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Ampco-Pittsburgh (AP)
NYSE:AP
US Market

Ampco-Pittsburgh (AP) AI Stock Analysis

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AP

Ampco-Pittsburgh

(NYSE:AP)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Ampco-Pittsburgh's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including low profitability and high leverage, which weigh heavily on the score. Despite strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield are concerning. The earnings call provided some positive insights with EBITDA growth, but corporate events highlighted ongoing risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 12% increase in net sales indicates strong demand for Ampco-Pittsburgh's products, supporting long-term growth prospects and market position.
Strategic Exits
Exiting underperforming assets like the U.K. facility enhances operational efficiency and profitability, strengthening financial health over time.
Segment Performance
Record performance in the Air and Liquid segment highlights strong execution and market demand, contributing to sustainable revenue growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth indicates difficulties in generating cash, which can constrain investment and operational capabilities over time.
Profitability Issues
Sustained profitability issues can hinder reinvestment in the business and affect competitive positioning in the long term.

Ampco-Pittsburgh (AP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ampco-Pittsburgh Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmpco-Pittsburgh Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture and sale of specialty metal products and customized equipment to commercial and industrial users worldwide. It operates in two segments, Forged and Cast Engineered Products (FCEG); and Air and Liquid Processing. The FCEG segment produces forged hardened steel rolls that are used in cold rolling mills by producers of steel, aluminum, and other metals; cast rolls for hot and cold strip, medium/heavy section, hot strip finishing, roughing, and plate mills in various iron and steel qualities; and forged engineered products for use in the steel distribution, oil and gas, and aluminum and plastic extrusion industries. This segment also offers forged rolls for cluster and Z-Hi mills; work rolls for narrow and wide strip and aluminum mills; back-up rolls for narrow strip mills; leveling rolls and shafts; and distributes tool steels, alloys, and carbon round bars. The Air and Liquid Processing segment produces custom-engineered finned tube heat exchange coils and related heat transfer products for various industries, including OEM/commercial, nuclear power generation, and industrial manufacturing; and custom-designed air handling systems for institutional, pharmaceutical, and general industrial building markets. This segment also provides centrifugal pumps the fossil-fueled power generation, marine defense, and industrial refrigeration industries. The company was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Carnegie, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmpco-Pittsburgh generates revenue through the sale of its engineered products and services across multiple industries. Key revenue streams include the production and sale of forged and cast products, which are used in heavy machinery and equipment, and the supply of energy-related products, including heat exchangers and specialty items. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major industrial clients, providing a stable income source. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other manufacturers and suppliers enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, contributing to overall earnings.

Ampco-Pittsburgh Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in adjusted EBITDA, strategic exits from underperforming assets, and record performance in the Air and Liquid segment. However, challenges such as tariffs and temporary disruptions in roll purchases were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $9.2 million, up 35% from the prior year.
Air and Liquid Segment Record Performance
Year-to-date segment adjusted EBITDA of $12.1 million was the highest in Air and Liquid's history, with a 31% increase versus the prior year.
Exit from Underperforming Assets
The accelerated exit from the U.K. facility is expected to improve full-year adjusted EBITDA by $7 million to $8 million.
Positive Revenue Growth
Net sales for Q3 2025 were $108 million, a 12% increase compared to Q3 2024.
Significant Improvement in Adjusted EPS
Adjusted earnings per share for Q3 2025 was $0.04, up $0.14 from the prior year.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs on Operations
Tariffs on imports from Europe, including Sweden and Slovenia, are affecting operations, with tariffs as high as 50%.
Closure and Liquidation Costs
The U.K. facility closure involved non-cash charges totaling $3.1 million in Q3 2025.
Temporary Postponement of Roll Purchases
Some North American customers postponed roll purchases due to tariff uncertainty, affecting roll market dynamics.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation reported a robust performance, with consolidated adjusted EBITDA reaching $9.2 million, marking a 35% increase compared to the previous year. The company's adjusted earnings per share rose by $0.14 from the prior year to $0.04. The Air and Liquid segment achieved its best year-to-date results, with a 26% revenue increase in Q3 compared to the previous year, contributing to a year-to-date revenue rise of nearly 7%. Additionally, strategic actions, such as exiting the U.K. facility and winding down a small steel distribution business, are projected to enhance full-year adjusted EBITDA by $7 million to $8 million. Meanwhile, the Forged and Cast Engineered Products segment recorded net sales of $71.5 million, reflecting an increase of $4.3 million from Q3 2024, despite typical summer shutdowns in European facilities. The segment's adjusted EBITDA saw a $7.1 million improvement from Q2 2025 and a $0.3 million increase from Q3 2024. The company continues to navigate tariff challenges while anticipating positive long-term growth in key markets such as automotive and construction.

Ampco-Pittsburgh Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ampco-Pittsburgh faces significant financial challenges with low profitability, high leverage, and weak cash flow generation. The negative net profit margin and high debt-to-equity ratio highlight financial instability, while the negative free cash flow growth indicates cash flow issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ampco-Pittsburgh's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is 18.29%, indicating moderate efficiency in production. However, the net profit margin is negative at -1.24%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is positive at 2.86% TTM, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 2.42% and 7.52% respectively, suggesting limited operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33 TTM, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. The return on equity is negative at -8.61%, indicating inefficiency in generating returns from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high debt levels suggest a lower proportion of equity in the capital structure.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows significant challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is highly negative at -606.01% TTM, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.045, indicating weak cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue426.31M418.31M422.34M390.19M344.92M328.54M
Gross Profit85.33M81.50M74.56M62.19M66.11M71.03M
EBITDA33.95M31.42M-12.26M28.40M20.48M31.39M
Net Income-5.30M438.00K-39.93M3.42M-3.86M7.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets524.41M530.90M565.65M502.77M505.96M463.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.96M15.43M7.29M8.73M10.34M16.84M
Total Debt139.86M133.17M133.42M108.99M64.97M41.59M
Total Liabilities449.85M459.81M494.08M389.38M393.83M378.21M
Stockholders Equity60.10M58.88M60.94M104.33M102.90M76.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.30M5.83M-24.13M-43.90M-31.10M25.17M
Operating Cash Flow6.09M18.03M-3.69M-27.21M-15.87M33.63M
Investing Cash Flow-6.09M-8.24M-19.68M-16.31M-14.73M-7.93M
Financing Cash Flow2.69M-1.35M21.69M42.59M24.40M-17.22M

Ampco-Pittsburgh Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.64
Price Trends
50DMA
2.52
Positive
100DMA
2.65
Positive
200DMA
2.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Negative
RSI
73.61
Negative
STOCH
82.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.02, above the 50-day MA of 2.52, and above the 200-day MA of 2.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.61 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AP.

Ampco-Pittsburgh Risk Analysis

Ampco-Pittsburgh disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ampco-Pittsburgh reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ampco-Pittsburgh Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$606.47M17.169.78%7.61%25.35%
66
Neutral
$190.86M21.799.95%0.26%-48.11%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$360.04M30.745.06%-12.38%-0.71%
54
Neutral
$265.32M23.001.26%-3.42%
53
Neutral
$72.16M-13.88-8.73%0.20%88.39%
41
Neutral
$45.81M-88.80-5.10%1.15%94.58%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh
3.64
1.69
86.67%
GIFI
Gulf Island Fabrication
11.93
5.04
73.15%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
63.11
14.02
28.56%
TG
Tredegar
7.58
-0.14
-1.81%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
17.66
1.71
10.72%
TPCS
TechPrecision
4.60
0.93
25.34%

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Ampco-Pittsburgh CFO Resignation and Successor Announcement
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation announced that Michael G. McAuley has resigned from his roles as Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, and Assistant Secretary, effective December 31, 2025. David G. Anderson, currently the President of Air & Liquid Systems Corporation, a subsidiary of Ampco-Pittsburgh, will assume these roles starting January 1, 2026, while retaining his current position. Anderson’s compensation will be adjusted accordingly, with an increased base salary and incentive opportunities. McAuley will continue as a Strategic Advisor to the CEO until June 30, 2026, maintaining his current salary but without participating in the incentive programs.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ampco-Pittsburgh Releases Investor Presentation Highlighting Risks
Negative
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation released an investor presentation on its website, which may be shared with current and potential investors in future meetings. The presentation includes forward-looking statements about the company’s operations, market conditions, and financial metrics, highlighting the risks and uncertainties it faces, such as economic downturns, global trade conditions, and potential insolvency proceedings of its subsidiary, Union Electric Steel UK Limited.

Executive/Board Changes
Ampco-Pittsburgh Announces CFO Resignation and Successor
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation announced the resignation of Michael G. McAuley as Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, and Assistant Secretary, effective December 31, 2025. David G. Anderson, currently President of Air & Liquid Systems Corporation, will succeed him in these roles starting January 1, 2026, while retaining his current position. McAuley will remain as a Strategic Advisor to the CEO until June 30, 2026. This transition reflects the company’s succession planning and aims to ensure continuity in financial leadership.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ampco-Pittsburgh Exits U.K. Operations Amid Financial Struggles
Negative
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation’s subsidiary, Union Electric Steel UK Limited (UES-UK), entered administration, marking an accelerated exit from its U.K. operations. This decision, driven by prolonged financial losses and market challenges, aims to eliminate future losses and improve the company’s annual adjusted EBITDA by $7 to $8 million. The exit will lead to a non-cash impairment charge of $43 to $45 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, as Ampco-Pittsburgh deconsolidates UES-UK’s financials from its statements. The company plans to increase capacity utilization at its Sweden facility and continue supporting its customers through operations in other regions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025