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Ryerson Holdings (RYI)
NYSE:RYI

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) AI Stock Analysis

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Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYI)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(7.00%Upside)
The overall score reflects Ryerson's solid cash flow and strategic moves in leadership, offset by profitability challenges and valuation concerns. Technical indicators suggest a neutral market position, with earnings call insights providing some optimism for improvement.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
Despite not repurchasing shares, Ryerson reduced its gross debt balance, which is seen as a positive move.
Order Activity
Ryerson has seen a significant increase in order activity recently, especially in the spot/transactional and value-added sales, with bookings at their highest level since late 2021.
Shipments and EBITDA
Ryerson expects shipments to increase by 11% to 13% quarter-over-quarter, with an expected adjusted EBITDA above prior expectations.
Negative Factors
Net Leverage
Net leverage increased slightly to 3.9x, from 3.8x last quarter, and currently remains above the targeted range.

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China. It offers a line of products in carbon steel, stainless steel, alloy steels, and aluminum, as well as nickel and red metals in various shapes and forms, including coils, sheets, rounds, hexagons, square and flat bars, plates, structural, and tubing. The company also provides various processing services, such as bending, beveling, blanking, blasting, burning, cutting-to-length, drilling, embossing, flattening, forming, grinding, laser cutting, machining, notching, painting, perforating, polishing, punching, rolling, sawing, scribing, shearing, slitting, stamping, tapping, threading, welding, or other techniques to process materials. It serves various industries, including commercial ground transportation, metal fabrication and machine shops, industrial machinery and equipment manufacturing, consumer durable equipment, HVAC manufacturing, construction equipment manufacturing, food processing and agricultural equipment manufacturing, and oil and gas. The company was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyerson Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of processed and distributed metal products. The company sources raw materials from a diverse network of suppliers, processes these materials into various forms and sizes, and then distributes them to its extensive customer base across multiple industries. Revenue streams include direct sales of metal products, value-added processing services such as cutting, slitting, and forming, and just-in-time inventory management solutions. Additionally, Ryerson benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with key customers and suppliers, enhancing its market position and contributing to stable earnings.

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sequential growth in sales volume and improved adjusted EBITDA, driven by significant CapEx investments and increased liquidity. However, the net loss increased, debt levels rose, and challenges persisted in the stainless steel market and OEM contracts, leading to a mixed performance outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sequential Volume Growth
Ryerson's first quarter sales volume of 500,000 tons was approximately 12% higher quarter-over-quarter, with a nearly 14% increase in North American shipments, outperforming the industry by 3 percentage points.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Ryerson achieved adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO of $32.8 million in the first quarter of 2025, compared to $10.3 million in the prior quarter, due to better-than-anticipated margins and effective operating cost controls.
Significant CapEx Investments
Invested $8 million in capital expenditures during the first quarter, including advancements in the Shelbyville, Kentucky facility, expected to improve productivity and service enhancements.
Increased Global Liquidity
Global liquidity increased to $490 million in the first quarter from $451 million in the fourth quarter, driven by higher receivables.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Increase
Net loss attributable to Ryerson was $5.6 million or $0.18 loss per diluted share, compared to $4.3 million and diluted loss per share of $0.13 in the prior quarter.
Rising Debt and Leverage Ratio
Total debt increased to $498 million from $468 million in the prior quarter, with a leverage ratio rising to 4.3 times, above the target range of two times, due to lower trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA excluding LIFO.
Challenges in Stainless Steel Market
Stainless steel products faced a price decline of approximately 3%, contributing to a drag in performance across quarters.
OEM Contract Business Slowdown
OEM contracts faced significant headwinds, reflecting weaknesses in specific markets like Class A trucks, machinery, equipment, and appliances.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Ryerson Holdings Corporation provided guidance indicating a sequential improvement in operating income for the second quarter despite challenging market dynamics. The company reported a first-quarter sales volume of 500,000 tons, marking a 12% increase quarter-over-quarter, and forecasted adjusted EBITDA for Q2, 2025 to be between $40 million to $45 million, with earnings per share expected to range from $0.07 to $0.14. Ryerson anticipates revenues of $1.15 billion to $1.19 billion with an average selling price increase of 3% to 4% for the second quarter. The company also reaffirmed its $50 million annual CapEx target for the year and noted a leverage ratio of 4.3 times, expecting improvement throughout 2025. Despite some headwinds from the stainless steel market, Ryerson saw market share gains across various product categories and expects stable inventory levels and pricing conditions in the upcoming quarter.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryerson Holdings shows challenges in maintaining consistent growth with declining revenue and net income, and a negative net profit margin. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage risks, but cash flow remains strong despite profitability issues.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Ryerson Holdings shows a decline in revenue and net income in recent periods, with a negative net profit margin of -0.15% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The TTM EBIT and EBITDA margins are low at 0.65% and 2.33% respectively, indicating pressure on operating profitability. Historical data shows volatility in revenue growth and profitability, suggesting challenges in maintaining consistent growth.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08, indicating reliance on debt financing, which poses leverage risks. The equity ratio is at 31.86%, showing a fair proportion of equity financing. However, the return on equity has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Strong free cash flow generation in the TTM with a growth rate of 19.39% compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 32.05, suggesting robust cash generation relative to reported net losses. Despite challenges in profitability, cash flow remains a strength.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.50B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B3.47B
Gross Profit
815.70M834.20M1.02B1.31B1.15B621.10M
EBIT
29.40M31.50M228.10M578.70M274.60M66.80M
EBITDA
124.50M113.20M290.90M634.10M492.50M39.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-6.60M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M-65.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
33.60M27.70M54.30M39.20M51.20M61.40M
Total Assets
2.52B2.44B2.57B2.33B2.37B1.80B
Total Debt
871.30M834.10M803.80M607.30M849.00M853.70M
Net Debt
837.70M806.40M749.50M568.10M797.80M792.30M
Total Liabilities
1.71B1.61B1.66B1.44B1.82B1.66B
Stockholders Equity
803.90M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M138.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
125.70M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M251.90M
Operating Cash Flow
211.50M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M277.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-130.30M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M-25.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-88.60M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M-250.20M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.56
Price Trends
50DMA
21.53
Negative
100DMA
22.23
Negative
200DMA
21.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
47.31
Neutral
STOCH
16.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.28, below the 50-day MA of 21.53, and below the 200-day MA of 21.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYI.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AZAZZ
78
Outperform
$2.70B50.3913.01%0.76%2.61%-53.74%
75
Outperform
$679.21M30.346.61%0.34%-0.33%-7.06%
WOWOR
71
Outperform
$2.98B49.966.56%1.15%-69.82%-78.10%
MEMEC
70
Neutral
$306.30M14.539.40%-8.42%164.82%
67
Neutral
$381.39M11.819.13%8.06%38.46%
66
Neutral
$4.46B12.155.40%4.71%4.16%-11.97%
RYRYI
58
Neutral
$658.41M37.86-0.78%3.67%-9.04%-108.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
20.56
0.98
5.01%
AZZ
AZZ
89.40
11.81
15.22%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
34.86
4.13
13.44%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
38.66
5.51
16.62%
WOR
Worthington Industries
58.85
8.90
17.82%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
15.92
-0.35
-2.15%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ryerson Holdings Elects New Director at Annual Meeting
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Ryerson Holding Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where shareholders voted on several proposals. Bruce T. Crawford was elected as a Class II Director, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, a resolution approving the compensation of named executive officers was adopted. Ryerson announced the election of Lt. Gen. Bruce T. Crawford, U.S. Army (Ret.), to its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in information technology, cybersecurity, and operations. This strategic addition is expected to enhance Ryerson’s operational and financial performance as the company continues to optimize its investments and improve customer experience.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.