tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Nortech Systems Inc. (NSYS)
NASDAQ:NSYS
US Market

Nortech Systems (NSYS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
143 Followers

Top Page

NSYS

Nortech Systems

(NASDAQ:NSYS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(21.13% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals also lean negative with the stock below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Offsetting these, the earnings call showed improved margins/adjusted EBITDA and a steady backlog, while the new operations leadership hire is modestly supportive.
Positive Factors
Customer backlog provides multi-quarter visibility
A $77.3M backlog gives durable revenue visibility and supports production planning, capacity utilization, and revenue conversion over coming quarters. It helps smooth demand volatility, underpins near-shoring capacity decisions, and provides a foundation for margin recovery as programs ramp.
Aerospace and defense certifications strengthen competitive position
AS 9100 D and CMMC 2.0 certifications create a durable barrier to entry in aerospace/DoD supply chains, enabling access to higher-specification contracts. These credentials support long-term customer retention, improve win rates for defense work, and justify premium pricing for certified manufacturing.
Operational improvements lifted margins and adjusted EBITDA
Sustained productivity gains and restructuring produced higher gross margins and material adjusted EBITDA improvement, indicating structural cost competitiveness. If maintained, these efficiencies improve cash conversion, margin sustainability, and resilience to lower revenue environments over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue decline
A material TTM revenue decline reduces scale, worsens fixed-cost absorption and pressures gross margins. Continued top-line contraction risks eroding customer relationships and program scale, making margin recovery and profitable growth harder without new contract wins or market expansion.
Negative operating and free cash flows
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows constrain reinvestment, capital spending, and debt reduction. Over months this increases reliance on external financing, limits flexibility to pursue new contracts or near-shoring investments, and elevates risk during demand downturns.
Negative ROE and ongoing net losses
Negative ROE and recurring net losses signal inefficient capital use and persistent profitability shortfalls. Without sustained revenue growth or continued structural margin improvements, the company may struggle to generate returns for shareholders and to rebuild equity cushions over the medium term.

Nortech Systems (NSYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nortech Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNortech Systems Incorporated provides design and manufacturing solutions for electromedical devices, electromechanical systems, assemblies, and components in the United States, Mexico, and China. It offers a range of technical and manufacturing, and support services, including project management, designing, testing, prototyping, manufacturing, supply chain management, and post-market services. The company also provides manufacturing and engineering services for medical devices, printed circuit board assemblies, wire and cable assemblies, and higher-level electromechanical assemblies. In addition, it offers engineering and repair services. The company serves original equipment manufacturers in the aerospace and defense, medical, and industrial markets through business development teams and independent manufacturers' representatives. Nortech Systems Incorporated was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Maple Grove, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyNortech Systems generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by offering contract manufacturing services to various industries, including aerospace, defense, medical, and industrial sectors. The company earns income by producing electronic components and systems, which includes assembly services for printed circuit boards and cable assemblies. Additionally, Nortech leverages its engineering capabilities to provide design and development services, which contribute to long-term partnerships with clients. Significant revenue is also derived from ongoing contracts with defense and aerospace clients, where high-quality standards and reliability are critical. The company’s strategic partnerships with other technology firms and suppliers also enhance its product offerings and market reach, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Nortech Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in manufacturing efficiencies, certifications, and technological advancements, contributing to an improved adjusted EBITDA. However, these were offset by decreased net sales, increased tax expenses, and reduced inventory levels, creating a balanced outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Manufacturing Efficiencies
Increased manufacturing efficiencies across customer programs transferred to new plants, driving sustained performance improvement and positive mix shift. Achievements in restructuring efforts and cost discipline were noted.
AS 9100 D and CMMC 2.0 Certifications
Monterrey, Mexico facility achieved AS 9100 D certification for aerospace industry requirements, and CMMC 2.0 certification for US Department of Defense customers, enhancing service offerings and operational excellence.
Strong Customer Backlog
Customer backlog was $77.3 million as of 09/30/2025, consistent with previous periods, indicating sustained demand.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA improved significantly to $1.3 million for the quarter ended 09/30/2025, up from $143,000 in the same period in 2024, reflecting positive impacts from restructuring activities.
Technological Advancements in Fiber Optics
Continued focus on fiber optic technology, including power over fiber, enhancing product performance and aligning with sustainability goals.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Sales
Net sales for 2025 totaled $3.5 million, representing a 2.9% decrease from $31.4 million in 2024, impacted by a decrease in aerospace and defense sales and delays in customer product approvals.
Increased Income Tax Expense
Income tax expense in 2025 was $818,000 compared to $56,000 in 2024, resulting in a net loss of $146,000 for the current quarter.
Reduced Inventory Balances
Inventories were reduced to $18.4 million as of 09/30/2025, from $21.6 million as of December 2024, reflecting a planned decrease in inventory balances.
Decrease in Trailing Twelve Months Financials
Trailing twelve months net sales were $116.7 million, compared to $135.6 million for the previous period, with adjusted EBITDA at $700,000, down from $5.9 million.
Company Guidance
During the Nortex Systems Incorporated Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. Despite a 2.9% decrease in net sales to $30,500,000 from $31,400,000 in 2024, the company reported an improvement in gross profit, which increased to $5,000,000 or 16.4% of net sales, compared to $3,800,000 or 12.2% in the prior year. This improvement was attributed to increased facility utilization and manufacturing productivity. The company also mentioned a strong customer backlog of $77.3 million, consistent with the previous quarter, and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million, significantly up from $143,000 in 2024. While operating expenses decreased by $46,000, the company faced a substantial income tax expense of $818,000, resulting in a net loss of $146,000 for the quarter. The company remains optimistic about future growth, emphasizing its strategic focus on leveraging its advanced fiber optic capabilities and nearshore manufacturing advantages.

Nortech Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: declining revenue and profitability with negative EBIT/EBITDA and net losses (Income Statement 45), plus negative operating and free cash flow signaling liquidity pressure (Cash Flow 40). The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity 0.63) but negative ROE (Balance Sheet 55).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nortech Systems has experienced declining revenue and profitability over the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and the company is currently operating at a net loss. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges. Revenue growth has been negative, reflecting a contraction in sales.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, which is manageable but has increased over the past year. Return on equity is negative, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, indicating liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses, but overall cash flow trends are concerning with declining free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.67M128.13M139.33M134.12M115.17M104.11M
Gross Profit15.76M16.72M23.10M20.48M15.86M8.46M
EBITDA166.00K1.54M8.00M5.81M10.39M1.58M
Net Income-2.63M-1.29M6.87M2.01M7.15M-1.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.76M72.44M75.13M69.54M67.09M57.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.27M916.00K960.00K1.03M643.00K352.00K
Total Debt21.10M18.04M14.18M16.51M20.21M21.79M
Total Liabilities41.40M38.43M39.78M41.46M40.98M38.92M
Stockholders Equity33.36M34.01M35.34M28.08M26.11M18.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.88M-3.52M485.00K2.96M-5.83M844.00K
Operating Cash Flow-2.07M-2.25M1.77M5.40M-4.54M1.36M
Investing Cash Flow-305.00K-1.26M-1.28M-2.43M-730.00K5.50M
Financing Cash Flow2.42M2.77M-1.28M-2.67M3.93M-3.96M

Nortech Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.43
Price Trends
50DMA
7.55
Positive
100DMA
8.42
Positive
200DMA
8.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
67.66
Neutral
STOCH
56.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NSYS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.20, below the 50-day MA of 7.55, and below the 200-day MA of 8.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NSYS.

Nortech Systems Risk Analysis

Nortech Systems disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nortech Systems reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nortech Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$96.01M-131.53-3.84%38.22%70.68%
58
Neutral
$39.99M44.192.33%14.07%153.24%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$282.91M-4.51-8.87%5.93%-9.51%29.57%
48
Neutral
$24.71M-9.25-7.61%-13.94%-157.49%
42
Neutral
$29.11M-7.86-20.84%-3.22%-102.88%
41
Neutral
$55.60M-28.17-13.78%-1.70%17.13%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NSYS
Nortech Systems
8.87
-1.13
-11.30%
DAIO
Data I/O
3.10
0.10
3.33%
LGL
LGL Group
7.23
0.58
8.72%
MEI
Methode Electronics
7.99
-2.29
-22.25%
CPSH
CPS Technologies
5.34
3.60
206.90%
LINK
Interlink Electronics
3.53
-2.16
-37.96%

Nortech Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Nortech Systems Appoints New Senior Vice President of Operations
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Nortech Systems entered into an employment agreement with Andrew Walko, appointing him Senior Vice President of Global Operations effective January 19, 2026, to succeed retiring executive John Lindeen in the first quarter of 2026. The agreement runs through December 31, 2026 with automatic one-year renewals, provides Walko with a $260,000 annual base salary, eligibility for performance-based bonuses targeting 40% of base pay, participation in company benefits, and a grant of 25,000 non-qualified stock options vesting over five years, along with customary non-solicitation, confidentiality and severance protections, including enhanced severance if terminated without cause following a change of control. Drawing on his prior leadership roles in the medical device sector, Walko will oversee Nortech’s global operations and supply chain across facilities in the U.S., Mexico and China, with a mandate to advance the company’s near-shoring strategy, optimize manufacturing capacity, improve performance and on-time delivery, and deepen customer partnerships to support Nortech’s profitability and long-term growth in its core medical and industrial markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (NSYS) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nortech Systems stock, see the NSYS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026