the previous year, driven by a strong performance in the precast segment, which saw a 13.4% revenue increase to $37.7 million. However, the Steel Pressure Pipe (SPP) segment faced a 2% revenue decline to $78.4 million due to adverse weather conditions and new trade policies. This led to shipment delays and a decrease in backlog from $310 million at the end of 2024 to $289 million as of March 31, 2025. The company is optimistic about the year ahead, citing a current intra-quarter backlog exceeding $300 million, indicating a rebound in bidding activity. The precast order book improved to $64 million, reflecting strong demand in both the residential and growing non-residential sectors. Gross profit was $19.4 million, with the SPP and precast segments reporting gross margins of 15.5% and 19.1%, respectively. Despite challenges, the company anticipates improved margins and revenues for the second quarter of 2025, consistent with 2024 levels in the second half, while continuing to focus on strategic acquisitions and operational efficiencies.

Northwest Pipe Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Northwest Pipe Company demonstrates strong financial health, with consistent profitability and efficient cash flow management. While revenue growth is modest, the company maintains solid profit margins and a stable balance sheet. Cash flow indicators are particularly strong, showcasing excellent cash conversion and operational efficiency. The balanced debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity base contribute to financial stability, though close monitoring of equity trends is advisable.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company shows a solid gross profit margin with a TTM figure of 19.1%, indicating efficient production management. The net profit margin is healthy at 6.6% TTM, reflecting profitability. However, revenue growth is modest, with a slight increase of 0.6% from the previous year, suggesting stable but slow growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 9.1% and 11.1% TTM, respectively, highlighting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.34, showing a balanced financial structure. Return on equity is solid at 8.7% TTM, indicating effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio of 65.0% TTM suggests a strong capital base, reducing financial risk. However, a slight decrease in stockholders' equity compared to total assets may warrant attention.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Free cash flow shows impressive growth at 92.9% TTM, reflecting strong cash management and operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.61, indicating excellent cash generation relative to accounting income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 2.01, reinforcing the company's ability to convert net income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue495.44M492.55M444.36M457.67M333.31M285.91M
Gross Profit94.63M95.41M77.64M85.86M44.25M50.52M
EBITDA55.01M67.42M49.94M62.15M29.98M41.56M
Net Income32.93M34.21M21.07M31.15M11.52M19.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets559.52M589.65M597.88M601.34M547.68M373.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.30M5.01M4.07M3.68M3.00M37.93M
Total Debt187.56M129.88M162.94M188.63M185.19M43.70M
Total Liabilities272.52M215.65M257.52M283.07M264.30M103.39M
Stockholders Equity287.00M374.00M340.36M318.27M283.38M269.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.09M34.25M35.16M-5.62M-19.07M41.74M
Operating Cash Flow85.99M55.05M53.45M17.54M-5.81M56.09M
Investing Cash Flow-19.88M-20.74M-20.37M-23.05M-100.15M-61.43M
Financing Cash Flow-65.08M-33.38M-32.70M6.19M71.03M12.26M

Northwest Pipe Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.12
Price Trends
50DMA
40.06
Positive
100DMA
41.53
Positive
200DMA
45.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Negative
RSI
64.65
Neutral
STOCH
61.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWPX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.60, above the 50-day MA of 40.06, and below the 200-day MA of 45.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NWPX.

Northwest Pipe Company Risk Analysis

Northwest Pipe Company disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Northwest Pipe Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Northwest Pipe Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MEMEC
73
Outperform
$337.61M14.999.40%-8.42%164.82%
72
Outperform
$420.81M12.879.13%8.06%38.46%
72
Outperform
$114.38M9.5713.54%18.83%
72
Outperform
$770.06M34.406.61%0.30%-0.33%-7.06%
67
Neutral
€8.31B20.676.46%2.74%1.85%-38.87%
APAP
67
Neutral
$60.89M14.147.11%-3.60%
RYRYI
58
Neutral
$736.65M37.86-0.78%3.28%-9.04%-108.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
42.12
6.42
17.98%
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh
3.12
1.62
108.00%
GIFI
Gulf Island Fabrication
7.19
0.79
12.34%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
39.60
9.53
31.69%
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
23.77
2.67
12.65%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
16.18
-2.10
-11.49%

Northwest Pipe Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Northwest Pipe Company Rebrands to NWPX Infrastructure
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Northwest Pipe Company officially changed its corporate name to NWPX Infrastructure, Inc., following shareholder approval at the annual meeting. This change was accompanied by amendments to the company’s Articles of Incorporation and Bylaws to reflect the new name. Additionally, shareholders elected two directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of Baker Tilly US, LLP as the independent accountants for the year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (NWPX) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northwest Pipe Company stock, see the NWPX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Northwest Pipe Company Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Northwest Pipe Company held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, during which a presentation was delivered to its shareholders. The presentation, dated the same day, was provided as part of a report but is not intended to be filed under the Exchange Act, nor incorporated into any registration statement under the Securities Act of 1933.

The most recent analyst rating on (NWPX) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northwest Pipe Company stock, see the NWPX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025