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Nvni Group Limited (NVNI)
NASDAQ:NVNI
US Market

Nvni Group (NVNI) AI Stock Analysis

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NVNI

Nvni Group

(NASDAQ:NVNI)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-15.25% Downside)
The score is weighed down primarily by financial stability concerns (negative stockholders’ equity and ongoing losses) and bearish technical signals (below major moving averages and negative MACD). Improved operating/free cash flow and strong gross margin provide some support, but valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 14.37% revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion potential.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt management, crucial for sustainable growth.
Strategic Leadership
CEO's personal investment aligns management interests with shareholders, signaling confidence in the company's strategic direction.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues highlight operational inefficiencies, which may hinder long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Balance Sheet Risk
Negative equity suggests financial instability, potentially limiting the company's ability to secure favorable financing and invest in growth.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to navigate economic downturns and invest in future opportunities.

Nvni Group (NVNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nvni Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNvni Group Limited provides a business to business SaaS platform that offers cloud solutions. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyNvni Group generates revenue through multiple streams including direct sales of software and technology solutions, consulting fees for their advisory services, and subscription models for their cloud-based products. The company also partners with other tech firms and enterprises to expand its service offerings, which helps in driving additional revenue through collaborative projects and joint ventures. Furthermore, NVNI capitalizes on ongoing maintenance and support contracts, ensuring a steady income from existing clients while also exploring new market opportunities to enhance growth.

Nvni Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nvni Group shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability, indicated by negative net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is concerning with negative stockholders' equity, suggesting insolvency risk. Cash flow is improving, with positive operating and free cash flow, but not enough to cover net losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nvni Group has shown significant revenue growth, with a 14.37% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is strong at 63.39% for 2024, but the net profit margin remains negative due to high operating expenses and other costs.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial position, with negative stockholders' equity indicating insolvency risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is also negative. This suggests high leverage and potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement, with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2024. The free cash flow growth rate is strong, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash flow is not yet sufficient to cover net losses. The company is managing capital expenditures effectively, contributing to positive free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00193.28M168.99M124.55M89.86M12.14M
Gross Profit0.00122.53M102.85M71.73M54.03M10.14M
EBITDA-17.24M22.90M-206.03M-79.38M-53.03M-6.09M
Net Income3.11M-86.17M-254.71M-114.41M-77.70M-10.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets219.94M405.39M419.86M367.06M466.52M92.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.88K18.04M11.40M8.02M10.90M1.65M
Total Debt9.72M68.63M81.77M73.79M81.24M1.11M
Total Liabilities45.99M517.01M473.49M462.03M503.32M95.90M
Stockholders Equity173.95M-120.50M-57.96M-98.81M-36.80M-3.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.52M-9.41M9.87M-10.54M2.20M
Operating Cash Flow38.58M2.81M14.20M-6.73M2.20M
Investing Cash Flow986.42M-16.06M-12.22M-4.32M-94.79M-48.00K
Financing Cash Flow-979.21M-15.88M12.79M-12.76M110.77M6.65M

Nvni Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.95
Price Trends
50DMA
3.08
Negative
100DMA
4.60
Negative
200DMA
4.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
44.34
Neutral
STOCH
64.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVNI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.88, below the 50-day MA of 3.08, and below the 200-day MA of 4.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NVNI.

Nvni Group Risk Analysis

Nvni Group disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nvni Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nvni Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$224.48B31.9612.18%0.63%8.41%22.92%
65
Neutral
$18.09B-4,968.35-0.20%19.21%75.32%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
50
Neutral
$420.47M-2.01-17.50%-51.25%
47
Neutral
$1.96B-4.91-46.77%1.84%-27.74%
44
Neutral
$7.10M-0.08-518.36%-29.57%97.70%
43
Neutral
$28.60M
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NVNI
Nvni Group
2.85
-12.15
-81.00%
CRM
Salesforce
239.57
-78.35
-24.64%
HUBS
HubSpot
345.30
-372.03
-51.86%
VERI
Veritone
4.58
1.88
69.63%
AI
C3ai
13.91
-18.40
-56.95%
JTAI
JetAI
0.45
-3.29
-87.86%

Nvni Group Corporate Events

Nuvini Cuts Earnout Liabilities by 34%, Strengthens Balance Sheet for Near-Term Financing and M&A
Dec 23, 2025

On December 22–23, 2025, Nuvini Group Limited announced it had renegotiated earnout contingent liabilities owed to founders of previously acquired portfolio companies, achieving a 34% reduction and more than $18 million in savings. The restructuring, valid for a 90-day window, materially improves Nuvini’s pro forma debt-to-EBITDA ratio and capital structure, strengthening its balance sheet ahead of a planned private credit financing intended to refinance existing obligations and support ongoing mergers and acquisitions; the company also confirmed it remains on track to close the previously announced acquisition of MK Solutions, underscoring its continued focus on an active M&A pipeline and inorganic growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Nuvini Group CEO Invests $6 Million in Strategic Growth
Dec 10, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Nuvini Group Limited announced that its Founder and CEO, Pierre Schurmann, has committed $6 million of personal capital to the company through a direct private placement of equity securities. This investment, made at a significant premium to the market price, underscores strong insider confidence and aligns management’s interests with shareholders. The proceeds will be used for debt repayment and to support Nuvini’s acquisition strategy, which includes a robust pipeline of high-quality targets. This move follows other strategic initiatives in 2025, such as the launch of NuviniAI Lab and maintaining NASDAQ compliance, positioning the company for significant growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Nvni Group Announces Director Resignation
Dec 4, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Scott Klossner resigned as a director of Nvni Group Limited, a company based in the Cayman Islands. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices. This change in the board of directors is not expected to impact the company’s operations or its management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Nuvini Group Appoints Phoebe Wang to Board, Enhancing AI Strategy
Nov 18, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Nuvini Group Limited announced the appointment of Phoebe Wang to its Board of Directors, effective November 14, 2025. Wang, an experienced AI and enterprise technology investor, is expected to bolster Nuvini’s AI-driven growth strategy and cloud innovation efforts. Her appointment follows a recent partnership with Oracle, highlighting Nuvini’s commitment to integrating advanced AI and cloud capabilities across its portfolio, thus strengthening its position in the SaaS industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Nuvini Group Releases Capital Markets Update with Strategic Growth Plans
Nov 7, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Nuvini Group Limited announced the release of its Capital Markets Update and management transcript. The update highlights the company’s transition to USD financial reporting for better transparency, increased management ownership, disciplined capital allocation, and the use of AI to enhance operational efficiency. Nuvini aims for significant growth with targets of 35–45% EBITDA margins and over $100 million in EBITDA within five years, leveraging its scalable platform and strategic acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Nuvini Group Sets Ambitious Long-Term Targets and Shifts to USD Reporting
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Nuvini Group Limited announced its long-term operating and profitability targets, reflecting its confidence in value creation strategies. The company plans to transition its financial reporting to U.S. dollars to enhance transparency and comparability, with an unchanged EBITDA outlook for fiscal year 2025. Nuvini aims for 35 to 45% consolidated EBITDA margins and over $100 million in EBITDA within five years, leveraging AI and shared services for efficiency. The company will maintain capital discipline through strategic acquisitions and prudent leverage, mirroring successful global SaaS consolidators.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Nuvini Group Appoints Roberto Otero as New CFO to Strengthen Leadership
Oct 31, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Nuvini Group Limited announced the appointment of Roberto Otero as Chief Financial Officer, effective November 3, 2025. Otero, who brings over two decades of experience in global capital markets and corporate finance, will succeed Luiz Busnello, who will transition to a board member role. This strategic appointment aims to bolster Nuvini’s leadership team as the company continues its strategy of acquiring and scaling B2B software businesses, enhancing its engagement with U.S. institutional investors, and reinforcing its commitment to operational excellence and shareholder alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Nuvini Group Regains Nasdaq Compliance and Projects Strong FY2025 EBITDA
Oct 20, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Nuvini Group Limited announced its fiscal year 2025 EBITDA guidance, projecting an EBITDA of approximately R$50 to R$60 million, excluding acquisitions. The company highlighted its growth strategy, which includes reducing the cost of capital for future acquisitions and leveraging AI to drive operational efficiencies. Nuvini aims to increase its annualized run-rate EBITDA to R$85–95 million by the end of Q1 2026 through its acquisition pipeline. Additionally, on October 20, 2025, Nuvini addressed its compliance issue with Nasdaq’s Minimum Bid Price Rule. After completing a share consolidation, the company regained compliance with the rule, maintaining a bid price above $1.00 per share, thus securing its continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVNI) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nvni Group stock, see the NVNI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025