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LGL Group (LGL)
XASE:LGL

LGL Group (LGL) AI Stock Analysis

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LGL

LGL Group

(NYSE MKT:LGL)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(21.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/23/26
The score is primarily supported by balance-sheet strength (near-zero debt) but held back by weakening revenue, uneven core profitability, and softer free-cash-flow momentum. Technicals are constructive but appear overbought, and valuation looks expensive given the current earnings profile; corporate leadership changes are a moderate positive but not yet reflected in fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Near-zero debt and a sizable equity base give LGL durable financial flexibility. Low leverage reduces refinancing and interest risks, enabling the company to fund certification, capital needs, or pursue opportunistic investments in M-tron products or national-security adjacencies without immediate external capital.
Niche, High-Reliability Product Mix
M-tron's focus on engineered timing and frequency components for aerospace, defense and industrial end markets creates structural product differentiation. Custom, high-reliability parts support long sales cycles, higher switching costs and recurring OEM relationships, underpinning steady niche demand and pricing durability.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Despite weakness versus prior year, positive operating and free cash flow indicate the business can self-fund near-term operations and modest investments. This cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and supports continuity of supplier/customer programs over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
A sustained TTM revenue decline signals weakening end-market demand or loss of share, which compresses gross absorption of fixed manufacturing costs. Over the medium term this undermines capacity utilization, limits reinvestment in product development, and pressures margin recovery efforts.
Thin, Uneven Operating Profitability
EBIT near breakeven and reliance on non-operating items for net income reduce earnings quality and predictability. Weak core margins constrain the firm's ability to consistently fund R&D, certifications and scale manufacturing, making long-term margin expansion and sustainable growth more challenging.
Very Small Organizational Scale
An extremely small headcount implies limited manufacturing, engineering and commercial scale. This heightens reliance on key personnel, creates capacity constraints for larger defense/industrial contracts, and increases operational concentration risks that can hamper consistent execution and growth.

LGL Group (LGL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LGL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe LGL Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of frequency and spectrum control products in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Electronic Components and Electronic Instruments. The Electronic Components segment offers clock oscillators, VCXO, TCXO OCXO, and DOCXO devices; and radio frequency, microwave and millimeter wave filters, diplexers, and solid-state power amplifiers. It also provides filter devices, which includes crystal, ceramic, LC, tubular, combline, cavity, interdigital, and metal insert waveguide, as well as digital, analog and mechanical tunable filters, switched filter arrays, and RF subsystems. This segment's products are used in infrastructure equipment for the telecommunications and network equipment industries; and electronic systems for applications in defense, aerospace, earth-orbiting satellites, down-hole drilling, medical devices, instrumentation, industrial devices, and global positioning systems. The Electronic Instruments segment designs and manufactures frequency and time reference standards, distribution amplifiers, redundancy auto switches, and NTP servers for timing and synchronization in various applications. Its products are used in computer networking, satellite ground stations, electric utilities, broadcasting, and telecommunication systems. The company was formerly known as Lynch Corporation and changed its name to The LGL Group, Inc. The LGL Group, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is based in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyLGL Group generates revenue through the sale of its frequency control products and related electronic components. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in sectors like telecommunications, aerospace, and defense, who integrate these products into their systems. LGL may also engage in long-term contracts or partnerships with larger companies for the supply of these components. Additionally, the company's earnings are influenced by technological innovation, operational efficiency, and its ability to maintain competitive pricing and quality. LGL's financial performance is also subject to market demand in the industries it serves and its capacity to adapt to evolving technological standards and customer needs.

LGL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (debt effectively zero; high equity cushion) supports financial stability, but operating performance is inconsistent: TTM revenue down (-12.4%), EBIT around breakeven to slightly negative, and free cash flow is positive but down materially (~-38%) versus the prior year.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is down (-12.4%), signaling a weaker near-term demand backdrop. Profitability is mixed: net income is positive (net margin ~22%), but operating profitability remains thin/uneven with EBIT around breakeven to slightly negative, pointing to reliance on non-operating items and limited core earnings power. Longer-term results show volatility (including a very weak 2022), which lowers confidence in consistency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: total debt is effectively zero in the most recent period, and equity is sizable versus total assets, indicating low leverage and strong financial flexibility. Returns on equity are positive but modest in TTM (~2.3%), suggesting the company is conservatively financed but not generating high returns on the capital base.
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both positive (~$0.4M), but free cash flow is down meaningfully versus the prior year (about -38%), highlighting softer cash generation recently. Cash conversion versus reported earnings looks adequate overall, though coverage of earnings by operating cash flow is only moderate in the latest period, implying earnings quality is not consistently cash-heavy.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.66M2.23M1.73M-2.68M1.45M31.16M
Gross Profit2.64M1.18M932.00K-3.52M735.00K10.93M
EBITDA396.00K720.00K668.00K-5.85M-2.94M1.84M
Net Income917.00K432.00K269.00K-2.99M14.64M968.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.28M43.15M41.87M39.82M60.85M43.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.60M41.60M40.73M38.09M42.54M24.12M
Total Debt0.000.0075.00K132.00K178.00K715.00K
Total Liabilities1.38M1.91M1.19M1.33M6.11M3.76M
Stockholders Equity39.85M39.23M38.76M38.49M54.74M39.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow408.00K874.00K385.00K-1.48M253.00K2.79M
Operating Cash Flow408.00K874.00K385.00K-817.00K1.35M3.19M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.0018.82M-5.83M9.41M-428.00K
Financing Cash Flow-439.00K0.000.00-859.00K-73.00K3.11M

LGL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.76
Price Trends
50DMA
6.48
Positive
100DMA
6.31
Positive
200DMA
6.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
61.42
Neutral
STOCH
76.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LGL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.13, below the 50-day MA of 6.48, and below the 200-day MA of 6.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LGL.

LGL Group Risk Analysis

LGL Group disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LGL Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LGL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$59.76M4.7912.06%5.63%-1.72%20.66%
64
Neutral
$77.49M-110.10-3.84%38.22%70.68%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$40.77M44.962.33%14.07%153.24%
48
Neutral
$25.13M-9.54-7.61%-13.94%-157.49%
44
Neutral
$37.01M-19.75-87.36%-16.49%-59.21%
42
Neutral
$26.39M-7.31-20.84%-3.22%-102.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LGL
LGL Group
7.34
0.75
11.35%
DAIO
Data I/O
2.81
0.04
1.44%
DSWL
Deswell
3.70
1.45
64.44%
NSYS
Nortech Systems
9.05
-1.05
-10.40%
REFR
Research Frontiers
0.98
-0.33
-24.89%
CPSH
CPS Technologies
4.47
2.94
192.16%

LGL Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
LGL Group Enhances Executive Chairman Marc Gabelli’s Compensation
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 16, 2026, following a Compensation Committee recommendation made on December 19, 2025, The LGL Group’s board approved revised compensation arrangements for Executive Chairman Marc Gabelli, including an annual base salary of $250,000 effective January 1, 2026, and eligibility for standard executive benefit plans. The board also granted Gabelli stock options to purchase 100,000 shares under the company’s 2021 incentive plan, with a mix of immediate and two-year staged vesting and a five-year term, and approved a one-time equity award comprising immediately vesting options for 50,000 shares priced at a premium to market and 50,000 restricted shares vesting over two years, underscoring a stronger equity-based alignment of the Executive Chairman’s pay with shareholder interests and long-term company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (LGL) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LGL Group stock, see the LGL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
LGL Group Shares Sidoti Micro Cap Conference Presentation
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026

On January 22, 2026, LGL Group made available on its investor relations website the slide deck used for its presentation at the Sidoti Micro Cap Conference held the same day. The materials were furnished as part of a current report but explicitly designated as not being formally filed under U.S. securities law, limiting their legal exposure and signaling that the slides are primarily for investor information and conference disclosure rather than for incorporation into future regulatory filings.

The most recent analyst rating on (LGL) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LGL Group stock, see the LGL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
LGL Group Appoints Jason Lamb as New CEO
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

On January 5, 2026, The LGL Group, Inc. appointed Jason Lamb as Chief Executive Officer, marking a leadership transition in which former CEO Marc Gabelli moved into the role of Executive Chairman while remaining Chairman of the Board and an executive officer. Lamb, a former Navy SEAL officer with more than two decades of experience in special operations, intelligence, technology development and private equity, including senior roles at BlackSea Technologies and involvement with Teton Advisors and LGL Systems Acquisition Corporation, is expected to reinforce LGL’s strategic focus on technology and national security–adjacent markets as it pursues growth initiatives across its diversified portfolio; the company confirmed that no new or revised compensation arrangements for Lamb or Gabelli had been put in place as of the announcement, signaling a near-term emphasis on continuity and governance stability for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LGL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LGL Group stock, see the LGL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
LGL Group Extends Expiration Date for Outstanding Warrants
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

On December 29, 2025, The LGL Group, Inc. announced that it had extended the expiration date of warrants granted on November 16, 2020 to purchase its common stock, moving the deadline to 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, December 31, 2025, from the previously scheduled expiration on Tuesday, December 30, 2025. Trading in these warrants is set to be suspended before markets open on December 30, 2025, a move that clarifies timing for warrant holders and may influence short-term trading dynamics and capital-raising opportunities linked to the exercise of these securities.

Other
LGL Group Extends Warrant Expiration Date to Dec 30
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 15, 2025, The LGL Group, Inc. announced the extension of the expiration date for its warrants to purchase common stock, originally set to expire on December 16, 2025, now extended to December 30, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, maintains all other terms of the warrants unchanged, including the exercise price of $4.75 per share, and allows stakeholders, including the CEO and affiliated stockholders, to exercise their warrants fully and participate in the oversubscription privilege.

Other
LGL Group Extends Warrant Expiration Date to December 16
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, The LGL Group, Inc. announced the extension of the expiration date for its warrants to purchase common stock from December 9, 2025, to December 16, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, maintains all other terms of the warrants, including the exercise price of $4.75 per share, unchanged. This extension provides warrant holders additional time to exercise their rights, potentially impacting the company’s stock market activities and offering stakeholders more flexibility in their investment decisions.

Other
LGL Group Extends Warrant Expiration Date to December
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, LGL Group announced an extension of the expiration date for its warrants to purchase common stock from November 17, 2025, to December 9, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, maintains all other warrant terms, including the exercise price of $4.75 per share, unchanged. The extension provides warrant holders additional time to exercise their rights, potentially impacting the company’s stock market activity and offering stakeholders more flexibility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026