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Netgear (NTGR)
NASDAQ:NTGR
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Netgear (NTGR) AI Stock Analysis

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NTGR

Netgear

(NASDAQ:NTGR)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(10.62% Upside)
Netgear's overall stock score of 70 reflects a solid financial performance with moderate growth and profitability, supported by strategic corporate actions. The technical analysis indicates a positive trend, though caution is advised due to potential bearish signals. Valuation is attractive, and the positive sentiment from the earnings call further strengthens the outlook.
Positive Factors
Business Turnaround
CJ Prober, the new CEO, has orchestrated a business turnaround, believed to be in its early stages.
Recurring Revenue
Enhanced subscription services after the VAAG acquisition position the company to capitalize on a rapid growth, high retention recurring revenue stream as demand for consumer security increases.
Revenue Growth
The NETGEAR for Business segment is poised for double-digit year-over-year revenue growth due to a differentiated ProAV platform and expanding broadcasting partnerships.
Negative Factors
Profitability Risks
There is uncertainty around strategy turnarounds and inherent risks associated with the company’s push back towards profitability.
Strategy Uncertainty
The company deserves a valuation closer to comps, with an appropriate discount due to uncertainty around strategy turnarounds and inherent risks associated with the push back towards profitability.

Netgear (NTGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Netgear Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetgear, Inc. (NTGR) is a global networking company that specializes in providing innovative networking solutions for homes and small to medium-sized businesses. Established in 1996, Netgear’s product portfolio includes a wide range of wireless and wired networking equipment such as routers, switches, access points, and network storage solutions. The company also offers smart home products and security cameras, positioning itself as a leader in both consumer and business networking sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetgear generates revenue primarily through the sale of its networking hardware and software products. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including retail sales of consumer products through various distribution channels, direct sales to businesses, and partnerships with service providers. Additionally, Netgear earns income from subscription services related to its products, such as cloud storage and network management solutions. Strategic partnerships with telecom companies and retailers bolster its market presence and contribute to consistent sales growth, while ongoing innovation in product design and functionality helps differentiate its offerings in a competitive landscape.

Netgear Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment overall, highlighting significant achievements such as record-breaking gross margins and strong growth in both the NFB and home networking segments. Despite some challenges, including supply constraints in ProAV and a decline in mobile segment revenue, the company demonstrated strategic progress and confidence in future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Gross Margins
NETGEAR reported non-GAAP gross margins of 37.8%, an all-time high for the company, reflecting a 1,540 basis point increase compared to the previous year.
NFB Business Segment Growth
The NFB segment saw revenue growth of 38% year-over-year and 4.3% sequentially, with a gross margin increase of 1,300 basis points year-over-year to 46.7%.
Home Networking Business Performance
The home networking segment delivered net revenue growth of 13.1% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. The gross margin for this segment improved by 1,800 basis points year-over-year to 29.5%.
Successful Exium Acquisition
NETGEAR completed the purchase of Exium to add security specifically designed for small and medium enterprises to its NFB portfolio.
Strong Subscriber Growth
NETGEAR exited the second quarter with 559,000 recurring subscribers, generating $9 million in recurring services revenue, a year-over-year increase of 16.6%.
Negative Updates
Supply Constraints in ProAV
ProAV faced supply constraints that limited shipments, contributing to a higher backlog going into Q3. These constraints are expected to improve by Q1 2026.
Mobile Segment Revenue Decline
The mobile segment's revenue of $20.4 million was down 16.1% year-over-year and 5% sequentially due to weaker-than-expected service provider sales.
Increased Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses increased by 3.7% year-over-year and 10.6% sequentially, partly due to hiring and increased investments in the NFB segment.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, NETGEAR provided guidance for Q3 2025, projecting net revenue between $165 million and $180 million. They expect GAAP operating margins to range from negative 11% to negative 8%, and non-GAAP operating margins to range from negative 5.5% to negative 2.5%. The company plans to continue investing in software development and market capabilities, especially within their NFB business. Despite supply constraints, particularly in their ProAV line, NETGEAR anticipates improvements in their supply position by Q1 2026. They also highlighted ongoing investments in insourcing software development, with expected benefits in product quality and execution speed. NETGEAR's focus remains on driving growth and profitability through strategic investments and operational efficiencies.

Netgear Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netgear showcases a stable financial position with a robust balance sheet and positive operating cash flows. Despite challenges in revenue growth and operational efficiency, the company is managing its debt effectively and improving its profitability metrics.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Netgear's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue has declined compared to the previous year, indicating challenges in maintaining its sales momentum. The gross profit margin stands at 30.4%, suggesting moderate efficiency in managing production costs. However, the net profit margin is low at 3.7%, reflecting difficulties in controlling operational expenses. Additionally, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak, indicating limited operating profitability and cash flow generation.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Netgear maintains a strong equity position, with an equity ratio of 65.6%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, demonstrating prudent debt management. Return on equity has improved to 4.7% from negative figures, indicating a recovery in profitability. Overall, the balance sheet is stable, albeit with room for enhancing asset utilization.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Operating cash flow is solid relative to net income, with a ratio of 5.56, indicating strong cash generation capability. Free cash flow has grown, reflecting improved cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high, suggesting potential overreliance on free cash flow in the short term.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue697.87M673.76M740.84M932.47M1.17B1.26B
Gross Profit236.17M195.93M249.25M250.55M365.84M372.15M
EBITDA-27.24M-65.80M-25.04M-23.82M80.50M94.47M
Net Income63.73M12.36M-104.77M-68.99M49.39M58.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets803.55M850.23M847.14M1.02B1.08B1.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments363.47M408.69M283.65M227.43M271.52M353.32M
Total Debt16.30M30.63M41.57M45.10M18.57M25.51M
Total Liabilities280.39M309.16M311.65M398.93M381.72M416.65M
Stockholders Equity523.16M541.07M535.50M620.86M696.82M689.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow109.54M155.80M51.05M-19.49M-14.44M170.85M
Operating Cash Flow118.64M164.80M56.85M-13.73M-4.58M181.15M
Investing Cash Flow-30.15M-26.16M-27.43M-79.52M-9.98M-16.84M
Financing Cash Flow-24.57M-28.91M797.00K-24.02M-68.12M-8.06M

Netgear Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.12
Price Trends
50DMA
26.81
Positive
100DMA
26.83
Positive
200DMA
26.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
58.72
Neutral
STOCH
66.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.03, above the 50-day MA of 26.81, and above the 200-day MA of 26.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTGR.

Netgear Risk Analysis

Netgear disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netgear reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netgear Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$32.38B44.21186.53%0.46%33.45%103.34%
70
Outperform
$785.84M12.5712.97%0.76%
70
Outperform
$5.20B24,841.670.42%13.96%-96.21%
57
Neutral
$742.88M-53.68%3.52%81.33%
54
Neutral
$298.66M3.86-5.40%2.71%9.11%-73.63%
50
Neutral
$14.64B-1.60%-35.86%85.81%
$50.91M-4.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTGR
Netgear
27.12
10.91
67.30%
ADTN
Adtran
9.34
3.95
73.28%
SATS
Echostar
58.76
39.63
207.16%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
524.31
337.16
180.15%
PI
IMPINJ
186.37
22.99
14.07%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
4.23
0.14
3.42%

Netgear Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Netgear Appoints Jonathan Oakes as SVP of Home Networking
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On June 2, 2025, NETGEAR, Inc. appointed Jonathan Oakes as Senior Vice President of Home Networking, a role in which he will oversee the company’s home networking business, including hardware, software, and subscription services. Oakes, a seasoned product innovator with over two decades of experience, is expected to drive the next generation of reliable, secure, and intelligent connectivity for modern households. His appointment is part of NETGEAR’s ongoing transformation and commitment to customer-focused product development. The company anticipates that Oakes’ leadership will be instrumental in continuing to power extraordinary experiences for customers and enhancing NETGEAR’s position in the industry.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Netgear Announces Acquisition of Exium Inc.
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, NETGEAR announced its agreement to acquire Exium Inc., a cybersecurity software company, to enhance its cloud-based solutions for business connectivity. This acquisition aims to integrate Exium’s Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) platform into NETGEAR’s offerings, aligning with its strategy to provide comprehensive networking and security solutions for small and medium enterprises. The transaction, expected to close by the end of Q2 2025, will not materially impact NETGEAR’s financial position for the year. Exium’s expertise will bolster NETGEAR’s ability to deliver an all-in-one solution, addressing the growing demand for cloud-based networking and security services.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Netgear Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting with Key Votes
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Netgear, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders virtually, where stockholders voted on five proposals. These included the election of seven directors, ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers as the independent auditor, approval of executive compensation, the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan, and an amendment to the 2003 Employee Stock Purchase Plan. The meeting saw significant engagement with 25,361,311 shares represented, indicating active participation from stakeholders. The results of the votes reflect the company’s ongoing governance and strategic planning efforts, with implications for its operational and financial strategies moving forward.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025