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Insteel Industries (IIIN)
NYSE:IIIN
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Insteel Industries (IIIN) AI Stock Analysis

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IIIN

Insteel Industries

(NYSE:IIIN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▼(-8.40% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/13/26
Score is driven primarily by strong financial resilience (minimal debt, solid profitability) tempered by weak recent cash conversion and cyclical earnings quality. Technicals are a notable headwind with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is mixed—attractive yield but a high P/E—while earnings call guidance was cautiously constructive on demand and margin recovery.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
Reportedly zero reported TTM debt and substantial equity provide durable financial flexibility, lowering default and refinancing risk through construction cycles. A strong capital base supports opportunistic investment, dividend continuity, and the ability to absorb cyclical downturns without immediate external financing.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Operating and free cash flow have lagged reported earnings, reducing internally available funds for dividends, buybacks, or strategic investment. Poor cash conversion increases sensitivity to working capital swings and raises execution risk if cyclically lower earnings reappear.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet
Reportedly zero reported TTM debt and substantial equity provide durable financial flexibility, lowering default and refinancing risk through construction cycles. A strong capital base supports opportunistic investment, dividend continuity, and the ability to absorb cyclical downturns without immediate external financing.
Read all positive factors

Insteel Industries (IIIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Insteel Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Insteel Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WW...
How the Company Makes Money
Insteel makes money by manufacturing and selling steel wire reinforcing products, with revenue primarily driven by the volume shipped and the realized selling prices of its products. Its key revenue streams are (1) prestressed concrete strand (PC ...

Insteel Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: material near-term weakness in Q2 driven by severe weather, project delays, rising raw material and freight costs, and margin compression produced a sizable drop in earnings and pressured working capital. Offsetting this, management has implemented meaningful price increases (ASP +14.2% YoY), reported sequential shipment recovery and improving order trends in April, generated positive operating cash flow, reduced SG&A as a percent of sales, maintained strong liquidity with no revolver borrowings, and pointed to favorable inventory carrying values and improving leading indicators (ABI, Dodge Index) that support a gradual margin recovery. Given the significant but potentially transient operational headwinds alongside tangible corrective actions and liquidity, the overall tone is measured and cautiously optimistic.
Positive Updates
Average Selling Price Increase
Average selling prices (ASP) rose 14.2% year-over-year and 1.0% sequentially, driven by pricing actions implemented across fiscal 2025 and early fiscal 2026, with an additional price increase implemented in April expected to further benefit realized pricing.
Negative Updates
Net Earnings and EPS Decline
Net earnings fell to $5.2 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, from $10.2 million, or $0.52 per diluted share year-over-year—an approximate 49% decline in net earnings and EPS.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Average Selling Price Increase
Average selling prices (ASP) rose 14.2% year-over-year and 1.0% sequentially, driven by pricing actions implemented across fiscal 2025 and early fiscal 2026, with an additional price increase implemented in April expected to further benefit realized pricing.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that postponed demand should be realized during the balance of fiscal 2026 and expects a gradual recovery in gross margin in Q3 as seasonally stronger demand, recent price increases taking hold, favorable current inventory carrying values, and higher operating rates improve fixed‑cost absorption; they reiterated an effective tax rate of ~23% for the remainder of the year and a full‑year CapEx target of $20.0 million (Q2 CapEx $4.4M, $5.9M YTD). Liquidity at quarter end was $15.1M cash with $0 drawn on a $100M revolver. Key Q2 metrics referenced: net earnings $5.2M ($0.27/diluted share) vs $10.2M ($0.52) LY; shipments -5.9% YoY, +6.9% sequentially; average selling price +14.2% YoY, +1% sequentially; wire‑rod up $90/ton in the quarter; gross profit $16.5M (gross margin 9.6%, down $8.0M YoY and -170 bps sequentially); SG&A $9.7M (5.6% of sales); operating cash flow provided $4.8M vs using $3.3M LY; working capital used $1.4M in Q2 (receivables +$6.8M, inventory -$13.3M), inventories ~3.4 months of forward shipments (from 3.9); and net working capital up ≈$45M over 12 months. April shipments are trending above forecasted levels.

Insteel Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with effectively no debt and substantial equity supports resilience, and TTM profitability is solid with improving margins versus FY2025. Offsetting this, cash conversion is weak in the latest TTM (operating cash flow and free cash flow well below net income) and results have been cyclical/volatile versus prior peak years.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue689.91M647.71M529.20M649.19M826.83M590.60M
Gross Profit93.93M93.44M49.63M65.40M197.31M121.55M
EBITDA69.41M72.25M40.79M55.15M176.30M100.72M
Net Income42.52M41.02M19.30M32.41M125.01M66.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets460.49M462.65M422.55M447.51M471.75M390.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.09M38.63M111.54M125.67M48.32M89.88M
Total Debt3.04M3.90M1.69M1.94M1.57M1.73M
Total Liabilities95.97M91.12M71.70M66.01M82.00M88.67M
Stockholders Equity364.52M371.53M350.86M381.50M389.74M302.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.65M18.95M39.06M111.50M-10.23M52.38M
Operating Cash Flow15.87M27.16M58.21M142.20M5.67M69.88M
Investing Cash Flow-5.66M-75.67M-19.64M-20.90M-6.04M-17.80M
Financing Cash Flow-21.82M-24.40M-52.70M-43.95M-41.20M-30.88M

Insteel Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.66
Price Trends
50DMA
34.69
Negative
100DMA
33.56
Negative
200DMA
34.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
26.84
Positive
STOCH
25.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IIIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.62, below the 50-day MA of 34.69, and below the 200-day MA of 34.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.84 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IIIN.

Insteel Industries Risk Analysis

Insteel Industries disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Insteel Industries reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Insteel Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.22B12.8424.53%0.67%4.58%556.92%
77
Outperform
$1.07B17.7010.73%10.67%30.61%
70
Outperform
$2.63B15.1411.58%1.27%14.99%86.18%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$499.24M30.8011.72%3.49%20.94%88.74%
59
Neutral
$518.29M-11.22-6.76%-0.04%-172.38%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IIIN
Insteel Industries
25.69
-10.34
-28.70%
AZZ
AZZ
141.16
49.12
53.37%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
110.80
70.15
172.57%
WOR
Worthington Industries
53.38
-5.58
-9.47%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
25.29
9.70
62.22%

Insteel Industries Corporate Events

Dividends
Insteel Industries Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Insteel Industries Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.03 per share of common stock. The dividend will be paid on June 26, 2026, to shareholders of record as of June 12, 2026...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 13, 2026