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Nissan
(OTC:NSANY)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(1.52% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/05/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial fundamentals—recent losses, compressed margins, rising leverage, and persistently negative free cash flow. The latest earnings call adds some support due to improved Q1 profitability/cash flow and reaffirmed FY2026 targets, but that is tempered by lowered volume outlook and reliance on one-time/FX benefits. Technicals are broadly neutral with the stock still below key longer-term moving averages, and valuation is hard to justify with a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Re:Nissan cost savings
Sustained, programmatic cost reductions (JPY 315b realized, JPY 500b target) materially lower fixed and variable cost per unit. That structural efficiency improves long-term breakeven, protects margins during volume weakness, and funds NEV investments without relying solely on revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Elevated and rising leverage (~1.9x D/E) constrains strategic optionality: it raises interest and refinancing risk, limits ability to absorb prolonged volume shortfalls, and can force tradeoffs between deleveraging and necessary NEV/technology investments over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Re:Nissan cost savings
Sustained, programmatic cost reductions (JPY 315b realized, JPY 500b target) materially lower fixed and variable cost per unit. That structural efficiency improves long-term breakeven, protects margins during volume weakness, and funds NEV investments without relying solely on revenue growth.
Read all positive factors
Nissan (NSANY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$7.48B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)3.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.48
Revenue Growth-3.59%
EPS Growth50.25%
CountryUS
Employees120,079
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-241.18
Shares Outstanding1,856,999,300
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume3,837
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.15
Price to Book (P/B)0.25
Price to Sales (P/S)0.09
P/FCF Ratio-1.33
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.09
Revenue Forecast (FY)$79.42B
Nissan Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. is a global automotive enterprise primarily involved in the manufacturing and worldwide distribution of vehicles and their associated components. The company markets its diverse range of automobiles under prominent brands su...
How the Company Makes Money
Nissan primarily makes money through (1) automotive sales and (2) financial services. Automotive revenue is generated from wholesaling and retailing vehicles—mainly passenger cars, SUVs/crossovers, and light commercial vehicles—sold under the Niss...
Nissan Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented balanced results: clear operational progress and strong market performance in key regions (U.S., Japan) and meaningful cost‑reduction momentum under Re:Nissan that materially improved revenues, operating profit and free cash flow. However, significant external headwinds remain—most notably China market contraction and rapid NEV transition, Middle East logistics/geopolitical disruption, weak European volumes, raw material inflation and a recent earthquake supply disruption. Management reaffirmed full‑year financial targets while lowering volume guidance and emphasized mitigation actions (cost savings, NEV push, regional commercial policies, hedging). Given meaningful operational improvements but persistent, material risks to volumes and margins, the tone is cautious and results are mixed.Positive Updates
U.S. Retail and Model Strength
U.S. retail sales grew more than 9% year‑on‑year (U.S. market +9.6%). Key model gains: Pathfinder deliveries +32% (best quarter ever), Frontier deliveries +35%, Rogue deliveries nearly +39%; Rogue earned top spot in J.D. Power initial quality study. Infiniti QX80 delivered its best Q1 in model history; all‑new QX65 launched.
Negative Updates
China Market Weakness and Mix Shift
Chinese total industry volume declined ~22% year‑on‑year in the first half; Nissan's total first‑half sales declined 15% (April–June sales down 15%). Rapid shift to NEVs created demand/supply mismatches and required regionalized commercial policies and inventory rebalancing.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
U.S. Retail and Model Strength
U.S. retail sales grew more than 9% year‑on‑year (U.S. market +9.6%). Key model gains: Pathfinder deliveries +32% (best quarter ever), Frontier deliveries +35%, Rogue deliveries nearly +39%; Rogue earned top spot in J.D. Power initial quality study. Infiniti QX80 delivered its best Q1 in model history; all‑new QX65 launched.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Nissan reaffirmed its FY2026 financial guidance while adjusting volumes: revenue JPY 13.0 trillion, operating profit JPY 200 billion (1.5% margin) and net income JPY 20 billion, with revised full‑year sales volume of 3.15 million units and production of 2.8 million units. In Q1 the company sold >700,000 units (unit sales almost flat YoY), consolidated net revenues rose 9.5% YoY, operating profit was JPY 77.9 billion and net income JPY 3.8 billion; automotive operating loss was near breakeven at JPY 8.3 billion. Cash/flow and investment metrics: automotive free cash flow improved to JPY 324 billion (up ~JPY 67 billion YoY; excl. one‑time impacts ~JPY 100 billion), net cash ~JPY 970 billion (automotive cash & equivalents > JPY 2.1 trillion), CapEx ~JPY 114 billion and R&D JPY 120 billion. Re:Nissan cost actions delivered JPY 60 billion in Q1, bringing cumulative savings to ~JPY 315 billion toward a JPY 500 billion target, and engineering cost per hour is down 20% (achieved three quarters early). Key P&L bridge items included FX +JPY 35 billion, Monozukuri savings ~JPY 82 billion, sales performance +JPY 23.7 billion, tariffs +JPY 18.3 billion, one‑time gains +JPY 32 billion (including JPY 61 billion U.S. tariff clawbacks), offset by raw materials -JPY 24 billion and inflation -JPY 14 billion. Regional dynamics: U.S. sales up 9.6% (North America +4.2%), Japan +1.3% (Roox deliveries +52%, Kicks >11,000 orders, Elgrand >8,000 orders), China retail +7.2% in Jan–Mar but sales weakened to -15% April–June (industry -22% H1), Europe -14.6% and Rest of World -16.8%; Middle East disruptions are expected to depress volumes by ~18–19k units and hit profits by roughly JPY 15–20 billion in H1 due to elevated logistics costs.Nissan Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.47T | 12.73T | 12.63T | 12.69T | 10.60T | 8.42T |
| Gross Profit | 1.75T | 1.58T | 1.69T | 2.07T | 1.71T | 1.35T |
| EBITDA | 706.61B | 727.68B | 360.76B | 1.36T | 800.72B | 1.13T |
| Net Income | -421.09B | -565.24B | -670.90B | 426.65B | 221.90B | 215.53B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 19.96T | 19.90T | 19.02T | 19.86T | 17.60T | 16.37T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.21T | 2.27T | 2.20T | 2.13T | 2.01T | 1.79T |
| Total Debt | 9.13T | 8.96T | 8.14T | 7.81T | 7.04T | 7.13T |
| Total Liabilities | 14.67T | 14.63T | 13.58T | 13.38T | 11.98T | 11.34T |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.84T | 4.82T | 4.96T | 5.98T | 5.13T | 4.58T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -642.15B | -889.76B | -1.16T | -666.88B | 87.55B | -276.70B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 961.64B | 842.60B | 753.69B | 960.90B | 1.22T | 847.19B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -854.96B | -965.92B | -971.23B | -812.66B | -447.04B | -146.84B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -253.68B | 51.51B | 263.25B | -131.55B | -670.61B | -1.09T |
Nissan Technical Analysis
Positive
3.94
Price Trends
4.11
Positive
4.30
Positive
4.65
Negative
Market Momentum
0.07
Negative
60.98
Neutral
64.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NSANY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.13, below the 50-day MA of 4.11, and below the 200-day MA of 4.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NSANY.
Nissan Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 Neutral | $221.61B | 8.48 | 11.67% | 3.38% | 3.88% | 4.59% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $1.30T | 280.41 | 4.58% | ― | 11.75% | -37.64% | |
56 Neutral | $76.85B | 43.98 | 3.04% | 0.80% | -1.11% | -67.59% | |
54 Neutral | $55.75B | -7.53 | -18.90% | 4.18% | 1.47% | -315.47% | |
51 Neutral | $41.14B | -43.51 | -3.53% | 4.73% | 0.81% | -128.78% | |
47 Neutral | $7.48B | -2.96 | -8.56% | ― | -3.59% | 50.25% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
NSANY
Nissan
4.40
-0.09
-1.96%
F
Ford Motor
14.00
3.24
30.12%
GM
General Motors
87.96
34.44
64.35%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
31.72
-0.31
-0.97%
TSLA
Tesla
330.88
-8.15
-2.40%
TM
Toyota Motor
188.78
-0.35
-0.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.