Mayville Engineering Company (MEC)
NYSE:MEC
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Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) AI Stock Analysis

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MEC

Mayville Engineering Company

(NYSE:MEC)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(5.61% Upside)
MEC's overall score reflects stable financial health and positive technical momentum, but is tempered by valuation concerns and challenges in legacy markets. The Accu-Fab acquisition presents growth opportunities, yet increased debt and declining free cash flow remain risks.
Positive Factors
Accu-Fab Acquisition
The Accu-Fab acquisition expands MEC's market opportunities, particularly in data centers and critical power, enhancing revenue potential and market reach.
Data Center and Critical Power Market Growth
Growth in the data center and critical power markets offers substantial revenue synergies and higher margins, supporting long-term profitability.
Construction & Access Market Growth
The growth in the Construction & Access market, aided by Accu-Fab, indicates strong demand and supports diversification of revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
Declining free cash flow limits MEC's ability to reinvest in growth initiatives and manage debt, posing challenges to financial flexibility.
Increased Net Debt
Rising net debt levels increase financial risk and interest expenses, potentially impacting MEC's long-term financial health and stability.
Legacy End Markets Softness
Weakness in legacy markets, such as commercial vehicles, highlights cyclical challenges and dependency on traditional sectors, affecting revenue stability.

Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mayville Engineering Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMayville Engineering Company (MEC) is a leading provider of contract manufacturing services, specializing in precision metal fabrication, machining, and assembly. Operating primarily in the industrial and commercial sectors, MEC serves a diverse range of industries, including automotive, military, and renewable energy. The company is known for its advanced manufacturing capabilities and commitment to quality, offering a wide array of products from complex assemblies to custom-engineered solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyMEC generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing contract manufacturing services to various industries. This includes the fabrication of metal components and assemblies, which are sold to clients on a project basis. The company also engages in long-term contracts with clients for ongoing manufacturing needs, ensuring a steady flow of income. Additionally, MEC benefits from partnerships with key players in sectors such as defense and transportation, allowing it to secure significant contracts that contribute to its revenue. The company's ability to scale operations and invest in advanced manufacturing technologies further enhances its competitive edge, driving profitability.

Mayville Engineering Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant progress with the Accu-Fab acquisition and strong growth potential in the data center and critical power market. However, challenges persist in legacy markets, particularly in commercial vehicles and agriculture, contributing to a decline in manufacturing margins and increased debt leverage. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth and reaffirmed its 2025 guidance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Accu-Fab Acquisition Integration
Significant progress in integrating the Accu-Fab acquisition, with the sales team engaging with Accu-Fab's customer base. The integration offers a scalable solution for data center and critical power OEMs, leading to a substantial pipeline of over $100 million in opportunities.
Data Center and Critical Power Market Growth
The data center and critical power market is expected to represent 20% to 25% of total revenues in the coming years. Revenue synergy expectations from Accu-Fab have increased to between $20 million and $30 million in 2026, with gross margins approximately 10 percentage points higher than the historical average of 15% to 20%.
Construction & Access Market Growth
Construction & Access market revenues increased 10.1% year-over-year during the quarter, supported by the Accu-Fab acquisition and strong nonresidential activity. Organic net sales growth in this market was 6.2% in the quarter.
Powersports Market Growth
Net sales in the powersports market grew 6.4% year-over-year, driven by transient aluminum-related demand.
New Project Awards
During the third quarter, MEC secured $30 million in new project awards with data center and critical power customers. Year-to-date, total awards across legacy markets reached $90 million, nearing the full-year target of $100 million.
Total Sales and Guidance Reaffirmation
Total sales for the third quarter increased 6.6% year-over-year to $144.3 million. MEC reaffirmed its 2025 financial guidance with expected net sales between $528 million and $562 million.
Negative Updates
Legacy End Markets Softness
Legacy end markets remain in a cyclical trough with commercial vehicle demand softening, resulting in a 24% decline in net sales to this end market compared to the prior year period.
Agriculture Market Decline
Agriculture net sales declined 21.8% amid elevated interest rates and lower farm income.
Manufacturing Margin Decline
The manufacturing margin rate decreased to 11% for the third quarter of 2025 compared to 12.6% in the prior year period, primarily due to nonrecurring restructuring costs and lower customer demand in legacy markets.
Interest Expense Increase
Interest expense was $3.4 million for the third quarter of 2025, up from $2.7 million in the prior year period, driven by higher borrowings from the Accu-Fab acquisition.
Free Cash Flow Impact
Free cash flow during the third quarter of 2025 was a negative $1.1 million, reflecting $3.5 million of nonrecurring costs, compared to a positive $15.1 million in the prior year period.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt increased to $214.9 million, up from $114.1 million at the end of the third quarter of 2024, resulting in a net leverage ratio of 3.5x.
Company Guidance
During the Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 financial guidance despite challenges in legacy end markets. MEC expects net sales between $528 million and $562 million, adjusted EBITDA of $49 million to $55 million, and free cash flow of $25 million to $31 million. The integration of Accu-Fab has significantly expanded MEC's market opportunities, with $100 million in qualified opportunities in the data center and critical power sectors. Revenue synergy expectations from Accu-Fab are projected to be between $20 million and $30 million in 2026, with gross margins approximately 10 percentage points above the historical average of 15%-20%. Meanwhile, the commercial vehicle market saw a 24% decline in net sales year-over-year, while the Construction & Access market experienced a 10.1% increase. MEC's third-quarter sales increased by 6.6% to $144.3 million, although organic net sales fell by 9.1%. The company aims to use positive free cash flow in the fourth quarter to reduce debt, with a target to achieve a net leverage ratio of 3x or lower by the end of 2026.

Mayville Engineering Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MEC shows stable financial health with a strong balance sheet, but faces challenges with declining free cash flow and lower profit margins. The company needs to improve cash generation and profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a modest gross profit margin of 9.5% TTM, indicating some efficiency in production. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.3% TTM, suggesting limited profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 1.7% TTM, but lower than previous years, indicating a slowdown. EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to the previous year, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly to 0.11 TTM, indicating reduced leverage and a stronger equity position. Return on equity is moderate at 7.2% TTM, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Free cash flow has declined by 23.6% TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.81, indicating good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 0.83, suggesting some pressure on free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue533.52M581.60M588.42M539.39M454.83M357.61M
Gross Profit52.55M71.10M69.70M61.07M51.38M31.50M
EBITDA64.43M82.14M55.05M55.09M24.39M25.59M
Net Income12.22M25.97M7.84M18.73M-7.45M-7.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets585.58M445.57M496.66M440.58M379.47M338.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.22M206.00K672.00K127.00K118.00K121.00K
Total Debt250.15M110.05M181.16M108.98M67.61M47.94M
Total Liabilities340.81M193.82M266.68M222.71M181.20M137.68M
Stockholders Equity244.77M251.75M229.98M217.87M198.27M200.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.37M77.71M23.77M-6.18M-24.85M28.73M
Operating Cash Flow63.14M89.81M40.36M52.43M14.46M36.52M
Investing Cash Flow-150.54M-11.71M-104.13M-50.67M-33.96M-5.77M
Financing Cash Flow88.44M-78.56M64.31M-1.75M19.50M-30.63M

Mayville Engineering Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.57
Price Trends
50DMA
14.82
Positive
100DMA
15.13
Positive
200DMA
14.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.67
Positive
RSI
56.74
Neutral
STOCH
39.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.18, above the 50-day MA of 14.82, and above the 200-day MA of 14.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MEC.

Mayville Engineering Company Risk Analysis

Mayville Engineering Company disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mayville Engineering Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mayville Engineering Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$559.19M15.829.78%7.61%25.35%
68
Neutral
$342.57M28.985.06%-12.38%-0.71%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$127.64M13.5011.00%14.32%
54
Neutral
$285.57M24.761.26%-3.42%
44
Neutral
$45.48M-23.34-23.42%3.78%78.39%
42
Neutral
$41.45M-8.12-8.37%-3.95%88.17%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
16.57
-0.65
-3.77%
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh
1.91
0.13
7.30%
GIFI
Gulf Island Fabrication
11.78
4.69
66.15%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
58.19
5.06
9.52%
TG
Tredegar
8.38
1.46
21.10%
TPCS
TechPrecision
4.29
0.86
25.07%

Mayville Engineering Company Corporate Events

Mayville Engineering Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Strategic Shifts
Nov 6, 2025

Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) is a U.S.-based, vertically-integrated manufacturing partner offering comprehensive solutions from design to production, serving diverse markets such as commercial vehicles, construction, powersports, and data centers.

Mayville Engineering Highlights Growth Amid Challenges in Earnings Call
Nov 6, 2025

During the recent earnings call, Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) expressed a mixed sentiment, highlighting both significant achievements and ongoing challenges. The company showcased its progress with the Accu-Fab acquisition and its promising growth prospects in the data center and critical power market. However, it also acknowledged the hurdles faced in its legacy markets, such as commercial vehicles and agriculture, which have led to a decline in manufacturing margins and increased debt leverage. Despite these obstacles, MEC remains optimistic about future growth and has reaffirmed its 2025 guidance.

Mayville Engineering’s Earnings Call: Strategic Wins Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

In the latest earnings call, Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) conveyed a sentiment of cautious optimism. The company highlighted successful strategic initiatives, such as the acquisition of Accu-Fab and strong new business wins, which are poised to drive future growth. However, challenges like a decline in net sales and increased leverage due to acquisitions present a mixed outlook.

Mayville Engineering Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) is a U.S.-based, vertically-integrated manufacturing partner offering a comprehensive range of solutions from design to production, serving diverse markets such as commercial vehicles, construction, powersports, agriculture, and military. In its second quarter of 2025, MEC reported net sales of $132.3 million, with a GAAP net loss of $1.1 million, while achieving a non-GAAP adjusted net income of $2.1 million. The company generated an adjusted EBITDA of $13.7 million, reflecting a margin of 10.3%, and free cash flow of $12.5 million, despite facing a challenging demand environment across most end markets. Key financial metrics showed a decrease in net sales by 19.1% year-over-year, primarily due to reduced demand and inventory de-stocking in key markets such as commercial vehicles and powersports. However, the military and other markets saw increased sales due to higher aftermarket demand and new customer projects. MEC’s strategic initiatives included the acquisition of Accu-Fab, aimed at diversifying its market presence and enhancing operational leverage. Looking forward, MEC’s management remains focused on integrating Accu-Fab, optimizing operations, and pursuing growth opportunities, though they acknowledge ongoing market uncertainties and have adjusted their full-year guidance accordingly.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025