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Ryerson Holdings (RYI)
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Ryerson Holdings (RYI) AI Stock Analysis

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RYI

Ryerson Holdings

(NYSE:RYI)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▼(-1.69% Downside)
The overall score reflects financial strengths in cash flow and operational efficiency but is heavily impacted by technical weaknesses, valuation challenges, and mixed earnings call outcomes. High leverage and negative net income remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
Despite not repurchasing shares, Ryerson reduced its gross debt balance, which is seen as a positive move.
Financial Performance
Ryerson expects shipments to increase by 11% to 13% quarter-over-quarter, with an expected adjusted EBITDA above prior expectations.
Order Activity
Ryerson has seen a significant increase in order activity recently, especially in the spot/transactional and value-added sales, with bookings at their highest level since late 2021.
Negative Factors
Leverage
Net leverage increased slightly to 3.9x, from 3.8x last quarter, and currently remains above the targeted range.

Ryerson Holdings (RYI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryerson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China. It offers a line of products in carbon steel, stainless steel, alloy steels, and aluminum, as well as nickel and red metals in various shapes and forms, including coils, sheets, rounds, hexagons, square and flat bars, plates, structural, and tubing. The company also provides various processing services, such as bending, beveling, blanking, blasting, burning, cutting-to-length, drilling, embossing, flattening, forming, grinding, laser cutting, machining, notching, painting, perforating, polishing, punching, rolling, sawing, scribing, shearing, slitting, stamping, tapping, threading, welding, or other techniques to process materials. It serves various industries, including commercial ground transportation, metal fabrication and machine shops, industrial machinery and equipment manufacturing, consumer durable equipment, HVAC manufacturing, construction equipment manufacturing, food processing and agricultural equipment manufacturing, and oil and gas. The company was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyerson Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of processed and distributed metal products. The company sources raw materials from a diverse network of suppliers, processes these materials into various forms and sizes, and then distributes them to its extensive customer base across multiple industries. Revenue streams include direct sales of metal products, value-added processing services such as cutting, slitting, and forming, and just-in-time inventory management solutions. Additionally, Ryerson benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with key customers and suppliers, enhancing its market position and contributing to stable earnings.

Ryerson Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showed Ryerson's ability to gain market share in a challenging market, with improved EBITDA performance and net income. However, the company continues to face demand challenges, leverage concerns, and gross margin pressure. The sentiment balances positive operational achievements with ongoing market difficulties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Incremental Market Share Gains
Ryerson's North American shipments decreased by only 1.2% quarter-over-quarter compared to the industry's 2.1% decrease, resulting in market share gains, particularly in carbon long, carbon plate, and stainless long products.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Second quarter adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, was $45 million, which was at the high end of the guidance range and showed improvement from $32.8 million in the prior quarter.
Cash Conversion Cycle Improvement
Ryerson achieved a cash conversion cycle of 66 days, which is 11 days lower than the same period last year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
Positive Net Income
Second quarter net income attributable to Ryerson was $1.9 million or $0.06 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $5.6 million in the prior quarter.
Negative Updates
Continued Demand Challenges
Volumes are expected to soften by 2% to 4% in the third quarter due to ongoing uncertainty across large end markets and normal seasonal patterns.
Higher Leverage Ratio
The leverage ratio increased to 4.4x, above the target range of 0.5x to 2x, due to sequential net debt increase and countercyclical EBITDA generation.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin contracted by 10 basis points to 17.9% due to higher-than-anticipated LIFO expense, with material costs increasing faster than average selling prices.
Soft Pricing and Margin Pressure in Spot Business
Despite anticipated pricing environment support, the spot business is expected to face margin pressure due to a recess demand outlook.
Company Guidance
During the Ryerson Holding Corporation's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance and discussed various metrics. They reported net sales of $1.17 billion, up 3% from the first quarter, with average selling prices increasing by 2.8% and tons shipped slightly up. Adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, was at $45 million, compared favorably to $32.8 million in the prior quarter. However, due to a higher LIFO charge, net income was at the low end of their range, resulting in a diluted EPS of $0.06. For the third quarter, Ryerson anticipates a 2% to 4% decrease in volumes but expects average selling price appreciation of 1% to 3%, projecting revenues between $1.14 billion and $1.18 billion. They forecast third quarter adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, to be between $40 million and $45 million, with EPS ranging from $0.00 to $0.06 per diluted share. Capital expenditures totaled $10 million in the second quarter, and Ryerson remains on track with a $50 million full-year target. Cash flow from operations was $24 million, and they ended the quarter with $485 million of liquidity, while leverage ratio stood at 4.4x, above their target range of 0.5x to 2x.

Ryerson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryerson Holdings shows challenges in profitability with declining revenues and negative net profit margins. However, the balance between debt and equity is fair, and the company demonstrates strong cash flow generation.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Ryerson Holdings shows a decline in revenue and net income in recent periods, with a negative net profit margin of -0.15% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The TTM EBIT and EBITDA margins are low at 0.65% and 2.33% respectively, indicating pressure on operating profitability. Historical data shows volatility in revenue growth and profitability, suggesting challenges in maintaining consistent growth.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08, indicating reliance on debt financing, which poses leverage risks. The equity ratio is at 31.86%, showing a fair proportion of equity financing. However, the return on equity has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Strong free cash flow generation in the TTM with a growth rate of 19.39% compared to the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 32.05, suggesting robust cash generation relative to reported net losses. Despite challenges in profitability, cash flow remains a strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.44B4.60B5.11B6.32B5.68B3.47B
Gross Profit806.90M834.20M1.02B1.31B1.15B621.10M
EBITDA80.20M113.20M290.90M634.10M492.50M39.00M
Net Income-14.60M-8.60M145.70M391.00M294.30M-65.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.54B2.44B2.57B2.33B2.37B1.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.80M27.70M54.30M39.20M51.20M61.40M
Total Debt879.40M850.80M803.80M607.30M849.00M853.70M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.61B1.66B1.44B1.82B1.66B
Stockholders Equity811.50M815.30M905.90M885.10M537.20M138.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.40M105.30M243.20M396.10M-24.30M251.90M
Operating Cash Flow209.40M204.90M365.10M501.20M35.00M277.90M
Investing Cash Flow-120.30M-142.70M-262.10M-160.00M94.40M-25.90M
Financing Cash Flow-86.10M-86.80M-88.30M-350.10M-137.90M-250.20M

Ryerson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.36
Price Trends
50DMA
21.85
Negative
100DMA
21.97
Negative
200DMA
22.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
44.83
Neutral
STOCH
24.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.52, below the 50-day MA of 21.85, and below the 200-day MA of 22.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYI.

Ryerson Holdings Risk Analysis

Ryerson Holdings disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryerson Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryerson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$3.25B12.3923.85%0.65%1.70%684.20%
74
Outperform
$3.14B32.7110.52%1.11%-60.43%-14.19%
73
Outperform
$415.47M12.859.13%8.06%38.46%
72
Outperform
$701.47M22.498.87%3.17%9.44%53.83%
71
Outperform
¥257.35B14.368.48%2.83%6.31%12.01%
65
Neutral
$342.11M19.767.37%-8.42%164.82%
53
Neutral
$664.59M37.86-1.73%3.63%-7.98%-124.63%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYI
Ryerson Holdings
21.36
2.73
14.65%
AZZ
AZZ
108.44
36.94
51.66%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
35.83
6.07
20.40%
NWPX
Northwest Pipe Company
42.06
3.38
8.74%
WOR
Worthington Industries
63.02
19.60
45.14%
MEC
Mayville Engineering Company
16.72
-1.79
-9.67%

Ryerson Holdings Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Ryerson Holdings Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Ryerson Holding Corporation declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1875 per share, payable on September 18, 2025. The company reported its second-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a revenue of $1.17 billion, a net income of $1.9 million, and an Adjusted EBITDA of $45.0 million. Despite challenges such as recessed demand conditions and trade policy uncertainty, Ryerson gained market share and increased its transactional business mix, partially offsetting declines in contractual business. The company also noted stabilization in stainless and carbon prices, with aluminum prices trending higher.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ryerson Holdings Announces EVP John Orth’s Departure
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

John Orth, Executive Vice President of Operations at Ryerson Holding Corporation, is set to leave the company and its subsidiaries, effective July 31, 2025. He will receive severance benefits as per his employment agreement, indicating a planned and structured transition in the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYI) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryerson Holdings stock, see the RYI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025