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Ryerson Holdings (RYI)
NYSE:RYI

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) AI Stock Analysis

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RYI

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▼(-10.17% Downside)
Ryerson Holdings faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, impacting its overall score. The merger with Olympic Steel offers potential synergies and improved liquidity, providing a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, negative valuation metrics and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The stock's dividend yield offers some appeal, but operational improvements are necessary for a stronger financial position.
Positive Factors
Merger Synergies
The merger with Olympic Steel is poised to create significant synergies, enhancing operational efficiency and market position, which can drive long-term growth and profitability.
Improved Liquidity
Increased liquidity strengthens Ryerson's financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and better debt management, supporting long-term stability.
Investment in CapEx
Significant investment in CapEx projects positions Ryerson for future growth by expanding capacity and improving operational capabilities, enhancing competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue trends indicate challenges in market demand and pricing power, which can impact long-term profitability and market share.
Net Loss
A net loss in the recent quarter highlights ongoing profitability issues, which may strain financial resources and hinder investment in growth initiatives.
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin compression reflects pricing pressures and operational inefficiencies, which could erode competitive positioning and reduce profitability over time.

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyerson Holdings Corporation is a leading distributor and processor of metals, including steel, aluminum, and other specialty metals. The company serves a diverse range of industries, including construction, aerospace, automotive, and energy. Ryerson operates a vast network of service centers and warehouses across North America, offering a wide array of value-added services such as cutting, machining, and logistics, which enhance its product offerings and customer service.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyerson generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal products and related processing services. Its revenue model is based on the distribution of metal products, with significant revenue streams coming from both the sale of raw materials and the provision of value-added services. The company benefits from economies of scale due to its extensive distribution network, allowing it to serve a variety of industries efficiently. Key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers, construction firms, and other industrial clients. Additionally, Ryerson's partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers help secure competitive pricing and reliable product availability, which are crucial for maintaining profit margins. The company's strategic focus on customer service and operational efficiency further supports its earnings by enhancing customer retention and attracting new business.

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a significant merger with Olympic Steel and improvements in liquidity and average selling prices. However, these positives are countered by ongoing recessionary conditions, expected volume declines, and a net loss in the third quarter. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic due to the merger's potential benefits.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger Agreement with Olympic Steel
Ryerson announced a merger agreement with Olympic Steel, which is expected to result in $120 million of synergies phased in over 2 years. The merger will form the second largest metal service center in North America with over $6.5 billion in revenue.
Improved Liquidity and Debt Management
Ryerson ended the third quarter with $521 million of liquidity, an increase from $485 million at the end of the second quarter. Total debt decreased by $10 million to $500 million, moving the leverage ratio closer to the target range.
Increased Average Selling Prices
Average selling prices increased by 2.6% in the third quarter compared to the second quarter.
Investment in CapEx and Facility Expansion
Ryerson and Olympic have invested $480 million in recent years in CapEx projects, including new facilities and equipment, positioning them for future growth.
Negative Updates
Continued Industry Recessionary Conditions
The third quarter was characterized by industry recessionary conditions with falling shipments year-over-year and carbon steel margin compression.
Expected Fourth Quarter Volume Decline
Volumes are expected to soften by 5% to 7% in the fourth quarter due to seasonality and ongoing demand challenges.
Net Loss in the Third Quarter
Ryerson reported a net loss of $14.8 million or $0.46 per diluted share for the third quarter, compared to a net income of $1.9 million in the prior quarter.
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin, excluding LIFO, contracted by 70 basis points to 18.3% amidst price pressure and a soft demand environment.
Company Guidance
During Ryerson Holding Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter, expecting volumes to soften by 5% to 7% due to typical seasonality and ongoing demand challenges. Revenue is projected to be between $1.07 billion and $1.11 billion, with average selling prices anticipated to remain flat to increase by 2%. Gross margins are expected to remain under pressure, forecasting adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, to range from $33 million to $37 million. Net loss per share is predicted to be between $0.28 and $0.22, considering projected LIFO expenses and depreciation, with capital expenditures expected to reach between $50 million and $55 million. The company ended the third quarter with $500 million in total debt and $470 million in net debt, with a leverage ratio of 3.7x, aiming to improve further through cash flow generation.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryerson Holdings is experiencing financial instability with declining revenue and profitability. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, impacting financial flexibility. Cash flow management is a concern, with declining free cash flow growth. Operational inefficiencies and profitability improvements are needed to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ryerson Holdings has experienced fluctuating revenue growth with a recent decline in revenue. The company shows a negative net profit margin in the TTM, indicating profitability challenges. Gross profit margin remains stable, but EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly, indicating higher leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity is negative in the TTM, highlighting profitability issues. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Ryerson Holdings faces significant challenges in cash flow management, with a sharp decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating inefficiencies in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but declining, suggesting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.47B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B3.47B
Gross Profit804.40M834.20M1.02B1.31B1.15B621.10M
EBITDA90.50M112.40M293.60M634.10M492.50M123.90M
Net Income-22.80M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M-65.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.44B2.57B2.33B2.37B1.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.80M27.70M54.30M39.20M51.20M61.40M
Total Debt856.60M850.80M803.80M626.40M849.00M853.70M
Total Liabilities1.69B1.61B1.66B1.44B1.82B1.66B
Stockholders Equity787.30M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M138.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.30M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M251.90M
Operating Cash Flow66.50M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M277.90M
Investing Cash Flow-54.80M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M-25.90M
Financing Cash Flow-17.70M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M-250.20M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.49
Price Trends
50DMA
22.23
Positive
100DMA
22.15
Positive
200DMA
21.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.81
Negative
RSI
60.83
Neutral
STOCH
59.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.91, above the 50-day MA of 22.23, and above the 200-day MA of 21.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYI.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.27B10.4727.28%0.68%1.55%701.41%
73
Outperform
$646.96M15.8911.36%3.36%22.39%112.75%
73
Outperform
$2.80B26.5111.50%1.27%7.43%148.83%
71
Outperform
$602.91M17.069.78%7.61%25.35%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$370.81M31.775.06%-12.38%-0.71%
49
Neutral
$788.81M-34.40-2.81%3.06%-4.89%-214.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
24.49
4.33
21.48%
AZZ
AZZ
108.84
25.59
30.74%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
33.32
5.65
20.42%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
62.74
12.87
25.81%
WOR
Worthington Industries
54.86
13.28
31.94%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
18.25
2.00
12.31%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Ryerson Holdings Announces Merger with Olympic Steel
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Ryerson Holding Corporation announced a merger agreement with Olympic Steel, Inc., where Olympic will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Ryerson. The merger involves converting Olympic’s common stock into Ryerson’s common stock, with specific terms for stock-based and long-term cash awards. The merger is subject to various conditions, including shareholder and regulatory approvals, and includes provisions for post-closing governance changes and potential termination fees.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ryerson Holdings Announces Merger with Olympic Steel
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Ryerson announced a merger agreement with Olympic Steel, where Olympic will become a wholly owned subsidiary. This strategic move is expected to enhance Ryerson’s market position and operational capabilities. Additionally, Ryerson reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a revenue of $1.16 billion, a net loss of $14.8 million, and a slight reduction in debt. Despite weak demand and tariff pricing conditions, Ryerson managed to maintain revenue within its guidance range, reflecting its effective management and strategic investments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025