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Ryerson Holdings (RYI)
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Ryerson Holdings (RYI) AI Stock Analysis

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RYI

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYI)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(3.31% Upside)
Ryerson Holdings' overall score reflects its strong cash flow and operational efficiency, but is tempered by challenges in profitability and high leverage. The technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum, while valuation concerns persist due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call sentiment is neutral, highlighting both improvements and ongoing challenges.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Consistent positive free cash flow indicates strong financial health and the ability to fund operations and investments without relying on external financing.
Market Share Gains
Gaining market share, especially in key product segments, strengthens competitive positioning and supports long-term revenue stability.
Operational Efficiency
Efficient cash management and a reduced cash conversion cycle enhance operational efficiency, improving liquidity and financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Volatile and declining revenue growth can hinder long-term business expansion and affect the company's ability to invest in new opportunities.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to navigate economic downturns and invest in growth initiatives.
Profitability Pressure
Negative profit margins indicate challenges in cost management and can impact the company's ability to sustain operations and reinvest in the business.

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China. It offers a line of products in carbon steel, stainless steel, alloy steels, and aluminum, as well as nickel and red metals in various shapes and forms, including coils, sheets, rounds, hexagons, square and flat bars, plates, structural, and tubing. The company also provides various processing services, such as bending, beveling, blanking, blasting, burning, cutting-to-length, drilling, embossing, flattening, forming, grinding, laser cutting, machining, notching, painting, perforating, polishing, punching, rolling, sawing, scribing, shearing, slitting, stamping, tapping, threading, welding, or other techniques to process materials. It serves various industries, including commercial ground transportation, metal fabrication and machine shops, industrial machinery and equipment manufacturing, consumer durable equipment, HVAC manufacturing, construction equipment manufacturing, food processing and agricultural equipment manufacturing, and oil and gas. The company was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyerson generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal products and related services. Its revenue model is based on direct sales to a broad spectrum of industries, where the company earns money by marking up the cost of the materials purchased from suppliers. Key revenue streams include the sale of raw materials, as well as value-added services like cutting, machining, and inventory management that enhance the utility of the products offered. Additionally, Ryerson benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which help secure competitive pricing and a steady supply of materials. Factors contributing to its earnings include market demand fluctuations, pricing strategies, and operational efficiencies achieved through its extensive distribution network.

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance for Ryerson Holding Corporation. While there were notable improvements in adjusted EBITDA and market share gains in certain product segments, the company faced challenges in industry volume decline, sector-specific weaknesses, and higher LIFO charges affecting margins. Overall, the sentiment is neutral due to balanced highlights and lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
North American Shipments and Market Share Gains
North American shipments decreased by only 1.2% quarter-over-quarter, outperforming the industry average decline of 2.1%, resulting in market share gains, particularly in carbon long, carbon plate, and stainless long products.
Strong Performance in Consumer Durables and HVAC Sectors
The company saw relative strength in shipments to the consumer durable sector, particularly in appliances and recreational vehicles, as well as the HVAC sector.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, reached $45 million in the second quarter of 2025, up from $32.8 million in the prior quarter.
Cash Flow and Working Capital Management
Generated $24 million in cash from operations and achieved a cash conversion cycle of 66 days, which is 11 days lower than a year ago.
Transactional Business Growth
Transactional tons increased by 46,000 tons year-over-year, highlighting improvements in operationalizing investments and increasing market presence.
Negative Updates
Weak Industry Volume
North American industry volumes performed well below normal seasonal levels in the second quarter, decreasing by 2.1% relative to the first quarter.
Commercial Ground Transportation Sector Weakness
The company experienced relative quarter-over-quarter weakness in the commercial ground transportation sector.
Higher LIFO Charges
A higher LIFO charge of $13 million negatively impacted gross margins, resulting in a contraction by 10 basis points to 17.9%.
Net Income at Low End of Guidance
Net income was at the low end of the guidance range due to increased metal costs and a higher LIFO expense.
Leverage Ratio Above Target
The leverage ratio increased to 4.4x, which is above the company's target range of 0.5x to 2x.
Company Guidance
During the Ryerson Holding Corporation's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the third quarter, anticipating a 2% to 4% volume decline due to continued demand challenges and normal seasonality. However, they expect a supportive pricing environment, forecasting a 1% to 3% increase in average selling prices and revenue between $1.14 billion and $1.18 billion. Gross margins are projected to benefit modestly from price resets in contract business, though spot business could face margin pressure due to a flat demand outlook. The company forecasts adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, between $40 million and $45 million, and earnings per share ranging from $0.00 to $0.06. Additionally, they expect a LIFO expense between $9 million and $11 million for the third quarter. Ryerson also reported a strong cash conversion cycle of 66 days and maintained their $50 million full-year CapEx target, despite a modest inventory build in the second quarter.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryerson Holdings shows strengths in cash flow generation and operational efficiency. However, challenges in revenue growth, profitability, and high leverage are concerning, with negative net income and a high debt-to-equity ratio.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Ryerson Holdings has shown volatility in its revenue growth, with significant declines in recent years. The Gross Profit Margin and EBIT Margin have also decreased, indicating pressure on profitability. The Net Profit Margin is negative for the TTM period, highlighting challenges in cost management. However, the company has managed to generate positive EBITDA, reflecting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is relatively high, suggesting higher leverage and potential risk if earnings fail to cover debt obligations. The Return on Equity has turned negative in the TTM period, a concern for shareholders. Despite this, the company maintains a reasonable Equity Ratio, indicating a substantial portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Ryerson Holdings has maintained positive Free Cash Flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is inconsistent, reflecting fluctuating capital expenditures and cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.44B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B3.47B
Gross Profit806.90M834.20M1.02B1.31B1.15B621.10M
EBITDA80.20M113.20M290.90M634.10M492.50M39.00M
Net Income-14.60M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M-65.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.54B2.44B2.57B2.33B2.37B1.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.80M27.70M54.30M39.20M51.20M61.40M
Total Debt879.40M850.80M803.80M607.30M849.00M853.70M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.61B1.66B1.44B1.82B1.66B
Stockholders Equity811.50M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M138.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.40M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M251.90M
Operating Cash Flow209.40M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M277.90M
Investing Cash Flow-120.30M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M-25.90M
Financing Cash Flow-86.10M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M-250.20M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.23
Price Trends
50DMA
22.25
Positive
100DMA
21.75
Positive
200DMA
21.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
53.28
Neutral
STOCH
61.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.56, above the 50-day MA of 22.25, and above the 200-day MA of 21.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYI.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
3.40B13.1521.42%0.61%1.70%684.20%
75
Outperform
743.01M24.035.50%2.85%9.44%53.83%
72
Outperform
500.26M16.128.80%5.83%33.50%
65
Neutral
287.70M17.367.24%-16.95%66.04%
63
Neutral
$732.85M37.86-1.73%3.23%-7.98%-124.63%
63
Neutral
3.04B31.8710.25%1.12%-60.43%-14.19%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
23.23
4.11
21.50%
AZZ
AZZ
116.63
35.42
43.62%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
39.34
9.54
32.01%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
53.55
9.97
22.88%
WOR
Worthington Industries
62.75
17.53
38.77%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
14.69
-5.25
-26.33%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Ryerson Holdings Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Ryerson Holding Corporation declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1875 per share, payable on September 18, 2025. The company reported its second-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a revenue of $1.17 billion, a net income of $1.9 million, and an Adjusted EBITDA of $45.0 million. Despite challenges such as recessed demand conditions and trade policy uncertainty, Ryerson gained market share and increased its transactional business mix, partially offsetting declines in contractual business. The company also noted stabilization in stainless and carbon prices, with aluminum prices trending higher.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2025