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Mayville Engineering Company (MEC)
NYSE:MEC
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Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) AI Stock Analysis

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MEC

Mayville Engineering Company

(NYSE:MEC)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(13.55% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong equity and manageable debt levels, but challenges in profitability and revenue growth. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation is moderate. The earnings call highlights strategic achievements and challenges, with a focus on cost reduction and operational efficiency.
Positive Factors
Acquisition of Accu-Fab
The Accu-Fab acquisition diversifies MEC's revenue streams and customer base, enhancing its market position in critical sectors like power and data centers.
New Business Wins
Securing significant new business in data center and power generation segments indicates strong market demand and supports long-term revenue growth.
Strong Free Cash Flow
High free cash flow conversion reflects effective cash management, providing MEC with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and reduce debt.
Negative Factors
Decline in Net Sales
A significant drop in net sales indicates challenges in maintaining demand, which could impact future revenue stability and profitability.
Commercial Vehicle Market Challenges
Weakness in the commercial vehicle market poses risks to MEC's revenue from this segment, necessitating strategic adjustments to mitigate impact.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses, partly due to acquisition-related costs, could pressure margins if not managed effectively, affecting profitability.

Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mayville Engineering Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMayville Engineering Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a contract manufacturer that serves the heavy and medium duty commercial vehicle, construction and access equipment, powersports, agriculture, military, and other end markets in the United States. The company provides a range of prototyping and tooling, production fabrication, coating, assembly, and aftermarket components. It also supplies engineered components to original equipment manufacturers. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Mayville, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyMEC generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by providing contract manufacturing services to various industries. This includes the fabrication of metal components and assemblies, which are sold to clients on a project basis. The company also engages in long-term contracts with clients for ongoing manufacturing needs, ensuring a steady flow of income. Additionally, MEC benefits from partnerships with key players in sectors such as defense and transportation, allowing it to secure significant contracts that contribute to its revenue. The company's ability to scale operations and invest in advanced manufacturing technologies further enhances its competitive edge, driving profitability.

Mayville Engineering Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strategic achievements such as the Accu-Fab acquisition and new business wins, which strengthen the company’s position in critical markets. However, significant challenges persist, including a notable decline in net sales and ongoing difficulties in the commercial vehicle market, leading to the withdrawal of 2026 financial targets. While there are positive growth strategies in place, the current market conditions present substantial hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of Accu-Fab
The acquisition of Accu-Fab was completed, representing a significant milestone as it diversifies revenue and customer base, particularly into the critical power and data center end market, increasing the serviceable addressable market by 60% to approximately $8 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
Despite a 2% decline in net sales, adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 130 basis points sequentially, indicating effective cost management and improved operating leverage.
New Business Wins
The company is ahead of pace to achieve its annual goal of $100 million in new business awards, with significant wins in data center fabrications and commercial vehicle segments.
Strong Free Cash Flow
The company generated $12.5 million in free cash flow, resulting in a free cash flow conversion of 92% of adjusted EBITDA.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales and Manufacturing Margin
Total sales for the second quarter decreased 19.1% year-over-year to $132.3 million, and the manufacturing margin decreased from $22.3 million to $13.6 million due to lower customer demand.
Commercial Vehicle Market Challenges
The commercial vehicle market outlook has weakened, with a projected 24% decline in production compared to 2024. Elevated inventory levels and regulatory uncertainties are contributing to this downturn.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased to $10.3 million for the second quarter of 2025 from $8.3 million in the prior year, primarily due to non-recurring costs associated with the Accu-Fab acquisition and CFO transition.
Withdrawal of 2026 Financial Targets
The company withdrew its 2026 financial targets due to the current macroenvironment, indicating uncertainty in achieving previously set goals.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) saw its adjusted EBITDA margin expand by 130 basis points sequentially, even though net sales declined by 2%. The company completed the acquisition of Accu-Fab, which is expected to increase its estimated serviceable addressable market by approximately 60% to about $8 billion. This acquisition is anticipated to be modestly accretive to earnings for the year, with expectations of revenue synergies of $5 million to $10 million in 2026 and $15 million to $20 million by 2028. MEC updated its 2025 guidance to reflect the acquisition, forecasting net sales between $528 million and $562 million, adjusted EBITDA between $49 million and $55 million, and free cash flow between $25 million and $31 million. The company is also prioritizing debt repayment, targeting a net leverage ratio below 2x by the end of 2026. Despite commercial vehicle market softness, MEC is on track to achieve $100 million in new business awards for the year, with significant wins in data center fabrications and power generation engine programs. The company is implementing cost reduction initiatives and operational efficiency measures to improve its operating leverage over time.

Mayville Engineering Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MEC shows a stable financial position with strong equity and manageable debt levels. However, profitability and revenue growth have faced challenges, with a decrease in net profit margin and revenue contraction. Operational efficiency remains robust, and cash flow metrics indicate solid cash conversion, though recent declines in free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is 11.78%, slightly below the previous year's 12.22%, indicating some pressure on cost management. The net profit margin has decreased to 4.09% from 4.46%, reflecting a decline in profitability. Revenue has contracted by 5.63% in the TTM, following a slight decline in the previous year, suggesting challenges in maintaining sales growth. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively stable, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.097 in the TTM, significantly improved from 0.437 in the previous year, indicating reduced leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is 9.30%, slightly down from 10.31%, but still showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in free cash flow growth by 8.84% in the TTM, indicating potential cash generation issues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.20, suggesting good cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.86, indicating a healthy level of free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue524.61M581.60M588.42M539.39M454.83M357.61M
Gross Profit55.10M71.10M69.70M61.07M51.38M31.50M
EBITDA68.45M82.14M55.05M25.77M24.39M25.59M
Net Income17.87M25.97M7.84M18.73M-7.45M-7.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets433.75M445.57M496.66M440.58M379.47M338.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments206.00K206.00K672.00K127.00K118.00K121.00K
Total Debt25.27M112.62M182.08M108.98M68.82M47.94M
Total Liabilities186.90M193.82M266.68M222.71M181.20M137.68M
Stockholders Equity246.84M251.75M229.98M217.87M198.27M200.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow68.58M77.71M23.77M-6.18M-24.85M28.73M
Operating Cash Flow79.21M89.81M40.36M52.43M14.46M36.52M
Investing Cash Flow-10.35M-11.71M-104.13M-50.67M-33.96M-5.77M
Financing Cash Flow-68.97M-78.56M64.31M-1.75M19.50M-30.63M

Mayville Engineering Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.65
Price Trends
50DMA
14.77
Negative
100DMA
15.18
Negative
200DMA
14.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
40.36
Neutral
STOCH
12.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MEC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.27, below the 50-day MA of 14.77, and below the 200-day MA of 14.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MEC.

Mayville Engineering Company Risk Analysis

Mayville Engineering Company disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mayville Engineering Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mayville Engineering Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$747.08M24.165.50%2.91%9.44%53.83%
72
Outperform
$506.15M15.798.80%5.83%33.50%
66
Neutral
$117.86M12.4710.64%14.32%
65
Neutral
$275.71M16.037.37%-16.95%66.04%
49
Neutral
$50.46M-25.89-22.95%3.78%78.39%
39
Underperform
$49.17M-9.64-8.06%-3.95%88.17%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
13.65
-7.38
-35.09%
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh
2.37
0.39
19.70%
GIFI
Gulf Island Fabrication
7.11
1.55
27.88%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
37.90
8.46
28.74%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
52.12
7.33
16.37%
TPCS
TechPrecision
5.35
2.15
67.19%

Mayville Engineering Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Mayville Engineering Expands Board with New Director
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Mayville Engineering Company announced the election of Tania L. Wingfield to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to seven members. Wingfield, who is also appointed to the Compensation Committee, brings over 30 years of experience in manufacturing and strategic leadership, which is expected to enhance MEC’s execution of its MBX strategy and long-term value creation.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Mayville Engineering Acquires Accu-Fab for $140.5 Million
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. acquired Accu-Fab, LLC for $140.5 million, financed through its existing credit agreement. This acquisition enhances Mayville’s capabilities in providing technology-driven metal fabrication solutions and strengthens its position in the critical power infrastructure, data center, and renewable energy markets.

Private Placements and Financing
Mayville Engineering Expands Credit Facility by $100 Million
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. amended its credit agreement to increase its revolving credit facility from $250 million to $350 million, utilizing a $100 million accordion feature. This financial move is intended to support the company’s ongoing business needs, with the terms of the credit agreement remaining largely unchanged.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2025