Data I/O (DAIO)
NASDAQ:DAIO
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Data I/O
(NASDAQ:DAIO)
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Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(38.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/13/25
Data I/O's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's negative earnings and lack of dividend yield further weigh on its valuation. While strategic initiatives and new product developments offer potential, they are overshadowed by current financial struggles.
Positive Factors
Product innovation & awards
Award‑winning product refreshes and preorders plus a planned new‑generation platform launch signal durable R&D execution and product‑market fit. This strengthens competitive differentiation, supports repeatable revenue events tied to product launches, and broadens the addressable market over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A persistent top‑line contraction reduces scale and weakens operating leverage, making it harder to cover fixed costs and fund innovation. Continued revenue declines increase execution risk for new product launches and prolong the timeline to restore sustainable profitability and growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Product innovation & awards
Award‑winning product refreshes and preorders plus a planned new‑generation platform launch signal durable R&D execution and product‑market fit. This strengthens competitive differentiation, supports repeatable revenue events tied to product launches, and broadens the addressable market over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors
Data I/O (DAIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$20.85M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)28.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.56
Revenue Growth-3.22%
EPS Growth-102.88%
CountryUS
Employees88
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryHardware, Equipment & Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.27
Shares Outstanding9,391,922
10 Day Avg. Volume25,124
30 Day Avg. Volume28,890
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.44
Price to Sales (P/S)1.16
P/FCF Ratio-17.34
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.76
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.69
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.36
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-4.79
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$5.00Price Target Upside130.41% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.48
Revenue Forecast (FY)$21.65M
Data I/O Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Data I/O Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of programming and security deployment systems and services for electronic device manufacturers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's programming system p...
How the Company Makes Money
Data I/O generates revenue through the sale of its programming and production systems, which includes both hardware and software components. The company earns money from direct product sales, maintenance contracts, and software licensing fees. Key...
Data I/O Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: near-term financial results were weak with notable declines in quarterly revenue, bookings, gross margin compression, larger net losses and reduced cash balances. Offsetting these negatives are substantial strategic initiatives — accelerated transformation, broad AI adoption driving productivity and cost savings, a new security partnership to expand addressable markets, a healthy recurring revenue mix (58%), no debt, inventory reductions, and an active, disciplined M&A pipeline. Management outlined clear remediation actions (cost savings target, margin recovery via absorption, and organic growth focus tied to Edge AI demand) and expects positive operating cash flow by end of 2026. Overall, the company faces material short-term financial headwinds but has several credible strategic levers to drive recovery over the next 12–18 months.Positive Updates
Transformation Progress Ahead of Schedule
Management reports the company is approximately one year ahead of its multi-year transformation plan, having executed six strategic priorities (modernizing go-to-market, platform investment, customer engagement, operations/IT optimization, cloud migration, and company-wide AI deployment). Leadership changes and executive/board refresh completed to support execution.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Q4 net sales were $4.0M, down from $5.2M in Q4 2024 — a decline of ~23.1% year-over-year; full year 2025 net sales were $21.5M versus $21.8M in 2024 (-~1.4%).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Transformation Progress Ahead of Schedule
Management reports the company is approximately one year ahead of its multi-year transformation plan, having executed six strategic priorities (modernizing go-to-market, platform investment, customer engagement, operations/IT optimization, cloud migration, and company-wide AI deployment). Leadership changes and executive/board refresh completed to support execution.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management is targeting organic revenue growth in 2026 versus 2025 (FY2025 net sales $21.5M; full‑year bookings $18.6M, down 17% vs $22.5M in 2024) and said higher revenue should improve absorption of labor/overhead and drive gross‑margin recovery (FY2025 gross margin 49.3% vs 53.3% in 2024; Q4‑2025 GM 43% vs Q4‑2024 52.2%); they are planning at least $1.0M of additional run‑rate cost reductions beginning early 2026, expect AI to boost company‑wide efficiency and software attach/recurring revenue (consumables/adapters/services = 58% of 2025 revenue; capital equipment = 42%; deferred revenue ≈ $1.5M), and have “line of sight” to positive operating cash flow by the end of 2026 (CEO also referenced returning to cash‑flow neutral/positive during the year); balance‑sheet context includes Q4 cash $7.9M (vs $10.3M a year prior), net working capital $12.3M (vs $16.1M), inventory down ≈ $0.5M, backlog $2.3M (vs $2.7M), no debt, and the guidance excludes inorganic M&A activity the company is pursuing.Data I/O Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 22.70M | 21.77M | 28.06M | 24.22M | 25.84M | 20.33M |
| Gross Profit | 11.59M | 11.61M | 16.19M | 13.21M | 14.72M | 10.82M |
| EBITDA | -3.29M | -2.47M | 1.06M | -189.00K | 394.00K | -1.61M |
| Net Income | -3.67M | -3.09M | 486.00K | -1.12M | -555.00K | -3.96M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 22.69M | 24.97M | 27.40M | 27.16M | 29.06M | 25.59M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 9.66M | 10.33M | 12.34M | 11.51M | 14.19M | 14.17M |
| Total Debt | 1.58M | 2.80M | 1.57M | 2.30M | 2.88M | 1.26M |
| Total Liabilities | 6.68M | 7.34M | 7.08M | 8.06M | 9.20M | 5.95M |
| Stockholders Equity | 16.01M | 17.63M | 20.32M | 19.11M | 19.85M | 19.64M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -2.67M | -1.46M | 1.23M | -2.13M | 787.00K | -229.00K |
| Operating Cash Flow | -2.13M | -995.00K | 2.43M | -1.05M | 1.41M | 631.00K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -540.00K | -467.00K | -1.20M | -1.08M | -623.00K | -860.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -123.00K | -232.00K | -356.00K | -165.00K | -423.00K | -144.00K |
Data I/O Technical Analysis
Negative
2.17
Price Trends
2.79
Negative
2.90
Negative
3.04
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.13
Positive
27.73
Positive
12.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.55, below the 50-day MA of 2.79, and below the 200-day MA of 3.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.73 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DAIO.
Data I/O Risk Analysis
Data I/O disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Data I/O reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Data I/O Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $15.33M | 47.05 | 2.80% | ― | 5.36% | -8.88% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
57 Neutral | $45.76M | -287.74 | 1.70% | ― | 14.07% | 153.24% | |
54 Neutral | $36.50M | 5.75 | -0.75% | ― | -13.94% | -157.49% | |
54 Neutral | $82.90M | -0.62 | -86.24% | ― | 599.15% | 82.47% | |
42 Neutral | $20.85M | -5.93 | -30.89% | ― | -3.22% | -102.88% |
* Technology Sector Average
DAIO
Data I/O
2.22
0.07
3.26%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.