tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Netgear (NTGR)
NASDAQ:NTGR
Advertisement

Netgear (NTGR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
369 Followers

Top Page

NTGR

Netgear

(NASDAQ:NTGR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(4.79% Upside)
Netgear's overall stock score of 70 reflects a solid financial performance with moderate growth and profitability, supported by strategic corporate actions. The technical analysis indicates a positive trend, though caution is advised due to potential bearish signals. Valuation is attractive, and the positive sentiment from the earnings call further strengthens the outlook.
Positive Factors
Record-Breaking Gross Margins
Achieving record gross margins indicates strong cost management and pricing power, enhancing long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
NFB Business Segment Growth
Significant growth in the NFB segment shows successful market penetration and product adoption, supporting sustained revenue expansion.
Exium Acquisition
The acquisition of Exium enhances NETGEAR's cybersecurity offerings, aligning with strategic goals to expand in cloud-based solutions, bolstering long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Supply Constraints in ProAV
Supply constraints in the ProAV segment could hinder revenue growth and customer satisfaction, impacting market competitiveness until resolved.
Mobile Segment Revenue Decline
Declining revenue in the mobile segment suggests challenges in maintaining market share, potentially affecting overall growth and diversification.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses may pressure margins and profitability, necessitating efficiency improvements to sustain long-term financial health.

Netgear (NTGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Netgear Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNETGEAR, Inc. designs, develops, and markets networking and Internet connected products for consumers, businesses, and service providers. The company operates in two segments, Connected Home, and Small and Medium Business. It offers smart home/connected home/broadband access products, such as Wi-Fi routers and home Wi-Fi systems, broadband modems, Wi-Fi gateways, Wi-Fi hotspots, Wi-Fi range extenders, Powerline adapters and bridges, Wi-Fi network adapters, and digital canvasses; and value-added service offerings, including technical support, parental controls, and cybersecurity protection. The company also provides Ethernet switches, Wi-Fi mesh systems and access points, local and remote unified storage products, and Internet security appliances for small and medium-sized businesses, as well as education, hospitality and health markets. It markets and sells its products through traditional retailers, online retailers, wholesale distributors, direct market resellers, value-added resellers, and broadband service providers, as well as through its direct online store at www.netgear.com. in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetgear generates revenue primarily through the sale of its networking hardware and software products. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including retail sales of consumer products through various distribution channels, direct sales to businesses, and partnerships with service providers. Additionally, Netgear earns income from subscription services related to its products, such as cloud storage and network management solutions. Strategic partnerships with telecom companies and retailers bolster its market presence and contribute to consistent sales growth, while ongoing innovation in product design and functionality helps differentiate its offerings in a competitive landscape.

Netgear Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment overall, highlighting significant achievements such as record-breaking gross margins and strong growth in both the NFB and home networking segments. Despite some challenges, including supply constraints in ProAV and a decline in mobile segment revenue, the company demonstrated strategic progress and confidence in future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Gross Margins
NETGEAR reported non-GAAP gross margins of 37.8%, an all-time high for the company, reflecting a 1,540 basis point increase compared to the previous year.
NFB Business Segment Growth
The NFB segment saw revenue growth of 38% year-over-year and 4.3% sequentially, with a gross margin increase of 1,300 basis points year-over-year to 46.7%.
Home Networking Business Performance
The home networking segment delivered net revenue growth of 13.1% year-over-year and 10% sequentially. The gross margin for this segment improved by 1,800 basis points year-over-year to 29.5%.
Successful Exium Acquisition
NETGEAR completed the purchase of Exium to add security specifically designed for small and medium enterprises to its NFB portfolio.
Strong Subscriber Growth
NETGEAR exited the second quarter with 559,000 recurring subscribers, generating $9 million in recurring services revenue, a year-over-year increase of 16.6%.
Negative Updates
Supply Constraints in ProAV
ProAV faced supply constraints that limited shipments, contributing to a higher backlog going into Q3. These constraints are expected to improve by Q1 2026.
Mobile Segment Revenue Decline
The mobile segment's revenue of $20.4 million was down 16.1% year-over-year and 5% sequentially due to weaker-than-expected service provider sales.
Increased Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses increased by 3.7% year-over-year and 10.6% sequentially, partly due to hiring and increased investments in the NFB segment.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, NETGEAR provided guidance for Q3 2025, projecting net revenue between $165 million and $180 million. They expect GAAP operating margins to range from negative 11% to negative 8%, and non-GAAP operating margins to range from negative 5.5% to negative 2.5%. The company plans to continue investing in software development and market capabilities, especially within their NFB business. Despite supply constraints, particularly in their ProAV line, NETGEAR anticipates improvements in their supply position by Q1 2026. They also highlighted ongoing investments in insourcing software development, with expected benefits in product quality and execution speed. NETGEAR's focus remains on driving growth and profitability through strategic investments and operational efficiencies.

Netgear Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netgear's financial performance shows moderate revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by strong cost management. The balance sheet reflects low leverage and good equity levels, though there are concerns over declining equity. Cash flow performance is robust, with effective cash generation and utilization, despite fluctuations in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Netgear's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue shows a moderate increase, with a revenue growth rate of 3.58% from the previous annual period. Gross profit margin improved slightly to 33.84%, reflecting good cost management, while the net profit margin increased significantly to 9.13%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, at 8.37% and -3.90% respectively, suggesting potential weaknesses in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio is healthy at 65.09%, suggesting a solid equity base. Return on equity (ROE) improved to 12.18%, reflecting better profitability. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over time poses a potential risk to long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Netgear demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a free cash flow growth rate of -29.69%, indicating some volatility but maintaining positive free cash flow. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.86, showing efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.72 further underscores effective cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue697.87M673.76M740.84M932.47M1.17B1.26B
Gross Profit236.17M195.93M249.25M250.55M365.84M372.15M
EBITDA-24.70M-65.80M-25.04M-23.82M80.50M94.47M
Net Income63.73M12.36M-104.77M-68.99M49.39M58.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets803.55M850.23M847.14M1.02B1.08B1.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments363.47M408.69M283.65M227.43M271.52M353.32M
Total Debt16.30M30.63M41.57M45.10M18.57M25.51M
Total Liabilities280.39M309.16M311.65M398.93M381.72M416.65M
Stockholders Equity523.16M541.07M535.50M620.86M696.82M689.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow109.54M155.80M51.05M-19.49M-14.44M170.85M
Operating Cash Flow118.64M164.80M56.85M-13.73M-4.58M181.15M
Investing Cash Flow-30.15M-26.16M-27.43M-79.52M-9.98M-16.84M
Financing Cash Flow-24.57M-28.91M797.00K-24.02M-68.12M-8.06M

Netgear Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.63
Price Trends
50DMA
26.68
Positive
100DMA
27.70
Positive
200DMA
26.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
61.88
Neutral
STOCH
74.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.57, above the 50-day MA of 26.68, and above the 200-day MA of 26.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTGR.

Netgear Risk Analysis

Netgear disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netgear reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netgear Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
36.76B50.84106.53%0.43%33.45%103.34%
70
Outperform
$842.12M13.4712.97%0.76%
68
Neutral
5.57B26,594.440.34%13.96%-96.21%
56
Neutral
702.06M-6.64-64.24%3.52%81.33%
54
Neutral
20.66B-63.92-1.96%-35.86%85.81%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTGR
Netgear
28.63
8.09
39.39%
ADTN
Adtran
8.77
3.27
59.45%
SATS
Echostar
71.81
46.10
179.31%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
607.54
401.22
194.46%
PI
IMPINJ
191.48
-2.42
-1.25%
FKWL
Franklin Wireless
4.02
0.02
0.50%

Netgear Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Netgear Appoints Jonathan Oakes as SVP of Home Networking
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On June 2, 2025, NETGEAR, Inc. appointed Jonathan Oakes as Senior Vice President of Home Networking, a role in which he will oversee the company’s home networking business, including hardware, software, and subscription services. Oakes, a seasoned product innovator with over two decades of experience, is expected to drive the next generation of reliable, secure, and intelligent connectivity for modern households. His appointment is part of NETGEAR’s ongoing transformation and commitment to customer-focused product development. The company anticipates that Oakes’ leadership will be instrumental in continuing to power extraordinary experiences for customers and enhancing NETGEAR’s position in the industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025