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Ryerson Holdings (RYI)
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Ryerson Holdings (RYI) AI Stock Analysis

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RYI

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▼(-6.70% Downside)
Ryerson Holdings faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, impacting its overall score. The merger with Olympic Steel offers potential synergies and improved liquidity, providing a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, negative valuation metrics and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The stock's dividend yield offers some appeal, but operational improvements are necessary for a stronger financial position.
Positive Factors
Merger Synergies
The merger with Olympic Steel is poised to create significant synergies, enhancing operational efficiency and market position, which can drive long-term growth and profitability.
Improved Liquidity
Increased liquidity strengthens Ryerson's financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and better debt management, supporting long-term stability.
Investment in CapEx
Significant investment in CapEx projects positions Ryerson for future growth by expanding capacity and improving operational capabilities, enhancing competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue trends indicate challenges in market demand and pricing power, which can impact long-term profitability and market share.
Net Loss
A net loss in the recent quarter highlights ongoing profitability issues, which may strain financial resources and hinder investment in growth initiatives.
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin compression reflects pricing pressures and operational inefficiencies, which could erode competitive positioning and reduce profitability over time.

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyerson Holdings Corporation is a leading distributor and processor of metals, primarily focusing on steel and aluminum products. The company operates in various sectors, including construction, manufacturing, and energy, providing a wide range of products such as sheets, plates, bars, tubes, and specialty metals. Ryerson serves a diverse customer base across North America and has established a strong presence in the metal service center industry, emphasizing value-added services like processing and logistics.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyerson generates revenue primarily through the sale of metal products and related services. Its revenue model is based on direct sales to a broad spectrum of industries, where the company earns money by marking up the cost of the materials purchased from suppliers. Key revenue streams include the sale of raw materials, as well as value-added services like cutting, machining, and inventory management that enhance the utility of the products offered. Additionally, Ryerson benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which help secure competitive pricing and a steady supply of materials. Factors contributing to its earnings include market demand fluctuations, pricing strategies, and operational efficiencies achieved through its extensive distribution network.

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a significant merger with Olympic Steel and improvements in liquidity and average selling prices. However, these positives are countered by ongoing recessionary conditions, expected volume declines, and a net loss in the third quarter. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic due to the merger's potential benefits.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merger Agreement with Olympic Steel
Ryerson announced a merger agreement with Olympic Steel, which is expected to result in $120 million of synergies phased in over 2 years. The merger will form the second largest metal service center in North America with over $6.5 billion in revenue.
Improved Liquidity and Debt Management
Ryerson ended the third quarter with $521 million of liquidity, an increase from $485 million at the end of the second quarter. Total debt decreased by $10 million to $500 million, moving the leverage ratio closer to the target range.
Increased Average Selling Prices
Average selling prices increased by 2.6% in the third quarter compared to the second quarter.
Investment in CapEx and Facility Expansion
Ryerson and Olympic have invested $480 million in recent years in CapEx projects, including new facilities and equipment, positioning them for future growth.
Negative Updates
Continued Industry Recessionary Conditions
The third quarter was characterized by industry recessionary conditions with falling shipments year-over-year and carbon steel margin compression.
Expected Fourth Quarter Volume Decline
Volumes are expected to soften by 5% to 7% in the fourth quarter due to seasonality and ongoing demand challenges.
Net Loss in the Third Quarter
Ryerson reported a net loss of $14.8 million or $0.46 per diluted share for the third quarter, compared to a net income of $1.9 million in the prior quarter.
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin, excluding LIFO, contracted by 70 basis points to 18.3% amidst price pressure and a soft demand environment.
Company Guidance
During Ryerson Holding Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter, expecting volumes to soften by 5% to 7% due to typical seasonality and ongoing demand challenges. Revenue is projected to be between $1.07 billion and $1.11 billion, with average selling prices anticipated to remain flat to increase by 2%. Gross margins are expected to remain under pressure, forecasting adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, to range from $33 million to $37 million. Net loss per share is predicted to be between $0.28 and $0.22, considering projected LIFO expenses and depreciation, with capital expenditures expected to reach between $50 million and $55 million. The company ended the third quarter with $500 million in total debt and $470 million in net debt, with a leverage ratio of 3.7x, aiming to improve further through cash flow generation.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryerson Holdings shows strengths in cash flow generation and operational efficiency. However, challenges with revenue growth, profitability, and high leverage, along with negative net income, indicate financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ryerson Holdings has shown volatility in its revenue growth, with significant declines in recent years. The Gross Profit Margin and EBIT Margin have also decreased, indicating pressure on profitability. The Net Profit Margin is negative for the TTM period, highlighting challenges in cost management. However, the company has managed to generate positive EBITDA, reflecting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is relatively high, suggesting higher leverage and potential risk if earnings fail to cover debt obligations. The Return on Equity has turned negative in the TTM period, a concern for shareholders. Despite this, the company maintains a reasonable Equity Ratio, indicating a substantial portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Ryerson Holdings has maintained positive Free Cash Flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is inconsistent, reflecting fluctuating capital expenditures and cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.47B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B3.47B
Gross Profit804.40M834.20M1.02B1.31B1.15B621.10M
EBITDA92.70M113.20M290.90M634.10M492.50M39.00M
Net Income-22.80M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M-65.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.44B2.57B2.33B2.37B1.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.80M27.70M54.30M39.20M51.20M61.40M
Total Debt856.60M850.80M803.80M607.30M849.00M853.70M
Total Liabilities1.69B1.61B1.66B1.44B1.82B1.66B
Stockholders Equity787.30M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M138.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.30M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M251.90M
Operating Cash Flow66.50M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M277.90M
Investing Cash Flow-54.80M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M-25.90M
Financing Cash Flow-17.70M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M-250.20M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.58
Price Trends
50DMA
22.82
Negative
100DMA
22.27
Negative
200DMA
22.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
45.12
Neutral
STOCH
51.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.85, above the 50-day MA of 22.82, and above the 200-day MA of 22.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYI.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$578.12M16.349.78%7.61%25.35%
$3.00B9.6027.28%0.74%1.55%701.41%
$2.76B25.8211.50%1.25%-39.38%175.22%
$606.57M14.8911.36%3.58%22.39%112.75%
$362.06M21.067.37%-16.95%66.04%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$685.09M-2.81%3.18%-4.89%-214.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
22.06
1.08
5.15%
AZZ
AZZ
99.85
23.04
30.00%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
31.24
4.97
18.92%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
60.16
12.90
27.30%
WOR
Worthington Industries
56.09
17.93
46.99%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
17.82
-3.13
-14.94%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Ryerson Holdings Announces Merger with Olympic Steel
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Ryerson Holding Corporation announced a merger agreement with Olympic Steel, Inc., where Olympic will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Ryerson. The merger involves converting Olympic’s common stock into Ryerson’s common stock, with specific terms for stock-based and long-term cash awards. The merger is subject to various conditions, including shareholder and regulatory approvals, and includes provisions for post-closing governance changes and potential termination fees.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Ryerson Holdings’ Risky Bid: Uncertainties Loom Over Olympic Steel Acquisition
Oct 30, 2025

The acquisition of Olympic Steel, Inc. by Ryerson Holdings is fraught with uncertainties and risks, primarily due to the need for approval from both companies’ stockholders and the satisfaction of customary closing conditions. There is no guarantee that these conditions will be met or waived, and unforeseen events could delay or terminate the acquisition. If the acquisition fails to materialize, Ryerson Holdings’ stock price may suffer, as current market valuations likely factor in the anticipated benefits of the acquisition. This potential volatility poses a significant risk to Ryerson Holdings’ financial outlook and investor confidence.

Ryerson Holdings Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 30, 2025

Ryerson Holding Corporation is a prominent value-added processor and distributor of industrial metals, operating across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China, with a history dating back to 1842.

Ryerson Holdings’ Earnings Call: Merger and Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

The recent earnings call from Ryerson Holdings presented a cautiously optimistic outlook, driven by a significant merger with Olympic Steel and improvements in liquidity and average selling prices. Despite these positive developments, the company faces challenges from ongoing recessionary conditions, expected volume declines, and a net loss in the third quarter.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Ryerson Holdings Announces Merger with Olympic Steel
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Ryerson announced a merger agreement with Olympic Steel, where Olympic will become a wholly owned subsidiary. This strategic move is expected to enhance Ryerson’s market position and operational capabilities. Additionally, Ryerson reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a revenue of $1.16 billion, a net loss of $14.8 million, and a slight reduction in debt. Despite weak demand and tariff pricing conditions, Ryerson managed to maintain revenue within its guidance range, reflecting its effective management and strategic investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Ryerson Holdings Reports Steady Q2 2025 Earnings
Jul 31, 2025

Ryerson Holding Corporation is a prominent processor and distributor of industrial metals, operating across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China, with a history dating back to 1842.

Ryerson Holdings’ Earnings Call: Market Gains Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

Ryerson Holdings’ recent earnings call highlighted the company’s resilience in a challenging market environment. The sentiment was a mix of optimism and caution, as Ryerson demonstrated its ability to gain market share and improve EBITDA performance and net income. However, the company continues to grapple with demand challenges, leverage concerns, and gross margin pressure, reflecting a balanced view of positive operational achievements against ongoing market difficulties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025