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LGL Group (LGL)
:LGL

LGL Group (LGL) AI Stock Analysis

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LGL

LGL Group

(LGL)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by a strong, low-risk balance sheet, but is held back by declining TTM revenue, uneven core profitability and weakening free cash flow. Technicals are neutral-to-bearish and valuation (P/E ~35) looks demanding given the operating backdrop; the CEO transition adds modest upside optionality but remains unproven.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Near-zero debt and a sizable equity base give LGL durable financial flexibility. Low leverage reduces refinancing and interest risks, enabling the company to fund certification, capital needs, or pursue opportunistic investments in M-tron products or national-security adjacencies without immediate external capital.
Niche, High-Reliability Product Mix
M-tron's focus on engineered timing and frequency components for aerospace, defense and industrial end markets creates structural product differentiation. Custom, high-reliability parts support long sales cycles, higher switching costs and recurring OEM relationships, underpinning steady niche demand and pricing durability.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Despite weakness versus prior year, positive operating and free cash flow indicate the business can self-fund near-term operations and modest investments. This cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and supports continuity of supplier/customer programs over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
A sustained TTM revenue decline signals weakening end-market demand or loss of share, which compresses gross absorption of fixed manufacturing costs. Over the medium term this undermines capacity utilization, limits reinvestment in product development, and pressures margin recovery efforts.
Thin, Uneven Operating Profitability
EBIT near breakeven and reliance on non-operating items for net income reduce earnings quality and predictability. Weak core margins constrain the firm's ability to consistently fund R&D, certifications and scale manufacturing, making long-term margin expansion and sustainable growth more challenging.
Very Small Organizational Scale
An extremely small headcount implies limited manufacturing, engineering and commercial scale. This heightens reliance on key personnel, creates capacity constraints for larger defense/industrial contracts, and increases operational concentration risks that can hamper consistent execution and growth.

LGL Group (LGL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LGL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe LGL Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of frequency and spectrum control products in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Electronic Components and Electronic Instruments. The Electronic Components segment offers clock oscillators, VCXO, TCXO OCXO, and DOCXO devices; and radio frequency, microwave and millimeter wave filters, diplexers, and solid-state power amplifiers. It also provides filter devices, which includes crystal, ceramic, LC, tubular, combline, cavity, interdigital, and metal insert waveguide, as well as digital, analog and mechanical tunable filters, switched filter arrays, and RF subsystems. This segment's products are used in infrastructure equipment for the telecommunications and network equipment industries; and electronic systems for applications in defense, aerospace, earth-orbiting satellites, down-hole drilling, medical devices, instrumentation, industrial devices, and global positioning systems. The Electronic Instruments segment designs and manufactures frequency and time reference standards, distribution amplifiers, redundancy auto switches, and NTP servers for timing and synchronization in various applications. Its products are used in computer networking, satellite ground stations, electric utilities, broadcasting, and telecommunication systems. The company was formerly known as Lynch Corporation and changed its name to The LGL Group, Inc. The LGL Group, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is based in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyLGL Group generates revenue through the sale of its frequency control products and related electronic components. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in sectors like telecommunications, aerospace, and defense, who integrate these products into their systems. LGL may also engage in long-term contracts or partnerships with larger companies for the supply of these components. Additionally, the company's earnings are influenced by technological innovation, operational efficiency, and its ability to maintain competitive pricing and quality. LGL's financial performance is also subject to market demand in the industries it serves and its capacity to adapt to evolving technological standards and customer needs.

LGL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LGL Group demonstrates a strong financial recovery with significant revenue growth and robust profit margins in 2024. The balance sheet is solid with no debt and high equity, while cash flow metrics reflect efficient management and strong liquidity. However, historical volatility in earnings remains a concern.
Income Statement
The LGL Group has shown significant revenue growth in 2024 with a Revenue Growth Rate of 148.39%, indicating a strong recovery from previous years. The Gross Profit Margin is robust at 100%, reflecting excellent cost management. The Net Profit Margin improved drastically to 12.16% from a negative margin in the prior year. However, the EBIT Margin and EBITDA Margin are impacted by past volatility, though both are now at 12.16%, indicating a return to profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is solid, with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0, signifying no leverage risk and a strong equity base. Return on Equity is healthy at 1.33%, while the Equity Ratio stands strong at 90.93%, reflecting financial stability and low risk. The company's cash reserves are substantial, supporting its operational needs and future investments.
Cash Flow
The cash flow position of LGL is strong, with a notable improvement in Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 127.01% from 2023 to 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.67, indicating healthy cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio also stands at 1.67, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.66M2.23M1.73M-2.68M1.45M31.16M
Gross Profit2.64M1.18M932.00K-3.52M735.00K10.93M
EBITDA396.00K720.00K668.00K-5.85M-2.94M1.84M
Net Income917.00K432.00K269.00K-2.99M14.64M968.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.28M43.15M41.87M39.82M60.85M43.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.60M41.60M40.73M38.09M42.54M24.12M
Total Debt0.000.0075.00K132.00K178.00K715.00K
Total Liabilities1.38M1.91M1.19M1.33M6.11M3.76M
Stockholders Equity39.85M39.23M38.76M38.49M54.74M39.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow408.00K874.00K385.00K-1.48M253.00K2.79M
Operating Cash Flow408.00K874.00K385.00K-817.00K1.35M3.19M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.0018.82M-5.83M9.41M-428.00K
Financing Cash Flow-439.00K0.000.00-859.00K-73.00K3.11M

LGL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.76
Price Trends
50DMA
5.91
Negative
100DMA
6.22
Negative
200DMA
6.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
44.65
Neutral
STOCH
49.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LGL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.78, below the 50-day MA of 5.91, and below the 200-day MA of 6.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LGL.

LGL Group Risk Analysis

LGL Group disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LGL Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LGL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$55.14M4.3812.06%5.63%-1.72%20.66%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$65.08M-89.16-3.84%38.22%70.68%
55
Neutral
$31.59M34.902.33%14.07%153.24%
49
Neutral
$42.73M-22.60-87.36%-16.49%-59.21%
48
Neutral
$21.62M-8.09-7.61%-13.94%-157.49%
42
Neutral
$30.24M-8.17-20.84%-3.22%-102.88%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LGL
LGL Group
5.71
-0.96
-14.39%
DAIO
Data I/O
3.22
0.39
13.78%
DSWL
Deswell
3.46
1.24
55.86%
NSYS
Nortech Systems
7.76
-2.34
-23.17%
REFR
Research Frontiers
1.27
-0.37
-22.56%
CPSH
CPS Technologies
3.62
1.86
105.68%

LGL Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
LGL Group Appoints Jason Lamb as New CEO
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

On January 5, 2026, The LGL Group, Inc. appointed Jason Lamb as Chief Executive Officer, marking a leadership transition in which former CEO Marc Gabelli moved into the role of Executive Chairman while remaining Chairman of the Board and an executive officer. Lamb, a former Navy SEAL officer with more than two decades of experience in special operations, intelligence, technology development and private equity, including senior roles at BlackSea Technologies and involvement with Teton Advisors and LGL Systems Acquisition Corporation, is expected to reinforce LGL’s strategic focus on technology and national security–adjacent markets as it pursues growth initiatives across its diversified portfolio; the company confirmed that no new or revised compensation arrangements for Lamb or Gabelli had been put in place as of the announcement, signaling a near-term emphasis on continuity and governance stability for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (LGL) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LGL Group stock, see the LGL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
LGL Group Extends Expiration Date for Outstanding Warrants
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

On December 29, 2025, The LGL Group, Inc. announced that it had extended the expiration date of warrants granted on November 16, 2020 to purchase its common stock, moving the deadline to 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, December 31, 2025, from the previously scheduled expiration on Tuesday, December 30, 2025. Trading in these warrants is set to be suspended before markets open on December 30, 2025, a move that clarifies timing for warrant holders and may influence short-term trading dynamics and capital-raising opportunities linked to the exercise of these securities.

Other
LGL Group Extends Warrant Expiration Date to Dec 30
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 15, 2025, The LGL Group, Inc. announced the extension of the expiration date for its warrants to purchase common stock, originally set to expire on December 16, 2025, now extended to December 30, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, maintains all other terms of the warrants unchanged, including the exercise price of $4.75 per share, and allows stakeholders, including the CEO and affiliated stockholders, to exercise their warrants fully and participate in the oversubscription privilege.

Other
LGL Group Extends Warrant Expiration Date to December 16
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, The LGL Group, Inc. announced the extension of the expiration date for its warrants to purchase common stock from December 9, 2025, to December 16, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, maintains all other terms of the warrants, including the exercise price of $4.75 per share, unchanged. This extension provides warrant holders additional time to exercise their rights, potentially impacting the company’s stock market activities and offering stakeholders more flexibility in their investment decisions.

Other
LGL Group Extends Warrant Expiration Date to December
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, LGL Group announced an extension of the expiration date for its warrants to purchase common stock from November 17, 2025, to December 9, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, maintains all other warrant terms, including the exercise price of $4.75 per share, unchanged. The extension provides warrant holders additional time to exercise their rights, potentially impacting the company’s stock market activity and offering stakeholders more flexibility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026