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Ryerson Holdings (RYI)
NYSE:RYI
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Ryerson Holdings (RYI) AI Stock Analysis

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RYI

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYI)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(4.53% Upside)
Ryerson Holdings' overall score is driven by solid technical momentum and cash flow management. However, financial performance is hindered by high leverage and profitability issues, and valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
Ryerson reduced its gross debt balance, which is viewed positively despite not repurchasing shares.
Order Activity
Ryerson has seen a significant increase in order activity, especially in spot and value-added sales.
Profitability
Ryerson's focus on optimization and cost management is expected to improve profitability.
Negative Factors
Leverage
Net leverage increased slightly to 3.9x, remaining above the targeted range.

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyerson Holdings Corporation is a leading distributor and processor of metals, primarily focusing on steel and aluminum products. The company operates in various sectors, including construction, manufacturing, and energy, providing a wide range of products such as sheets, plates, bars, tubes, and specialty metals. Ryerson serves a diverse customer base across North America and has established a strong presence in the metal service center industry, emphasizing value-added services like processing and logistics.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyerson generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal products and related services. Its revenue model is based on direct sales to a broad spectrum of industries, where the company earns money by marking up the cost of the materials purchased from suppliers. Key revenue streams include the sale of raw materials, as well as value-added services like cutting, machining, and inventory management that enhance the utility of the products offered. Additionally, Ryerson benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which help secure competitive pricing and a steady supply of materials. Factors contributing to its earnings include market demand fluctuations, pricing strategies, and operational efficiencies achieved through its extensive distribution network.

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance for Ryerson Holding Corporation. While there were notable improvements in adjusted EBITDA and market share gains in certain product segments, the company faced challenges in industry volume decline, sector-specific weaknesses, and higher LIFO charges affecting margins. Overall, the sentiment is neutral due to balanced highlights and lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
North American Shipments and Market Share Gains
North American shipments decreased by only 1.2% quarter-over-quarter, outperforming the industry average decline of 2.1%, resulting in market share gains, particularly in carbon long, carbon plate, and stainless long products.
Strong Performance in Consumer Durables and HVAC Sectors
The company saw relative strength in shipments to the consumer durable sector, particularly in appliances and recreational vehicles, as well as the HVAC sector.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, reached $45 million in the second quarter of 2025, up from $32.8 million in the prior quarter.
Cash Flow and Working Capital Management
Generated $24 million in cash from operations and achieved a cash conversion cycle of 66 days, which is 11 days lower than a year ago.
Transactional Business Growth
Transactional tons increased by 46,000 tons year-over-year, highlighting improvements in operationalizing investments and increasing market presence.
Negative Updates
Weak Industry Volume
North American industry volumes performed well below normal seasonal levels in the second quarter, decreasing by 2.1% relative to the first quarter.
Commercial Ground Transportation Sector Weakness
The company experienced relative quarter-over-quarter weakness in the commercial ground transportation sector.
Higher LIFO Charges
A higher LIFO charge of $13 million negatively impacted gross margins, resulting in a contraction by 10 basis points to 17.9%.
Net Income at Low End of Guidance
Net income was at the low end of the guidance range due to increased metal costs and a higher LIFO expense.
Leverage Ratio Above Target
The leverage ratio increased to 4.4x, which is above the company's target range of 0.5x to 2x.
Company Guidance
During the Ryerson Holding Corporation's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the third quarter, anticipating a 2% to 4% volume decline due to continued demand challenges and normal seasonality. However, they expect a supportive pricing environment, forecasting a 1% to 3% increase in average selling prices and revenue between $1.14 billion and $1.18 billion. Gross margins are projected to benefit modestly from price resets in contract business, though spot business could face margin pressure due to a flat demand outlook. The company forecasts adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, between $40 million and $45 million, and earnings per share ranging from $0.00 to $0.06. Additionally, they expect a LIFO expense between $9 million and $11 million for the third quarter. Ryerson also reported a strong cash conversion cycle of 66 days and maintained their $50 million full-year CapEx target, despite a modest inventory build in the second quarter.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryerson Holdings shows challenges in profitability with declining revenues and negative net profit margins. However, the balance between debt and equity is fair, and the company demonstrates strong cash flow generation.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Ryerson Holdings shows a decline in revenue and net income in recent periods, with a negative net profit margin of -0.15% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The TTM EBIT and EBITDA margins are low at 0.65% and 2.33% respectively, indicating pressure on operating profitability. Historical data shows volatility in revenue growth and profitability, suggesting challenges in maintaining consistent growth.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08, indicating reliance on debt financing, which poses leverage risks. The equity ratio is at 31.86%, showing a fair proportion of equity financing. However, the return on equity has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Strong free cash flow generation in the TTM with a growth rate of 19.39% compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 32.05, suggesting robust cash generation relative to reported net losses. Despite challenges in profitability, cash flow remains a strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.44B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B3.47B
Gross Profit806.90M834.20M1.02B1.31B1.15B621.10M
EBITDA80.20M113.20M290.90M634.10M492.50M39.00M
Net Income-14.60M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M-65.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.54B2.44B2.57B2.33B2.37B1.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.80M27.70M54.30M39.20M51.20M61.40M
Total Debt879.40M850.80M803.80M607.30M849.00M853.70M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.61B1.66B1.44B1.82B1.66B
Stockholders Equity811.50M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M138.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.40M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M251.90M
Operating Cash Flow209.40M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M277.90M
Investing Cash Flow-120.30M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M-25.90M
Financing Cash Flow-86.10M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M-250.20M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.96
Price Trends
50DMA
22.02
Positive
100DMA
21.78
Positive
200DMA
22.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
57.72
Neutral
STOCH
79.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.65, above the 50-day MA of 22.02, and above the 200-day MA of 22.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYI.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.47B13.3623.85%0.61%1.70%684.20%
75
Outperform
$750.77M24.148.87%2.90%9.44%53.83%
74
Outperform
$3.33B34.8310.52%1.02%-60.43%-14.19%
72
Outperform
$504.13M15.729.14%5.83%33.50%
64
Neutral
$10.95B16.108.81%1.99%2.59%-16.41%
62
Neutral
$739.29M37.86-1.73%3.27%-7.98%-124.63%
61
Neutral
$296.84M17.267.37%-16.95%66.04%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
22.96
3.79
19.77%
AZZ
AZZ
115.58
36.25
45.70%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
38.68
6.14
18.87%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
52.85
8.62
19.49%
WOR
Worthington Industries
67.39
22.96
51.68%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
14.61
-4.65
-24.14%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Ryerson Holdings Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Ryerson Holding Corporation declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1875 per share, payable on September 18, 2025. The company reported its second-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a revenue of $1.17 billion, a net income of $1.9 million, and an Adjusted EBITDA of $45.0 million. Despite challenges such as recessed demand conditions and trade policy uncertainty, Ryerson gained market share and increased its transactional business mix, partially offsetting declines in contractual business. The company also noted stabilization in stainless and carbon prices, with aluminum prices trending higher.

Executive/Board Changes
Ryerson Holdings Announces EVP John Orth’s Departure
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

John Orth, Executive Vice President of Operations at Ryerson Holding Corporation, is set to leave the company and its subsidiaries, effective July 31, 2025. He will receive severance benefits as per his employment agreement, indicating a planned and structured transition in the company’s leadership.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025