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TechPrecision (TPCS)
NASDAQ:TPCS
US Market

TechPrecision (TPCS) AI Stock Analysis

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TPCS

TechPrecision

(NASDAQ:TPCS)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-43.61% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, elevated leverage, and especially negative free cash flow. Technicals remain bearish with the stock below key moving averages, while valuation metrics provide limited support due to the negative P/E and no dividend yield. The earnings call adds some offsetting strength (funded backlog/grants and improving margins), but near-term liquidity and Stadco execution risks remain prominent.
Positive Factors
Funded Backlog & Grants
A $46M funded backlog and over $24M in funded grants supply multi-year revenue visibility tied to defense programs. That reduces near-term demand volatility, enables capacity planning and predictable work recognition over 1–3 years, and supports operational stability.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Deeply negative TTM free cash flow (~-$4.44M) and a cash balance near $50K force reliance on external financing or working-capital fixes. Persistent cash burn limits ability to invest in tooling, absorb program delays, and increases refinancing and execution risk across the business.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Funded Backlog & Grants
A $46M funded backlog and over $24M in funded grants supply multi-year revenue visibility tied to defense programs. That reduces near-term demand volatility, enables capacity planning and predictable work recognition over 1–3 years, and supports operational stability.
Read all positive factors

TechPrecision (TPCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TechPrecision Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TechPrecision Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells precision, fabricated, and machined metal structural components and systems in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Ranor and Stadco. It pro...
How the Company Makes Money
TechPrecision makes money primarily by fulfilling customer purchase orders and contracts for manufactured components and assemblies. Revenue is generated from (1) machining and fabrication services—pricing is typically based on the scope and compl...

TechPrecision Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

TechPrecision Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: meaningful positives include Ranor profitability, a strong funded-grant position (> $24M), a solid $46M funded backlog, improved nine‑month margins and reduced debt/interest expense. Offsetting these are significant near-term challenges at Stadco (Q3 operating loss, legacy contract provisions, material delays and rework), a Q3 consolidated net loss, extremely low cash balance ($50k), and uncertainty about when top‑line growth will scale beyond the current ~$7M–$9M quarterly range. Management emphasized active cash management, customer partnerships and strategic focus on repeatable programs, but Stadco’s drag and liquidity constraints leave material execution risk in the near term.
Positive Updates
Backlog and Funded Grants Provide Multi-Year Visibility
Company reports a $46.0M backlog (funded portions only) expected to be delivered over the next 1–3 fiscal years. Ranor was awarded a new grant just over $3.2M, bringing total completely funded grant money to over $24M, which the company noted represents more than 50% of TechPrecision's market capitalization (~$45.5M).
Negative Updates
Consolidated Q3 Revenue Decline and Gross Profit Compression
Fiscal Q3 consolidated revenue was $7.1M, down 7% year-over-year from $7.6M. Consolidated gross profit for Q3 totaled $0.4M, down by $0.6M versus prior-year quarter, driven primarily by Stadco shortfalls.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Backlog and Funded Grants Provide Multi-Year Visibility
Company reports a $46.0M backlog (funded portions only) expected to be delivered over the next 1–3 fiscal years. Ranor was awarded a new grant just over $3.2M, bringing total completely funded grant money to over $24M, which the company noted represents more than 50% of TechPrecision's market capitalization (~$45.5M).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized aggressive daily cash management and operational controls while targeting delivery of a $46.0M funded backlog over the next 1–3 fiscal years with gross‑margin expansion; they expect fewer surprises next quarter but gave no firm timeline to reach targets. Key metrics cited: Q3 consolidated revenue $7.1M (−7% YoY), consolidated gross profit $0.4M (down $0.6M), SG&A $1.7M (+3%), Q3 net loss $1.5M ($0.15/share); Ranor Q3 revenue $4.4M with $1.5M operating profit, Stadco Q3 revenue $2.9M with $1.2M operating loss (losses +$0.6M YoY). Nine months: revenue $23.6M (−4%), cost of revenue $19.7M (−$2.6M), gross profit improvement $1.6M (≈+7 pts), nine‑month operating loss $0.9M (−65%), nine‑month net loss $1.2M ($0.13/share). Cash items: net cash from ops+investing $0.6M, cash used in financing $0.8M, total debt $6.7M (from $7.4M), cash $50K (from $195K). Ranor won a ~$3.2M grant, bringing funded grants to >$24M (>50% of the $45.5M market cap).

TechPrecision Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operationally improving but still weak overall: revenue is slightly down (TTM -1.57%) and the company remains unprofitable (net margin ~-3.4%). Leverage is elevated (TTM D/E ~1.32) and cash generation is the main concern, with deeply negative TTM free cash flow (~-$4.44M), implying ongoing cash burn despite smaller losses and improved gross margin (~18%).
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Mar 2023Jun 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.04M34.03M31.59M31.43M22.28M15.60M
Gross Profit5.95M4.33M4.12M4.90M3.38M3.46M
EBITDA1.47M587.00K-2.16M1.79M-144.30K1.33M
Net Income-1.13M-2.75M-7.04M-979.01K-349.83K320.63K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.80M33.53M34.75M36.21M37.85M16.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.00K195.00K138.40K534.47K1.05M2.13M
Total Debt10.51M11.76M12.70M11.82M13.66M3.82M
Total Liabilities24.82M24.79M26.94M21.61M22.59M6.78M
Stockholders Equity7.98M8.74M7.80M14.59M15.26M9.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.44M-4.72M-1.93M812.54K-681.16K18.34K
Operating Cash Flow143.00K-599.00K1.30M3.14M257.84K635.85K
Investing Cash Flow27.00K-1.08M-3.17M-2.32M-8.73M-607.93K
Financing Cash Flow-285.00K1.74M1.47M-1.34M7.40M1.17M

TechPrecision Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.32
Price Trends
50DMA
3.95
Negative
100DMA
4.30
Negative
200DMA
4.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
32.10
Neutral
STOCH
18.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPCS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.39, above the 50-day MA of 3.95, and above the 200-day MA of 4.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPCS.

TechPrecision Risk Analysis

TechPrecision disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TechPrecision reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TechPrecision Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$3.61M-15.91-8.38%9.60%-19.68%-2.61%
47
Neutral
$1.49M-13.20-81.84%
46
Neutral
$135.37M-1.62-120.09%0.20%88.39%
42
Neutral
$30.63M-8.20-13.31%1.15%94.58%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPCS
TechPrecision
3.06
0.88
40.37%
AP
Ampco-Pittsburgh
6.66
4.84
265.93%
HIHO
Highway Holdings
0.78
-0.62
-44.07%
MTEN
Mingteng International Corp., Inc.
1.22
-818.78
-99.85%
LNKS
Linkers Industries Limited Class A
1.69
-123.31
-98.65%

TechPrecision Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TechPrecision Extends Revolving Credit Line Maturity Date
Positive
Jan 14, 2026
On January 12, 2026, TechPrecision subsidiary Ranor, Inc. and other affiliated borrowers amended their existing loan arrangements by entering into a new agreement with Beacon Bank Trust, the successor by merger to Berkshire Bank, to extend the ma...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026